in the end, it was brexit. the vote to leave one pretty co mforta bly, vote to leave one pretty comfortably, 51.9%. compare those details with this survey from yougov today. they've been asking if the uk was right or wrong to leave the union. there's a lot to die just here but if we look at this, this is interesting. people who said it was the right decision to leave, 42%. people who said it was wrong, 44%. that shift but not much. this is one of the recurring themes of your work which is the regret that some people predicted brexiteers would experience just hasn't materialised. what we've been measuring is that there has been little change in the overall level. the country remains divided down the middle on whether it is right or wrong to leave the eu but inevitably it is more complicated. small numbers of people are changing their minds but in both directions. more importantly, around about seven out of ten people believe it's right brexit should go ahead either because they supported it in the first place or

brexit means brexit, but what does brexit mean? -- as a dog's brea kfast. what does brexit mean? -- as a dog's breakfast. 0h, what does brexit mean? -- as a dog's breakfast. oh, what did you think of the jingle? it is magnificent, darling. laughter i didn't edit it. what do you think of the brexitcastjingle? yeah, a good summary of where we are so yeah, a good summary of where we are so far? and who said brexit is a dog's breakfast? was it yanis varoufakis? that was a niche question, wasn't it? lets focus on the big picture, where are we on the seemingly never—ending brexit process ? seemingly never—ending brexit process? it is the christmas party at downing street, and for journalist and officials this evening, and their christmas party because, after all the nxt of the la st because, after all the nxt of the last few months, after the frustrations, their difficulties, all of the wrangles at a cost for theresa may, last week at the end of the week she got her piece of paper, she was able to come home and say yes, phase one is over. now, does that solve the contradictions we

it doesn't stop brexit in any way. it actually was intended to try to make sure brexit takes place in an orderly manner, which is what i regard as absolutely key. there was a last—minute concession, were you surprised it came last so many? yes iwas, we surprised it came last so many? yes i was, we had surprised it came last so many? yes iwas, we had been waiting surprised it came last so many? yes i was, we had been waiting the whole afternoon for a concession. we had been suggested at one stage, the government might give up on clause night at the moment, which was a sensible thing to do, i would have accepted that. then they could have brought something else back at report stage. this is committee stage of the bill. but to find yourself at the last minute, landed with a concession with what the government should have done all along, which was to table their own amendmenta along, which was to table their own amendment a committee stage. they we re amendment a committee stage. they were told constantly it was needed,

— from the brexit vote. this is the irish border with the irish premier raising the prospect of brexit divorce talks stretching into the new year if there is no agreement next week. some think that means that the irish premier is threatening to use his veto next week if he is not happy with the plan for the border. the phrase regulatory alignment has been on everybody‘s lips and many people have been getting out the thesaurus to see what it means but it seems they had to persuade the dup that regulatory alignment is not the same as being in the single market and the customs union. whether they can do that or not is unclear. the dup usually comes to the table but we'll sort of spin this out. they have a great deal of trouble here in that the longer you go on, it is significant because the longer we go in this phase, the shorter time we have to do the other elements, principally the trade deals also the longer time it takes to do other trade deals and move into that other arena, the less confidence there is

jessica, this final vote on brexit. jessica, this isa final vote on brexit. jessica, this is a humiliation, isn't it? andjust think at the end of last week edward like theresa may was in a really strong position on moving the brexit talks on to the next stage, so we can talks on to the next stage, so we ca n start talks on to the next stage, so we can start to talk about trade. and suddenly she was going into the summit on the back of a really humiliating defeat in parliament, and the european leaders might start saying to each other, is she really going to have the backing to deliver a deal, even if we agree it? the whole point about brexit, steve, some would argue, is that parliament would get primacy, it would be the final arbiter of laws in this country. and surely the rebels at the tory party would argue this, and labour and the lib dems and the snp would say, this is what brexit is all about. there is that line, you wa nt all about. there is that line, you want to take back control, this is it. it is driving them mad. this is got to come back to the com

brexit, brexit. the newspapers brainwashed people and diverted them from their own worries in this country. so i don't know how things will develop. ok, many people anticipated theresa may's fall, many people did not expect her to last. she surprised everybody. the first phase of the negotiation actually went through and we are now coming to the difficult one, which is how the single market agreements could be finalised. it is extremely difficult. so i believe that britain needs a charismatic leader, a strong leader, to negotiate for the next phase because it will be crucial to reach a good deal. so, if not, i believe this country will suffer. you can see now... why britain is afraid from election? why can't we have election? there was election. britain needs stability for a few years to get brexit through and also other things through and theresa may is the best leader, by default maybe, to do a deal in europe like she did a deal in 2017 which is a good deal because you need a soft brexit, you can't

