tv Election Night in America CNN November 7, 2018 1:00am-2:00am PST
diversion to deal with what's happening all over the country. it had a lot of good will to cloud over fiscal issues. he got the win and it was a tough haul. >> >> it was a tough haul. he was closing near the end, but he pulled it off partly because of things you're talking about. his response to it. yeah, republicans obviously feeling good about this, going into it nervous near the end. democrats were hopeful, but he ends up winning in this state. >> obviously a brand name. >> exactly. >> new hampshire -- his brother was senator, father was governor. >> 100%. so that is going to give us a little bit more of the picture of who gets to decide the congressional districts. that's why we're following the governors' races. who gets the district has a say over the map. let's look at how we see the state of play. in the house, 221-199.
28 pickups so far for the democrats. 15 seats remain open. we're watching them in realtimement the headline already known -- "thank god for the women on the democrat side." if that's what you're following -- if not for the women who won the party tonight, you would not be in the position you're in right now if you're a democrat. that's the story for you. that's who you're going to thank when you see these headlines. the u.s. -- senate side, very different story. and they see themselves getting a comfort cushion there that is fueling the president's feelings that he did historic gains tonight on the senate side. so what are we watching in terms of house seats? let's go to phil mattingly. there are a lot of races that aren't just close but are like within 1% close, right? >> yeah. >> one of the races that we're looking at is georgia six, right? >> yep. >> there's been a development there. let's start on that race. >> let's set it up. there's 15 outstanding races. that's why you only see a little color here.
democrats are leading in seven, republicans leading in eight. democrats have very real pickup opportunities across the races. you talk about georgia, you talk about georgia six. take a look at this right now. lucy mcbath up 1,400 over karen handel. this is the special election, what every democrat was keyed on, and they lost that race. this race came on line late, and right now lucy mcbath, again, who became a national figure at some point, democrats felt good about her and her candidacy, weren't sure she could get it over the line -- 100% reporting, this race hasn't been called yet -- 100% reporting, lucy mcbath is in a great position. >> closest race in the country now? >> no. it's not the closest in the country. i'm going to tell you why. there are a lot of very close races out in the country right now. let's go back into new jersey. we've been waiting for this all night. tom mcarthur, 99% reporting, 2,000 votes ahead. haven't called it yet. andrew kim was trying to take out the moderate tom mcarthur, that's up in the air. there's a slim opportunity for pickup. we'll move across the map.
this isn't that close. this has opened up. 100% reporting, ben mcadams, on the road in utah. over to california. there are a lot of close races in there. this race, jeff denham opening a lead, 1.2%, 1,200 ahead. josh harder, considered a top-tier democratic candidate. can he close the gap? 88% reporting. still an open question. move down, this would be your closest race. steve knight, 330 ahead, the republican incumbent, over katie hill, los angeles county, the demographic shifts as people have left the city area and moved here over the course of the last couple of years. have been major. steve knight has always been targeted by democrats. katie hill was considered a top-tier democratic candidate. raised a ton of money. thought they'd give him a run for his money, 50% reporting. she's giving him a run for his money. it's a question of what's going to end up happening. dana rohrbacher -- right now, dana rohrbacher losing to the democratic challenger by 2,700
votes. he's opening up a big enough 3d probably end this thing at some point if this holds. 99% reporting. basically what i'm saying now, chris, if you look across the map, there are still tight races out there. on top of that, there are still democratic pickup opportunities out there to expand the lead. we've called 221 seats for democrats. you see right now democrats are leading in seven of the remaining seats with the opportunity, perhaps, in a couple of other races to get back in play, too. you're looking at 228, 229, 230. that's what democratic strategists have their eyes on. can some of the really tight races still in republican hands actually move forward? i want to point out one more. this was interesting. this is a democratic-held seat. this was tim walls. he ended up running -- >> the closest in the country or no? >> no. we went through the closest. that was california, 25. what i'm interested mostly because i'm a nerd is this was one of the few seats that republicans banked as a potential pickup that was held by a democrat. tim walls, incumbent, left the seat to run for governor. won that governor race. this was a district president
