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Understanding 9/11Election 2022 (Urban Operations & Manpower)
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- Publication date
- 1999
- Topics
- Military Operations Urban Terrain (MOUT), Urban Operations (Military), Psychological Warfare, Balkanization (Polarization)
- Language
- English
Good demonstration of military significance of cities, and urban operations involving psychological warfare; U.S. "Democrat" v. "Republican" Elections 2022.
Political power is concentrated in urban areas (blue,) and unevenly distributed. Each 'party' represents a particular typology or more particularly labor division class. Potential for use; advanced operations.
Classic counter-insurgency (asymmetric,) wargame. Blue (a minority,) is attempting to assert total control over economic resources of Nation. Blue represents the Bureaucracy (which controls the Military, [National Socialist theory]) and controls economic, and migration (MigPol,) policies.
Red represents labor-manpower, control of land and firepower, as well as the military itself.
Red represents labor-manpower, control of land and firepower, as well as the military itself.
Blue has usurped control of Industrial Manufacturing, Medical care, and Food Production, under Defense Production Act (Federal Civil Defense,) mobilization; (which would otherwise be under Red's control.)
If open use of force comes into play, Red holds the advantage.
As long as use of force is latent, and distributed
(uneven, asymmetric,) Blue maintains advantage.
Blue may eliminate Red, by attrition over time.
If
Red can force Blue into an open-conflict, it can win. If Red continues
to allow Blue to retain the initiative, red will eventually be
eliminated.
Blue retains leadership resources of nation, by recruiting (using financial incentives,) and diverting Command & Control from the countryside into cities; while eliminating leadership of Red (countryside,) by use of Targeted Killings (network disruption,) & Clean Torture, (under AUMF counterterrorism / Patriot Act authorizations.)
Blue has overmatched Red in C&C (by abuse of
administrative discretion,) and formed separatist unconstitutional,
(Private,) Government.
To seize initiative, Red must form parallel Govt. (private security regimes,) withhold resources from cities, and force Blue into open conflict where it has tactical advantage.
To seize initiative, Red must form parallel Govt. (private security regimes,) withhold resources from cities, and force Blue into open conflict where it has tactical advantage.
(Notes included are lmtd. examples)
{Maps shown are unverified!}
Also see:
[Network Centric Warfare]
[Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research, Inc.][International Political Economy]
[Manpower (Resource Diversion)]
[Autogolpe]
"A couple other thoughts for you to consider. In our last Army After Next [AAN] War Game at the Army War College, we postulated an enemy whose objective was to quickly capture cities in the violated country in order to avoid American dominance in fire power. This game postulated war in the year 2025. If the world is urbanized, if 50 percent of the world will be living in cities by the year 2025, then wars will likely occur in urban areas. Cities are strategic centers of gravity. When cities become political symbols or become lures that we can’t avoid for some reason, they become battlegrounds. Look at the urban battlegrounds that we’ve fought on during the last few years. Every one of them was a political symbol. The truth is, in most major wars; cities are bypassed unless they are political centers or ideological lures.
The urban defender, without the initiative, loses this time advantage and the attacker, external to the city, now has time on his side. Of course the time advantage is contingent on a couple of issues. Number one, before we go into a city we must be certain that we have control of the countryside. Most large urban areas cannot survive for very long without sustenance from the surrounding area. This is particularly true in many parts of the emerging world. The second issue is psychological.
So the enemy’s retreated into the cities, and we now occupy the countryside. What do we do then? In many cities in the emerging world, the provision of basic services is tenuous even in the best of times. Therefore, the most assailable part of these urban areas is probably centered around their vulnerable infrastructures. Densely packed urban masses are easily manipulated by an information warfare campaign. We must maintain psychological dominance over the city so that all the information the citizens are getting about the situation is coming from us, not the enemy.
What’s the center of gravity of a city? The center of gravity is the population! We must find a way to control the population, and we’ve got to do it without butchering them. If we control the surrounding area, then we should be able to build a sanctuary. Creating a series of suburban safe areas into which the citizens can retreat leaves only the ruling elite and the army inside the city. Remember, what’s another characteristic of large cities in these transitional states? Not only are they hanging by tenterhooks with regard to their being able to provide basic services, but they also contain all of the essential elements of government: cultural, political, economic, military, and bureaucratic, which often is the ruling elite.
