tv I Knew Bin Laden 2011 Episode 2 Al Jazeera May 5, 2018 4:00am-4:58am +03
cape town's water running out. of storage you see people should use no more than fifty liters of top water per person per day. about a third of the city's residents live in informal settlements like this one and you can see him about four percent of the water with the generations they've already been collecting a communal taps all sources say the city will reach daisy on the ninth of july that's when they'll turn off the water in the hopes to have it be the communal councils stay on. the city's taps of fed by reservoirs this is one of the largest. because they'll gallop where four years ago they would have been on the twenty five meters of water since then the provinces suffered the worst droughts on record. water saving measures for the already postponed day zero by three months everyone here is hoping the winter will soon bring enough rainfall to make sure the days erode never come.
top stories here on al-jazeera and a grand rights groups are protesting against a new law which could see fifty seven thousand one hundred. from the u.s. the trumpet ministrations says it's ending temporary protection granted after hurricane mitch in one thousand nine hundred nine to her in german government says it deeply laments that the decision. kalika has more from washington d.c. . well the temporary protected status program began in one thousand nine hundred ninety and it's basically a humanitarian bill that enabled people whose countries were hit by wars and natural disasters to come to the united states and live safely in the case of hondurans they came here after hurricane mitch which struck the country in one nine hundred ninety nine now what the trump administration is essentially doing is why ending down the t.p.s.
program most of those people who live under it are from el salvador haiti and one jurist in over the next two years basically around four hundred thousand people will be asked to leave the united states for hondurans it's about fifty seven thousand people many of whom have lived in the united states for decades among those fifty seven thousand people affected they've had five thousand u.s. born children who are of course u.s. citizens so it is say humanitarian groups a heartless and unnecessary move many of these people who are legally living and working in the united states have set up businesses and families of their own and of course they're returning to a country that many people see is entirely unsafe the migration from one juror continues apace because of the drug violence and the gun violence in that country so this is seen by humanitarian groups and business groups as being a totally unnecessary move but it seems the trumpet ministration is determined to essentially end this program over the next two years they will stop t.p.s.
for around ninety eight percent of the people who are living under at the moment essentially telling four hundred thousand people who legally lived and worked in this country to get out they don't trample her south korea's president when jay in that the white house and may twenty second to discuss the talks with north korea's leader the u.s. president says a date and location have been set for meeting kim jong un but didn't give any more details. trump has again indorse gun rights and made the case for arming teachers during a speech at the national rifle association annual conference in dallas the gun lobby has faced intense condemnation following a number of shootings also says the outcome of the twenty fifteen paris attacks would have been different if people had been armed. they took their tongue and gun them down one morning won't come over here won't come over here below if you were. in those rooms.
one of those people and this is on those. issues where is this. what if you want to employ. or just want to take you had a gun. or if morning person in vis room had been there with a gun aimed at the opposite direction. the jurors would have fled or been shown and it would have been a whole different story. right. now argentina's pessoa currency has rebounded off of the government's increase interest rates to counter a plunge in its value the central bank raise the rates for the third time in a week this time to forty percent the drastic measures have been taken to try to prevent another economic crisis. and they had workers in kenya say they've reached
only a quarter of nearly fifty thousand families in need of shelter after weeks of torrential rain the red cross says it doesn't have enough money to cover its emergency operations. and a court in the u.k. has ruled human rights campaign is can go ahead with a case to stop the british. to saudi arabia the campaign against strays says u.k. weapons are being used in violation of international law in the war against yemen britain has sold more than six billion dollars worth of society since its air campaign began in twenty fifteen up next as i knew bin laden.
