michigan. see, michigan was never really in play for a republican. but you know what? it's in play for us because all of their cars are being made now in mexico. i think she's wasting her time. i think rather than going to michigan, she ought to go home and relax. >> and trump is also heading to michigan. one of five states he's hitting today. he'll also be in iowa. a new poll there finds him with a seven-point advantage. mike pence is up and down the east coast with events in new hampshire, north carolina, and florida. for the democrats, all hands on deck. president obama is back in florida after stumping there three days ago. as for the ticket, tim kaine will hold three events in wisconsin. secretary clinton has stopped in philadelphia before heading to ohio and new hampshire. and fresh off another star-studded event, the clinton campaign is out with two new ads this morning featuring republican military veterans, they will air during sunday night football. >> i spent 22 years in the air forc

michigan, michigan, michigan? >> how did you know what we were talking about. i think we might have an agreement on the table about just how important michigan is. james carville. >> look, if the democrats lose michigan, you're looking, i think this puppy's over. stand by, because michigan is going to be really critical. it was good if we held virginia, but we were supposed to hold virginia. the it was ju it was just sort of necessary. florida looks less than encouraging. >> michigan. >> michigan and the president of the united states. >> florida, where do you think we are right now? >> it's very ominous for hillary. i don't think she's going to be able to make up the ground in florida. it doesn't seem there's enough outstanding vote share for her to come back. what we've seen is a surge of republican red votes, and you see that early call on ohio, though the clinton campaign was expecting it, that pour tends ominously for michigan. culturally, there's an alignment of these voters. and you're seeing them perform,

>> well, growing up in michigan, i learned a little bit about michigan history. when i was a kid, i was, i was always in envious of other states. i always thought all the great civil war battlefields were out east nothing happened in michigan that was something that i was concerned about. there were no battles in michigan, there weren't any forts to speak of, there's a couple, but nothing significant. at some point along the way i learned of the story, and i'm not sure where, but if you make an effort to study michigan history, read up on it and the explorers who came here, the people who lived here, the things that did happen, you did happen, you eventually stumble upon this footnote in michigan history of this guy named james strang who attempted this remarkable project on beaver island. >> what was his relationship. >> so james strang was a mormon. he was born in upstate new york around the erie canal time. he grew up in a desperate he didn't believe in god at all, but eventually he came to a church, he either changed then changed his mind or he started faking

michigan is too close to call. 78 of all michigan votes are in and donald trump leads in michigan by just about a point and a half. in came out in philadelphia and expected to runaway with pennsylvania for hillary clinton, 48.5 percent for donald trump, 47.9 percent for hillary clinton. it's less than a point separating them. t obviously 95 percent of allsly precincts reporting. pennsylvania 250 close to call. in minnesota a it has 0 electoral votes, if you gave she leads there now by 3.8 percent with 78 percent of all precincts reporting minnesota still too close to and here's arizona, arizona wita 11ll a electoral votes, donald p with a lead there, a lead that's larger than the last time we l looked up. it's less than four percentage. points, but with two-thirds of all the precincts reporting, 65 percent in, arizona too close to call and so is the our coverage continues on the fox broadcast network right ? > gallagher mere special election coverage, donald trump is just 16 points away from 70 electoral votes and one of the crucial states that we are watching is the one right there

michigan now stands at the cross-roads of history. if we win michigan, we will win this historic election, and then we truly will be able to do all of the things we want to do. they won't be taking our jobs any longer. they won't be doing the things they've been doing this. we'll end up having great health care, strong borders. we'll build up our military. we have no choice. we have a depleted military. we'll be able to dot things we wa want to do. when you step into that voting booth today -- it's now today -- there is one core question for you to consider. do you want america to be ruled by the corrupt political class or do you want america to be ruled by you, the people? that's what it is. by the people. that's the way it was supposed to have been for a long time. we've lost track. and for michigan we will bring back your automobile production and we will bring back your industry. wait till you see what we do for michigan. i've been talking about it for a long time. crooked hillary has not talked about it, folks. she doesn't know w

so the idea that the president went to michigan and secretary clinton went to michigan, is in michigan, that is a sign that they are slightly more concerned about that. but added together those are 36 electoral votes. if they win them, it's hard for donald trump to get his path to 270. >> jeff, in these events that she's holding, how much is she focusing on donald trump versus how much is she talking about herself and what she would want to do for voters? >> jake, she is turning the corner certainly more day by day and we're definitely hearing it today in pittsburgh and as her speeches come along trying to give a more forward-looking argument here, not trying to take down and disqualify donald trump as much. of course, that's thrown in. they're still trying to draw this distinction here. you can almost feel a shift in their closing message, certainly in their advertising, but also in what she is saying, jake, trying to close on a slightly more upbeat note in a campaign that has been anything but. jake? >> all right. jeff zeleny, thanks. cnn senior political correspondent brianna keilar