A cordon operation is exactly what the name implies. It is a loose way to control the activities of the city from outside the immediate confines of the dense urban mass. We have the technology at our command, thanks to the information age, that allows us to do that today if we choose to. Control the city from outside; establish a loose cordon; take your time; find the vulnerable points; and destroy them systematically in a discreet, surgical form of direct action. The idea of pouring divisions into an urban mass to me is not wise.
Once we’ve established the cordon, and gained control of the urban masses, we’ve won. The war is over. We own the countryside. The enemy has no initiative. We’ve contained the enemy in the city."
Glenn, Russell W, and Geri Cherry. The City's Many Faces: Proceedings of the Rand Arroyo-Mcwl-J8 Uwg Urban Operations Conference, April 13-14, 1999. Santa Monica, CA: RAND, 2000, pp. 158-163.
https://archive.org/details/ada-380683/page/163/mode/1up?q=cities
The urban defender, without the initiative, loses this time advantage and the attacker, external to the city, now has time on his side. Of course the time advantage is contingent on a couple of issues. Number one, before we go into a city we must be certain that we have control of the countryside. Most large urban areas cannot survive for very long without sustenance from the surrounding area. This is particularly true in many parts of the emerging world. The second issue is psychological.
So the enemy’s retreated into the cities, and we now occupy the countryside. What do we do then? In many cities in the emerging world, the provision of basic services is tenuous even in the best of times. Therefore, the most assailable part of these urban areas is probably centered around their vulnerable infrastructures. Densely packed urban masses are easily manipulated by an information warfare campaign. We must maintain psychological dominance over the city so that all the information the citizens are getting about the situation is coming from us, not the enemy.
What’s the center of gravity of a city? The center of gravity is the population! We must find a way to control the population, and we’ve got to do it without butchering them. If we control the surrounding area, then we should be able to build a sanctuary. Creating a series of suburban safe areas into which the citizens can retreat leaves only the ruling elite and the army inside the city. Remember, what’s another characteristic of large cities in these transitional states? Not only are they hanging by tenterhooks with regard to their being able to provide basic services, but they also contain all of the essential elements of government: cultural, political, economic, military, and bureaucratic, which often is the ruling elite.
A cordon operation is exactly what the name implies. It is a loose way to control the activities of the city from outside the immediate confines of the dense urban mass. We have the technology at our command, thanks to the information age, that allows us to do that today if we choose to. Control the city from outside; establish a loose cordon; take your time; find the vulnerable points; and destroy them systematically in a discreet, surgical form of direct action. The idea of pouring divisions into an urban mass to me is not wise.
Once we’ve established the cordon, and gained control of the urban masses, we’ve won. The war is over. We own the countryside. The enemy has no initiative. We’ve contained the enemy in the city."
Glenn, Russell W, and Geri Cherry. The City's Many Faces: Proceedings of the Rand Arroyo-Mcwl-J8 Uwg Urban Operations Conference, April 13-14, 1999. Santa Monica, CA: RAND, 2000, pp. 158-163.
https://archive.org/details/ada-380683/page/163/mode/1up?q=cities
Role of cities:
AAN Army After Next (War Games), 4GW, Urban Operations
https://archive.org/details/aan_swg_wwg_4gw/
R.W. Steel (International Colonial Institute)
https://archive.org/details/rw_steel/
Role of Cities (Singer, M.)
https://archive.org/details/redfield1954/
Robert Cooley Angell (Collection): "Moral Integration of American Cities"
https://archive.org/details/rc_angell/
Psychology of Social Classes (Class Warfare)
https://archive.org/details/centers1
Project Camelot (Jacobs 1967)
https://archive.org/details/camelot_jacobs1967/
Manpower (Arbeitskräfte,) & U.S. "National Security" Doctrine
https://archive.org/details/tsimkhes-1928/
Human Resources Research Organization (HumRRO) [Forecasting]
https://archive.org/details/humrro/
https://archive.org/details/humrro/
Migration & Political Power (MigPol)
https://archive.org/details/mig-pol-distribAllen G. Feldt: Pioneer in Urban Gaming (CLUG & ADMATCH)
https://archive.org/details/brody-1963/
Serious Games, War Gaming, (Deterrence & Threat Management)
https://archive.org/details/brody-1963/
Gaming: Prospective for Forecasting
https://archive.org/details/ad-0786594
Linzer, Drew A. "Dynamic Bayesian forecasting of presidential elections in the states." Journal of the American Statistical Association 108.501 (2013): 124-134.