brexit, brexit. the newspapers brainwashed people and diverted them from their own worries in this country. so i don't know how things will develop. 0k, many people anticipated theresa may's fall, many people did not expect her to last. she surprised everybody. the first phase of the negotiation actually went through and we are now coming to the difficult one, which is how the single market agreements could be finalised. it is extremely difficult. so i believe that britain needs a charismatic leader, a strong leader, to negotiate for the next phase because it will be crucial to reach a good deal. so, if not, i believe this country will suffer. you can see now... why britain is afraid from election? why can't we have election? there was election. britain needs stability for a few years to get brexit through and also other things through and theresa may is the best leader, by default maybe, to do a deal in europe like she did a deal in 2017 which is a good deal because you need a soft brexit, you can't

brexit, bitcoin, . this is bloomberg. ♪ ♪ vonnie: it is time for the global battle of the tracks where we look at some of the most telling chart of the day and what they may mean for investors. accept these on the bloomberg a running the function on the bottom of your screen. a cross channel battle and starting is abigail doolittle. >> one of the biggest stories is bitcoin, up 56% this year. up more than 1500% this year, what is next? i am hearing about it and it reminds me of two of the other bubbles more recently, the housing bubble in 2007-2008 and the tech bubble in 2000. let's put bitcoin in perspective. over the last three years, this is bitcoin over the last few months, a truly parabolic uptrend. i have never seen anything like this relative to the nasdaq in 1999 and 2000, gaining 100% in six months but the peak parabolic move up in bitcoin mushrooming, much bigger than in tech. maybe the gains will not last. see my chart on the bloomberg. vonnie: great stuff. mark you are up. mark: brexit ve

so if it is a function of brexit, once brexit has happened, everyone can get back to doing what they are meant to do. brexit will take years to implement. we are already talking about not just the to implement. we are already talking about notjust the next 15 months of negotiations to get to what has been called the interim period, but then an interim period of at least two yea rs, however an interim period of at least two years, however many years it will ta ke to years, however many years it will take to replace the trade treaties that britain currently has with 102 countries courtesy of the european union. each of those could take six or seven yea rs union. each of those could take six or seven years to renegotiate. but the ministers know that it is massive. it is obvious, everyone keeps saying that. but it is in the interest of those other countries to have a trade deal with us. it is not just to britain's benefit. but that does not mean it can be accomplished overnight. these treaties are thousands of pages long and it will be very difficult to get terms as good as those we have

for us any type of brexit to be honest looks like a ha rd brexit to be honest looks like a hard brexit. we believe the current arrangements we have with the eu and uk, the common travel area between ireland and the uk, are as good as it gets so any change in those won't be as positive for us as you hope it will be in britain. so we have assurances now it will be trade friendly, negotiators and —— negotiations will proceed. let's go to tim allen now. do you share the general optimism which i presume similar caution as people keep saying, devil in the detail, and there's an awful lot of detail we don't have yet. absolutely. i completely agree with ian, i think this is a good confidence building, ostensibly a highly politicised period in the negotiations. whether we can come to an arrangement in the time frame remains to be seen. what about the attitude of the scottish government to all of this? of course they were very much pro—remainers and the mood music from scotland was this is happening and we have to get on with it. scotland as a nation voted to remain inside the european uni

brexit means brexit, but what does brexit mean? it's one question whether hand brexit means brexit, but what does brexit mean? oh, what did you think of the jingle? it is magnificent, darling. lets focus on the big picture, where are we on the seemingly never—ending brexit process? big picture — it is chrismas party season at downing street and as we're recoding it is the christmas party at downing street, and forjournalists and officials this evening, and their christmas party because, after all the angst of the last few months, after the frustrations, their difficulties, all of the wrangles at a cost for theresa may, last week at the end of the week she got her piece of paper, she was able to come home and say yes, phase one is over. now, does that solve the contradictions we have discussed on the programme? does it mean the problems have gone away? does it mean anything other than for number ten thank goodness they got to this stage? not really. but that in and of itself given the divisions in the tory party, the divisions i

a lot of is about brexit. douglas, is brexit, and it is important to get it right whatever side you are on. this is crucial and critical for the future of the country. absolutely, during the election, many people were knowing that was an election about brexit, that was an election about brexit, that was an election about brexit, that was going to dominate the pardon. 80% of people who voted said they voted for party he would respect the will of the people leaving the european union. important things we get the best possible deal in the european union. my possible deal in the european union. my own constituency was closer than any others to voting leave. there are ones strongly remain, others that are strongly leave. mine was very close down the middle. we have to try and get the best deal for everyone. as a liberal democrat, you have a referendum amendment receiving saying you another referendum. we said we want a real referendum, but now the issues i know. we're starting a process that we believe is an incred