it's all about michigan and wisconsin right now. let's update you in michigan. almost half of the vote is now in employ donald trump sti in. donald trump has the lead. donald trump's lead in michigan, 30,400 plus, 48.1% to 46.8% for hillary clinton. 16 electoral votes. very important electoral votes at stake. in michigan and wisconsin, 58% of the vote is in. trump has a lead there, almost 60,000-vote lead, 49.1% to 45.7%. ten electoral votes in wisconsin. both of these campaigns desperately anxious to win both of these states. john who would have thought at this late hour we'd be talking about wisconsin and michigan. >> and i'm looking at wayne county again, where detroit is. you see secretary clinton's lead here, that's 136, plus three, so 139. i'm going to look at the numbers to make sure i get them right. mitt romney, barack obama. democrats are saying can we pull this one out tonight. it was 381,000. so we've got 40% still to count. 381,667. that was the margin. we're going to talk about this in philadelphia, democrats need to run it up. 381,000. we've got 4

michigan is under-polled. that's trump campaign bet as to why clinton's lead of just four in recent polls could be wrong. could this state go for trump? i mean, the clinton campaign put a lot of effort there in the last few days >> the reason why they're putting a lot of effort there, a couple things. first of all, what you said, the polls have been wrong in the past. she lost it in the primary -- >> after being up, what, 20 points in polling. >> exactly. >> that's a big -- >> one of the things that has allowed hillary clinton because she's raised so much money is to make sure she takes nothing for granted on the ground. i talked to a couple colleagues of mine who are in michigan and they say, yes, it's tight, but we feel really good because we are killing it on the ground in terms of really focusing and contacting and knowing exactly what voters they need to get to the polls. knowing it if, you know, erin is going to go to the polls at 7:00 a.m., you're off the list. if they contact you at 7:00, if you don't

also went to minnesota and michigan. again where he believes his message of bringing auto jobs back to detroit will beat hillary clinton. here's what he said in sterling heights. >> i got to win michigan. i am the one person in all fairness. hillary is going to come out tomorrow and she is going to come out again. i told her via television, stop. you are wasting your time. the people are too smart. too smart. >> donald trump going back to michigan again today to grand rapids. that is going to be his final campaign rally, campaign 2016. mike pence will also be there today. they are going to raleigh, north carolina, scranton, pennsylvania, minnesota and michigan. donald trump wants to make sure that he doesn't leave one vote on one taubl anywhere in america. that is a tough job. >> that's why you are staying until 1 in the morning in pennsylvania to get it all done. thanks john. fbi director james comey clearing hillary clinton again in her e-mail investigation. all democratic nominee used star power to rally her base on t

michigan is so interesting, erin. it's gone democratic in the last six presidential campaigns but at the end of the race became ground zero. donald trump held a rally in ground rapids shortly before midnight and she was there earlier in the day. so michigan will be the place to keep an eye on. the clinton war room is focusing on michigan but they believe they have many paths to 270 so when she comes here to the javits center on the west side of manhattan, her supporters are already are standing in line. there were at least 100 supporters lined up. the most important is going on in the battleground states. they are still trying to get out the vote, confident but not arrogant is how i would describe their mood inside the war rooms here at the javits center. >> jeff, thank you. now let's go to jim acosta also in new york where trump election headquarters are. jim, we were talking about trump. what do you do in these final hours when there is nothing to do? you've done any last phone interviews, you are sitting around. wh

michigan up 13-11 ... still in the 4th, michigan facing a 3rd and 9... watch true freshman manny rugamba come up with the interception ... the iowa offense looking to capitalize... c.j. beathard with the play-action, goes deep for jerminic smith... but the but iowa's defense forced a three and out ... hawkeyes got the ball back and set up a 33-yard field goal attempt for duncan to win it... and he does... iowa stuns no. 3 michigan with the 14-13 win... even coach ferentz couldn't hold back the emotions "i'm proud of him and i'm so happy for this team. a week ago this time, we weren't feeling real good. but the guys battled hard." trt: 12

in michigan, which i think we are going to win michigan, by the way. i tell you, we're going to win michigan. you know what we' are going to win? we're going to win minnesota. we're going to win minnesota. we're leading big in ohio. we're leading in iowa. we're leading in new hampshire. where i'm going in a little while. we're leading in north carolina. we're doing very very well in pennsylvania. very well. the miners are going to come out. the workers are going to come out, the steel workers who lost their jobs are coming out. by the way, lots of people surrounding philadelphia are going to come out and they're voting because they want to vote. and you know who's going to come out? the women are going to come out. you watch. the women. the women are going to come out big. it's all a phony deal. they are telling you a lot of phony stuff. they are so worried. you ought to see them on television this morning. oh, you know they get a note handed over that we're leading in let's say new hampshire, which we are, they get a note, very happy and now everythin

it takes is michigan, michigan does it, if he doesn't do michigan, he could do new >> and he has iowa. >> and in michigan and in new hampshire, remember, hillary clinton was dealt a surprise by bernie sanders who had -- many people said had a similar message, talking to white working class blue collar america about the inequality that so many people are feeling in this country. there are some parallels with donald trump's message and bernie sanders. i know that frustrated sanders when he joined forces with hillary clinton, saying, don't vote for him, vote for hillary. a lot of people on the ground feel like there's something that both of them made. we remember when hillary was surprised. >> our friends at fivethirtyeight had it at a 99% she would win michigan in the primary. >> let's go to nate silver right now. a pretty dramatic change in your forecast right now. >> well, it's not about our forecast, it's about the fact we haven't had any swing states called yet. and those are states that clinton was supposed to win, was supposed to win michigan, meaning if you have problems with whi

