dana loesch, jennifer rubin, james carville. appreciate it. >>> turning to a disturbing story out of text, a shocking video surfacing on youtube showing a county judge beating his daughter. it was shot years ago, just being released. the police investigating -- the police investigation is just getting started. we have the latest on this. really, you should see this. >>> plus the syrian government signaling it is ready toned the brutal crackdown on its own people? this coming from the government. this isn't the first time the assad regime made similar promises. ahead, why a deal announced today could mean this time may be different. but not holding my breath. >>> and members of a breakaway amish sect launching a string of humiliating attacks on other amish members. mainstream members. we're talking about beard cutting, hair cutting. strange stuff. gary tuchman's investigation when we continue. [ man ] i got this citi thank you card and started earning loads of points. you got a weather balloon with points? yes, i did. [ man ] poi

gloria borger is here and cnn contributors erick erickson and james carville. i want you all to listen. mark block is herman cain's campaign manager. just moments ago he was on fox news and he says he is convinced his candidate did nothing wrong. >> i asked mr. cain directly, on numerous occasions, were there anything that any of these allegations -- and he looked me square in the eye and said no. all right? mr. cain has never committed any sexual harassment period, end of story. >> james carville, mr. block makes an emphatic case there. is that part of the public record they need to create to put this behind them? or is it herman cain's campaign manager, so why should we believe him? he is a bias. >> well, mark block gets a spot in his own candidate, and everyone thought it was amazing that a campaign manager would endorse a candidate. i thought that was sort of par for the course. but this doesn't go very far in putting this behind him. they certainly suspect the perry campaign. any detective in the world would suspect the perry campaign. whether they did it

avlon joins us, james carville, and nancy. thanks to all three of you. can she do it for him? talking about gloria? >> can gloria save herman cain? this is different than that bill and hillary moment on "60 minutes." the gender difference is stark. it's steep. iowa could turn the whole thing around from january 3rd, her main can is in trouble and the numbers are finally taking a poll. >> would you agree, nancy? >> i do. his integrity and he wasn't the smoothest person out there but he seemed the most authentic. this particular attack is really a gut shot to him. it's one that is going to be extraordinarily difficult to recover from and, unfortunately, the sheer number of women who have come forward have started to tip the scales for other women across the country, saying, if that many people come forward, there must be some truth to it. >> james carville, there was a meeting out today, an editorial board of a newspaper, asked a question on libya. i have to say, i think he just literally -- his mind is so busy with what is going on, i don't think he's able to function anymore.

john avlon joins us, james carville, and nancy fotenhower. thanks to all three of you. can she do it for him? talking about gloria? >> can gloria save herman cain? this is different than that bill and hillary moment on "60 minutes." right now you're seeing a slow motion implosion of herman cain's numbers. the gender difference is stark. it's steep. he's still doing relatively well in iowa. iowa could turn the whole thing around from january 3rd, herman cain is in trouble and the numbers are finally taking a poll. >> would you agree, nancy? >> i do. herman cain's appeal was because of his integrity and sincerity. when he was on stage debating, he wasn't the smooth he was, but he seemed the most authentic. this particular attack is really a gut shot to him. it's one that is going to be extraordinarily difficult to recover from and, unfortunately, the sheer number of women who have come forward have started to tip the scales for other women across the country, saying, if that many people come forward, there must be some truth to it. >> james carville, there was a meeting t

i want to dig deeper with dana and jennifer rubin and james carville. dana, for the cain campaign, the most recent response of this, is it called -- basically, is it called -- it's for a call for the perry campaign and politico to apologize and do you think that's going to work? >> this is something that they try to avoid now and they have all of these -- like you were saying earlier, it's very interesting that herman cain said on monday that he had no knowledge that these -- he had no knowledge at all of any kind of settlement and yet today the story came out that while he actually did talk to kurt anderson and they discussed it in detail, their words, not mine. so he opens the door to all of these questions and i think it's just going to end up being bad for him and i've seen the polls to how this translates to later on, how this is going to affect them. this is a bad move. this was sloppy. and the cain campaign is handling this in a very sloppy fashion. >> obviously the cain campaign has made a few missteps the last couple of days. the question is, a