brexiteers asking, what was the point of this? critically, the uk will have to carve out some sort of exemptions to allow them to restrict freedom of movement and sufficient latitude to create their own trade deals. if you look at the mandate for the second round negotiating of our trade deal, there is a clause in it on the level playing fields, and that‘s the first time ever that this is in a negotiating mandate. what it means is that they say, look, you can have the trading deal with europe provided that you are not dumping, that you live up to our competition rules, etc, etc. the level playing field for the first time has been defined. that will demonstrate to be a very hard one for great britain. the clock starts now on a phase two negotiation that will test both sides. it‘s clear now that the uk will align closely with the eu, and that could make it far harder for the brexiteer vision of a freewheeling trading superpower to be fulfilled. mark urban there. and to discuss this further now i‘m joined by dia chakravarty, th

brexit means brexit, but what does brexit mean? oh, what did you think of thejingle? it's magnificent, darling. let's focus on the big picture, where are we on the seemingly never—ending brexit process? big picture — it is christmas party season at downing street and as we're recoding it is the christmas party at downing street, and forjournalists and officials this evening, and their christmas party because, after all the angst of the last few months, after the frustrations, their difficulties, all of the wrangles at a cost for theresa may, last week at the end of the week she got her piece of paper, she was able to come home and say yes, phase one is over. now, does that solve the contradictions we have discussed on the programme? does it mean the problems have gone away? does it mean anything other than for number ten thank goodness they got to this stage? not really. but that in and of itself, given the divisions in the tory party, the divisions in the types of approach between the uk and eu that is an achievement for a prime minister who lost her majority dow

brexit, brexit. the newspapers brainwashed people and diverted them from their own worries in this country. so i don't know how things will develop. 0k, many people anticipated theresa may's fall, many people did not expect her to last. she was weak. she surprised everybody. the first phase of the negotiation actually went through and we are now coming to the difficult one, which is how the single market agreements could be finalised. it is extremely difficult. so i believe that britain needs a charismatic leader, a strong leader, to negotiate for the next phase because it will be crucial to reach a good deal. so, if not, i believe this country will suffer. you can see now... why britain is afraid from election? why can't we have election? there was election. britain needs stability for a few years to get brexit through and also other things through and theresa may is the best leader, by default maybe, to do a deal in europe like she did a deal in 2017 which is a good deal because you need a soft bre

so, how clear is britain's future after brexit? not at all, according to the brexit secretary today. david davis only handed over files on business and brexit reluctantly. mps accepted he had met the demands of the commons, but today he also told them no estimates of the cost to business had been done. it would be a game changer but guesswork was pointless. look at the chairman's face. so, there isn't one, for example, on the automotive sector? no. not that i am aware of. is there one on aerospace? not that i am aware of. no. on financial services? i think the answer will be no to all of them. no to all of them. right. and now a new cause for brexiteer tories to complain. the chancellor says britain will not shirk its divorce bill — deal or no deal. that's just not a credible scenario. it's not the kind of country we are. frankly, it would not make us a credible partner for future international agreements. but theresa may's team said there will be no deal, including cash, until brexit is agreed. tonight the goodwill is in short s

and has everything stopped for brexit? the social mobility programme continues, despite resignations of the social mobility commission. while brexit is an important part of this government, we are absolutely committed to ensuring that we continue this process. but first, theresa may and the european commission president, jean—claude juncker, have held the european commission president, jean—claudejuncker, have held talks in brussels, but fail to reach a deal to allow the brexit negotiations to continue to trade issues. initially, it had appeared that a deal was imminent, when northern ireland was offered a close relationship with the single market and customs union. but the leader of the dup, arlene foster, said her party could not accept any proposal that would be to northern ireland being treated separately to the rest of the uk. in the commons, a labour mp reacted to the news of the failure to reach a deal. after incessa nt failure to reach a deal. after incessant briefing in the last two days that theresa may and t