now michigan. michigan and its 16 electoral michigan but again, there are many wayne county votes still out there. the rest are scattered around the state. if donald trump holds on to michigan, he would win the presidency. that was michigan. michigan now at 72% and he is still with a lead. pennsylvania and its 20 electoral votes are up for grabs. pennsylvania, 92% of all precincts reporting and dead even. donald trump with a 2 thousand 1500 vote win. if he wins pennsylvania, he wins it. minnesota, which leans democratic. has leaned democratic in all of our polls, hillary clinton with a 4/4 and half point lead. nevada now, nevada leans 4-point lead in nevada with 73% of the precincts reporting and arizona, which leans republican, hillary clinton is trailing in arizona. donald trump with the edge there. 63% of all presingtds reporting. if he gets arizona and nevada, he wins it. his path is much easier than hers now. >> and it changed so went in with the smaller chance of winning and rocketed up to th

michigan will make them pay. colette hill punch down 17-7, michigan. after a wolverines turnover later in the qur, up and over for the touchdown 17-14 for the buckeyes. same score, all the way to six seconds. tyler durbin missed two field goals in this one buddy it hits the air and 22 ghost overtime. jt barrett, not a great day in the air but i'm?he scores a 7 yard touchdown buckeyes 24-17. fourth down speak to the air, what a touchdown connection. amar dara bohol's and then we go to double-overtime. wolverines head of field goal 27-24 buckeyes with a fourth down and don't kick the field harbaugh says, no they didn't. then, there it is, the game- winner after a replay upholds the first down, curtis samuel 15 yard touchdown game over. buckeyes went 30-27 and double- overtime. they are 11-1 and it might be the playoffs next. >> we thought it was a long game. great blocking by the running backs, great walking by reer >> i have been in a locker room on a play like that since i've been here. what the game was going against those guys to put all that into pe

we are in michigan. it's kind of an extraordinary thing we're in michigan, but it also highlights the other problem for donald trump and the republican party. that is this party just needs to win states in the north. states with big urban populations. states like michigan, and they're just not capable of doing that at this point or so it seems. talk to people inside the donald trump campaign, they're looking at a lot of polls internally they say. they're not willing to share it. that shows they have a shot of winning the state. we've been looking at the polls and maps. unless they can win the battle ground states, almost a clean sweep and flip a state like michigan, it will be hard. mike pence was on stage a few moments ago getting the crowd ready for donald trump. he basically said in his closing comments here that donald trump is ready to be president. it was almost as if he was trying to reassure perhaps even some people in this crowd here tonight who just aren't completely certain whether or not dona

it takes is michigan, michigan does it, if he doesn't >> and he has iowa. >> and in michigan and in new hampshire, remember, hillary clinton was dealt a surprise by bernie sanders who had -- many people said had a similar message, talking to white working class blue collar america about the inequality that so many people are feeling in this country. there are some parallels with donald trump's message and bernie sanders. i know that frustrated sanders when he joined forces with hillary clinton, saying, don't vote for him, vote for hillary. a lot of people on the ground feel like there's something that both of them made. we remember when hillary was surprised. >> our friends at fivethirtyeight had it at a 99% she would win michigan in the primary. >> let's go to nate silver right now. a pretty dramatic change in your forecast right now. >> well, it's not about our forecast, it's about the fact we haven't had any swing states called yet. and those are states that clinton was supposed to win, was supposed to win michigan, meaning if you have problems with white working class voters, if you

he said squeeze michigan. make michigan hurt. then your auto workers have no choice but to accept less pay. that's not a champion for working people. don't boorks vote. he can't hear your boos. but he'll hear your votes tomorrow. this is not somebody who's a champion for working families. for his tough talk about china he uses chinese steel in his hotels. he's given jobs to chiend steel workers not americans. for his tough talk on trade, the trade war he threatens to trigger might well damage the auto industry all over again. every time my administration brought a trade enforcement case against china that's been decided the united states of america has won. that's how you stand up for american workers. so to every auto worker on the assembly line here in michigan, every small business owner, every bar keep, teacher in communities that depend on the auto industry, i think i have earned some credibility here. [ cheers ] plants that were closing when i took office are working double shifts now. the auto industry has record sales. i

all vote on election there is no early vote in michigan. there is momentum tightening it could play out in michigan. he would win on election day. a lot of the other states they have been voting for weeks or many weeks or many days, right. that's the question of science. where money and infrastructure, get out of the vote operations and the ground game matters. part of the reason the clinton campaign is confident the because places like florida, north carolina, nevada those places have banked a huge number of votes and in many cases they believe and there is actual statistic information not anecdotal information, that it's true. they have banked the votes that no matter how well donald trump does on election day it won't help out on the gap. >> they're voting to day in big states. ohio, north carolina, florida. this is still, people are voting today. will see a big number out of amusing a lot of people advising donald trump say when she speaks on a teleprompter he stays on diversions. those worried about his temperament are coming back home

