michigan. see, michigan was never really in play for a republican. but you know what? it's in play for us because all of their cars are being made now in mexico. i think she's wasting her time. i think rather than going to michigan, she ought to go home and relax. >> and trump is also heading to michigan. one of five states he's hitting today. he'll also be in iowa. a new poll there finds him with a seven-point advantage. mike pence is up and down the east coast with events in new hampshire, north carolina, and florida. for the democrats, all hands on deck. president obama is back in florida after stumping there three days ago. as for the ticket, tim kaine will hold three events in wisconsin. secretary clinton has stopped in philadelphia before heading to ohio and new hampshire. and fresh off another star-studded event, the clinton campaign is out with two new ads this morning featuring republican military veterans, they will air during sunday night football. >> i spent 22 years in the air forc

michigan now stands at the cross-roads of history. if we win michigan, we will win this historic election, and then we truly will be able to do all of the things we want to do. they won't be taking our jobs any longer. they won't be doing the things they've been doing this. we'll end up having great health care, strong borders. we'll build up our military. we have no choice. we have a depleted military. we'll be able to dot things we wa want to do. when you step into that voting booth today -- it's now today -- there is one core question for you to consider. do you want america to be ruled by the corrupt political class or do you want america to be ruled by you, the people? that's what it is. by the people. that's the way it was supposed to have been for a long time. we've lost track. and for michigan we will bring back your automobile production and we will bring back your industry. wait till you see what we do for michigan. i've been talking about it for a long time. crooked hillary has not talked about it, folks. she doesn't know w

now michigan. michigan and its 16 electoral michigan but again, there are many wayne county votes still out there. the rest are scattered around the state. if donald trump holds on to michigan, he would win the presidency. that was michigan. michigan now at 72% and he is still with a lead. pennsylvania and its 20 electoral votes are up for grabs. pennsylvania, 92% of all precincts reporting and dead even. donald trump with a 2 thousand 1500 vote win. if he wins pennsylvania, he wins it. minnesota, which leans democratic. has leaned democratic in all of our polls, hillary clinton with a 4/4 and half point lead. nevada now, nevada leans 4-point lead in nevada with 73% of the precincts reporting and arizona, which leans republican, hillary clinton is trailing in arizona. donald trump with the edge there. 63% of all presingtds reporting. if he gets arizona and nevada, he wins it. his path is much easier than hers now. >> and it changed so went in with the smaller chance of winning and rocketed up to th

michigan will make them pay. colette hill punch down 17-7, michigan. after a wolverines turnover later in the qur, up and over for the touchdown 17-14 for the buckeyes. same score, all the way to six seconds. tyler durbin missed two field goals in this one buddy it hits the air and 22 ghost overtime. jt barrett, not a great day in the air but i'm?he scores a 7 yard touchdown buckeyes 24-17. fourth down speak to the air, what a touchdown connection. amar dara bohol's and then we go to double-overtime. wolverines head of field goal 27-24 buckeyes with a fourth down and don't kick the field harbaugh says, no they didn't. then, there it is, the game- winner after a replay upholds the first down, curtis samuel 15 yard touchdown game over. buckeyes went 30-27 and double- overtime. they are 11-1 and it might be the playoffs next. >> we thought it was a long game. great blocking by the running backs, great walking by reer >> i have been in a locker room on a play like that since i've been here. what the game was going against those guys to put all that into pe

michigan is too close to call. 78 of all michigan votes are in and donald trump leads in michigan by just about a point and a half. in came out in philadelphia and expected to runaway with pennsylvania for hillary clinton, 48.5 percent for donald trump, 47.9 percent for hillary clinton. it's less than a point separating them. t obviously 95 percent of allsly precincts reporting. pennsylvania 250 close to call. in minnesota a it has 0 electoral votes, if you gave she leads there now by 3.8 percent with 78 percent of all precincts reporting minnesota still too close to and here's arizona, arizona wita 11ll a electoral votes, donald p with a lead there, a lead that's larger than the last time we l looked up. it's less than four percentage. points, but with two-thirds of all the precincts reporting, 65 percent in, arizona too close to call and so is the our coverage continues on the fox broadcast network right ? > gallagher mere special election coverage, donald trump is just 16 points away from 70 electoral votes and one of the crucial states that we are watching is the one right there