they are calling it the brexit election. this isa calling it the brexit election. this is a much more dangerous world. it got more dangerous yesterday. making sense of the stories shaping our world. beyond 100 days. hello, you're watching afternoon live. today at 3pm: eu leaders give the green light for the second phase of brexit talks to begin. we will be beginning the talks about our relationship. we'll be beginning those straight away. the last of the eu leaders has left the building in brussels. there have been a lot of press conferences and we will bring you all the reaction. ajudge calls for an inquiry, after a student is cleared of rape when police failed to disclose evidence casting doubt on the case. prince harry and meghan markle set the date for their wedding, they will marry on may 19th next year. coming up on afternoon live, all the sport. australia fighting back in the third ashes test. the captain, steve smith, has wrestled back the momentum in their favour. thanks. we'll be joining you for a full update just after half past. darren has all the weath

effects of brexit. he said officials would do some work on this at some stage. the chair of the exiting committee, hilary benn, asked the brexit secretary which sectors have been analysed. so there isn't one, for example, hold the automotive sector? not that lam aware hold the automotive sector? not that i am aware of. aerospace? no. no to all of them. doesn't it strike you as rather strange, given the experience around the committee you have, the government undertakes impact assessments and all sorts of things all the time. yet on the most fundamental change we face as a country, you have said the government has not taken —— undertaken any assessments at all. the first thing to say, mr chairman, is when these sectoral analyses were initiated they were done to understand the effect of various options. what the outcome would be. you don't need a formal impact assessments to understand that if there is a regulatory hurdle between our producers and the market that will have an impact, an effect. we wil

years ofsed using brexit and now it is all about brexit. now we have a lot of tensions in europe. in a few months or years, you will have other countries , and thinking i am not comfortable with bureaucracy. vision, lessore bureaucracy. i think we have a good to get more for european development. , wescussed some days ago are ready to make any reform only in line with the primary law. as soon as we get amendments to the primary law, we can do more. to sticks we are bound to the given primary law, we have to make more dynamic , but pragmatic in a governmental way. he said, yes, of course. agree as soon as possible -- in common european law as soon as we get amendments. pragmatic to move in the direction to get more efficiency for europe, in this in to convince the people the european member states that europe matters. >> don't you have to move in the direction of shared that responsibility? european bonds seems to be the only way, if you really want a deeper closer europe? the governor of the bank of england has made things more difficult. been we cans always if we havearing to imp

we have a brexit deal or at least a deal that allows brexit negotiations to move to the next step. here you can see the reaction in the pound. it had risen into the headline news.en dropped into the we see the pound starting to rally back up again. oil also a strong gainer today. let's take a look at futures right now and see where equity indexes are poised to open. gains across the board. here you can see the weei screen. it's a percent miss price. it indicates that the dax is going to open up .9% and the ftse will open up relatively flat. the european market is open right now. let's take a look at the monitor. the ftse opening very quickly. 0.04%. very little change. keep an eye on the ftse. the ibex open in spain up over one half of 1%. we are looking for a game this morning on the european deal with the brexit. a lot of green on the screen. financials are strong gainers this morning. that bodes well for the rest of the market. some tech stocks up with financials. energy stocks gaining. discretionary and health care. it looks like staples could be the only problem which is great

we didn't make it brexit for no brexit. we make it, brexit happens. but there are a lot of ways it can happen and we thought it might be interesting to look at the possible economic consequences of each of those ways. in our study is a lipid novel in this field for, modeling in the us. and what the us states are. there is a frequent visitor to london this time and never times during the research phase of this and as i mentioned, we have an affiliate, ran europe in cambridge. so i'm there often for that. there is quite the shall we say, cocktail party chatter in london about how might it all go badly? or how might it all fall apart when faced with the consequences? you may have seen that on tuesday, it had no relationship i think to the launch of our study, but the government lost a key vote that was all about whether or not the parliament would have the right for the opportunity to make a judgment about the brexit deal. and there are ways that it could fall apart. but most of them would involve either a new referendum, which no one is proposing, refer

the brexit that people were voting for broadly, which is as a brexiteer, is to have control of borders, freedom of movement andi think we will deliver on that. there is also the issue of the european court ofjustice being superior as it were to british law and i think we are going to claim sovereignty on that and the third item was obviously the money. it is clear to me on the money side, we are not going to continue paying a net contribution of 10 billion every single year until kingdom come to the eu, that is ending and that was the nature of... all three of those issues i think we will deliver on. it was not said in the campaign that there would be a degree of alignment, this problem seems to have come as a surprise to the brexit side of the argument. if you spoke to a brexiteer on the campaign, people were very keen that we had a free trade deal. there would be a free trade deal between the uk and eu. the nature of free trade deals, you are an economist, you understand, that there is some degree regulatory alignment in free trade. it is on that basis. when iain duncan smith says no

