i was in iowa, and the sanders campaign was setting expectations so high for the iowa caucuses, it was the sanders steamroller look at the vampire weekend caucus. we're turning out people in droves. we're going to beat the turnout record from maybe 2008. unclear whether in 2016. these are expectations the campaign was setting, and it doesn't -- he may end up receiving the most votes and when this is over maybe the most delegates. it's not a sanders blowout by any stleretch of the imaginatio. >> right. the candidate himself, bernie sanders, was frankly about there yesterday. he was on the plane from iowa to new hampshire speaking with reporters. and he was asked about the turnout that we saw in iowa which, as you know, was closer to 2016 than what some people were saying we were going to see this major surge in enthusiasm in voting, perhaps on par with 2008. bernie sanders said that, frankly, he was disappointed. that he expected higher turnout than what he saw in iowa. if we're looking ahead down the road in the path to the nomination, that could be a warning sign for sanders that that

we're seeing it in iowa as well. at the same time, joe biden who has always looked at south carolina at his fire wall because he does so well with african-american voters which dominate that. as well as hispanics. we're seeing the expectations game playing. and as the biden campaign is at least flatlining a little bit, they have to try to protect themselves by saying this is a marathon. this is not a sprint. >> so hot off the presses. >> yes. >> an article from you this morning. >> actual paper. >> actual paper. >> i haven't seen that in awhile. >> 2020 democrats are bringing butter knives to a gun fight. >> to me the most important thing that happened this week is what with didn't happen. bernie sanders is surging and none of the other candidates have directly challenged him. in effect, i think the biden campaign in particular has made a very cold eye judgment that if they go after sanders here, they would increase the odds that buttigieg or warren would step through the wreckage to win. and they believe that is ult

iowa and new hampshire are almost predominantly white. very dominant minority vote during those opening stages. played well to pete buttigieg and bernie sanders. the two winners of those states in both of those state contests. now if you look at the demographics of nevada and south carolina not coming up here, you underscore the fact where they're going is going to be reflective of where it actually is. not just the democratic party. now, if you narrow that down just into the democratic caucus and primary, those numbers go up significantly higher. that's why joe biden wasn't even in new hampshire last night. his campaign had a pretty good idea of how the night was going to go. they were already down in south carolina. i think what this underscores going forward for every candidate including the two who've had the best first week of these contests who had a major moment of swing into last night is the race is going to look different. there are going to be more opportunities for other candidates to do well. i think the big question right no

nothing like iowa. this is the last thing advocates of the caucus needed, not a scandal but chaos like this, chaos of this time and this inconclusive result. it's going to raise the volumes of some of the concerns, and look it is still a tradition of the nominating process. it is hard to erase all the history we have the with iowa caucuses, and there are going to be people in both parties who defend the iowa caucuses and they're role in this process but it's going to get a lot louder. >> it is contributing to a very strange morning here in new hampshire. i want to go to leyla santiago at the airport in manchester here, and we had some quality time together, leyla. it's so interesting. these candidates are arriving and they don't really know what to say. they don't really know how to behave because they don't know where they stood in iowa. >> reporter: right. quality time indeed. but you're right. we saw joe biden arrive here first. when he arrived i asked him a few things. he didn't respond when i asked

iowa? >> they had apparently they had a problem with the computer system and getting the numbers on. i think they will be able to count them by hand, just like people used to, and then they will get them in. >> has the state told your campaign anything about when they might expect it, or what exactly happened? >> well, coming from a state that's had to count a few ballots as in recounts in minnesota, i'm an expert on this and they can get it done. i'm sure they can get it done by tomorrow. i would hope so. >> i was at a rally of yours -- i've lost track of time, i think it was two nights ago in des moines in beaverdetail at a junior high. one of the lines you used that got the most applause was we better not screw this up. >> i didn't mean the numbers. >> well -- >> i meant -- >> but -- but -- but is iowa screwing it up? >> no, you know what i meant by that. i meant that we need to have a candidate that can lead the ticket, that can bring people with her instead of shutting them out. i made

nothing yet out of iowa, zilch. this really is something of a political debacle and according to the iowa democratic party there won't be any results until later today >> we want to emphasize that this is a reporting issue, not a hack or an intrusion. and it's exactly why we have a paper trail and systems in place to uphold the i'm degree grit of our process. we are validating every piece of data we have against our paper trail. that system is taking longer than expected, but it's in place to ensure we are eventually able to report results with full confidence. >> so what exactly happened? county chairs from across iowa were reporting problems with the new app they were supposed to use to report results. after the app didn't work many say they were kept on hold for hours, some of them right here on cnn you could see it party actually been knocking on the doors of precinct chairs who have not reported their results yet, alisyn. >> as you know several of the candidates are not waiting for the results before putting th

