DTIC ADA108756: Atlantic Hurricane Wind Probability Forecasting (WINDPA).

by: Defense Technical Information Center

Publication date: 1981-10-01

Topics: DTIC Archive, Jarrell,Jerry D, SCIENCE APPLICATIONS INC MONTEREY CA, *WEATHER FORECASTING, COMPUTER PROGRAMS, PROBABILITY, WIND, MATHEMATICAL PREDICTION, ATLANTIC OCEAN, PACIFIC OCEAN, HURRICANES,

Collection: dticarchive; additional_collections

Language: English

The Atlantic Hurricane Wind Probability (WINDPA) program is documented. WINDPA provides the probability of selected Navy and Air Force bases either being struck by an Atlantic Ocean tropical cyclone or receiving winds of at least 30 or 50 kt. The basis for WINDPA estimates is discussed in comparison to a similar western Pacific program (WINDP). WINDPA estimates were subjected to independent reliability testing, the results of which are discussed.