our discussion this morning of brexit. i'd like to open by remembering to go back a year and a half ago june 16 and the uk public vote in brexit felt like a tectonic shift and it was a major change with consequences that were both far-reaching and unclear. brexit changes everything but how? businesses, institutions and policymakers have been looking that ever since. the study that will talk about today looks at the impossible outcomes of what they mean for our economic policy and preparation. i'm delighted to see many friends of the wilson center here today and i will introduce our expert panel. my idea is that we will hear from charlie about the results of the study and turn this over to michelle for comment and then ask fran and howard to weigh in. who are these people you ask? charlie is the vice president of international a brand and he's a former us ambassador to greece and was a distinguished state department career including postings as possible deputy assistant secretary for europe, minister for affairs in london i

perhaps some light but with a over brexit. perhaps some light but witha grain over brexit. perhaps some light but with a grain of salt. you need to see a trend. the man from right move is quoted as saying the trend will bea is quoted as saying the trend will be a mixed bag. strange wording that shows that house prices have been on the same trajectory for a period of time, they forecast another year of slowing in the pace of price rises. a slowdown in the pace of them going up, so not exactly the breakthrough news people might think. let us move on to the front page of the times. ireland warns theresa may over brexit. this is after the story we have been running about david davis saying that the deal is not cast iron? this comes as is a prize to people in the eu that they have done the deal with and it is interesting that david davis thinks he runs his own brexit policy and i remember having collective cabinet responsibility when the government spoke with one voice and it now seems to be whoever happens to be in the studio. that has not gone down very well in ireland because

and now some of the brexiteers in her own party are very unhappy. this is a game being played out over power and the answer at the end boils down to who will call the shots on this, and right now we have to say, not good enough. you need to change this process and to back off, otherwise we get on with other arrangements. can theresa may escape the tangle of competing demands on her brexit vision? the clock is ticking. we hearfrom the european parliament and from a prominent brexiteer. should britain or the eu make the next concession? a doctor made a series of mistakes. a six—year—old child died. should the doctor be allowed to practise again? we hearfrom the mother of jack adcock, who died at the leicester royal infirmary, and a doctor who wants the nhs to learn lessons rather than punish those who make errors. putin likes showing the world his sporting prowess. but his country's team are barred from the 2018 winter olympics.

she will have to spell out where she stands on brexit. does she want a soft brexit 0re hard brexit? the prime minister row was clear today. nothing is agreed until everything is agreed. then we can move onto the second phase the process. that is what we are trying to get to. there is no point in discussing soft or hard brexit. until we move on to phase two we can't negotiate the position. and people entitled to know what is in her mind? far better to see our opportunities and get those freed trade deals, or stay in the single market? the prime minister row has made it clear we wanted deep and meaningful relationship with the eu and as much access to the single market and the most seamless customs union with the eu. we are working towards that. this is a negotiation. it was never going to be simple. one thing that does seem clear is that nicola sturgeon is not going to get what she wants because mrs may has already said if there will be any sort of alignment with the eu, it will be for the whole of the uk, we will be for the whole of the uk, we will not have pick and mix deals for ot

there is a problem between the brexiteers and the remainers. the brexiteers and the remainers. the brexiteers are so keen to walk away from europe that they would almost, you know, do anything just to be able to say, we have done it, we have done it, we are out of europe, regardless of the consequences. that comes back to the point that nigel made that it is difficult for the prime minister and the negotiating team and it is notjust david davis, it is an army of civil servants and lawyers and what have you. it is difficult for them to go there if it is not clear what we want. now we get to the next stage which is we ought to be honest because if we can lay on the table, at the moment, we're not saying anything. we are arguing that we must keep negotiating position close to a chest. now we are moving into trade talks and the question is why should we? let's say this is what we want, we? let's say this is what we want, we then negotiate to get there and see how far we go but at least if you utterly knew what we were going towards... we would speed up the negotiations but it would

tonight, i9 tory mps worried about brexit are saying, ignore the brexiteers, saying, ignore the brexiteers, saying they are driving her to walk away with no deal at all. something will have to give, or next week's european summit will again decide not to start those talks on trade, and if that happens, we will seek brexiteers, brexit supporting sections of the media, calling on mrs may as never before to walk away. with all of the uncertainty that would inevitably bring, and the penitential for the dampening of markets and of sterling. we don't know, there could be more proposals being brought forward by mrs may in the next 2a hours. that is what the irish leader is saying tonight, that he expected that could be a breakthrough. and then you may see mrs may coming through with a clearer vision brexit and she has given so far, and the first real discussion in the cabinet. tonight, this latest chapter in the story of brexit looks like becoming a cliffhanger. john, once again, many thanks. a man has appeared in court, accused of plotting to kill the prime minister, in a bomb and knife attack o