he's got breaking news from iowa on what you're hearing, jeff, from the iowa democratic party. give us that news. >> well, john, i wish i could report the iowa party has results but that is not the case. i talked to a variety of officials from presidential campaigns this morning. they say they are still in the dark. they have not heard any updates overnight from the iowa democratic party. they do not know the timing or the scope of the release of these results. the last word they heard from them was in a conference call a short, intense conference call shortly after midnight. so since then, they've not been updating them. we do not know if they've been counting throughout the evening. we do not know if -- exactly what the state of play is. we're in the room, the building where the democratic party's war room was. so far we've not seen any democratic officials here. so we're, frankly, in a waiting game as well. but it's the presidential campaigns and candidates themselves that are spinning these results. notably, of all the questions being raised here, the tone from the biden ca

of iowa. with this new app that the democratic party there tried to use. rather than making reporting the results of the caucuses more streamlined, the software caused confusion all across the state. caucus chairs have told cnn there was no training for the app. many couldn't even download it. and then when it didn't work, the phone hotline was jammed. the whole system overwhelmed. excitement and expectations for the first of the nation caucus quickly flaming out as concerns grew over no results. >> what's taking so long? >> reporter: the prime suspect, the new app in its first big rollout by the iowa democratic party. designed to make reporting caucus results fast and seamless. it was anything but. >> some of them couldn't install it. some of them could not bring it up and use it. i didn't hear anyone else having the keyboard issue i had, but there were a variety of issues. >> reporter: they loaded the seemingly simple app onto their personal cell phones. it was supposed to tabulate delegates

iowa is one of them. we're going to continue that conversation. >> how much of this is on you, chairman? >> well, again, the iowa democratic party runs the caucus. okay? and they -- what happened was unacceptable. at the same time we came in there. you know, this was unacceptable. that's why we had people -- we still have people on the ground there. we completed the counting last night. and we're going to continue not only to work in iowa, but also to learn the lessons of iowa. so moving forward we are -- we have caucuses in the remaining states that are -- that run smoothly. >> what do you say to the bernie sanders supporters? and we're going to have one on in just a moment. who say you only called for a recanvassing after bernie sanders started closing the gap in state delegate equivalents with pete buttigieg? >> that's not accurate. we're moving -- we're helping -- we're all about accuracy. i'm not about how it affects one candidate or another. and i've spoken to senator sanders. i've spoken to mayor b

i'm not done with iowa yet. >> you're still scarred. >> iowa's not done yet. but there are town halls starting tonight in new hampshire. these are key moments in this process. be sure to watch tonight at 8:00 p.m. only on cnn. how will the feud between president trump and nancy pelosi end? who got more out of the theater last night? why did they feel the need for such theater? maggie haberman joins us next. >> just keep going, john. >> i don't know. you chose not to read. ♪ sifting through a hundred cards, ♪ ♪ for the the perfect valentine ♪ ♪ maybe it's a candy heart, ♪ or maybe it's "bee mine." ♪ the clock is ticking, time is running out ♪ ♪ give her something that will leave her with no doubt. ♪ make this valentine's day mean more, and save 20% ♪ jared. with moderate to severe treplaque psoriasists uncover clearer skin that can last. in fact, tremfya® was proven superior to humira® in providing significantly clearer skin. tremfya® may increase your risk of infections and lower your ability to fight them. tell your doctor if you have

let's start with iowa. let's start with what continues to happen in iowa. let's start with the news this morning that there is now a tie in iowa basically between sanders and buttigieg. and i know that you often talk about the ideological, you know, so can we draw any conclusions at this still early hour about which way democrats at least in iowa are leaning. >> iowa used tock a big event on the political calendar. now it's more like a long weekend apparently with these results, which is just such a shame for all of the candidates. but what you showed in terms of the numbers, in terms of the results out of iowa, it says something about where we are. there is three candidates right now who we should be paying the most attention to. it's buttigieg, warren and sanders. biden is a big story because he's been a front-runner for so long. he's in this red zone of, can he come back? but he's dealing with sanders and warren who are neighboring senators in new hampshire. and these are the most liberal figures in the democratic party and they are getting most of the v

i want to talk about what's happening in iowa. >> oh, iowa. another thing i have a little experience in. >> you really do. just to remind people in 2012 you waited 16 days to find out the results. 16 days later when you won the iowa caucuses, history -- the die was cast. >> people are talking now that bernie and pete have been disadvantaged by having two or three days of not knowing the winner. imagine if someone, you know, and this -- i wrote this on cnn.com op-ed. it's more important to get it right than to get it fast. imagine had elizabeth warren declared the winner or bernie been declared the winner, ultimately find out that buttigieg was two weeks later. well, the lift for bernie winning iowa leading in new hampshire would be a pretty big thing saying how do you stop bernie. that's pretty much what happened in 2012. so look. these -- as you can see in this, it's a very close race. you're talking about three delegates, three state delegate votes. less than 1/10 of 1%. that's a close race. and, you know, this is -- that's great. it's great