john avlon joins us, james carville, and nancy fotenhower. thanks to all three of you. can she do it for him? talking about gloria? >> can gloria save herman cain? this is different than that bill and hillary moment on "60 minutes." right now you're seeing a slow motion implosion of herman cain's numbers. the gender difference is stark. it's steep. he's still doing relatively well in iowa. iowa could turn the whole thing around from january 3rd, herman cain is in trouble and the numbers are finally taking a poll. >> would you agree, nancy? >> i do. herman cain's appeal was because of his integrity and sincerity. when he was on stage debating, he wasn't the smooth he was, but he seemed the most authentic. this particular attack is really a gut shot to him. it's one that is going to be extraordinarily difficult to recover from and, unfortunately, the sheer number of women who have come forward have started to tip the scales for other women across the country, saying, if that many people come forward, there must be some truth to it. >> james carville, there was a meeting t

let's talk it over with ari fleischer and james carville. james, until today there hadn't been a face or really a voice to go with some of these charges. now there is. does that make a difference? >> well, i think the whole thing makes a difference because people are going to say, well, this was today, what's going to happen tomorrow or the next day? once these things start, it's endless. and i suspect that he's really -- we're going to see in the next ten days that he's really been hurt in the polls. i never thought he had a chance to be the republican nominee. i certainly don't think so after this. less than zero, but whatever it is, he's gone into negative territory now. >> ari, i want to read you what bill bennett had to say in a publication tonight. if herman cain cannot stand up to these charges, if he refuses to, then he should step out of the race. a man big enough to run for president should be big enough to have a full and candid press conference on all of this. do you agree with that? >> no, i don't think he should give a full and

let's talk it over with ari fleischer and james carville. james, until today there hadn't been a face or really a voice to go with some of these charges. now there is. does that make a difference? >> well, i think the whole thing makes a difference because people are going to say, well, this was today, what's going to happen tomorrow or the next day? once these things start, it's endless. and i suspect that he's really -- we're going to see in the next ten days that he's really been hurt in the polls. i never thought he had a chance to be the republican nominee. i certainly don't think so after this. less than zero, but whatever it is, he's gone into negative territory now. >> ari, i'll read you what bill bennett had to say tonight. if herman cain cannot stand up to these charges, if he refuses to, then he should step out of the race. a man big enough to run for president should be big enough to have a full and candid press conference on all of this. do you agree with that? >> no, i don't think he should give a full and candid press conferen

james carville, alex castellani. other important news we're following now, including iran. seems to be getting closer than ever toward building a nuclear weapon and may be working on that right now. that's the disturbing discussion of a detailed new report of the international atomic energy agency. jill daugherty's at the state department where they've been going through this report, line by line. jill, you've been combing through it yourself. what's inside? >> i think you'd have to say that it contains very specific details about things like high speed detonators, exper menation with uranium and other materials and also indicates that this work may still be continuing. iran has mastered the critical steps necessary to design and construct a nuclear weapon. but iran's leaders have not yet made the decision to build it. that's the key conclusion of a new report on iran's nuclear program from the agency, the iaea. the agency has serious concerns regarding the possible military dimensions to iran's nuclear program, the report says. information indicates iran has carried out ac

. >> let me ask you about something james carville just said. he is in a dead heat with mitt romney with one of the last polls. 54% of conservatives say they're not concerned about allegations of sexual harassment. >> herman cain never had any business running for president. this past weekend he did a debate with newt gingrich where he was asked about existing structure of medicaid. he completely drew a -- medicare rather. he drew a complete blank. it says something troubling about the party that the candidates who might -- who ought to be candidates, governors and senators are not the candidates and one front runner, mitt romney, is so mistrusted and disliked by republicans and meanwhile they keep flitting from people who are bound to have trouble in their baggage because they haven't gone through political process of being elected governor or mayor and come out on the basis of a speech in a campaign ad. i hope this is one of those incidents that blasts some sense into the party. whatever happens in this particular case, whatever the truth is,

james carville was on board of cruise. and here is newt staying hydrated, very important when you're discussing the greek debt crise. and newt's explanation of his all-you-can-research booze cruise puts any of his so-called scandals in a new light. that half a million dollar line of credit at tiffanies? he was just studying the reckless spending that is ruining our economy. his million-plus fake twitter followers. a daring expoas a of internet fraud. the three wives, two of whom he cheated, one while she was battling cancer, that was not gay. ( laughter ) ( applause ) newt with a bullet. newt with a bullet. nation, i say you should never judge a book by its cover. wait till the movie comes out. ( laughter ). this is tip of the hat, wag of the finger. cheape( cheers ) you know, i have always supported friend of the show and libertarian bridge troll ron paul. ( laughter ) that's why i am so excited about the new 2012 pinups for ron paul calendars full of lovely ladies that illustrate important libertarian causes. for instanc