https://archive.org/details/linzer2013
Agent Based Modeling (ABM) [Forecasting]
https://archive.org/details/agent_based_models_abm
COVID-19 US State Policy (CUSP) [('Right vs. Left') Forecasting]
https://archive.org/details/cusp_covid/
https://archive.org/details/agent_based_models_abm
COVID-19 US State Policy (CUSP) [('Right vs. Left') Forecasting]
https://archive.org/details/cusp_covid/
COCON-COUNTERCONSPIRACY (POLITICA): THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIMULATION OF INTERNAL NATIONAL CONFLICT UNDER REVOLUTIONARY CONFLICT CONDITIONS. VOLUME 1
https://archive.org/details/ad-0644519
COCON-COUNTERCONSPIRACY (POLITICA): THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIMULATION OF INTERNAL NATIONAL CONFLICT UNDER REVOLUTIONARY CONFLICT CONDITIONS, APPENDICES. VOLUME 2
https://archive.org/details/ad-0644242
https://archive.org/details/ad-0644519
COCON-COUNTERCONSPIRACY (POLITICA): THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIMULATION OF INTERNAL NATIONAL CONFLICT UNDER REVOLUTIONARY CONFLICT CONDITIONS, APPENDICES. VOLUME 2
https://archive.org/details/ad-0644242
Voice of America: Overseas Information Service (Collection)
https://archive.org/details/voa_ois/
Institute Advanced Study (Princeton, N.J.)
https://archive.org/details/72835/
National Socialist theory:
Ray Josephs (New-World Nazi's)
https://archive.org/details/josephs1944/
James Burnham (Collection)
https://archive.org/details/misc_burnham_review/
Pollock, Frederick. "Is National Socialism a new order?." Zeitschrift für Sozialforschung 9.3 (1941): 440-455.
https://archive.org/details/pfrederick-is-national-socialism-a-new-order-1941
Neumann, Franz. "Labor Mobilization in the National Socialist New Order." Law & Contemp. Probs. 9 (1942): 544.
https://archive.org/details/labor-mobilization-in-the-national-socialist-new-order
Meyer, E. W. (1939). Repercussions of National Socialism upon Foreign Countries. The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 204(1), 26–33. doi:10.1177/000271623920400105
https://archive.org/details/meyer1939_202203
https://archive.org/details/josephs1944/
James Burnham (Collection)
https://archive.org/details/misc_burnham_review/
Pollock, Frederick. "Is National Socialism a new order?." Zeitschrift für Sozialforschung 9.3 (1941): 440-455.
https://archive.org/details/pfrederick-is-national-socialism-a-new-order-1941
Neumann, Franz. "Labor Mobilization in the National Socialist New Order." Law & Contemp. Probs. 9 (1942): 544.
https://archive.org/details/labor-mobilization-in-the-national-socialist-new-order
Meyer, E. W. (1939). Repercussions of National Socialism upon Foreign Countries. The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 204(1), 26–33. doi:10.1177/000271623920400105
https://archive.org/details/meyer1939_202203
Fascism pt. 1
https://archive.org/details/img-9809
Fascism pt. 2
https://archive.org/details/img-0164
https://archive.org/details/img-9809
Fascism pt. 2
https://archive.org/details/img-0164
NS-000, (National Socialism)
https://archive.org/details/nat-soc-000
Hundred Flowers Movement - 百花 (Anti-intellectualism)
https://archive.org/details/kagan1963
https://archive.org/details/kagan1963
Targeting:
No Escape: Irregular Warfare & Killing Civilians at Cannon AFB (Clovis NM)
https://archive.org/details/cannon_afb_nm/
Suspected Enemies: The U.S. Kill List & Disposition Matrix
https://archive.org/details/us_disposition_matrix_terror/
Targeting (Operations & Officers)
https://archive.org/details/targeting_ops/
Multi-state Anti-Terrorism Information Exchange (MATRIX)
https://archive.org/details/ada-469075/
Separatism, Private Security Regimes, Parallel Government:
Syndicates & Mafias (Private Security Regimes)
https://archive.org/details/paoli_l/
Hybrid & Quasi Government (Private Government)
https://archive.org/details/quasi_gov/
International Security Affairs (ISA): Security Regimes
https://archive.org/details/intl_sec_af_isa/
'Lost Decades' - State Failure, (in Africa)
https://archive.org/details/zolberg1968/
Separatist Republics, "Grey Zones" in International Law