what britain wants brexit to look like come march 200019. it's remarkable, 18 months since the referendum and they haven't got around to talking about what they want brexit to look like. we were told it would happen before the end of the year which means only one more cabinet before christmas, which is on tuesday. it's going to bea which is on tuesday. it's going to be a bit ofa which is on tuesday. it's going to be a bit of a ding—dong i would have thought. at the same time, they won't come to any conclusions. they'll be having a say because they can't agree. again i think this is entirely her mismanagement, she could have said, and this would have been... this is true of a 48—52 result referendum anyway but especially true after the election which quite clearly returned to parliament a mandate for a much softer version of withdrawal from the eu than she and her government has been planning. she could have resolved this 18 months ago. certainly since the election since saying... there is no constituency amongst the nation for anything l

at the moment now, we have a minister who is mainly concerned with brexit. when he actually does his dayjob, it is things like bailing out the east coast franchise, costing hundreds of millions to the taxpayer. unfortunately, as i say in my letter, there has been a nervous breakdown across whitehall which made my position unsustainable. but the phrase spin doctor was invented for the new labour government, wasn't it? there was always spin, tricks, if you like. there was real substance in those governments, making britain better. most people accept that in those years of government, britain was better at the end of it than it was before. the big problem with brexit, which we are constantly rubbing up against, is that it is going to make britain worse off, not better off. you don't know that for sure. it is my strong view. a lot of people will say we have not left and you are already writing it off. you accepted this job in charge of infrastructure, advising on infrastructure, already knowing the government was committed to brexit. why would you do that if you

that will upset some brexiteers. and on the financial settlement, the method of working out the bill has been agreed — it will be paid in euros, but some of the detail, including the schedule for payments, still has to be negotiated. estimates of the total still range, depending on who you talk to, from 40 to 55 billion euros. but this is only phase one. talks about the nature of a future relationship between the uk and the eu haven't yet started, and the next priority will be to agree upon the terms of a transition period after brexit that buys everyone a little more time. the eu insists that the transition itself take place under all existing eu rules and regulations, which won't please everyone at westminster. thank you, chris morris. wintry weather and snow has brought disruption across many parts of the country. the met office has put yellow "be aware" warnings in place for snow and ice. schools have also been closed in northern ireland and scotland, where homes remain without power. the met office has put yel

the times, josie, apparently david davis, the brexit secretary, has been sidelined asa brexit secretary, has been sidelined as a civil servant takes over the brexit negotiations — could this be true? if it is, it is certainly a very worrying development. the person in question apparently taking over response abilities is oliver robins, the former permanent secretary. the times cites these sources and it would be quite worrying. they say that he has gone ona worrying. they say that he has gone on a significantly more official visits to brussels than mr davies between july and september, visits to brussels than mr davies betweenjuly and september, and that he now also reports directly to theresa may. now, ithink he now also reports directly to theresa may. now, i think the interesting thing here is that david davis has of course been the face of brexit, and as we all know, the negotiations have not exactly gone swimmingly despite the recent breakthrough. so, perhaps this is a development which is from the eu side, a move away from david davis in an attempt to try and sort of make that p

on the verge of a brexit breakthrough in brussels. the prime minister is said to be close to reaching a deal with the eu. after many rounds of talks, sufficient progress appears to have been made on the major sticking points — the divorce bill, eu citizens' rights and the northern ireland border. we've put seven months of work, both sides, into getting to this point and we're hoping that mrjuncker, today, will give us sufficient progress so we can move on to trade talks. the northern irish border — now the uk is said to be close to accepting a concession that there will be no hard border. we'll be live in brussels, westminster and dublin with the latest. also this lunchtime. nearly 750,000 pensioners and children in the uk have fallen into relative poverty over the past four years, says a charity. if you go out, you don't have to have your heating on, do you? trouble is, once it's dark in the evenings now, and cold, you have to put your heating on, don't you? allegations about the prime minister's deputy damian green made public.