to iowa, i think iowa could actually really damage some candidates who do not do well here with new hampshire delivering the final blow. i think most of these candidates will try to go to new hampshire. think about it, a debate on friday and vote on tuesday, so why not give it a go. if they do not show up in new hampshire, financially their fate will be sealed. >> i just had pete buttigieg sitting in the very seat where you are now. the mayor said he needs a strong performance tonight. i said, do you care to define what strong is? he said, no. whatever they come out will be defined. >> third place sounds bad on paper for pete. if he's bunched up 19 or 20 and the person at second is 21 or 22, third ain't that bad for him. >> ryan nobles, you cover the bernie sanders cam pappaign ande for months. it's interesting listening to him last 48 hours. generally speaking you want to lower expect iss. we think we're going to win, we think we're going to do well. what do they say 12 hours from caucus night? >> fundamentally they believe there are more available democratic caucusgoers for their

kay henderson news director for radio iowa. most of this discussion will be focused on shakira and jennifer lopez, but before we get to that, just a few hours to go here. you've watched this all develop. this is the culmination of months and months of campaigning. what do you see? well, you mentioned turnout of 240 in 2008 as the high water market. we had a competitive gubernatorial primary in 2018. only 180,000 democrats turned out that night. so this will eclipse the most competitive primary we've had in the state, number one. number two, you've had candidates invest highly in the ground game. everyone who pays close attention to the game here understands. and because of that, it's my guesstimation that we may see two people come out of here and claim victory. we may have someone who wins the raw vote total of people moving into the caucus on caucus night. and then we may see someone who emerges as the winner of the delegates. >> you want to name names? >> i'm not going to name names, but i think we all know where momentum ma

she knows as many in iowa know that iowa caucuses were -- it was increasingly hard to justify the iowa caucuses to the american public to both political parties really. even before what happened last week just because it's an unrepresentative state of the national -- in the national body politic and the diversity of our country. and so its days may have been numbered anyway. now i think everybody says both parties need to figure out something different here. >> looking at joe biden coming in fourth in iowa banking on new hampshire, we look at where he's struggling there. you said about biden, quote, i never he'd be the nominee. what do you think now after seeing biden's performance in iowa? and do you wish now a little bit that you'd gotten in? >> no, i don't wish that i'd gotten in. my not getting in the race had zero to do with joe biden. if he was going to get in and i didn't know for sure at that point. i just didn't have the -- one of the things that -- i think one of the reasons i won in ohio in a state that trump carries, is i bring a certain joy to this job. i love the senate a

. >> so when i last saw you it was before the iowa caucuses. obviously a lot has changed since then. you emerged from there with a lot of momentum. how does it feel tonight? how different does it feel? >> well, it feels really good. the energy we're seeing among our volunteers, organizers and the voters showing up at our events tells me that we have momentum right now and are in a great position for a good night. but new hampshire is a state that thinks for itself, voters don't like to be told by other states or really anybody, so we know that we need to earn every single vote, that's why we've been working so hard doing events across the state, making sure we speak to voters who even now are going through their options and making up their mind. >> how does it feel different than it did before? >> you know, every state has a kind of different feel to it. here i think the fact that folks will go in and cast a ballot is just a different system from the caucus, of course, but the other thing is i think there's a greater than ever sense of urgency.

but, cnn analysis of those iowa results show errors in the count being reported by the iowa democratic party as this race now has clearly shifted to new hampshire. some are talking about even more contested convention this summer. it happens when a party's nominee is not picked by a majority in the first round. then what happens? let's get to our forecast. cnn senior politics writer and analyst harry enten. >> what a freaking mess in iowa. my goodness gracious. feels like groundhog day over and over again. but i think the main thing to take away from iowa was how close it was and we may be, in fact, heading towards a contested convention. what the heck is a contested convention. you sort of pointed it out there. it's when no one has a majority of pledge delegates on the first ballot. that's not happened since 1952. but what i will say is the rules have been designed since 1992 on the democratic side, my mind make it more likely than ever. that's since 1992, there's a 15% threshold in every state to get a proportional amount of delegates. and so that essentially means that if you have t

first there were no results from iowa. probably robbing pete buttigieg of a big election night momentum swing. also there were partial results that buttigieg could brag for about a day about leading. but now sanders has reason to gripe. iowa claims they'll have all the numbers by later this morning. >>> breaking news just seconds ago. the sanders campaign announced another number they love this morning. they say they raised $25 million in january alone. we'll put that number in context but i have my ideas why they're releasing it this morning. joe biden addressed his disappointing night in iowa at a cnn town hall in new hampshire. we'll play for you the moment that people are talking about this morning. >> meanwhile, president trump plans to make a statement today now that the republican-controlled senate has acquitted him on both impeachment charges. the president is already attacking senator mitt romney, the lone republicans who voted with democrats to convict the president. romney is now the only senator in american his