we're tied in michigan. if not, slightly ahead or slightly behind but clearly, both our data and the clinton data in michigan is saying the same thing, it's very, very close. the same is true in pennsylvania, and the same is true in new hampshire, and in the second judicial district of maine. you go to colorado, megyn, and ballots that have been counted show at the democrat-republican registration we have an 1800 point lead. >> what about nevada? >> sure. >> one the guys out there that tracks the polls says trump is finished in nevada and hispanic trump out has been historic. >> we love john. but you know, he says the same thing every two years about republicans in nevada. i do like john. it's something we hear all the time. it's going to come down to the ground game and trump's closing argument on tuesday. one thing people need to understand, this is the truth. we've gotten better at early vote this year compared to four years ago and better two years ago than we ever have. republicans tend to vote on elect

michigan, michigan, michigan. itting here talking about michigan. >> ohio, i agree, i was just going to say, ohio is one where the polls seem to have gotten it right, the polls consistently showed a tight race with trump up a little bit. potentially north carolina, now we're looking at the rust belt, virginia close for comfort for clinton. >> the clinton campaign bragged about these firewalls. okay. let's see if you have one. we're about to find out. >> does pennsylvania remain a firewall? >> pennsylvania is the one state so far performing as they expected, not underperforming. all eyes are on michigan. although both new hampshire and nevada, those go ways that you're not sure, and then we start business, i'm not saying that yet. there's still macomb county and wayne county. she's winning in oakland by about ten points. it's killing it in macomb by about 20, the old democrat home. wayne is detroit. detroit has been a shrinking city, one of the few cities in last decade. >> she's going to lead excellent wayne count

michigan is too close to call. we're live in michigan, next. you bought a wig, a jersey, and overpriced nachos... don't let sinus symptoms bring you down now. get fast sinus relief with vicks sinex and get back in the game. sinex, the congestion, pressure, pain to clear your head, medicine. >>> michigan leans democratic. michigan has been a blue state for quite some time. president obama won michigan in 2012 with 54.21% of the vote. he beat mitt romney by 10 votes. it leans democratic. it has long leaned democratic. tonight it is a toss up. should donald trump win michigan's 16 electoral votes, his name is then mr. president. matt finn is live in detroit at a hillary clinton watch party. the mood there, how would you describe it? >> right now, it's tepid. perhaps a bit deflated. there are people seated. not a lot of conversation going on. just a few hours ago when this party began, it was much more energy and excitement. there was music playing and people walking around having drinks, as you might imagine. but as the night progressed and we saw

michigan, michigan, michigan. itting here talking about michigan. >> ohio, i agree, i was just going to say, ohio is one where the polls seem to have gotten it right, the polls consistently showed a tight race with trump up a little bit. potentially north carolina, now we're looking at the rust belt, virginia close for comfort for clinton. >> the clinton campaign bragged about these firewalls. okay. let's see if you have one. we're about to find out. >> does pennsylvania remain a firewall? >> pennsylvania is the one state so far performing as they expected, not underperforming. all eyes are on michigan. although both new hampshire and nevada, those go ways that you're not sure, and then we into the funky 269-269 business, i'm not saying that yet. there's still macomb county and wayne county. she's winning in oakland by about ten points. it's killing it in macomb by about 20, the old democrat home. wayne is detroit. detroit has been a shrinking city, one of the few cities in last decade. >> she's going to lead exce

michigan, it's tight. but 48%, 47%, hillary clinton is und underperforming in wayne county, african-american vote in wayne county is not turning out for hillary clinton. >> and arizona, donald trump has a lead. >> 68% reporting, closer than you would have expected. but it's highly unlikely she's going to win the state of arizona. >> cokie, it's astonishing. >> arizona have voted to increase the minimum wage, and maybe the minimum wage are also voting for hillary clinton. >> and in arizona tonight, joe arpaio has lost. >> and john mccain has won. >> we're just moments away from midnight. have to take another quick break. crucial point in the race. all eyes on michigan, wisconsin, is a and pennsylvania. we live in a pick and choose world. love or like? naughty or nice? calm or bright? but at bedtime why settle for this? enter sleep number. don't miss the semi-annual sale, going on now. sleepiq technology tells you how you slept and what adjustments you can make. she likes the bed soft. he's more hardcore. so

michigan, it's tight. but 48%, 47%, hillary clinton is und underperforming in wayne county, which is detroit. african-american vote in wayne county is not turning out for hillary clinton. >> and arizona, donald trump has a lead. >> 68% reporting, closer than you would have expected. but it's highly unlikely she's going to win the state of arizona. >> cokie, it's astonishing. >> arizona have voted to increase the minimum wage, and maybe some voting to the minimum wage are also voting for hillary clinton. >> and in arizona tonight, joe arpaio has lost. >> and john mccain has won. >> we're just moments away from midnight. have to take another quick break. crucial point in the race. all eyes on michigan, wisconsin, is and pennsylvania. next president of the united states. what are you hearing, tom? >> we just got a good piece of information, from john santucci. donald trump left the war room, went to his penthouse in trump tower, said he needed a moment with his wife. a good way. they feel like this is their n