one of the interesting stories on the front page is an brexit. after that commons defeat, theresa may is now expected to back away from plans to write the brexit date into law to avoid a second defeat in the commons next week, which would clearly be very damaging for her government, to have another commons defeat. yet, but from somebody looking from the outside it looks like ms. i don't understand why, for instance, tory mps should be... we've heard about asking for them to be sacked. i think it's ridiculous. how do you sack an mp anyway, you said that earlier. i don't know, ijust think it's a terrible mess. she was saying today she's won 35 out of 36 brexit wrote in the commons. basically, she said to keep calm and carry on, essentially. and stressed the fact the majority of the votes have passed. that's not to say emblematic lee what happened yesterday was significant, though i think it's much more about the emblematic element of it than the actual detail, which was pretty arcane. i think this story in the times, in some ways, it is more signif

very much a leading brexiteer. said he would say that. but it is quite a stark warning when you put it like that. that's why it appears there on the front page. is this just a warning shot and another stage in the war of words? probably. this business about the laws that have come in from europe, it is central to brexit for many people. it really is. when you ask people what they voted for when they voted brexit i'm sure that would come into it. there's been all these arguments about what we are going to get economically, no one would have known. even if we lost it all, to me the central argument was is that i wa nt the central argument was is that i want to be a sovereign nation. it has been a sovereign nation. i don't expect anybody from europe to be ruling on british law, i wouldn't expect anyone from america to be ruling on british law. it may seem small but it's an important point principal. i guess it depends which side you voted for how you perceive this. let's move on, dharshini start—ups and this one. this is the observer front

‘s brexit spokesman, latest from the european parliament's brexit spokesman, guy verhofstadt, who was in charge of the whole brexit negotiations as far as the parliament in the eu is concerned, he is saying that no brexit deal has been achieved yet and he sees the chances at 50—50 of and he sees the chances at 50—50 of a brexit deal going ahead. that is guy verhofstadt of the eu parliament saying no brexit deal yet and seeing the chances of that as 50—50. well, one of the possible impediments to the deal, as we have been hearing, is the irish border issue, the irish cabinet meeting this morning to discuss whether enough progress has been made of that issue on the border, so we go to chris page, who is in belfast and, chris, what is needed here is not actually a deal, it is justly assurances for the irish government, isn't it? but as we are hearing, they do effectively have a veto. that is right, on friday, donald tusk, who theresa may will meet later today, travelled to dublin and really couldn't have given a permit endorsement of the irish government's position on the border. h

we don't support hard brexit or soft brexit. even brexit means different things to different people. the u.k. is leaving the european union. in trade agreement terms, we have to do those things well. the leaving the european union parties to phases. that is where the interest of the e.u. and the u.k. are divergent. that is why you had quite a difficult conversation. now what is really important is that we are embarking on phase two, which is the trade agreement discussion, where the interests are quite aligned. this is the most important thing is that we are in a negotiation for a trade deal, trade framework, between the u.k. and that he you -- and the e.u. sometimes we have a desire to in 24 hours determine what results are going to be. that is not how it is going to work. it is going to be a negotiation between the e.u. and the u.k. there are going to be a lot of things covered. whether it is canada or canada plus, whatever, this is irrelevant. it is going to be a trade negotiation. some things are difficult to do and take tim

these are your headlines the eu and the uk break the brexit deadlock. jean-claude juncker announces divorce talks can progress to the next phase after a deal is reached on the irish border issue. >> i believe we now have made the break through we needed. today's result is, of course, a compromise >> sterling hits session highs as theresa may insists it's a good deal for the british taxpayer >> getting to this point has required give and take on both sides. i believe that the joint report being published is in the best interest of the whole of the uk. >> european banks rally as global supervisors finally sign off on agreements ten years in the making the chair of the basil committee says the compromise reached was worth that long struggle >> it was not so easy to get to the number 72.5, but give than we do have a compromise, everybody has signed off everybody is prepared to implement it in this particular way. >>> a shutdown averted for now president trump will sign a short-term funding bill to keep the u.s. government in motion for another two weeks as

brexit changes everything, but how? businesses, institutions and policiesmakers have been looking at this ever since. rand's study we are going to talk about today looks at possible outcomes and what they mean for economic policy and our cooperation. i'm delighted to see many friends of the wilson center today, introducing an expert panel, the idea is we will hear from charlie, the result of the study, turn this over to michelle for some comment and fran and howard to weigh in. and vice president at rand. including postings in europe, and from 2007 to 2008. at the rand corporation, robin quinville is a distinguished fellow at the council and the senior advisor, and served as vice president for european union and special edition at the council. howard -- howard shatz is the director of rand, initiated research, and the party rand graduate school specialized in economics and national security. and so many varied studies i'm hard-pressed to find something he had. michelle egan is our non-rand expert, one of our own at the