https://archive.org/details/ofiaich002/
No Escape: Irregular Warfare & Killing Civilians at Cannon AFB (Clovis NM)
https://archive.org/details/cannon_afb_nm/
Suspected Enemies: The U.S. Kill List & Disposition Matrix
https://archive.org/details/us_disposition_matrix_terror/
Targeting (Operations & Officers)
https://archive.org/details/targeting_ops/
Multi-state Anti-Terrorism Information Exchange (MATRIX)
https://archive.org/details/ada-469075/
Separatism, Private Security Regimes, Parallel Government:
Syndicates & Mafias (Private Security Regimes)
https://archive.org/details/paoli_l/
Hybrid & Quasi Government (Private Government)
https://archive.org/details/quasi_gov/
International Security Affairs (ISA): Security Regimes
https://archive.org/details/intl_sec_af_isa/
'Lost Decades' - State Failure, (in Africa)
https://archive.org/details/zolberg1968/
Separatist Republics, "Grey Zones" in International Law
https://archive.org/details/ofiaich002/
----
Weimer, Christopher W., "FORECASTING EFFECTS OF INFLUENCE OPERATIONS: A GENERATIVE SOCIAL SCIENCE METHODOLOGY", AFIT-OR-MS-ENS-12-26, Air Force Institute of Technology, Wright-Patterson AFB, March 2012
Weimer, Chris, et al. "Forecasting effects of MISO actions: An ABM methodology." 2013 Winter Simulations Conference (WSC). IEEE, 2013.
Plane, David A, and Peter A. Rogerson. The Geographical Analysis of Population: With Applications to Planning and Business. New York: J. Wiley, 1994.
BOGUSLAW, R., DAVIS, R. H., & CLICK, E. B. PLANS-1: A vehicle for studying national policy formation in a less armed world. (No. TM-WD-119) Falls Church, Va.: System Development Corporation, 1964.
["Problems of predicting the future under unknown or unanticipated social and psychological conditions."]
Ponizovskiy, Vladimir, Lusine Grigoryan, and Wilhelm Hofmann. "Why is right-wing media consumption associated with lower compliance with COVID-19 measures?." Journal of Media Psychology: Theories, Methods, and Applications (2022).Weimer, Chris, et al. "Forecasting effects of MISO actions: An ABM methodology." 2013 Winter Simulations Conference (WSC). IEEE, 2013.
Plane, David A, and Peter A. Rogerson. The Geographical Analysis of Population: With Applications to Planning and Business. New York: J. Wiley, 1994.
BOGUSLAW, R., DAVIS, R. H., & CLICK, E. B. PLANS-1: A vehicle for studying national policy formation in a less armed world. (No. TM-WD-119) Falls Church, Va.: System Development Corporation, 1964.
["Problems of predicting the future under unknown or unanticipated social and psychological conditions."]
Brandt, Patrick T., and John R. Freeman. "Advances in Bayesian time series modeling and the study of politics: Theory testing, forecasting, and policy analysis." Political Analysis 14.1 (2006): 1-36.
Cottrell, Leonard S, and Sylvia Eberhart. American Opinion on World Affairs in the Atomic Age. Princeton, N.J: Princeton University, 1948.
Diesner, Jana, and Kathleen M. Carley. “Relation Extraction from Texts and Computational Integration of Words and Networks.” CASOS Summer Institute 2010, Carnegie Mellon, www.casos.cs.cmu.edu/projects/automap/Jana_Poster.pdf.
Cottrell, Leonard S, and Sylvia Eberhart. American Opinion on World Affairs in the Atomic Age. Princeton, N.J: Princeton University, 1948.
Diesner, Jana, and Kathleen M. Carley. “Relation Extraction from Texts and Computational Integration of Words and Networks.” CASOS Summer Institute 2010, Carnegie Mellon, www.casos.cs.cmu.edu/projects/automap/Jana_Poster.pdf.
----
Tennessee Valley Authority (Water Energy Nexus)
https://archive.org/details/comps-2978/
["The
President cannot be allowed to have unbridled control to make whatever
laws he believes to be necessary to achieve a certain goal." (Schechter Poultry Corp. v. United States, 1935)]
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- 2022-11-10 00:41:18
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- manpower_mout_election2022
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- 1999
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