. >>> the president's blue collar dilemma, james carville and ron brownstein. james you know the state very well. senator casey was just there. cavil and begala made their name helping his father, bob casey in pennsylvania. right up here, this is hillary clinton in the democratic primary. yes, president obama carried it in the general el find what in pennsylvania they call casey democrats. national politics we might call them reagan democrats. should this president be worried that in places like this in there is state, across the country, he will lose these voters? >> tomorrow night, it will age me, we'll have the 25th reunion of bob casey's gubernatorial campaign. i'm sure i'll see senator casey tomorrow night also. look, i don't know ron -- i don't see how a democrat could win without winning pennsylvania. you know, look, it's tough, and it's been probably hit harder than most places in the country, but he's going to have to dig in there and get it. it's been reliably democrat nick presidential years. i think that they confident that they can carry it. i susp

carville. dana, for the cain campaign, their most recent response to this is basically to call the -- is for a call for the perry campaign and politico to apologize. they're clearly trying to shift the blame. do you think that's going to work? >> i don't think it's going to work. in fact, i think what this is going to do is backfire with the cain campaign immediately. this is something they tried to avoid. now that they have -- like you were saying earlier. it is interesting herman cain said monday or as soon as these accusations came out monday that he had no knowledge at all of any kind of settlement and then yet today the story came out today that, well, he talked to kurt anderson and discussed it in detail. their words, not mine. so he opens the door to all of these questions and i think it's just going to -- i think it is just ended up being bad for him. i'm very interested in seeing his polling numbers from quinnipiac and everything else today to how it translates later on and affect him.

. >>> the president's blue collar dilemma, james carville and ron brownstein. james you know the state very well. senator casey was just there. cavil and begala made their name helping his father, bob casey in pennsylvania. right up here, this is hillary clinton in the democratic primary. yes, president obama carried it in the general election. but this is a place where you find what in pennsylvania they call casey democrats. national politics we might call them reagan democrats. should this president be worried that in places like this in there is state, across the country, he will lose these voters? >> tomorrow night, it will age me, we'll have the 25th reunion of bob casey's gubernatorial campaign. i'm sure i'll see senator casey tomorrow night also. look, i don't know ron -- i don't see how a democrat could win without winning pennsylvania. you know, look, it's tough, and it's been probably hit harder than most places in the country, but he's going to have to dig in there and get it. it's been reliably democrat nick presidential years. i think that they con

carville said she was trailer trash and all of that. i think it's important it look into the background, but-- >> there you go. but before any information comes ought, most of the attacks was actually-- >> that's not true. >> and robs the individual women and that's-- frnl most of the attacks was not lodged at the women. >> i think the fact there's been a double standard here, should not negate the fact that we have genuine charges here, we've had two settlements, this is not just a question of allegations, we've had actual money settlements and that this is a genuine news story and people who say that it's an anti-republican thing, are not being fair to the press, with we have every night to go after this story. >> 9 million dollars off of-- not sexual harassment, sexual assault. when you someone is out there, that's sexual assault. >> alleged, alleged. and how do you know it happened. >> after the press conference. >> now with confidence that he sexually assaulted her. i believe when a young woman tells two people what happened, many,

carville at the beginning of the clinton administration was stunned at the power of the bond market when he realized how much power it had over the government and he once said if he came back if he was reincarnated he wanted to come back as the gone market because you could intimidate everybody so i want you to keep that in mind because with italy as opposed to smaller countries too stakes are higher ok italy needs to roll over some one hundred fifty billion euro of debt and the first four months of next year alone according to the financial times that's a lot italy's the world's third largest bond market it has over two trillion dollars worth of outstanding public debt and let's take a look at exposure to it from the perspective of banks france its two largest banks four hundred sixteen billion dollars you can see other countries are on the hook for hundreds of billions of dollars and billions of dollars two hundred sixty one billion for germany to give you an example forty six billion in the case of the united states this is their exposure to italy the question to as we're seeing

i mean james carville at the time said that if george w. bush could win under the circumstances that he looked like he was heading into reelection with, it would be the, the, the political miracle of the centuryy >> smith: right. >> heilemann: they did that, and it was, people forget, it was in fact, in some waas a miracle. and. >> smith: and it was a very close election. >> heilemann: it was. >> smith: if 60,000 people in ohio went the otter way, john kerry was president. >> heilemann: would be ú&esident, right. >> smith: very close, very close election. >> heilemann: so let's not, you know, minimize how hard it is to turn a, a race in which there is an incumbent into a choice instead of it being a referendum. >> smith: yeah. >> heilemann: that's what the obama campaign will do and its major advantage in this is that, a, they are very skilled campaigners and, b, the president's going to have more money than god. >> smith: and, c, he will run against not a generic ccndidate named not obama. >> heilemann: yes. >> smith: .he's going to run a