by that i mean beyond the iowa debacle, what is the other story in iowa this morning? >> there's two lanes. the biggest story is a mayor of a city, and i mean no disrespect to south bend, but it's the fourth largest city in indiana. not quite as big as the football stadium at the university of texas. 100,000 people. the mayor of a small city who has never won a statewide office defeated everybody, it looks like, in iowa. but most importantly in that moderate lane. defeated the former vice president of the united states by 11 points? that's astonishing. on top of that, he's making history as the first lgbtq plus american. in the liberal lane, bernie who got 49% last time, tying hillary clinton, he's about 26? 25%? he's seven points ahead of elizabeth warren. they are being robbed of the victory lap they deserve. that's really unfair and unfortunate for them but they'll have to make it up in new hampshire. >> let's talk about that, karen. i think paul just spelled out the good news for mayor buttigieg. but because of the debacle of iowa, now does it basically give a do-o

john is on his way to iowa. but john we will be very happy to watch you. >> i'll miss you terribly. >> me too. >> thank you for that. see you all on monday. stay tuned. through the at&t network, edge-to-edge intelligence gives you the power to see every corner of your growing business. from finding out what's selling best... to managing your fleet... to collaborating remotely with your teams. giving you a nice big edge over your competition. that's the power of edge-to-edge intelligence. you always want to be able to for your patients.f get them out of pain, get them out of pain fast. we have a new product out there: sensodyne rapid relief. if you use it on monday, by thursday, you'll be enjoying that chocolate ice cream again. they can start it, and 3 days later, i know that they're going to have the results they were looking for. when life throws type 2 diabetes your way,... why wait? hit back now. farxiga, along with diet and exercise,... ...helps lower a1c in adults with type 2 diabetes. and when taken with

they say we basically tie in iowa. there's amy klobuchar live arriving at another polling location in manchester. alisyn has an interview with her we'll air in one moment. but bernie sanders emerged from iowa basically tied behind pete buttigieg there. they are leading in the polls here. that campaign feels like, hey, we're in the driver's seat. we're the national front-runner. is there a good argument to be made? >> as good as any. i think there are two ways of looking at this. on the one hand, he's the other national front-runner finished in fourth in iowa and is struggling to get, you know, the top three here in new hampshire. so i don't necessarily think we should be calling joe biden the national front-runner and not also considering bernie sanders potentially to be that, too. but at the same time, he won here by a lot four years ago. he had an enormous amount of support in this state. if he just ekes out a win here, it's going to be a problem for him. it's not going to be easy to command leadership in the rest of

that is all because of iowa in my opinion. when you come in fourth place and you're the front runner nationally, you're expected to take a dive. >> listening to what the biden campaign is saying, they're talking about surviving new hampshire. >> they're just hoping to get the heck out of there. >> what do we know about new hampshire historically? do you have to win it? do you have to come in first or second? >> historically on the democratic side, if you're looking here at their new hampshire finish back to 1972. you see a lot of first and second places. there is no one who's finished third or worst in new hampshire and gone on to win the nomination. so the fact is if you look historically speaking, there's not a lot of precedent for someone fishing fourth or fifth in new hampshire. >> besides thinking perhaps thinking this is going to be different. 95% of them are white. so, you know, if you're thinking about nevada, south carolina down the road. maybe joe biden may in fact be able to break the mold. >> can i draw on your boa

we are no longer new hampshire and iowa. non-white democrats will finally get a say in this primary. >> okay. who's going to win? >> you know what? there has not been a lot of polling here, but based upon the polling predictiveness and the betting markets, the favorite is clearly bernie sanders. he has a 12 in 20 shot of winning. that's about 60%. but the rest of them all have a shot combined anyway. 3.5 in 20 of wiping. we'll see if that holds. >> given biden's performances in the first two states, a second or a third. would that be considered a win in effect for him? >> i think if he came in second, that would not be awful. i don't think he can come in third here. obviously he would need to come in first in south carolina which is the next contest down the road. majority african-american. >> have you looked at who wins in iowa and new hampshire and then who wins in nevada? >> we have a very small sample size in the democratic side where we have iowa and new hampshire, then nevada. back in 2008 hillary clinton won in new ha

yes, new hampshire, they will look at the momentum coming out of iowa. also, there are states that say, do i think that state got it right. are we going to make sure, vote a different way because we think maybe in south carolina we'll see this. joe biden is the one for us and the one that really understands our issues, particularly if you see a large african-american electorate, which i would expect, which should favor joe biden. so i think there is really a desire to look at the four early states as a composite. i certainly think new hampshire is excited to be up next tomorrow but they know there's sort of an air -- something in the air among the party -- and i think the chairman talked about this a little yesterday with jake tapper -- there are probably going to be changes. there's also recognition this may be the last time new hampshire goes second and that we have this kind of build up to the states that are more diverse and for people to want that diversity and see how candidates can do in those environments early in the process. >> really interesti

after iowa pete buttigieg was no place in iowa -- i mean in new hampshire when he won iowa or came in second or whatever he did that made it tie iowa. let's say as they tied last night if you want to say that. buttigieg actually got more delegates. so whatever. they're all going to spin it their own way. but here's what happened. all of a sudden amy klobuchar is a candidate. voters in south carolina are going to look at that. voters in new hampshire gave buttigieg and klobuchar a second look because of what happened in iowa. and now they're all going to get another look in south carolina. and then whatever happens there is going to have an influence on nevada. the polls that happened before those two events are really not terribly helpful right now. >> understood. governor, thank you very much. howard dean, it was great to have you on. >> thank you. >>> all right. so how far will the justice department go to get leniency for a convicted felon to happens to be the president's friend? that's next. as a struggling actor, i need all the breaks that i can get. at liberty butchumal- cut. li