vocal critic of brexit over many months. he thinks it's a catastrophe and should not be happening at all. he has called for a second referendum. that is not labour's position and certainly not the government position, so he has been starkly at odds with the government over months on brexit. it has felt odd for a while that he has remained in his job as chairman of this body which advises the government on its long term infrastructure projects. it is independent of the government, but he is an adviser and that has sat uncomfortably. the government has said he has chosen tojump before he was pushed. i think it was a matter of time before he quit, but it is quite a grenade he has rolled into the debate. we can see some of the letter now. he says "brexit is a populist and nationalists as u nworthy of populist and nationalists as unworthy of donald trump". he accuses the prime minister of pursuing a course fraught with danger, and goes onto say that brexit is causing nervous breakdown across whitehall and conduct u nworthy of acr

it looks like things are moving at a pace over brexit. the british prime minister theresa may is expected in brussels within the hourfor a meeting with the president of the european commission, jean claude juncker. it raises expectations that talks overnight aimed at meeting the concerns of the democratic unionists on the status of the irish border after brexit were successful. the dup is the main party in northern ireland and theresa may relies on their support to keep her in power. they rejected the wording of the draft agreement earlier in the week as they resist any steps which could point to northern ireland having different arrangements with the eu from the rest of the uk. sarah corker is in downing street for us. no doubt it has been a long night. work from the commission, interest only, is that theresa may be there shortly. there appears to be some cautious of them is from both sides. talks continued into the early hours of the morning. they are trying to find the break through. it comes after several days of negotiations between

after brexit we will be ina after brexit? after brexit we will be in a position where we are looking to ensure we are able not only to have new trade deals with countries around the world but also obviously a number of trade arrangements which are currently held with the european union and we will be looking at our relationship with those countries once we leave the eu and are no longer subject to those arrangements. we will have increased trade buyers with the eu 27. we will have increased trade barriers. so the uk is heading for a situation very possibly where it will have increased trade barriers with up to 94 countries, how do you feel about that? i'm afraid i do not acce pt feel about that? i'm afraid i do not accept the premise of your question. the premise is based on has not been able to negotiate a trade deal with the european union and an expectation that there are bound to be increased trade barriers as a result of negotiations that we have. the premise of the question is based on the premise that there can be zero

some people say it is a soft brexit and theresa may has called it a non—brexit. we have to leave it there. if you ever want to meet someone who personifies the british establishment, you won't do better than an encounter with sir richard dearlove. he may have a low personal profile, but he had a long career in the intelligence services and was put in charge of mi6 for five years under tony blair. that makes him m if you like your bond movies, although actually they used the letter c for the boss in real life. parliamentary select in his time at mi6 in its famous building on the south bank of the thames he had to handle 9/11, the build—up to the war in iraq, and the controversy over the so—called dodgy dossier that exaggerated the certainty of the intelligence for iraq having wmd. he was actually criticised in the chilcott report for adding weight to a report that had not been properly evaluated. he went on to be on a master of a cambridge college, so in short he is the kind of man you might either see as a public servant who has helped keep the country secure

it has been a roller—coaster year in terms of the brexit negotiation, evenin terms of the brexit negotiation, even in the last two weeks, we have had ups and downs. but perhaps as the leaders go off into the night at the leaders go off into the night at the end of this last summit of the year, it has finish on a fairly positive note. just looking at donald tusk‘s tweet today, clearly they thought there had been enough progress on the first stage of the negotiation, but the congratulations for that given to the prime minister. they have helped her along, there has been some give and ta ke along, there has been some give and take on both sides, they have reset deadlines. i think what we take away from this summit is that the eu side really does want a deal with theresa may. they see her as their best chance for a smooth brexit. and also they think that with her they can enjoy that there aren't the same sort of hiccups that we might have seen over sort of hiccups that we might have seen over the sort of hiccups that we might have seen over the course sort of hiccups that we might have seen ov

brexit means brexit, but what does brexit mean? -- as a dog's brea kfast. what does brexit mean? -- as a dog's breakfast. 0h, what does brexit mean? -- as a dog's breakfast. oh, what did

brexit negotiations in a shambles! hear, hear! sighs. i was born under a wandering star plays. 2017 was shaped by what happened when a pretty influential person went for a nice, long walk in the countryside and had a little think about things. that was, of course, theresa may, who went on a hike with her husband in april and came back thinking it would be a jolly good idea to call a general election. the decision made on that little stroll defined the year. but plenty happened in the months running up to it. the 2017 journey started, as we all expected, with brexit. are we going to get a detailed plan, prime minister? only a few days shy of the eu referendum's six—month anniversary, theresa may made a speech at lancaster house. it became known as the lancaster house speech. setting out a blueprint of her main objectives for brexit negotiations. as a priority, we will pursue a bold and ambitious free trade agreement with the european union. the days of britain making vast contributions to the european union every year will end. no dealf