some a bit larger than the world's most wanted man until his death in may two thousand and eleven. over the years al-jazeera is bureau chief in islamabad with a comment said dan has interviewed numerous people who met bin laden and his associates. this is the story of bin laden through their eyes. in may nine hundred ninety eight some of bin laden and his associates held a press conference calling for the killing of americans. several months later bomb attacks on the u.s. embassies in kenya and tanzania killed twelve americans and almost three hundred africans. in response the united states launched cruise missiles against sites in
sudan and afghanistan believed to be linked to bin laden. just before the cruise missiles were launched a top american general arrived in pakistan his mission was to inform pakistan's top brass of the us intention to send missiles over its territory to hit targets in afghanistan. the americans wanted the pakistanis to know the missiles were not. indeed. they were afraid the cruise missile attacks might inadvertently trigger a full scale war between pakistan and india two nuclear powers. the beast and come on he came landed in. an airport for
a dinner evening meeting with the. chief and they had heard the airport and he told them at that time that we're about to fight some as i did in two of them is done and i've come good farmers who don't think they'll come top somewhere else and please inform your government so but it was just half an hour before basically by the ferry company and it was really took us four for granted that. they have to approach a lot of thought as a landlocked country. pakistan had failed to convince the taliban to turn over osama bin laden. the americans had demanded bin ladin be expelled. the pakistanis inquired. the taliban refused. following the nine hundred ninety eight bomb attacks in east africa bin laden's name moved higher up on america's most wanted list the cia set
up a bin laden unit and the u.s. offered a reward of five million dollars for information about bin laden's whereabouts. several years later that reward increased significantly. determined. the members of this august house had a rare you know i just this has got it out strikes inside the punishment of. pakistan's foreign minister at the time you spoke before an angry parliament enraged by the u.s. missile strike and what they saw as a violation of pakistani sovereignty and the very information suggests that the ms i look back as a result in loss of innocent lives which is because it's concerned. until then pakistani officials have heard little from the outside world about the exploits of the saudi born leader. well the surprising thing is be a defense. albrecht be
a builder it's clinton. starting from japan right up to washington i traveled all the skeptics and met michael never was the name osama bin laden mentioned i think until all the bombings in east africa in one thousand nine hundred eighty one thousand nine hundred eight the cia certainly underestimated him after that we were the loudest. heralds of warning for the u.s. government. in december one thousand nine hundred ninety nine indian airlines flight eight one four was hijacked by gunman and forced to land in kandahar in afghanistan.
the hijackers believed to be pakistani demanded india release militants it was holding. they were militants who were known to be close to al qaida they included saeed sheikh and the suit. anything to put them up and up then to show some of the going to look for gonzales listing them with i'm going to go to the saudi to has a saudi who should deny the law if i'm a konica that muffy mobile so i want to stop and look. for them to my last up on the phone in the market i am but i'm with. dimmock to face meeting because the fact that if you just. the minutes of the the how to the bottom of the forces me about about a higher but also to my feet but that he by that you could see for with america you could at what cost a meal set up how the puddle could have been set up and about the started to those who. look at them o'clock in the diffident fortunately not fanatical to be had when
i leave. for the haven't i maybe it was that bad yet half and who were on that body my earth was lost for going into my lair you can see a path that is in the past let me actually it could even by there be only one thing at the ship them said i'm lost a little bit of sleet bloody battle at the end it would seem a could be a little thing with up and out of me don't know without and i would know most of us now i think that if we did the many of them would also the social self even look at the fact that we've been you know that. bin laden's prominence in afghanistan was increasing. al qaida was gaining credibility among its afghan allies. it offered the taliban bomb making experts experienced fighters and money for operations. from its
shelter in afghanistan al qaeda sought revenge for the u.s. cruise missile attacks it chose a daring strike against a symbol of american power. you know told the truth fellas and a small boat charged with explosives was driven into the u.s.s. cole will ship off the yemeni port of aden. the suicide bombers were killed along with seventeen american sailors. bin laden's showdown with america was intensifying . back in one thousand nine hundred ninety eight he had called on muslims to kill americans including civilians. but he's animosity to america and dated back eight years. earlier when u.s. forces deployed in saudi arabia following iraq's invasion of kuwait in ninety nine bin laden accused the americans of desecration what he called holy arab soil he said i'm opposed to the presence of foreign troops in saudi arabia for two reasons
islamic reasons and tricky because he said i don't want my home going to be occupied by foreign troops secondly islamic reason because you said that you know the you know the holiest places for muslims and we don't want them close nearby i think it was the entry of the united states military forces in western forces generally and into saudi arabia in one thousand nine hundred ninety one was kind of the turning point for osama bin laden in two ways first it kind of cemented his animosity toward the united states but it also completed his alienation from the saudi government he figured that any muslim islamic government that could invite. western forces into the home of the prophet is. really not a government that he would want to support.
a former bodyguard of bin laden revealed to al jazeera that the attack on the u.s.s. cole was originally intended to take place further out see. the ship usama. then the ship was on the committee did it do it. do it but if you have a thought. that there would be a. couple . look at the month safina first mean i didn't but i did. you know that.