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-- could lose iowa, lose new hampshire. south carolina is the fire wall. then he's off to the races. >> we're facing the reality here as michael pointed out, what do losses do to joe biden's argument to voters in the latter state that he is actually electable? does it undercut that case? and i think he's really facing that possibility right now. i've spoken to voters who said, i like joe biden but i do worry that maybe he's weaker than i thought he was. that's a real problem for him. he has to hold onto his base of support in south carolina. and we know that african-american voters in particular, their number one priority is picking someone who they think can beat trump. and if biden by performing poorly here undercuts that argument, i think it's going to be a problem for them. and that's why you've seen that shift in his tone. that's why you've seen him start to become a lot more aggressive about this race. dealing in a way he hasn't before. because they know they can't get there. >> we played that sound bite in the intro

we've heard it in iowa, we're obviously continuing to hear it now. >> okay. guys, thank you very much. great to talk to you. as i've mentioned, i am at an elementary school, this polling place opened at 6:00 a.m., we've seen very hardy voters already showing up. so we're going to talk to some of them about who they just voted for and why. that's straight ahead. hey hun, we don't need to do anything special for valentine's day. okay. ♪ even if she says she doesn't need a thing ♪ ♪ show her you care, make her heart sing ♪ make this valentine's day mean more. ♪ jared. molly: my np spends a lot of with me and gives me a lot of attention which led to my diagnosis. she initiated tests and found out what was wrong. she's treated both my children since they were born. bridgette: i feel that my np cares about me as a person and not just if i'm sick or not. molly: and i really love my nurse practitioner because we have such a strong connection. i know that whenever i call, she'll be there for me. my name is molly and we choose nps. np: consider an np. when pa

we have gone to school on the lessons of iowa. we're as low tech as humanly possible while still preserving efficiency. we had -- one of the problems in iowa was we had a lot of volunteers who had to do back of the envelope math. the caucus calculator is a simple tool. it's an off-the-shelf tool that enables them to do that math. i'll tell you, the math of the first -- of the early voting phase has been remarkable. first three days there were 36,000 early voters. we had 84,000 total participants in 2016. and that 36,000 doesn't include yesterday which i think may be the biggest day of them all. so what people understand is, and i have been -- i was in a number of sites. i just want to get this president ourkts it, i'm here. i don't mind waiting was democracy is priceless and we've held over a thousand trainings for over 3,000 volunteers. we continue to train them. going to school in iowa, making sure the story saturday night is the candidates, not the process. that's our goal. >> understood. and, tom, have you personally given thi

that had them entering that iowa month at a critical point. they had to as you said tap into kind of an unprecedented reserve of $3 million line of credit which they say they did not use. they end up in the last month, it's important to know, having what they say has been their best campaign fund raising to date. after even disappointing results in iowa and new hampshire, the debate performance has super charged their fund raising. they say they're in a better place now but gives us a key window to know just how close they were to really insolvency going into february. >> so karen, what's the answer? what can they do now? >> well, look. i think they are wise to have had -- i think it's an important point that they have had -- i think she's got about a thousand people on the ground in those super tuesday states. really the point of it is to get to super tuesday. she has a huge advantage. obviously bloomberg just put 2,000 people, i think, on the ground. but they just got there. and warren's had people there for quite a period of time. that matt

in iowa and new hampshire, got about 26%. much lower share of the late deciders. but look at the first and second choice. i think this gives you a real understanding that i don't think that ceiling exists. first plus second choice in my most recent polls, 41% for bernie sanders. that's a clear indication there is more support for him out there beyond the first choice. he will be able to build. we've seen that in the national polls. since iowa he's been building that support. >> what's the 15% threshold and where he is with it? >> we're going to have a lot of primaries coming up. i looked at the recent polling and averaged them. statewide, you know, you have to reach at least 15% to get statewide delegates. and take a look at owl -- all of these states. arkansas, california, georgia, maine, massachusetts, nevada, new jersey, texas, virginia vermont. that means he is in a position to pick up a lot of delegates and that is the name of the game. >> he will fill the delegate bank. cha ching. i think this explains this in greater detail here. >> california. this is a ne