. >> we are going to win michigan. we're going to win minnesota. >> just when you thought you'd seen it on the campaign trail, there is a moment donald trump complimenting the hair on the plastic mask. this is it. our entire team of correspondents has it covered coast to coast. full court press from msnbc and nbc news now. let's start with reporters in two battleground states where donald trump and hillary clinton are today. my fellow road warrior kasie hunt in pittsburgh. jacob rascon. i think ron is on stage now. fill us in. anything new or different today? >> he's wrapping up here in ann arbor. a big crowd of 5,000 or more people. a lot of students and millennials. that's a reason he's here to get excited about hillary clinton. trying to reassemble his coalition in north carolina, florida and here in michigan. again this is a state that doesn't vote early. there is absentee voting but not early voting as we have seen. they vote on tuesday for the most part. of course donald trump is making a big play here. he and mi

michigan first. donald trump is ahead right now in both of those states. >> and as you look at the map before i go into the members, these are the two states, if the map stays like we see it right now, if -- if donald trump holds on to florida, if donald trump holds on to north carolina, then these are the states that will decide the next president of the united states. that's a big if, but let's just go through. 26% of the vote right now and you're just looking -- you're up here, upper peninsula, you're down here. donald trump is winning -- >> he's going to lead of about 60,0 60,000 votes. >> he's winning them. these are tiny places so you think that's not a deal. it does matter in a close race. 59%, 70%. in these small rural counties, donald trump is running up numbers. you think it's two o thrr three hundred votes, that's what you need to offset the democratic leads down in these places. 63% of the vote in oakland county, more votes for democrat and much more population as you see, but let's go ba

michigan, michigan, michigan. itting here talking about michigan. >> ohio, i agree, i was just going to say, ohio is one where the polls seem to have gotten it right, the polls consistently showed a tight race as you mentioned, with florida and ohio, potentially north carolina, now we're looking at the rust belt, virginia close for comfort for clinton. >> the clinton campaign bragged about these firewalls. okay. let's see if you have one. we're about to find out. >> does pennsylvania remain a firewall? >> pennsylvania is the one state so far performing as they expected, not underperforming. all eyes are on michigan. although both new hampshire and nevada, those go ways that you're not then we start getting into the funky 269-269 business, i'm not saying that yet. there's still macomb county and wayne county. she's winning in oakland by about ten points. it's killing it in macomb by about 20, the old democrat home. wayne is detroit. detroit has been a the few cities in america that's been shrinking, not expanding o

in michigan, which i think we are going to win michigan by the way. we are going to win michigan. >> michigan is a blue state that has not gotten much attention, suddenly everybody is talking about it and everybody is there. why trump is setting his sights on michigan down the stretch. i will break that down for you as well. we begin with our top story. look at this. just under eight hours from now. the voting will begin. it will be election day in dicksville, new hampshire. they always vote at midnight and polls open for election day 2016 and they will close it and announce the results and a few hours later, the rest of the country opens up. what does each need do to win? look at it this way. hillary clinton heads into election day no question about it, she heads in the leader in this race. she is in pretty good shape in states totalling 268 electoral votes. all she has to do is win one of these gray states and holds the blue, she is over 270. there have been indications in early voting and the demographic indications, nevada is looking very promisin

i look at michigan. mccomb county, going northeast and also, over to that section of the state north of flint. times have been tough. democrats there probably not too happy. >> you look at flint, do you envision anymore who has tremendous anger of the republican governor in michigan saying i know our water crisis in flint has been awful, i'm going to vote for trump. >> donald trump thinks he has to try to reach out to african american voters. if he goes from 7% of the vote to 9% of the vote does that help him? and hurt her? >> maybe. i don't know. let's not attorney general yet about michael moore, from flint, michigan talking about how you shouldn't underestimate donald trump for months now. and also, we saw the woman who asked hillary clinton the question, that donna brazil sent her about flint, michigan what they're going to do. she's saying based on the cheating in that question should be disqualified for running for president. >> we're going to have more, you're looking at the dualing rallies, it's

vote in michigan. there is momentum tightening it could play out in michigan. he would win on election day. a lot of the other states they have been voting for weeks or many weeks or many days, right. that's the question of science. where money and infrastructure, get out of the vote operations and the ground game matters. part of the reason the clinton real, won't have a huge effect because places like florida, north carolina, nevada those places have banked a huge number of votes and in many cases they believe and there is actual statistic information not anecdotal information, that it's true. they have banked the votes that no matter how well donald trump does on election day it won't help out on the gap. >> they're voting to day in big states. ohio, north carolina, florida. this is still,eo today. even as we take the polls we will see a big number out of amusing a lot of people advising donald trump say when she speaks message and doesn't get into diversions. those worried about his temperament are

