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tv   Inside Story 2018 Ep 318  Al Jazeera  November 14, 2018 8:32pm-9:00pm +03

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the sanction regime or near to doesn't of course mean that the region is free of challenges we still face problems that require a first and determination to resolve we still need the help and syria's support of the international community but on our products we are determined to accelerate if earth's to create a region where his development and democracy prevail in her many and us republican senator lindsey graham has described saudi arabia's crown prince mohammed bin salman as unstable and unreliable he says he and other senators are discussing sanctions against riyadh in the wake of saudi journalist is killing a vote on a resolution to cut off all assistance to riyadh for the war in yemen could also happen in weeks those are the headlines on al-jazeera coming up next year it's inside story.
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what's the future for libya seven years after the fall of dictator moammar gadhafi armed groups control much of this oil rich country international talks in italy aimed at uniting libya so what hope finally the peace this is inside story. hello and welcome to the program i'm dennis for more than forty years libya was ruled with an iron fist by a dictator moammar gadhafi until his reign came to a bloody end that was in twenty eleven but since then the country's been torn by
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civil war two rival governments dividing the country into east and west and both backed by different countries and international conference in israeli hoped to find a way to end the violence and to provide libya with some form of stability the only breakthrough a commitment to a u.n. plan for elections to be held next year we'll get to our guests shortly but first jonah how reports from the conference that was held in poland. thirty countries attended this conference on libya's future but what really matters took place among just a few for the first time in six months the country's two main power players met in the presence of their foreign backers general hurley for half dollar who controls libya's east is supported by egypt russia and france fires also rose heads the un and italian backed government in the capital tripoli the atmosphere was described
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as chordal leading u.n. envoy her son salam made to declare the conference a success. will be remembered in my eyes go on in the common effort. by our young friends. have a clear path forward out of this if your way. in which the country has slipped and. the measure of success here the apparent agreement of the parties and international leaders to follow a new un timeline it full season a national conference taking place in libya to decide on a format for the elections to take place by the middle of next year. we want to reassure and ensure six million libyan citizens men and women who wish to vote to decide their destiny and have stability with the united libya a stable libya looking forward to reach these goals libya is a friend we have been linked to for
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a long time what has emerged of substance from this conference then is a new u.n. action plan that picks up where many others have failed it provides what the u.n. envoy described as a clear path forward for libya it is a path down which the libyans themselves not the international community must lead . but the timeline is tight in a resource rich country riven with often violent internal rivalries and with foreign powers backing up. was it sides to serve their own conflicting interests the problem of conference saw no written commitments nothing signed the u.n. envoy is a clear path forwards than appears to be based on little more than trust jonah how al-jazeera palermo italy. time to introduce our guests now joining us from tripoli is salah. a political analyst and former senior adviser to the negotiating team of the high council of
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states and into ness in neighboring tunisia us of sharif a recession in international relations welcome to you both seller can i start with you in tripoli does palermo in this plan for a consultative conference to be held inside libya early next year followed by elections by june of next year does this instill you with a great deal of confidence that libya is finally on the path to peace i think it's. an opportunity and new opportunity it provides a different. framework negotiating framework then the one unfair are then the one that was adopted even in a lower more brings together all the libyan players that the. state in the issues at hand it will discuss more substantial issues such as the
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kind of the fusion of framework and the distribution of the wealth of the country which is the core of the struggle in libya now and sell us staying with you how much is this process which are solemn a says is a milestone on the path forward how much is this process reliant upon the buy in of the libyan people six and a half million if you. as you as you know the united nations mission conducted. about seventy to eighty meetings around the entire country attended by over a thousand people and they produced the report does summarizes what the population most likely wants to see and that's the building block for the conference
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additionally there was. there was a stalemate between the h.-o. or the house of representatives and the state council and the. presidential council about how to progress and we've spent about two years since the implementation of the libyan political agreement produce of there are without any progress so that's what forces i guess our sense that imus and into adopting the second step plan if you like and go into a national conference with more participators than just before that we saw in right ok coming to you then yes as in tunis we saw an array of international actors attending this conference simpler. everybody seems to have a vested interest some kind of interest in the future of libya a briefly if you can tell us why for instance the french are so highly involved the
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italians perhaps we can explain is a former colonial power but what about russia what about egypt. i think this summarizes perhaps one of the biggest problems immediate today is that there are a lot of international interference in news and the hope is that the international community's actually evening involved happening in media as you rightly pointed in the restaurant far away their friends which also was part of the many colonial power in the never actually morricone environment in the whole north africa and the sad region i think has a lot of interest their value of course but we've. seen almost everybody represented in this conference but not at their highest level as you can see the american president was not there the french president was not there the russian president along there were there was many vendors with was there surprise there are some bread from what does that indicate what does that indicate the fact