i thought it was not going to be like iowa. we were correct. the nearest analogy are the ant anti-lock decided by awe few democrats, decided in the 10:00 p.m. hour, we had a winner by 11:00. thank you, new hampshire, you know how to count votes -- unlike in iowa. >> and thank you, harry. always great to talk to you wherever you are. >> shalom, be well. >> you, too. >> maybe stay another day or two. >>> 40 more passengers on board a quarantined cruise ship have been diagnosed with coronavirus. we have a live report on the growing outbreak next. 5g will change business in america. t-mobile has the first and only, nationwide 5g network. and with it, you can shape the future. we've invested 30 billion dollars and built our new 5g network for businesses like yours. while some 5g signals only go a few blocks, t-mobile 5g goes for miles. no other 5g signal goes farther or is more reliable in business. tomorrow is in your hands. partner with t-mobile for business today. that's a reason to switch to jackson hewitt. no one gets you a bigger refund or you

i love iowa, i love new hampshire. south carolina especially, it has the best track record of picking the nominee. john edwards won in 2004 because he was from there. every other time they've picked a winner. and that's because people of color, particularly african-americans, particularly african-american women are the heart and soul of the democratic party. and so i want to know that. i care desperately and i'll look through all the chicken entrails of new hampshire but i want to know where are people of color going. joe had a claim on their affection and support but that claim is weakening by the minute and i think all of those other campaigns, first with latinos and union members in nevada and african-americans in south carolina, they need to be moving in. i thought if elizabeth went down, bernie would go up. it didn't happen. if joe goes down with people of color, i don't know who claims those votes. maybe they should go and earn them, like ana says. >> let me tell you what else. my people need to move to new hamps

i have friends who said their children were in iowa. people from miami, you don't go to iowa in january and february. because they were campaigning for bernie sanders. >> let's put up some poll numbers here. this is from "the wall street journal," i believe. it has to do with if people are comfortable with the candidate being a socialist. 46% very uncomfortable. ana used a political science term for this wuhich is the heebie-jeebies. and you acknowledge they exist for a lot of voters whether democrats absolutely 100% need them, i don't know. but they'd sure be convenient if you want to win an election. >> when you look at the polling when it's not just some hypothetical socialist. the polling shows bernie sanders is the best candidate in terms of electability against trump at this point. it used to be biden. but now sanders outperforms biden on that measure of electability. i think the bottom line is -- and this is core to my own political philosophy. economic populism is an electoral winner. why? because it's a unifying message across

so in iowa, there was an app. and that ended up not working for the precinct captains as they hoped. in nevada, i understand there's a calculator. so that also sounds a little bit complicated, the calculator, because here's what one precinct captain there in nevada told our reporters this week. quote, the real problem is that they try to mix and match two different, completely different systems of voting, and they are really struggling with how to communicate the results from one over to the other. and what that precinct captain was referring to was the early voting under way and it's been happening and the caucusing tomorrow. how have you figured that out? >> so from the very beginning, what we've been doing here at the party is making sure that, number one, what happened in iowa, will not happen in nevada. and what we've done since then, put our head down, gone to work and made sure to implement off the shelf low-tech options, which is our caucus calculator that will enable our precinct chairs who will be charge

warren debated as if her campaign depended on it and it might given worse than expected showings in iowa and new hampshire. the front-runner bernie sanders faced questions about his health and his wealth. in fact the most tweeted line of the debate was a comment made about the three homes owned by the democratic socialist. >> bloomberg's campaign is facing reality this morning essentially admitting his performance was underwhelming. they're urging voters to standby for next week's debate in south carolina but was there damage done last night? there was also an exchange. let's begin with arlette saenz. i doubt you've slept much, arlette, so tell us the highlights. >> good morning. and elizabeth warren's campaign said she reissed $2 million on the debate stage. but all these contenders showed they were ready to fight in what was the most fiery i contentious debate yet. the democrats were ready to rumble in their first chance at debate against michael bloomberg. >> the mayor says he has a great record, he's done these wonderful things. well, the fact of the matter is he has not managed his

pete buttigieg, of course, did really, really well in iowa and new hampshire. new hampshire came in a close second. iowa a tie for first with bernie sanders. he's down here at the bottom at 8%. elizabeth warren whose campaign is struggling at just 12%. amy klobuchar who impressive finish is down at 9. bloomberg enters the race and was nowhere in the polls. then spent $400 million or more. and take a look. you're seeing both in the npr/marist poll and across all the polling. in december, just at 4%. now up to 19%. but i don't want to lose track of the fact that bernie sanders is also climbing. he was at 22% in december in this poll and at 31% now. and we're seeing it across all the polls. and what i should point out for these numbers for bloomberg and sanders is these are the best numbers for both of them in cnn approved national poll for this entire cycle. both of them really climbing up. but, of course, this poll matters for a big important reason. why? it was a qualifying poll for mike bloomberg with his 19% in the marist college/npr poll. he qualifies for th

coming in second in new hampshire and basically a tie for first in iowa. he's all the way back here at just 8% of the vote. so the momentum that he saw in those early states in iowa and new hampshire does not necessarily seem to be transferring over to the national picture and indeed i would point this out in terms of the trend lines that we're seeing, this marist poll is indicative of what we're seeing a lot the other polling. look at bloomberg, when he entered the first marist poll had him at 4% he has rocketed up to 19%. also look at bernie sanders. i don't want him to get lost in this picture because he's also going up in the polls as well. he was back at 22% in december. look at him now, he is at 31%. and this bottom line tells the story. it's the best cnn approved national polls for bloomberg and sanders this entire cycle. so as biden has been going down sanders has been picking up ground as well as michael bloomberg. of course what, does this all mean for tomorrow night's debate? it means that you hinted out at the top of the hour, michael bloomberg