the pressure increased on the taliban to control bin love me and taliban representatives were approached by u.s. officials to discuss ways bin laden might be handed over in the end the diplomatic efforts proved fruitless. but taliban leader mullah omar did impose restrictions on bin laden forbidding him to talk to the media without the consent of the taliban the al qaeda leader asked a senior figure in pakistan to intervene. then we get the number and i. say. that he was. with cannot or somebody a minute away. but i. will give.
if you. work. for but it was. shortly after the attack on the u.s.s. cole al jazeera as ahmed said dan was invited to the waiting list bin ladin son. marrying the daughter of muhammad. al qaida as military command given the taliban restrictions imposed upon him the social occasions were away from bin ladin to deliver his statement to the media. her when her room her remember her have her own you're going to.
coordination between yemen and the united states increased. american military exercises were held in the area. almost two years to the day after the u.s.s. cole was bombed duplicated attack took place. an explosive laden boat rammed into a french oil tanker in the gulf of aden yemen. al qaida claimed responsibility for the attack. on the back who have i mean home. despite melo must restrictions on bin ladin the relationship between the taliban leader and the al qaida leader appeared to be strong even though they had known each other for only a few use it was
a relationship noticed by a pakistani journalist who had interviewed bin laden. they want to but i like a. lone white out in the woods jesse loved that while they were pointedly. barely make a joke at them with seemingly no. that's what the what to me when i was to make it you would be limited to. just about why you started but i got up and looked but. this is what the many eggs i've got a parking. lot on. no no no no use in the back to mine the collaboration between the taliban and al qaeda seem to benefit bin ladin. getting out of one of the most absurd amount of the. somebody's law then was better prepared what because the near showed
better charitable board. he was a man in a way and there was just rational on him and he would not move anywhere probably the course went on for four of them i mean he would not forward much of kokomo much except a few authors who leave the world with him for sport. in some military. training or. many people are blaming him including myself i'll sort order against him alone but in one thousand nine hundred six i except the responsibility. that i'd order that he is playing an american game because many american diplomats in islamabad and then as you put thought she was prime minister at that time and she was also supporting longer. because benazir bhutto was boarding with no more so i thought that maybe he is working for americans and i
wrote some columns are going to him there maybe more long words is an american game so i was invited by malone what and he told me that i'm not an american agent so if i am an american again why i have given refused to. enemy of america was. a bond of loyalty developed between malone and bin ladin. in one thousand nine hundred ninety eight bin laden's arab fighters had helped taliban forces conquer the city of mazar e sharif the last major city in afghanistan. to fall to the taliban. al qaeda had also for too long sought the taliban against its arch enemy the renowned guerrilla fighter ahmed shah masood. bin laden's former bodyguard
remembers fighting lawsuits forces advancing on kabul. for the mother to come out of the mobile one of the markets suck up the cut the deal had become an aid to public. would. address. that one that. has come in a call for to leave a colossal come out of this alert for the. missing. for the. miss the light and for good. had to do. with the how the the more sort of how much. was a. happy man how we left.