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that the french president was or wasn't there for instance. wednesday's kind of i won't call it low level but medium level attendance that the national grid he's very interested in india and invested in media but not necessarily interested in finding a solution today and that you disagreeing with each other and that's why they send everyone ten second or third i think it's been so that the conflict doesn't doesn't get too high among them but there is a big disagreement between most of the players in the uk and not only them there is also the regional players that we're talking about it is a lot. about saudi arabia but to see all of them were either very low lou we're presented or like what happened with thirty they withdrew from the conference the international community although there is an image of investment in fact they keep disagreeing with each other and that evening the problems of p.b.s. is so solid this what appears to be
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a huge international. backing the u.n. sponsored plan now for libya if it is it more of a hindrance than being helpful given as eunice's just pointed out the kind of squabbling that we've seen particularly between france and this is a. i think i think the french president. was to save himself the embarrassment of the presiding over of the funeral of the paris agreement definitely this conference burrowed the paris agreement buried in him attempt by the. state council and the house of representatives to remove saraj moved full speed ahead with the international with the national conference i think the. the conflict between france and italy
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is overblown but i believe that italian interference helped give the libyans a chance to have a say in what happens next instead of being forced on the immorality french egyptian train heading straight to a collision with right now that there is a candidate and for election can i just interrupt you there and ask perhaps presumptuously that you're sitting in tripoli the tripoli administration of course is backed by the italian government but the french government is is noted for its support for the hafta and for the authorities in the east in benghazi is that informing your opinion somewhat. yes but the but what the french the egyptians and the marquees i believe lately. have reached. an understanding or a conclusion that have has done all he can do and they can no longer
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hope that after will overtake the west of the country were all the major government installations are where the central bank is and where the national oil company is and that's why i think they are. resigned to the fact that the national congress will probably be the best thing and try to get the best outcome for have and his followers general haftar of course is a military man seller isn't he he's known for being a modern day strongman if you like and if he's to be involved in this process now he's going to have to do politics can he do politics in order to turn what is military power military control in the east of the country can he turn that into political power. have to have is that harks back to the generals and the military people of the arab world in the
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fifty's and sixty's and he believes that politics are like everybody else politics is an extension of war and that's why i think everybody had tried to convince them that there will be no military solution he will be in the national conference but he's not going to be a lone ranger and there there will be a lot of other people a lot of other military people a lot of people who have military power from florida and so on so he won't have as much power as he had in paris or. and. so we've talked a lot about how there are many international players who've got an interest in what goes on in libya but explain for us if you will this significance of the fact that turkey one of the supporters of the authorities or the the players if you like in
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the west of the country turkey walked out saying the vice president saying he was deeply disappointed but was at all about and how significant is that. well that's very significant and. i think that this event i don't have the full details for that for that event but probably what we've seen is actually very few represented between italy and needed in the in the lead in and some was a lot of you can go after which is from a pragmatic point of view is perhaps right but because we're from a us back to the perspective that's not this is that what should happen and promote their views and i think perspective that's definitely not likely to happen so that they're in it because that's when they need that and. and so they walked out but not only them as you can see their presentation there was a far as i know it was not
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a reason vision something so how can you how can you find it on the international level on media without having to present that there so again was one who is the i think in the coming months is yes the conference with big they think early two thousand one. hundred five think. well how can we continue these. move forward because who needs these instead but he believes that he can begin to think that he can just think and remember it better has been used by think there is . less and that it was completely destroyed but by the end of the day he was a bigot and i think that's what he thinks he can do but again he thinks that what he can do not what necessarily he can do so he will continue fighting he will get the backing from his from the from. and from from the other side as well or other funding or backing ours that we'd be fighting to get after so that
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we would go there with the congress in early two thousand and. three have said the not meeting people you've got the. several places in the yeah and and the situation will. continue as it is salah is that something you agree with i mean this sounds as though it's going to be one of the major stumbling blocks is the continuation of armed conflict tent and the widespread availability of weapons in libya among the militias this is a myth about how strong after is that material this year a group of renegade guards of the. of the oil facilities took over half their as. biggest possession the refineries in twenty four hours he had to bring in
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help from a debate a son of the druze the be the president of chad to retake those facilities and he was forced to hand them back to the government in tripoli when he talks about he has control of ninety percent of libya a doesn't control any anything other than the east. and and so it's if oversimplification and exaggeration of his power and that's why we fell into the trap of europeans trying to appease have. based on exaggerations propagated by the egyptians and the french and the immoralities there is no such that he come up movement tripoli to paly is protected by two big forces that he has no way of fighting them or defeating them the forces of the slaughter and the forces of the oh so i don't expect any more fighting in libya major fighting in libya other than
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a scrimmage is in the in the east or the south island or i will move to a national conference and move then in september probably to election all right so what do you see as being the major pitfalls are the possible hurdles the obstacles than that could fall in the way of progress towards this national conference. i think the there are two issues here. we have agreed that this is going to be a new negotiating framework there will be a problem in the selection of who is going to tender knows not the second thing is what is this conference going to be talking about and what is expected to produce we know that whatever this conference is expected to produce will be adopted by through a resolution of the security council that will give it some kind of our legitimacy