. >> we won the popular vote in iowa. we won the vote in new hampshire. i believe we're going to win in nevada, south carolina. we're going to win a lot of states on super tuesday. >>> we want to welcome our viewers in the united states and all around the world. this is "new day." and if you're just waking up, there is a developing story courtesy of former white house chief of staff john kelly. john kelly is speaking out about many things he saw during his time in the white house. notably, he is defending lieutenant colonel alexander vindman who was fired by president trump for testifying in the impeachment trial. general kelly said vindman did exactly what we teach them to do from cradle to grave. we teach them, do not follow an illegal order. and if you're ever given one, you'll raise it to whoever gives it to you that this is an illegal order and then you tell your boss, end quote. that will likely enrage the president who seems hell bent on revenge since he was impeached. and cnn has learned that more career prosecutors may soon walk off the job. they

>> but i do think it's a bit obscene that we have somebody who, by the way, chose not to contest in iowa, in nevada, in south carolina, in new hampshire. he said, i don't have to do that. i'm worth $60 billion. >> do you think michael bloomberg is trying to buy the democratic nomination for president? >> yes. what else do you call it when you dip into your endless reserves of millions and billions and don't go through the process of campaigning? >> reporter: pete buttigieg who leads the delegate count right now also taking aim at front runner bernie sanders. >> we're asking people to choose between a revolution and the billionaire. i just don't think that's speaking to where most of us are right now. >> reporter: sanders trying to disavow the tactics that some of his supporters have taken. >> there are people out there who want to divide the progressive movement. we can have a debate about the issues, but i do not believe in online bullying. end of discussion. >> i'm elizabeth warren, i'm going -- the woman who is going to beat donald trump. >> reporter: elizabeth warren losing her voice

and in the last week and a half since iowa, new hampshire, there have been voters who settle on bloomberg as a choice. what is the feeling of the bloom-curious voter this morning? >> obviously, not good. he spent a half million dollars building expectations and the roll-out was a disaster. and that has consequences, but not great consequences necessarily and i don't want to steel the reality check line from john, but here's one reality check. he's going to probably talk to more voters today via his advertising than he spoke to last night at the debate. and that's the great advantage that he has. but he can't keep failing as miserably as he did last night. now he has reset the bar, and the bar is as low as you can go and so if he comes out more strongly next week, he'll get some credit for that. but this was not an auspicious beginning for bloomberg. you build anticipation, but you have to deliver on the promise. he didn't deliver on the promise last night. >> on the flip side, john avlon, you talk to us so often about moral equivalence and avoiding it and situational morality and avoiding

i caught up with you between iowa and new hampshire. you did better than expected in iowa. you were excited about new hampshire. you did better than expected in new hampshire. but, at some point, candidates need to win somewhere. if we can throw up on the map super tuesday, where are you going to win? i know minnesota is on this map so it's a trick question, but where are you going to win beyond minnesota? >> well, of course i'm going to win in minnesota. but beyond that, you saw me doing better in what state? the state that had a primary. right now, john, i am third for total vote-getting. look at it. why is that? because these caucus states are tougher. these caucus states are tougher for people who are a little more in the middle. every single state coming up on super tuesday is a primary state, except america samoa. they're a calk ucus state. everybody else is a primary state. that's to my advantage to do better. i'll note people like bill clinton lost a number of primaries before he started emerging. and when you have the third biggest vote total on the stage, you'll k

avoiding the disastrous results that plagued the iowa democratic party on their election night. alisyn and jim is this. >> that would be good, but they're not sure that they're going to be able to avoid that. >> show you can count the votes. basic step. >> yes. but at the moment, people don't feel that confident. >> not at all. >> m.j., thank you very much. >>> so will michael bloomberg be on the debate stage this week? and how would the other candidates handle that? p numberp number 360 smart bed. can it help keep me asleep? absolutely, it senses your movements and automatically adjusts to keep you both comfortable. save 50% on the sleep number 360 limited edition smart bed. plus 0% interest for 36 months. ends monday. it's got all my favorite shows turn oright there.boom, i wish my trading platform worked like that. well have you tried thinkorswim? this is totally customizable, so you focus only on what you want. okay, it's got screeners and watchlists. and you can even see how your predictions might affect the value of the stocks you're interested in. now this is what i'm tal

so you got iowa and new hampshire. then you get nevada and south carolina. basically through the south. except for, you know, carolina and some of the big states. so the problem that you have, though, is that there's a weakness in the biden campaign. that is obviously. it's not just a weakness in the candidate. people will say oh he's mabl a little bit slower. no. the problem is a former vice president, two-term vice president, obama's guy, should be just sucking in money. he's broke. that shows a lack of enthusiasm not just at the grassroots level where he needed that, but also at the top. and so it's very, very hard to understand the rationale in the biden candidacy as a campaign. he doesn't have the grassroots enthusiasm. he's not filling stadiums like bernie sanders. he's not taking in money from the top. if he does something extraordinary tomorrow night, he blows it out. and all of a sudden there's like, oh. joe's back. maybe something reverses. but it's a weird strategy. >> if i could say, i think it's true he doesn't have the money. what he is, howeve