trump won by 15 points. jim h jim hagedorn, 581. democrats hanging in. >> 15 seats we're watching. seven races in 1%. on the senate side, a projection now. we'll get more. that's right. in the u.s. senate, cnn can project angus king will go on and serve another term in the state of maine. king is an independent. that's why it is purple. he caucuses with the democrats. we're going to give that to the democrats when it comes to the balance of power. let's look at the overall numbers. 45 for the democrats, 51 for republicans. they have two pickups so far, but four seats remain. and several of those are really big battlegrounds. >> we always like to add personal details to people as we
go through the races, give you a feel for the texture. two things about king. in his pocket at all times he has a card to explain global warming to people and what carbon monoxide emissions do. always in his pocket, he's always handing them to people. second thing, you almost never see the guy with a tie on without lobsters on it because he's from maine. i made fun of him once, he sent me a tie with lobsters, i reported it. having angus king in there is important because after all of this readjustment -- now that we see we are truly a divergent electorate, moving in opposite directions, we see it on the senate side as we get more of the raw votes. in the areas where trump is strong, the numbers are really strong. high 50s, 60% approval. where he loses, he's got them crushed in the suburbs. a party realignment on both sides, and it's getting more entrenched. then you have a handful of people like angus king who is a true independent. he does caucus with the
democrats often, but he's a dealmaker. they're going to be at a premium now. >> i think the question becomes particularly with the expanded republican conference which could grow by one or two more in the days ahead depending on what happens in montana and arizona, is whether or not majority leader mitch mcconnell feels like he needs to make deals with senate democrats because he's expanded that conference. now the interesting element there -- mitch mcconnell will have no choice but to make deals with whoever the house speaker is. if that's nancy pelosi -- but to your point, the interesting element i think is everybody's been so focused on the very few republican moderates because they've been everything. whether or not they can actually get a majority now. and will there be working groups, will there be people -- you talk not just about angus king but in the mold. you have a group of senators, both republican and democrat, sitting in the mid 40s range that are very, very frustrated about where things are going. they would be the people who would want to make a deal. the other element, too, is the two states that are still outstanding could produce people that would be in that. john tester is often considered one of the individuals in this
room -- look at 78% reporting. rosendale, 6,500 votes ahead. this is interesting. look what's outstanding -- 82% reporting or less. these are three blue counties. in montana you're not going to get huge numbers of votes. in total, looking at a little over 325,000 votes. the fact this is out there is a big deal for john tester. earlier it looked like this was 100% reporting. this is 67% reporting. missoula is dem country, blue country in montana to the extent it exists. the margin, 28 points now. again, 22,000 votes total in this county. that's a couple thousand votes there that john test kerr pick up based on this marge -- tester can pick up based on this margin. the top line, rosendale, 6,500 votes ahead. if you're tester, where are you going to get votes? missoula has 33% outstanding vote. you're picking up a couple thousands votes there if you're john tester. great falls, this is the fifth-biggest county in the state. not a huge amount of vote or
distance, but ten-point margin, you could pick up 1,000 or 2,000 votes there. ga gallatin county, the third largest county in the state, 32%. people have been talking that matt rosendale was on the verge. there's flno question that john tester is in trouble in montana. these are blue counties with outstanding vote. john tester still has a path. it might be slim, but tester still has a path. to arizona, as well, and check in. this has been static the last couple of hours. the outstanding vote, what does it mean -- there are two places where there's outstanding vote. you have pinal county, martha mcsally running up the lead, 82%. she can bank on a couple of votes here. maricopa, this is everything at that point in time. this is what might be -- what might take a couple of days. 60% of the state comes from here. kyrsten sinema has the edge.
if she can expanpand it, she co be in a big place. the big question, this is traditionally a county that dems get close on -- >> not enough -- >> -- and fall short. can she hold the lead and expand it? that gives her the opportunity. that's what we're going to be waiting on maybe for another 24 hours. >> for people trying to figure out the story of the night, this is a metaphor race. the role of women coming into the dominance role, having ideological diversification, having firsts that will go along with their races. if sinema's able to win, you would have the first openly bisexual person going into the senate. martha mcsally winds, you'll have the -- wins, you'll have the first woman in the state as senator. you're seeing the role of trump in the state and what mcsally promised constituents and her ability to work with trump. all themes that we're seeing across the country. gusty a long -- we've got a long way to go. a handful of senate races matter in the mandate. in the house, seven races within 1%. 15 still too close to call.