michigan, it's tight. but 48%, 47%, hillary clinton is und underperforming in wayne county, which is detroit. clearly, the big city, african-american vote in wayne county is not turning out for hillary clinton. >> and arizona, donald trump has a lead. >> 68% reporting, closer than you would have expected. but it's highly unlikely she's going to win the state of arizona. >> cokie, it's astonishing. >> arizona have voted to increase the minimum wage, and maybe some voting to increase the minimum wage are also voting for hillary clinton. >> and in arizona tonight, joe arpaio has lost. >> and john mccain has won. >> we're just moments away from midnight. have to take another quick break. crucial point in the race. all eyes on michigan, wisconsin, is a and pennsylvania. we'll be right back. says it won't let up for a while. the cadillac xt5... what should we do? ...tailored to you. wait it out. equipped with apple carplay compatibility. ♪ now during season's best, get this low mileage lease on this cadillac x

i mean, and michigan, too. and so he's-- he's won a lot of the states that-- the flags have been tipping in his direction. so if that continues -- >> and there's arizona as well. >> arizona, which i don't think-- i think given the way the night is going, arizona will end up in his column. >> arizona and wisconsin could be 21. you only need five. the evening saying if donald trump wins, he's basically got to run the table of all those battleground states. now, hillary clinton has to run the table if she's going to win. >> with less room. >> she's 61 votes away. it's just-- everything this year is upside down. >> and, again, we've got-- while we're here waiting for the votes to come in, i mean this-- donald trump made an enormous gamble on basically assuming all the smart people in politics were totallyr gamble going down on his own, and this is an enormous thing that he has done. he bested 16 republicans in his primary. and he's run the table. running the table is not an easy thing to do. and that's waihee has d

it takes is michigan, michigan does it, if he doesn't do michigan, he could do new hampshire and nevada. >> and he has iowa. >> and in michigan and in new hampshire, remember, hillary clinton was dealt a surprise by bernie sanders who had -- many people said had a similar message, talking to white working class blue collar america about the inequality that so many people are feeling in this country. there are some parallels with donald trump's message and bernie sanders. i know that frustrated sanders when he joined forces with hillary clinton, saying, don't vote for him, vote for hillary. a lot of people on the ground feel like there's something that resonates about the arg both of them made. we remember when hillary was surprised. >> our friends at fivethirtyeight had it at a 99% she would win michigan in the primary. >> let's go to nate silver right now. a pretty dramatic change in your forecast right now. >> well, it's not about our forecast, it's about the fact we haven't had any swing states called yet. and those are states that clinton was supposed to win, was supposed to win mic

it takes is michigan, michigan does it, if he doesn't do michigan, he could do new hampshire and nevada. >> and can i just point out -- >> and he has iowa. >> and in michigan and in new hampshire, remember, hillary clinton was dealt a surprise by bernie sanders who had -- many people said had a similar message, talking to white working class blue collar america about the inequality that so many people are feeling in this country. there are some parallels with donald trump's message and bernie sanders. i know that frustrated sanders when he joined forces with hillary clinton, saying, don't vote for him, vote for hillary. a lot of people on the ground feel like there's something that resonates about the arguments both of them made. we remember when hillary was surprised. >> our friends at fivethirtyeight had it at a 99% she would win michigan in the primary. >> let's go to nate silver right now. a pretty dramatic change in your forecast right now. >> well, it's not about our forecast, it's about the fact we haven't had any swing states called yet. and those are states that clinton was sup

i wonder if michigan is an overplay by him. the fact of the matter that we're seeing hillary clinton in michigan says something. right? they must be seeing internal numbers themselves where they need to cheap blue wall stabilized, and the fact that they're in pennsylvania, of course, is a really big state. we should all watch tomorrow. gloria says, no early voting in that state. trying to go in hard into that state. hillary clinton has two stops, one in the west, as we saw, the western side of the state and then one in philadelphia tomorrow. or rather tonight. >> trump thinks he can get those blue collar democrats. the so-called reagan democrats, to come over to his side. can he? >> you know, he talks a lot about trade and the economy and bringing jobs back. we'll see. i don't know. the question is, i don't know. i would say this, though -- the path for donald trump is still difficult. okay? the path for hillary clinton is a lot easier than for him. >> i think what's really helping, really helping hillary clinton, the latino vo

florida, north carolina, iowa and michigan. yes, michigan. even favoring trump, he will have to breakthrough the big blue ball in the midwest. we told you it may be his best and perhaps only legitimate path to victory. provided he can sweep the toss upstates down south and out west. both are on the ground and on the airwaves. trump was in wisconsin on monday. the clinton campaign is hitting both states. tim kaine was in wisconsin. bernie sanders was in wisconsin and michigan tonight. here's why they are anxious. african-american turn out is down. they are a voting block in plenty of cities from flint to milwaukee. they studied mid-western states and found that counties diversifying rapidly are more likely to vote for trump. scaling this big blue you will wall is a monumental task. michigan has been blue for a generation and the margin in 2004 it was razor thin. all eyes were on this poll from marquette university breeathed momentary sigh of relief. the senate number only had fine gold up by a point, proving that something is happening in wisc