>> well, joe biden is really looking for a turn around here in nevada after those poor finishes in iowa and new hampshire. what he and his campaign point to over and over is the fact that nevada is a more diverse state compared to those first two contests. biden is hoping for a strong finish here, he needs a strong performance on that debate stage. his performances in previous debates have been somewhat shaky at times, but he really needs to come out tomorrow and make his case because he needs a strong showing here to propel him into other diverse states like south carolina and super tuesday, which are quickly approaching and super tuesday contests are where michael bloomberg has been pouring all of his time and resources in and it's kind of eating into a bit of biden's support and also into the overall moderate wing. if you really look right now at that polling, the moderates are split among about four candidates. so i think in the coming days and weeks you're going to have all of these candidates really trying to coalesce and try to coalesce that moderate support to get themselves to

he had terrible results in iowa and new hampshire. better, but not great results in nevada. so people have been looking for signs of political life. which is why some people are pointing to moments like this. where he at a minimum at least sees the stage last night. so watch this. >> bernie. bernie, in fact, hasn't passed much of anything. the fact of the matter is -- no, no. the fact is i'm not ou out of time. he spoke over time and i'm going to talk. here's the deal. >> all right. what did you see from him last night that might get biden supporters excited? and what's his path? if he is able to win south carolina, what next? >> well, a couple of things. many people have been arguing and i think correctly when you start off with iowa and new hampshire as wonderful as those folks are, they don't really represent the democratic party nationwide. and south carolina with the first primary, we would be having a different discussion today about who the number one and two front runners are in the race. somebody hit biden with a cattle prod last night. i think he understood that if

forward because joe biden has said that i will bring people of color, and i'm sorry to say this to iowa and new hampshire, but people of color are the base of the democratic party. president obama for eight years, if he loses to bernie sanders or only beats him by three or four points, what pathway does he have and how can you look at the american people and say i'm the best bet for you to beat trump? he came out strong. the bar is always low for joe biden, no offense to joe biden, but he performed with vigor. he was consistent. he made a contrast to bernie. i think it will be enough for him to win south carolina to give some life to him moving forward. can he sustain it? that's the big question. >> first of all, waj set the over/under at 8%. >> that was helpful. that was helpful. >> 8% is the over/under. i want to show people what waj is talking about with the path for joe biden. this can be confusing to some people watching for the last few days. everyone saying bernie sanders is the national front-runner. it's bernie sanders to lose. but there say path for joe biden. and it will ulti

he's had two very subpar performances in iowa and new hampshire. we'll see what happens in nevada. but i think there's widespread expectation that he is not going to end up as the democratic nominee. you've got to play it out. that's why they play the game. that's why they have the election. mike bloomberg is somebody who has come off onto the stage from stage right with unlimited resources. somebody who has a unique knowledge of president trump over decades, has an ability to get under the president's skin, is much richer than president trump, has built a successful business. i think the looming figure of mike bloomberg as potentially somebody who could gin himself into the finals of the democratic nomination, maybe become the democratic nominee, i think that alarms president trump. one thing republicans have had going for them in the election so far while democrats are fighting, they have accumulated a massive war chest at the rnc and trump re-election campaign. that is peanuts compared to war chest sitting in mike bloomberg's bank account. mike bloomberg has a clever team of adv

. >> we won the popular vote in iowa. we won the vote in new hampshire. i believe we're going to win in nevada, south carolina. we're going to win a lot of states on super tuesday. >>> we want to welcome our viewers in the united states and all around the world. this is "new day." and if you're justak

she fought like she had nothing to lose after less than stellar results in iowa and new hampshire. front-runner bernie sanders also on the defense at times over his health, his wealth and the ugly tactics used by some of his online supporters. >> the bloomberg campaign all but admitted his performance was lacking and they say literally he was just warming up. so what impact will that showing have on the bloom curious? and then there was the bitter standoff between pete buttigieg and amy klobuchar that culminated with her asking if he was calling her dumb. and my question is what do they see that makes them think they need to run through cnn's arlette saenz has the highlight of the debate. >> reporter: well, john, there were a lot of fireworks last night in las vegas. one candidate who benefitted from that was elizabeth warren. her campaign saying she raised more than $2 million on debate day as she also won one metric. speaking time. but all of these candidates came ready to fight last night in the most fiery and contentious debate yet. is the democrats were ready to rumble against