with democrats taking over the congress, that means new leadership. let's put it up. nancy pelosi probably going to be the house speaker. and then you go on and on. let's look down the line. i want to bring it to the panel. the president is tweeting, what did he say, tremendous success? >> i got it. a tremendous success. thank you to all. >> thank you to all. i wonder if he realizes what he's up against with all the committees. one of the people he demonizes a lot is maxine waters. she's going to be over the finance committee. they're going to be talking about finance, money dealings, and on and on and on. and elijah cummings is going to be on the oversight committee. you've been speaking to him? >> yes, i've been texting with congressman cummings all morning. and some of the first things he wants to deal with as head of oversight and government reform
-- issues that affect people on a daily basis like the issue of pre-existing conditions, as well as housing issues, the census. you know, we -- i talked to mark, and we were like trying to figure out, you know, where is this going. and we drilled down on it with him about the investigations in russia. he wants to reach across the aisle and talk to people, a bipartisan effort, because this is serious. he says when it comes to issues of suching, he wants to be delicate -- of subpoenaing, he wants to be delicate yet serious, he wants a bipartisan effort. he did talk about russia. he wants to -- people to understand that she is going to deal with issues that affect them daily. >> that means that the president is going to be under complete scrutiny for -- >> one ba-zillion percent. >> is that a technical? >> might be one ka-trillion percent. it was about this time when we had called president trump or --
it was a little bit later now, was going to be president of the united states. it was the middle of the morning. during that speech, he talked about how he was going to work in washington and get things done together. we're hearing from elijah cummings. what we heard from nancy pelosi tonight was carefully worded statements. we want to work, we want to be bipartisan, we want to do this, do that, but the bottom line is they're going to take a baseball bat and lined knock down the white house -- and like knock down the white house floor -- >> i want to look at the two republicans -- >> mark doesn't look happy. >> what do you think? >> i think that it will probably be pretty excruciating, but i think it's going to be politically beneficial to the president in the long run. >> okay -- >> any sort of legislative volca victories coming? >> i do think. i think infrastructure stands a likely chance. a lot of democrats are running in the same midwest states that the president won. the president will be on the ballot. and they'll say, look, i don't
like his rhetoric, but i need to show i can work with him on some issues. >> look at the face -- what? >> i think he's right. the infrastructure will be an area to collaborate on. also pharmaceutical pricing. i believe that the president wants -- he's talking sort of price controls. the democrats are doing the same thing. i think they'll make common cause on an issue like that. but beyond those issues, i'm nt sure. >> nancy pelosi was asked about impeachment and if they controlled ethe house, she said impeachment -- i think dana bash is still awake, i think -- she said impeachment can be a lever, a pressure point to get other this other thanks we want. we were talking about pelosi and what she's done. i think there's a question -- there's an element in the democratic caucus that wants -- the day that the congress is sworn in, get that impeachment
-- get the articles of impeachment out there. she's been consistently opposed. she's going to navigate that water and figure can we use it as a lever. if i want to be the speaker, do i need to make a promise -- >> hold on. hold on. i've heard others say earlier on cnn, they expressed the sentiment, why would democrats want to work with a president, especially folks who have not wanted to work with them for the past two years. go on. >> i think to understand what democrats ran on. democrats across the country, these folks that flipped seats, the red and blue candidates, ran on putting a check on the president. they did not run on being the resistance to donald trump. these ran on putting a check on him, holding him accountable, on exercising the oversight that, frankly, their republican colleagues did not run on. there is flow contingent in -- no contingent in the house of representatives, even new folks, that do want impeachment. i think you'll see with focus like steny hoyer, nancy pelosi, some in the congressional black
caucus, they have said previously that impeachment is -- is not what -- if we win the house -- what the american people necessarily sent us here to do. if there's credible things that come out of the russia investigation, if things bubble up to the oversight investigations and it is a tool -- >> that sounds good -- [ all talking at once ] >> that all sounds good. let's get -- let's get to the bottom of this. >> wait a minute -- >> let's get to the bottom of what everyone wants to know -- are they going to get the tax returns? that's what everyone wants to know. >> they're going to -- elijah cummings is not going to be the one to do that. they're going to go after the tax returns. but also -- but also you've got issues of the emoluments -- >> richard neal. >> yeah. the emoluments issues, conflict violations, second -- conflict of interest violations, executive gag orders. wlis whistle blowers. this is not easy. >> if you go out and talk to voters around the country, beyond the activist democrat side of things, they do not want impeachment right now.