they believe they will win pennsylvania and michigan?r enthusiasm they see in the trump movement. >> dickerson: okay. thank you, major and nancy, for being with us. we go to virginia senator and hillary clinton's?? running mate tim kaine in milwaukee. the trump campaign is feeling they may win with a comfortable margin, how do you see things??6 we take nothing for tkprapb it. we are working hard. we see tremendous?i energy in registration requests for absentee ballots and early vote across the country. what we know about the early vote in the?i states that have , wisconsin for example. they set a record in early vote. we're excited about what we see. >> dickerson: you mentioned you thought hillary clinton was the underdog there. how? the name, the money, she has been in politics before, her opponent hasn't. what makes her the underdog. >> i told hillary, i encouraged we talked about. that she hadn't decided yet. i said no matter what the poles say and what you see in a editorial consider yourself an underdog. if it was easy for a woman t

but michigan is going >> we should explain a little bit about mccomb county in the state of michigan. that's state where reagan brought a lot of democrats up to the republican party. bill clinton won them back in 1992, they've been fought over since then. >> it's always, winning michigan as best as you can in oakland, mccomb, survive the rest of the state. that was always the winning strategy for democrats. now it looks like he's doing better than normal in mccomb, and the rest of the mitten, he's running up huge numbers. >> bill? >> i'm just looking at my own little math here. trump is running stronger in wisconsin than michigan, and is there's more vote there, and he has a bigger margin. >> what are we seeing in wisconsin? >> 63% of the vote is in, and he has a commanding lead. so -- >> wisconsin is a smaller state than michigan. >> trump needs to hang on to iowa, win wisconsin, he's there. >> where are we in iowa? >> iowa is close. let's take a look. >> tom llamas? >> one of trump's top aides on twitter, it's happening. >> what's happening? >> i don't know. but apparently it's happ

then the state of michigan which donald trump made a late play for, state of michigan 16 electoral votes and at this hour michigan is a toss up. >> we started with 13 battle ground states this evening that could go either way. now there are only six and the remaining three include arizona which we still estimate as a toss up but donald trump does have a numerical lead there right now. there is nevada which we have estimated leans democratic. that could change but hillary clinton does have a lead there now. and then finally new hampshire still. donald trump slightly ahead in the vote count there with 68% of the vote having been counted at this point. bob schieffer. >> well, i mean this could come down to new hampshire with its four electoral votes. but there are many ways now, not many but a number of ways now that donald trump could get to 270. and you know, you look at wisconsin ten votes, pennsylvania, 20 votes, michigan 16 votes. that would do it for him. >> john, is it possible at this point because it has never been true until now that donald trump has more paths to the whitehouse t

they beat michigan, where the scene. a record crowd at ohio stadium. hundred and 10,000 michigan's. saves the day 3 -- 1 the picked off by the week. 7 for the team. it is 2 -- 7 wolverines. urban calls for a punt on fourth down. they do not get it. touchdown, 17 -- after wolverines turnover late in the 3rd, 17 -- 14 buckeyes. all the way with six seconds left. he already missed two field goals but he hits 23 going over time. buckeyes first. jt barrett on the ground. 17 ohio state. when a connection with garbo. we go to double overtime. wolverine has the ball first. buckeyes go forward. he runs it and get that. barely, review, holds it up. next play, curtis samuel, game over. 15 yard touchdown. guys when. 30 -- 27 in double overtime. defenses forced three turnovers. spot defenses doing their job, we have to do ours. not play buckeye football. we had to go out that second half and make some plays. >> the biggest thing, i tried to instill in the defenses keeper had a. control we can control. >> early from glenville, had a career of 11 tackles. that save the season. an interception late

they believe they will win pennsylvania and michigan?r closely. enthusiasm they see in the trump movement. >> dickerson: okay. thank you, major and nancy, for being with us. we go to virginia senator and hillary clinton's?? running mate tim kaine in milwaukee. the trump campaign is feeling they may win with a comfortable margin, how do you see things??6 we take nothing for tkprapb it. we are working hard. we see tremendous?i energy registration requests for absentee ballots and early vote across the country. what we know about the early vote in the?i states that have , wisconsin for example. they set a record in early vote. we're excited about what we see. >> dickerson: you mentioned you thought hillary clinton was the underdog there. how? the name, the money, she has been in politics before, her opponent hasn't. what makes her the underdog. >> i told hillary, i encouraged we talked about. that she hadn't decided yet. i said no matter what the poles say and what you see in a editorial consider yourself an underdog. if it was easy for a woman to be

that's how people feel in michigan. he gives the peopleñr hope. the other piece is hillary clinton has a heck of a bad narrative cooking up the last ten days. it's playing her campaign. >> dickerson: if michigan and the midwest was such a place that works well for donald trump why not spend more time in michigan and minnesota? why isn't there a moreÑi concerd effort then nevada and colorado, that are less likely? >> let me hit that point,çó qui. underground in the operation, get the votes out efforts and all of that. we have massive organizations in michigan and wisconsin twofpl of the best political parties. these are two -- they're very good ob rations. we have spent millions and millions of dollars in. you are also seeing it tightening in the senate races and we believe that pennsylvania and michigan, wisconsin could quickly move onto our board. >> dickerson: you mentioned donald trump is a different candidate appealing to different voters. the early vote in nevada and florida he's driving away the voters you talked about attracting after th