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to bypass the house of representatives and the state council so the issues that would be discussed there it seems like we're going to discuss the division of of. of all revenues and also the type of. government system libya wants to have i think these are the obstacles and solomon has to work very hard on overcoming them and yourself we sent quite a bit of time talking about the politics of the situation and i think the national into messick but we haven't really looked at the economics you can't really divorce the two can you without economic progress in libya there's very little chance of any kind of political solution is going to work and for that presumably libya needs a huge amount of investment. true but no one would invest in the country in war which is something that's that's not only concerns media but also if you think you
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need that which is in a much the in and in a situation of ease but people do not invest because a for the permissibility so even more when it comes to who comes the where some acts of war i think in place but also need those who need. either i think the test unification of the central bank and the and the oil and the oil producing companies which is happening but not totally and that i still if you think in place there this was actually discussed infallible and there were announcements that that these programs would be seek but again we're talking about their results instead of inventing a very nice statement i think that i think that i mean and the i.c.u. and during the do they need to keep that as they were able to achieve things that reality on the ground is a bit different and the economy and i think that's what was the people inside
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c.b.s. that are feeding and and most t.v. in our. press about the future income for the economic situation and one one point that i want to add that relates the economy to war is that there was and what economy that was created the media in two thousand and eleven and so you have a lot of media on the ground that do drive thanks to the currency of the door and they will they would not be best easily there are their weapons and their privileges because of these present and united economy situation that makes them benefit from from a lot of from a lot of things and i'm looking at figures out from the national oil corporation which is said to oil and gas revenue for the first half of this teen was thirteen points. six billion dollars libya is still pumping even in this precarious state
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is pumping one point two million barrels per day that's a huge amount but then i go i want to see that the national oil corporation is managing to turnover so much production as a result of entering into security arrangements with various militias i mean that surely not sustainable is it no it's not sustainable but i mean the national companies doing a very decent job under the circumstances but with our own. in an environment with this much political division of course you cannot secure these facilities you cannot bring in vestments and the economy will leg behind but i think the situation is much better than than two years ago or even last year which will give the the national conference a better chance to succeed i know that today for example this week the liquidity crunch has started to ease and people are starting to be able to
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withdraw more than a thousand dinars a week is said of five hundred dinars a month so i think things are moving a little bit better of course these are not solutions to our structural economic problems in libya but i think it's progress in that i think the the west the international community has to allow libyans a chance to solve this problem and keep the regional powers and the international powers away and i hope that will happen specially with the cooperation of the russians and the egyptians with the italians and use of this national dialogue that has been underway that follows mentioned it included the participation of more than eight thousand people which actually is not a huge amount of. a huge proportion of the six and a half million libyans that exist but nonetheless what exactly does this
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conference that is shattered to be held next year what exactly should that conference yield in order for libya to be able to move on to democratic elections within the space of months you know it's important to have these kind of conferences and. it's going to be to be hopeful and optimistic about them because at least that gives the dialogue boeing and takes away a little bit from from the buyer of weapons but my fear is that this is yet another conference about similar to the one we have in i mean bigger than the one we had the ones we had in palermo and embarrassed but similar to the perhaps the one that took place over months you know and the the final result is again disagreements and disagreements what does come what sort of congress has to do i think first of all what is needed to have is to separate the problem in media and be there is there in the local problem libyans among themselves there is the
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regional problem and here we have if it is then it is the fact that the syrians and so on and that is the international problem and here we have the values the brand the russians and so on and these are completely different. issues that need to be solved pretty so i think the priority is to work on one of these drugs before going into a national conference that would be and the exact repeat of what we've seen with with straight out and with very very limited results at that point i'm afraid gentlemen we have to leave it there thank you very much indeed pushing tripoli and he said sharif in tunis thank you both very much indeed and as ever thank you for watching the program you can see it again any time you like by going to the web site al-jazeera dot com should you want more discussion you can get our facebook page facebook dot com for a slash a.j. and size don't. there's always the. at story.
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for me and the.
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well the online for you looking at wildlife and how the solutions come together to benefit all parties involved that's where we're going to be long term success or if you join us on set if you could take me around the content where would you take me you don't have to set up your experiment for your experiment in the universe this is a dialogue everyone has a voice you actually raise several interesting points there that several of our community members are going to join the global conversation on al-jazeera.
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this is zero. zero zero and welcome to this news hour i'm forty back to go out global headquarters here in doha coming up in the next sixty minutes a ceasefire with honesty and shatters the peace in israel's coalition government as a defense minister equates sin protest.

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