they do not want to be having that conversation. they want a discussion -- >> they want checks and balances -- >> they want checks and balances. they want a discussion about pocketbook issues, particularly health care. i think the reason you're seeing pelosi's caution is because they will overplay their hand at their peril for 2020. and this is exactly the foil that donald trump would like to have if democrats go too far. >> i've got 20 seconds. mark? >> i want to be the moral authority and say as the father of a 13-year-old and 14-year-old, i look at what's going on in this country, all kidding aside, and it's pretty awful. pretty awful that both political parties can't get together, that we really have no leadership in this country right now. and there's a lot of problems. >> i have something important to talk about. coming up, we're going to tell you where it's legal, going to be legal to smoke pot. >> oh. how can we say when you book direct at choicehotels.com you always get the lowest price on our rooms, guaranteed?
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all right. big numbers on the big board. the democrats now control the house of representatives. 221-199. that means 28 pickups. however, 15 seats remain open. there are seven races in the country within 1%. that's why you got to go slow, and you have to see what happens, and you can't call races too soon. we won't. on the senate side, a very big story. republicans have opened up a bigger lead. 51-45, four seats remain. each one of these has major implications. it's not all that's going on tonight. we've been following the governors races, that has implications for 2020. there are ballot measures that give us a window into the shaping of culture in our country. one of the questions on there is don lemon's favorite -- where in the country can you legally
smoke marijuana? for that, we go to jessica dean. what do we know? >> hi, chris. let's answer that question for you right off the bat. we go to michigan where voters there overwhelmingly said that they will vote to allow recreational marijuana, 56% of voters there saying that's going to be what they want. so 82% reporting right there. there's also a marijuana initiative on the ballot in utah. this is medical marijuana. that's the differentiation here. again, voters approving that measure 53.2% to 46.8%. so those are the two marijuana initiatives we were following tonight. the others -- expanding medicaid. we go back to utah. here 54% in utah saying yes to expanding medicaid. we also take a look in nebraska where they said yes, 53% to 46.7%. we know that health care was a major issue on a lot of people's minds. in idaho, overwhelming 61.4%
saying yes to expanding medicaid in idaho. a few of those we're keeping our eye on into the morning. >> look, that's an important referendum measure. it's also going to be indestructive in terms -- instructive in terms who've gets to be the governor. they can make decisions about expanding health care and medicaid that affects what happens on the medicaid level. >> and which of the nine states are you moving to where it's going to be legal to smoke pot? >>yon what you're talking -- i don't know what you're talking about. you know, sanjay gupta says medical marijuana is a big part of the wave of the future. i stand with science. >> i'm not talking about medical marijuana, i'm talking about recreational. don't pretend. it's 4:28 in the morning. let's go there. >> i'm happy that you can still tell time. >> all right. i'm not going -- i'm not going to embarrass you because i'm sure there are lots of things you don't remember. your short-term memory is gone. now -- now get back to work. >> i will. thanks, don. >> if you can remember your
name. cuomo, christopher. >> nice to see you. >> see you later. >> make him go away. make him go away. just like my dreams. >> all right. when we look at this -- every time i see don -- >> you can't do that here. we're physically here. >> i go like this, and nothing happens. you know, i got a lot of questions tonight, early on in the coverage, this was, of course, excellent and bravo to all of you for what you were doing with it. people were saying, so you're looking at the governors races, trying to get a sense of who could run in 2020. that's logical. i get that, that's not the biggest impact. >> right. >> these referenda, that's interesting. you'll see health care policy, it was democrats -- now they're not going to let it go. the republicans have themselves in a corner on pre-existing conditions. they went after it and punitively say they'll save it in the laws, but they join the lawsuit on the federal level. they've got trouble there, trouble for trump. the governors can make decisions about expanding medicaid even easier in states where it's done by referendum.