afghanistan. when the. it appeared to some observers who would keep players in events at the time that bin laden had considerable influence over his taliban allies and noticed a kind of helplessness that. was guiding the whole thing and he was in combat and not in kabul and obviously he was the need for it so it was quite a sort of low key interaction with the americans they were not but they were just telling us to look. can solve the osama problem. bin laden seemed to have increasing sway he had reportedly prevailed over mullah
omar and convinced him to destroy the historic statues of buddha carved into a cliff in the bamiyan valley in the hindu kush mountains of central afghanistan and the destruction of the statues in march two thousand and one led to worldwide condemnation and further isolation of the taliban by the international community i told him and that. gives you a lot of it. and many of the japanese have put this why you want to bring this to choose and i have them there they did you know could be than them somewhere they didn't put away. all against them so that nobody worshiped them but i mean he had his own conviction about islamic god and he thought he was what he was doing with a great model for islamic countries to follow. and when he saw the holy. city. as bin laden strengthened his influence over the taliban in afghanistan
he also maintained contacts with religious or clerics in neighboring pakistan. he would invite clerics close to the taliban to visit him in order to discuss ideological matters. one of the scholars was the father of abdul rashid ghazi the. good old red mosque in islamabad. and. what invited about was something going on then and nine hundred ninety eight. in kandahar. and among them my father was also he was also invited. and while he was going there. i went with him. and we met we
spend the whole day with osama he was against america and the point was that you know that. there is a saying off the prophet that. the. these the old and aside from. these the holy places so that was the basic idea. prior to the attacks on september eleventh two thousand and one bin laden was called to a high level meeting to tell him and they express to bin lot of that frustration with ashmit shah masood his forces represent the only cookie military opposition to the taliban and the only such group to be taken seriously in the west. and how to. manage them is diminished in the least because it would get
out of. the most. out of i look. for someone. that. we have to allow them here i mean it is the fellas with us at them but what about the symptom of the blood over what in order to do was something that estimate for something. that is. september eleventh two thousand and one. the holy war or jihad which bin laden had declared against the united states three years earlier
and nine hundred ninety eight had now arrived on the streets of america. were about to. the nine eleven attacks sparked a chain reaction of events. america demanded bin laden be handed over. the taliban refused america went to war the taliban were ousted from power. it was some years later a full bin ladin claimed direct responsibility for the attacks. on the muslim on took me thinking what the moment in the summer when the move them if enough is academy and then you're going on the. one knocked off. it's not a competent government so far too often bottom line is for progress on moments at
the door to the to the center. canada a country of promise and opportunity from my grandma. but with little protection from the state or thirty's many are forced to pay extortionate relocation phase and a saddled with healthy debts. to come to canada here and lot of money in one brave group of indonesian workers speak out and seek justice for their exploitation migrant dreams a witness documentary on al-jazeera. made on al-jazeera venezuela will hold a snap election as president maduro aims to retain control what lies ahead for a country that has been waiting for light at the end of a long tunnel people in power the top u.s. general in afghanistan about his plans for defeating by the taliban and an isis
insurgency. struggling with security issues and economic uncertainty iraq is finally set to hold elections as an unseen global battle rages for resources beneath our oceans we also get the seabed of the territory still to be claimed. commemorating seventy years from now al-jazeera examines what has changed in the past seven decades on both sides of this conflict made on al-jazeera. what began as a small extremist group in africa's most populous country we learned to from the government to just shoot soon turned into a battle front for the my jury and government. how do you know why. the torrijos for abducting more than two hundred schoolgirls the killing of displacement of thousands of people al-jazeera investigates the origins bloody rise of iraq on al-jazeera.
and i'm here to mohammed in doha top stories here on al-jazeera immigrant rights groups are protesting against a new deal which could see fifty seven thousand hung jury and expects expelled from the u.s. and some administration says it's ending temporary protection granted off to hark a mitch in one thousand nine thousand nine hundred and government says it i quote deep in the mess the decision that will trump will host south korea's president at the white house on may twenty second to discuss talks with north korea's leader the us president says the date and location have been set for meeting conjunction but didn't give any more details we're having a very. good story and a lot of things have already happened. and i think you're going to see very good.
very good i think you're going to be seeing very very good thing. and also the trip is being scheduled we now have a date and we have a location will be allowed to. trump has again endorsed gun rights and made the case for arming teachers during a speech at the national rifle association is annual conference in dallas the gun lobby has faced intense condemnation following a number of shootings criticize europe strict gun laws saying the outcome of the twenty fifteen paris attacks would have been different if people had been armed. in argentina's currency has rebounded after the government increased interest rates to counter a plunge in its value the central bank raise the rates for the third time in a week this time to forty percent the drastic measures have been taken to try to prevent another economic crisis. and aid workers in kenya say they've reached only
a quarter of nearly fifty thousand families in need of shelter after weeks of torrential rain the red cross says it doesn't have enough money to cover its emergency operations. and a court in the u.k. has ruled human rights campaigners can go ahead with the case to stop british sells to saudi arabia the campaign against trade says the u.k. weapons are being used in violation of international law in the war in yemen. those are the headlines the news continues here after i knew bin laden.
once again. and then good cooperation in the organ that. following the attacks on september eleventh two thousand and one pakistan found itself at the center of american attention. islam about chose to fall in with the americans even though there was considerable support for the taliban and al qaeda on the streets of pakistan that. they are from the know.