he said squeeze michigan. make michigan hurt. then your auto workers have no choice but to accept less pay. that's not a champion for working people. don't boorks vote. he can't hear your boos. but he'll hear your votes tomorrow. this is not somebody who's a champion for working families. for his tough talk about china he uses chinese steel in his hotels. he's given jobs to chiend steel workers not americans. for his tough talk on trade, the trade war he threatens to trigger might well damage the auto industry all over again. every time my administration brought a trade enforcement case against china that's been decided the united states of america has won. that's how you stand up for american workers. so to every auto worker on the assembly line here in michigan, every small business owner, every bar keep, teacher in communities that depend on the auto industry, i think i have earned some credibility here. [ cheers ] plants that were closing when i took office are working double shifts now. the auto industry has record sales. i

>> well, growing up in michigan, i learned a little bit about michigan history. when i was a kid, i was, i was always in envious of other states. i always thought all the great civil war battlefields were out east nothing happened in michigan that was something that i was concerned about. there were no battles in michigan, there weren't any forts to speak of, there's a couple, but nothing significant. at some point along the way i learned of the story, and i'm not sure where, but if you make an effort to study michigan history, read up on it and the explorers who came here, the people who lived here, the things that did happen, you did happen, you eventually stumble upon this footnote in michigan history of this guy named james strang who attempted this remarkable project on beaver island. >> what was his relationship. >> so james strang was a mormon. he was born in upstate new york around the erie canal time. he grew up in a desperate he didn't believe in god at all, but eventually he came to a church, he either changed then changed his mind or he started faking

michigan, michigan, michigan? >> how did you know what we were talking about. i think we might have an agreement on the table about just how important michigan is. james carville. >> look, if the democrats lose michigan, you're looking, i think this puppy's over. stand by, because michigan is going to be really critical. it was good if we held virginia, but we were supposed to hold virginia. the it was ju it was just sort of necessary. florida looks less than encouraging. >> michigan. >> michigan and the president of the united states. >> florida, where do you think we are right now? >> it's very ominous for hillary. i don't think she's going to be able to make up the ground in florida. it doesn't seem there's enough outstanding vote share for her to come back. what we've seen is a surge of republican red votes, and you see that early call on ohio, though the clinton campaign was expecting it, that pour tends ominously for michigan. culturally, there's an alignment of these voters. and you're seeing them perform,

in michigan, which i think we are going to win michigan by the way. we are going to win michigan. >> michigan is a blue state that has not gotten much attention, suddenly everybody is talking about it and everybody is there. why trump is setting his sights on michigan down the stretch. i will break that down for you as well. we begin with our top story. look at this. just under eight hours from now. the voting will begin. it will be election day in dicksville, new hampshire. they always vote at midnight and polls open for election day 2016 and they will close it and announce the results and a few hours later, the rest of the country opens up. what does each need do to win? look at it this way. hillary clinton heads into election day no question about it, she heads in the leader in this race. she is in pretty good shape in states totalling 268 electoral votes. all she has to do is win one of these gray states and holds the blue, she is over 270. there have been indications in early voting and the demographic indications, nevada is looking very promisin