that's important. how do you think that's going to play in this alchemy wherever we go next? what do they work on, what don't they? how big a chance do you think health care is the new horizon? >> that's a great question. the democrats in the senate in particular, and the house, as well, they -- they really tried hard to run on health care. and if you look at the exit polls, the people who supported the democrats put that as it their top issue. it was overshadowed, if you look at the results in the senate in particular, by other issues, namely immigration, which was named by republicans as their top issue. probably not a surprise since the number-one republican, the commander in chief, was beating the drum big time on that issue. and because they felt like -- it is a winning issue. so i don't know how much health care is going to -- going to continue to be something they talk about in the near term. in the longer term, meaning in the next two years, legislatively, 2020, you bet.
that's all they're talking about as they try to, you know, as they begin to fight amongst themselves. the democratic field, the question of how far to the left to go. >> yeah. if they can fall in love with incrementalism, and i know that there's different political cost benefit analysis on that -- don may accuse me of spending too much time in michigan where they passed the referendum for having this idea -- but if you can marry yourself to incrementalism, you see horse trading on the two issues. on the republican exits, you see immigration. was that because trump was pushing it so much, or because they have bonafides interests, that was suss itself out quickly on. that side, you're going to have to do something about how people are held on the border, okay. you have this caravan that's going to be here at some point. you have others like this. you have emerging issues of large-scale movements from central and south america this way. not being able to deal with families effectively is a problem. the flores settlement, we've
talked about it and what it means, that you can't treat kids like adults. that's true. however it puts a time collar on us to process cases as government, and it doesn't work. there's a deal to be made about what we were talking earlier, moving this process outside our border, working cooperatively with mexico, which means it stinks that we don't have a great relationship with them on that level right now. and also to allow families to stay together. that's one piece of a non-comprehensive immigration deal. but you could do that. you could marry that on the health care side with doing something on pre-existing conditions. you could do something on pre-existing conditions. "from the republican side -- the ask from the republican side will be that you got to help us with short policies. you got to let us be able to -- >> i love that you're talking like an actual legislator. this makes sense in the -- >> i've spent a lot of time talking to these guys about it. >> no it makes sense in the era of ted kennedy and john mccain
and when orrin hatch would do deals with them. that stuff happened because it is the art of legislating. are you being optimistic like i was earlier -- >> you shamed me a bit. i felt like i had to change tone. >> it's worth it. it's worth it. this is important. this is the way it used to work. it didn't always work, but sometimes there was horse trading is looked as a negative, but it's legislating. >> true. >> where can we come up with -- you give -- go two easy areas -- >> you give some, i'll give some. that means you have to shun the bases. >> right. but that's -- that's maybe what nancy pelosi's dream is. that is not what the democratic base wants right now. >> right. >> they're an energetic base that helped them win the house, doesn't want that. they want an impeached presidentment they want everything to be a -- president. they want everything to be a referendum on him. they want democrats to make him pay. they want the subpoenas, the investigations, they want the oversight. they want all of that. maybe democrats do think that they should be able to compromise on that. whether or not that's what their
base wants, that's something they'll have to work on. separately, i do think that the immigration part has been a big trial balloon for 2020. president trump went really hard on that, of course, with the senate races. we saw this have a much different effect in there than the health care did in those house races where we saw all the democrats run on really hyper local issues. they ran on health care, they ran on that, they tried not to bring president trump into it. meanwhile, on the republican races we saw they tried to tie themselves to president trump and make it more of a national issue. that worked in indiana, tennessee, florida. so far. there are a lot of places that didn't work. is president trump going to take the same immigration message for the last two weeks, where it got to the point where he said he's putting out an executive order this week which still has not materialized on asylum changes -- are those real things he's going to do or things he threw at the wall to see if it worked. if he proposed so many changes right before 2020, is he going
to try to do it again -- >> right. it begs the question of does he really want to fix it, or does he want to just point at this as a problem to -- >> if he has an executive order, it's proof he wants to continue the fight. he's got zero legal basis. it's not going to work. if he tries to do birthright citizenship that way, if he tries to change legislation that way. the hypocrisy of what they did with daca and obama aside, legal at the's not going to get done. let's take a quick break. we have races to update you on in the senate and the house. we ain't done yet. today is the day you're going to get motivated...