islam a bad soul war looming and desperately sought a last minute solution. a senior delegation was sent to taliban leader mullah omar in afghanistan to convince him to give up bin ladin. among the delegation was general mahmoud othman head of pakistan's intelligence agency the i.s.i. . and also the new dean shams i respected head of the bin nouri mosque in karachi. was i have not a model of leaders in. the who. and the what was the one with the one in the. what i live on the other the lives of the husband or gardener was all of a sudden the drama obama will sort out the rumor is a. long one. but i have been. lovely when the alarm i become a couple of you were in the car rather than look up like
a lot and then the mahmoud. was that the law had when. that was a monday. what cologne mahu been. in the. come iconic on a come up. will bother the other. one or even the gin a little louder or no more of a boost and will not deny you live in a way you know of oakum how that will move a thing us. a what a living in the. local over the moon the. limitless love me i would hope or nothing or in the moment of the at the understanding as he of the ship was home but now then with as yet. not in the law in their.
own you know enough with the hava publicized well i can. was that in. a low. notes that the old. and the still a lot. because the have a money that could convert the one idea when this one was that of a full. human and the syllable how that. that he. had been. as he would like to see how they. then there was that when the whole not. really enough. over the whole in the hopman home. for a month for how the. most that
a lot. of. al-jazeera journalist ahmed said don't visited the famous islamic seminary on the trust of the rule of law. run by sami al-haj. many of the top taliban leaders once attended this mage russell including mullah omar. for this reason sami al-haj has been described as the father of the taliban. he spoke to al-jazeera about the crucial stage following the nine eleven attacks when america pressured pakistan to request the handover of bin laden. and one for their among them would you but i don't. know about it he said to me but many more after that i must have been a fool or bulky from
a director this long by the minute got them see them in a. way your duty. to you at the moment of what the log. or how did you have. or. would have. to go you. don't. well but really money money more than we are yet in the we are there. but on a visit or you think open out of the here or. when the. not all muslim scholars in afghanistan backed the stand taken by mullah omar some suggested bin laden should leave the country to avoid the expected american
onslaught. this threaten the taliban with division among their own ranks. there will fall mean good was it that you bought the body. of someone equal very. well in the world with ideals suck not always going to move to fulfill if you were there. you hope august on mithya with could put another one aboard some. many government fairly. well for. the bond of loyalty between mullah omar and bin laden seemed breakable even saudi arabia had tried to break it years earlier. in one nine hundred ninety eight the chief of the saudi intelligence service had held a heated meeting with mullah omar in a bid to convince him to hand over bin laden. bases the birth certificate
first of. the mess in particular of the lebanon. was it off so you think if it was in their office with. us it would be a hostile. and when they don't want to. get into i think the thing about not than an awful amount of fun we're going to go home . one of the at the. in the. in two thousand and six al-jazeera reporter ahmed say done traveled to helmand province in southern afghanistan to meet one of the leaders of the taliban. one on one of one. of the.
i find. it was. the trip took several days of moving from one place to another before finally arriving at a location to meet. one of the taliban senior military commanders. he explained why the taliban refused to hand over bin laden. even though it had resulted in the american invasion of afghanistan and had cost the taliban their position of power. in the jet that she does courtesy she doesn't know that i will harm the shin of the hour we're going to call it political that would preclude any. further though we hear most of them on chad the spot and. you know as.
a new book revealed a plot by al qaeda to kill new york by spreading cyanide gas in a subway in two thousand and three. the plan was reportedly called off forty five days before it was set to occur by al qaeda second in command ayman al-zawahiri. was the last reporter to meet and interview. the meeting took place in november two thousand and one in the interview bin laden claimed that al qaeda possessed chemical and nuclear weapons. the most important thing was that. admitted that yes we have nuclear weapons as and he may. it clear to me that if americans are going to use nuclear
weapons against us then we have the right to respond in the same manner that was very clear i put the same question to him in ninety ninety eight and he ignored my question in ninety ninety eight after three years in the number two thousand one he admitted yes we have nuclear weapons which means that in three years he was trying his best to acquire and deploy his weapons and i must tell you don't underestimate nuclear designs of al qaeda a person whose name is synonymous shukrijumah. he was given. to smuggle. and inside the united states of america between one thousand nine hundred nine and. he smuggled more than ninety of inside the united states of america from the mexico and now. i
can tell you that he is the next muhammad and he will be responsible for the next nine eleven inside the united states of america they can use some kind of dirty bombs i can't rule that out now i know that they have embarked on programs to acquire in the vela these weapons certainly chemical biological weapons and we know they have developed toxins poisons and they have they have used them and they intend to expand this program. american concerns were heightened by reports of contacts between al qaida and pakistani scientists.