james carville one of the leaders of bill clinton's brilliant campaign staff in 192 put a sign on the wall of the campaign headquarters urging staff to remember this, it's the economy, stupid. the smoking guy, herman cain's campaign manager needs to write on his palm, right now, it's the yellow tie, stupid. [ artis brown ] america is facing some tough challenges right now. two of the most important are energy security and economic growth. north america actually has one of the largest oil reserves in the world. a large part of that is oil sands. this resource has the ability to create hundreds of thousands of jobs. at our kearl project in canada, we'll be able to produce these oil sands with the same emissions as many other oils and that's a huge breakthrough. that's good for our country's energy security and our economy. ♪ it's nice to be here ♪ it's nice to see you in my bed ♪ ♪ ♪ there are diamonds in her eyes ♪ [ male announcer ] this is your moment. ♪ and they sparkle in the night ♪ ♪ when the moment comes alive [ male announcer ] this is zales, the diamond store

james carville one of the leaders of bill clinton's brilliant campaign staff in 192 put a sign on the wall of the campaign headquarters urging staff to remember this, it's the economy, stupid. the smoking guy, herman cain's campaign manager needs to write on his palm, right now, it's the yellow tie, stupid. ♪ ♪ ♪ when the things that you need ♪ ♪ come at just the right speed, that's logistics. ♪ ♪ medicine that can't wait legal briefs there by eight, ♪ ♪ that's logistics. ♪ ♪ freight for you, box for me box that keeps you healthy, ♪ ♪ that's logistics. ♪ ♪ saving time, cutting stress, when you use ups ♪ ♪ that's logistics. ♪ two of the most important are energy security and economic growth. north america actually has one of the largest oil reserves in the world. a large part of that is oil sands. this resource has the ability to create hundreds of thousands of jobs. at our kearl project in canada, we'll be able to produce these oil sands with the same emissions as many other oils and that's a huge breakthrough. that's good for our country's energy s

at a certain point, the administration defends its own to the degree you have james carville saying someone's head needs to roll. here's steven chu saying i made every decision, i should bear the full brunt of blame. is it time for someone's head to roll? >> that's the head i think you'll see roll. i can't predict that's going to happen but likely when you see anybody going out there and saying the buck stops with me, that may end up being exactly what happens. i think what you're seeing with this program, everything you're saying, i agree with, a different debate than what is going on on capitol hill which is about the specific of this case as opposed to the green energy program. the problem this white house said repeatedly, you saw the president talk about this at various points is selling its own message, selling what it's doing. without suggesting that everything is all smoke and mirrors and pr, but to some extent it is about presenting what they were doing. if they were presenting it the way chris did, it might have a very different focus and less of a political ricochet there was a very

james carville and republican strategist mary matalin, both cnn contributors. in washington, gloria borger. mary, i want to go to you first, as the republican woman in the group, that is to me the number one audience herman cain needed to speak to today. did he succeed? >> well, i know i'm in the minority here but i thought it was powerful, and it -- let me start here, we think like we think, and it done matter what we think it matters what iowa women and voters think. if i were he i would go pronto into camp in iowa. what he know in general, and they don't think what we think, politics is scummy, media sensationalizes and conservative women believe there's a feminist grievance industry and it is epitomized by ghora allreed. either he's the biggest bare faced liar, a guy that says he'll take a lie detector, it spoke to me, maybe because i've lived through the transition of a sexist workplace to an overneutered workplace, i've seen settlements being made for the purpose of just like we don't want to deal with this and i think that -- i think there's an audience

we'll try to sort it all out with our political campaign, james carville, gloria borger and others with us. >>> crime and punishment, a bizarre story from an amish community in ohio, the five amish men arrested on kidnapping and burglary charges. authorities say they attacked other amish men, cut off their beards to intimidate them and send a message. we'll tell you why, ahead. >>> and a story truly shocking we can't show you the video right now, we will during the program, a texas man, a family judge violently whipping his teenaged daughter. we're going to show you a small portion of the video ahead and how that judge may now be brought to justice. the judge himself is defending himself saying it wasn't as bad as it appeared on the tape. all that ahead and the ridiculous at the top of the hour. >>> "outfront" next we're going to talk about when translations go terribly, terribly, terribly wrong. think a t-shirt that says "i'm perve pervert" but you think says "i'm cool." electric tank, right over here. an electric tank? really, stu? is that what you pour the electricity in? it's actual