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what are they going to find? what's the takeaway? >> again, a historic night for nancy pelosi. it's a significant night in the senate for republicans. i think it is going to be very different in getting confirmation, not just potentially with new picks in cabinet but judicial. i think in the governors races, the republican did better than expected. -- the republicans did better than expected. >> and impeachment? >> the congressman i'm sure can give perspective. in 2013 i don't know one elected republican who said it's a good idea to shut down the government. the base was animated and frustrated that they felt republicans needed to stand up to obama. i think democrats are in the same place. >> congressman? >> look, the takeaway tonight is tale two of waves. there was a democratic house wave, and a bit of a senate republican wave. face it. i would tell you, what i've seen, the red areas of the country got redder. the blue areas got bluer. the purple in the suburbs got a shade bluer. that's my take away. >> go ahead. >> i think democrats delivered in the house. they defended all of their
gubernatorial seats, picked up additional gubernatorial seats and made gains in legislative seats across the country. that's because of ballot initiatives. while i never thought we were going to take the senate, i thought we would hold it better than we did, i think it's a good night for democrats. going into the conversation about the next congress and presidential primary it has to be focused on the issues. you have to look at the coalitions that came out to elect the diverse group of candidates. it was led by women. and what does the base want? the base wants some health care. >> we surprised by anything, the number -- number of firsts, the number of women? >> no. i wasn't surprised because i think there were so many women running this time actually. that's what's remarkable. that we're really spurred by donald trump. there were a lot of firstings. i wrote -- lot of firsts. i wrote down some. marcia blackburn, the first female senator from tennessee.
two muslim women who won as a palestinian american. first palestinian american, first somali american. we' we have two first native american women. we have -- i don't know if the race with young kim has been called, but that could potentially be the first korean american woman in congress -- >> she's not been called. >> a lot of firsts. exciting night for that. >> i would classify it this way -- a blue wave when it comes to the congress, and a red wall when it comes to the senate. republicans picked up more seats in the senate. >> yeah. so look at -- let's talk about the senate because it's more manageable. if you look ed at what we thougt would be the most vulnerable seats on the first day of this election cycle, you would have said for democrats, missouri, north dakota, indiana, montana, and west virginia. why? those are the five states that donald trump carried by double digits. at present, democrats have lost missouri, north dakota, indiana, they won west virginia, and
they're behind in montana. >> what are you saying? >> what we expected has happened. the one state that hillary clinton won that was represented by a republican senator, nevada. dean heller loses. i mean, in some ways it's really, really predictable. we are further into our pockets of tribalism than we might have thought. the house -- >> i was surprised by the consternation especially earlier in the evening among all of the pundits saying, oh, my gosh, i'm upset. this is pretty much what they said would happen. democrats would win seats in the house. republicans in the senate. there are upsets in every race. were you surprised by the consternation? what's your takeaway? >> i wasn't paying attention to other people -- i was looking at the polls. the polls led us astray in the presidential election. they were right on when it came to the house. the president, this president knew he was going to lose the
house. but he is safe, yet he has to go into that regret area and soften his tone. he's safe in the fact that, yes, the house could impeach him, but he's safe by the senate because he cannot be removed -- they can't convict him. he will not be removed because it's republicans. he also has to listen to the will of the people. the people spoke out. they want change. they want to be included. the new people, the new numbers that have come into this game or realm of politics, he has to pay attention to. >> yeah. mark, we talked about whether it would be a blue wave or red wave. this is the way democracy is supposed to work. now there's a check on the party that is in power now. isn't it supposed to be that way? >> it's supposed to but not in the sense -- we're supposed to have the opportunity to vote and put the check in place if we so choose to do so. as an american people, we have so chose to do tonight.
that's what we saw the last 24 hours in this midterm election. i think, though, when we're looking at tonight, though, let's look at what's going to happen later today. what's going to happen down the road. and really nothing's going to happen. >> yeah. >> right. >> good night, everyone. >> tonight van jones talked about it being a rainbow wave. i think that's the most interesting thing that's coming out tonight on both sides. you know, young kim, on the republican side, and -- the fact is that you had so many younger and minority voters coming out, i think the question as we go forward is looking on the democratic side among the 2020 candidates, who can stitch together the coalition of millennials and women and voters of color. who among those candidates can do it? i think it's going to be a fascinating two-year debate that we're go to enter. >> i will say this -- if you thought it was crazy and there
were ups and downs in the past few years -- >> buckle up. >> you ain't seen nothing -- you ain't seen nothing yet. >> 127 days away. 127 dates away from 2020. >> it starts now. >> listen, we're still not done. actually, there are still races that are uncalled, and we need to check on those after this break.