i mean, and michigan, too. and so he's-- he's won a lot of the states that-- the flags have been tipping in his direction. so if that continues -- >> and there's arizona as well. >> arizona, which i don't think-- i think given the way the night is going, arizona will end up in his column. >> arizona and wisconsin could be 21. you only need five. the evening saying if donald trump wins, he's basically got to run the table of all those battleground states. now, hillary clinton has to run the table if she's going to win. >> with less room. >> she's 61 votes away. it's just-- everything this year is upside down. >> and, again, we've got-- while we're here waiting for the votes to come in, i mean this-- donald trump made an enormous gamble on basically assuming all the smart people in politics were totallyr gamble going down on his own, and this is an enormous thing that he has done. he bested 16 republicans in his primary. and he's run the table. running the table is not an easy thing to do. and that's waihee has d

michigan is too close to call. we're live in michigan, next. you bought a wig, a jersey, and overpriced nachos... don't let sinus symptoms bring you down now. get fast sinus relief with vicks sinex and get back in the game. sinex, the congestion, pressure, pain to clear your head, medicine. >>> michigan leans democratic. michigan has been a blue state for quite some time. president obama won michigan in 2012 with 54.21% of the vote. he beat mitt romney by 10 votes. it leans democratic. it has long leaned democratic. tonight it is a toss up. should donald trump win michigan's 16 electoral votes, his name is then mr. president. matt finn is live in detroit at a hillary clinton watch party. the mood there, how would you describe it? >> right now, it's tepid. perhaps a bit deflated. there are people seated. not a lot of conversation going on. just a few hours ago when this party began, it was much more energy and excitement. there was music playing and people walking around having drinks, as you might imagine. but as the night progressed and we saw

it's all about michigan and wisconsin right now. let's update you in michigan. almost half of the vote is now in employ donald trump sti in. donald trump has the lead. donald trump's lead in michigan, 30,400 plus, 48.1% to 46.8% for hillary clinton. 16 electoral votes. very important electoral votes at stake. in michigan and wisconsin, 58% of the vote is in. trump has a lead there, almost 60,000-vote lead, 49.1% to 45.7%. ten electoral votes in wisconsin. both of these campaigns desperately anxious to win both of these states. john who would have thought at this late hour we'd be talking about wisconsin and michigan. >> and i'm looking at wayne county again, where detroit is. you see secretary clinton's lead here, that's 136, plus three, so 139. i'm going to look at the numbers to make sure i get them right. mitt romney, barack obama. democrats are saying can we pull this one out tonight. it was 381,000. so we've got 40% still to count. 381,667. that was the margin. we're going to talk about this in philadelphia, democrats need to run it up. 381,000. we've got 4

in michigan, which i think we are going to win michigan, by the way. i tell you, we're going to win michigan. you know what we' are going to win? we're going to win minnesota. we're going to win minnesota. we're leading big in ohio. we're leading in iowa. we're leading in new hampshire. where i'm going in a little while. we're leading in north carolina. we're doing very very well in pennsylvania. very well. the miners are going to come out. the workers are going to come out, the steel workers who lost their jobs are coming out. by the way, lots of people surrounding philadelphia are going to come out and they're voting because they want to vote. and you know who's going to come out? the women are going to come out. you watch. the women. the women are going to come out big. it's all a phony deal. they are telling you a lot of phony stuff. they are so worried. you ought to see them on television this morning. oh, you know they get a note handed over that we're leading in let's say new hampshire, which we are, they get a note, very happy and now everythin

michigan, michigan, michigan. itting here talking about michigan. >> ohio, i agree, i was just going to say, ohio is one where the polls seem to have gotten it right, the polls consistently showed a tight race as you mentioned, with florida and ohio, potentially north carolina, now we're looking at the rust belt, virginia close for comfort for clinton. >> the clinton campaign bragged about these firewalls. okay. let's see if you have one. we're about to find out. >> does pennsylvania remain a firewall? >> pennsylvania is the one state so far performing as they expected, not underperforming. all eyes are on michigan. although both new hampshire and nevada, those go ways that you're not then we start getting into the funky 269-269 business, i'm not saying that yet. there's still macomb county and wayne county. she's winning in oakland by about ten points. it's killing it in macomb by about 20, the old democrat home. wayne is detroit. detroit has been a the few cities in america that's been shrinking, not expanding o