jobs leaving michigan will be coming to a very rapid end. we are going to make michigan the economic envy of the entire world once again. it used to be the economic engine. the political class in washington is betraying you. they have operated your jobs come your communities and they have shipped your wealth all over the world to mexico and all over. they put new skyscrapers up and aging where your factories in michigan were crumbling. these were our politicians. i will and i will and the theft of american prosperity, believe me. i will fight for every last michigan job. he will have plenty of jobs, get ready. when we win it's going to be america first. so you have to make sure you get in your absentee ballots and get out to the polls november 8. has anybody sent in the ballot? anybody? november 8. we will never chance to do this again. this is a great movement. the whole world is talking about it. i don't care who does that runs you are never going to have this chance we have to get out and vote. vote with all of your heart in all of your s

michigan is a tighter race. the battleground map, the scenario you look at shows. >> you need to play defense. so much of the discussion was on pennsylvania. that's where president obama is going to be with hillary clinton for a big rally they will be having in philadelphia. in the last couple of days the trump campaign said we'll go to michigan. the problem is not only has it been a democratic state but just the demographic of it. i would be surprised if donald trump does better than mitt romney did. you lose by ten points, four points, one. that's what they are trying to do here in ann arbor, in detroit. the base is to make sure they try to make it prevent donald trump from winning. >> they will both have two-minute ads. we showed a rally with donald trump talking about the system being rigged. you know, using the same language equating the united states to third world countries. over the weekend you have hillary clinton, katy perry, jay-z, beyonce. you may not like their music. there is a festive energy. ther

he said, squeeze michigan, make michigan hurt. then your auto workers would have no choice but to accept less pay nap is not somebody's hoop a champion for working people. don't boo! >> all: vote. >> he can't hear your boos but he'll hear your votes tomorrow! [ cheers and applause ] >> this is not somebody who's ap champion for working families. for all of his tough talk about china, he uses chinese steel in his hotels. he's given jobs to chinese steel workers, not american steel workers. for all of his tough talk on trade, the trade war hi threatens to trigger might well damage the auto industry all over again. every time my administration has brought a trade enforcement case against china that's been decided the united states of america has won. that's how you stand up for american workers. so -- so to every auto worker on the assembly line right here in michigan, to every small business owner, after bakeep, every teacher in communities that deperntd on the auto industry, i think i've earned some credibility here. [ cheers and a

hampshire, 48% to michigan, dona michigan, donald trump leading. wisconsin, donald trump is up three points, 70% remaining. minnesota, clinton has the lead. but right now, she has to win in three states where donald trump is leading. >> and wisconsin, a fairly healthy lead, three points? >> yes. caught my eye. if i can zoom back out, in n. wisconsin. door county, right here, he's got a three-point lead with, i'm sorry. i'm going to get -- door county, he he has a lead where barack obama won by double digits in 2008, and by seven points in 2012. it's income is $50,000, 96% white, a state that's been democratic, but suddenly, it's the trump demographic. demographic. >> and ohio, that could tell you about some other states. >> if you look at ohio, which looks like it's going to be an eight to ten point victory for donald trump, and extrapolate the voters there. right now, the odds completely favor donald trump being elected the next president of the united states. >> if he wins michigan or wisconsin, either one, he wins. >> terry, you were talking abo

in some states like michigan election day is election day. all vote on part of why they're there is there is no early vote in michigan. there is momentum tightening it could play out in michigan. he would win on election day. a lot of the other states they have been voting for weeks or many weeks or many days, right. that's the question of science. where money and infrastructure, get out of the vote operations and the ground game matters. part of the reason the clinton campaign is confident the because places like florida, north carolina, nevada those places have banked a huge number of votes and in many cases they believe and there is actual statistic information not anecdotal information, that it's true. they have banked the votes that no matter how well donald trump does on election day it won't help out on the gap. >> they're voting to day in big states. ohio, north carolina, florida. this is still, people are voting today. even as we take the polls we will see a big number out of amusing a lot of people advising donald trump say when she

michigan gives us a shot as well. michigan had great displacement in the auto industry, manufacturing. they have had this terrible controversy with the water supply in flint. i think a lot of people in michigan are discurrentlied with the way politics played out in their lives. donald trump was smart to end the campaign talking about the fact that he wants to upset washington. states have a lot of economic dislocation problems. i am going to pull up the pulse here. we are seeing a tweet from marquette, the marquette law poll out of wisconsin showing clinton leading trump among likely voters in wisconsin 46% to 40%. she has a fairly healthy six-point lead. we'll bring in a couple of folks to talk about it. give me your initial reaction. does that surprise you? >> it's a problem. she wants to get to the 50% mark. that's a critical juncture, something you would consider a purple or blue state. >> that's right. you want to look at the trend. you want to get beyond the ballot measure. in the key demographics. my estimation