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all right. 18 seats remain open. 14 on the house side, four on the senate. we'll go through it with phil mattingly. >> one that's outstanding is montana. we've been waiting to see with weather this ends up. matt -- where this ends up. matt rosendale. where's the outstanding vote and can jon tester find a pathway to winning the race? there's four counties
outstanding, less than 90%. they're all blue. tester has a vote here. pull out, great falls, a police he's winning. still not a ton of vote. the bigger problem for tester, missoula, this is dem country. only 73% reporting. there's pathways here, too. the big question with 4,000 votes behind is can he rack that up. 4,000 in montana is a pretty good number of vote. now when you look at the county, these are democratic counties. there's not a huge number of vote there. tester has a pathway, when you look at the map, it's just not a big pathway. the question is where does the rest of the vote come in. martha mcsally, arizona, currently holding the 14,000-vote lead over kyrsten sinema. where is the vote now? pretty much all here. that's a problem for sinema. 82% reporting.
mcsally with the lead of 17 points. we've been waiting on maricopa almost the entire night. sinema still holds the lead. the lead now less than a point. 99% reporting. this this is a problem with the top line. each though sinema is out-- even though smainema is outperformin in the county. >> close is only good in horseshoes. we've been watching this. why? >> to the frustration to plur republicans including rick scott's camp. in a statewide race, there's a recount triggered automatically if it's within .5 points. that is currently within .4 points. the other issue is the outstanding absentee ballot. as we talked about earlier, have to be stamped by today which means it will take a couple of days to count them. the reality is we want to make
sure all votes are counted. we have a full understanding of the universe. things before we call a race. that's why florida remains uncalled. let's move to the house. i've been nerding out over the california races -- >> 227-208 now. how many open races do? >> 14. i think the big question is what would happen in california. if they were going to bolster the majority to 230, 232. democrats thought they would pick up four, maybe five seat. this is about to go on the board. levin, 5,000-vote lead. pretty good shape. dana rohrbacher, now 99% reporting. he's in -- look at this, mimi walters, six votes ahead, 99% reporting. not a ton of great news if you're a house republican. you feel good about that. move up one more -- you talk
about new members of congress, kim running to replace her former boys, ed royce, up by 5,800 votes -- >> the first korean woman in congress ever. >> yep. absolutely. there's a couple of other close races in california. biwant -- but i want to check another one. right now washington -- this has not moved for a while. kim schrier opened up the 11,000-vote lead. the retiring republican, dave reichert, democrats always thought they had the opportunity to take him out. somehow he always survived. the fascinating thing about this district, it's the classic suburban-rural divide. all suburbs, anti-trump, very resistance. over here, all rural, very red. both party thought they had good candidates. clearly, democrats leading now. also a clear pickup opportunity. again, what we're talking about here is not whether democrats have the house. it's what the marge since going to be. when you -- margin is going to
be. when you look at this, it's clear that the republicans had opportunity, but will it cash in. >> i was going to say, this is a bigger cushion than we're used to seeing in the races, but we don't know how much of the vote is in. thank you very much. it seems, boy, you guys are dragging this out -- you have to. if you get one wrong, it's a mistake you don't want to make. seven races on the house side, are within a 1% point margin. you got to take it easy. stick with senior citizen-- sti. and find, on average, $4,628 in tax savings. quickbooks. backing you.
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we're going to have coverage throughout the morning. one of the big questions is how many of us came out -- how many of us vote? we have numbers for you right now. 88% of the vote is in, okay. you'll see we have 96 million people. remember, 12% still to come in. that's relevant. how does it size up? in 2014 you had 83.3 million people. we're ahead of 2014. the 2016 presidential election, you had 136 million. what's the record for a midterm? in 2010 we had 96 million people. we're already there. we still have 12% to go. good for you for