nuclear scientists sultan bashir routine mahmud who had met bin laden was arrested and interrogated by pakistani intelligence. he was later released apparently unable to provide any clear information. bin laden's former bodyguard rules else that al qaida had non-conventional weapons before the nine eleven attacks. but he revealed to have been a program underway to try to acquire chemical or biological weapons. how to save the might happen in the country so on the mark as they let me decide what i did and if he is in doubt what a little something about the ship with i don't know with us out in the some of the kind of the things i'm a bit of i think that. i don't want to lead a cause if you did the fed didn't move because that about it was. comparable to
chemo you feel more happy that can fit in a coffee that he said. quote that i thought that city did not make the dead of. the any. country healthy to put a bit of i had on the front of what i needed and also consider that that i had them and the country was got more than a couple kind of that mosque up in the country also have been mad at me he's any i'm older i'm not going to get in the hole had a look on how to deal with a man who did that if i thought i could do you see you have to kind of we know that they have is an example anthrax they did develop some of this in afghanistan and al qaeda in affiliates they've got some low grade toxins so there was an example in the u.k. of rison. it's made from from castor beans that was part of an al qaeda cell the develop this.
off to the full of the taliban and the flights have been a lot of the americans discovered documents in full mile kind of basis. the documents indicated the group were much closer than had initially been thought to gaining nuclear and biological weapons capabilities american concerns led to the arrest and interrogation of one of pakistan's leading off the peak surgeons how can an orthopedic surgeon be involved in making biological weapons i asked the americans this questions and this question and they said you're right. but still there is a possibility the allegation against me was of providing biological weapons chemical weapons of sending dialysis machine to osama bin laden it's a load of total rubbish i have no idea what anthrax and chemical weapons
are and what they were telling me was that the supplies that i sent for the jalalabad ward they were empty septic solutions to wash your hands before surgery and he told me that they were dual purpose chemicals and they could be used to make bombs and i mean it's amazing you cannot. and reason with such logic. the killing of al qaeda leader osama bin laden in may two thousand and eleven may be a huge blow to the organization. but its decentralized nature means it has the potential
to carry out attacks on any number of targets. many dedicated al-qaeda militants and supporters will no doubt be ready to give their lives in revenge for the death of bin laden. it's a bit like a nuclear scientists who've created the atom bomb you can go around and arrest all the nuclear scientists but the bomb has been made. and. bin laden four to expel the soviets from afghanistan. years later his al qaeda group led to the americans invading the same country. bin laden was to claim according to one journalist who interviewed him that this was his goal all along. early and the only i've had to say that i see the quite
a bit now and yeah and your general milley can. and enjoy home. and they jack the gentleman and he can't walk up to my lovely the head it has. a unit of labor and i'm in a subject than an american and that. his last words to me were mr robert from this mountain upon which you're sitting we helped to destroy the soviet army. and to destroy the soviet union which was a bit of an exaggeration but have some truth in it and then he said. i'm mr robert i pray to god to be permits us to turn america into a shadow of itself that next morning we went down the mountainside and there was a comet passing through the heavens. and the al qaeda men and i got out of the car to look at the comet. and one of them said to me this is not bin laden but the moment one of his people said mr robert when you see this comment it means there
a forecast of washington and twenty seven you know we're not so sure forecasts this is friday come saturday or find a little bit of movement in that frontal system so that data twenty two new york cloudy twenty two is where the rain is like to be occasionally thundery think probably no more than that because the temperatures outside aren't that dramatic anymore but you got it going through the appalachians and down towards probably louisiana which gives you texas oklahoma kansas in the sunshine some woman chicago at twenty four degrees the day after it's all moved in this general directions cool down a little bit not us standing at least our have to say and all this time of the pacific coast it's just been quiet very sunny not showers in the northern rockies that's about your lot so all the action is for the south the atlantic coast and i've been watching this circulation here this cloud may well turn into something a bit more than just the circulation the showers not sure but as more chance anyway the forecast what if it chooses to do is for widespread showers in cuba jamaica the bahamas and probably haiti and this is probably for the next two days.