but michigan is going >> we should explain a little bit about mccomb county in the state of michigan. that's state where reagan brought a lot of democrats up to the republican party. bill clinton won them back in 1992, they've been fought over since then. >> it's always, winning michigan as best as you can in oakland, mccomb, survive the rest of the state. that was always the winning strategy for democrats. now it looks like he's doing better than normal in mccomb, and the rest of the mitten, he's running up huge numbers. >> bill? >> i'm just looking at my own little math here. trump is running stronger in wisconsin than michigan, and is there's more vote there, and he has a bigger margin. >> what are we seeing in wisconsin? >> 63% of the vote is in, and he has a commanding lead. so -- >> wisconsin is a smaller state than michigan. >> trump needs to hang on to iowa, win wisconsin, he's there. >> where are we in iowa? >> iowa is close. let's take a look. >> tom llamas? >> one of trump's top aides on twitter, it's happening. >> what's happening? >> i don't know. but apparently it's happ

so the idea that the president went to michigan and secretary clinton went to michigan, is in michigan, that is a sign that they are slightly more concerned about that. but added together those are 36 electoral votes. if they win them, it's hard for donald trump to get his path to 270. >> jeff, in these events that she's holding, how much is she focusing on donald trump versus how much is she talking about herself and what she would want to do for voters? >> jake, she is turning the corner certainly more day by day and we're definitely hearing it today in pittsburgh and as her speeches come along trying to give a more forward-looking argument here, not trying to take down and disqualify donald trump as much. of course, that's thrown in. they're still trying to draw this distinction here. you can almost feel a shift in their closing message, certainly in their advertising, but also in what she is saying, jake, trying to close on a slightly more upbeat note in a campaign that has been anything but. jake? >> all right. jeff zeleny, thanks. cnn senior political correspondent brianna keilar

all vote on election there is no early vote in michigan. there is momentum tightening it could play out in michigan. he would win on election day. a lot of the other states they have been voting for weeks or many weeks or many days, right. that's the question of science. where money and infrastructure, get out of the vote operations and the ground game matters. part of the reason the clinton campaign is confident the because places like florida, north carolina, nevada those places have banked a huge number of votes and in many cases they believe and there is actual statistic information not anecdotal information, that it's true. they have banked the votes that no matter how well donald trump does on election day it won't help out on the gap. >> they're voting to day in big states. ohio, north carolina, florida. this is still, people are voting today. will see a big number out of amusing a lot of people advising donald trump say when she speaks on a teleprompter he stays on diversions. those worried about his temperament are coming back home

michigan, michigan, michigan. itting here talking about michigan. >> ohio, i agree, i was just going to say, ohio is one where the polls seem to have gotten it right, the polls consistently showed a tight race with trump up a little bit. potentially north carolina, now we're looking at the rust belt, virginia close for comfort for clinton. >> the clinton campaign bragged about these firewalls. okay. let's see if you have one. we're about to find out. >> does pennsylvania remain a firewall? >> pennsylvania is the one state so far performing as they expected, not underperforming. all eyes are on michigan. although both new hampshire and nevada, those go ways that you're not sure, and then we into the funky 269-269 business, i'm not saying that yet. there's still macomb county and wayne county. she's winning in oakland by about ten points. it's killing it in macomb by about 20, the old democrat home. wayne is detroit. detroit has been a shrinking city, one of the few cities in last decade. >> she's going to lead exce

michigan, it's tight. but 48%, 47%, hillary clinton is und underperforming in wayne county, african-american vote in wayne county is not turning out for hillary clinton. >> and arizona, donald trump has a lead. >> 68% reporting, closer than you would have expected. but it's highly unlikely she's going to win the state of arizona. >> cokie, it's astonishing. >> arizona have voted to increase the minimum wage, and maybe the minimum wage are also voting for hillary clinton. >> and in arizona tonight, joe arpaio has lost. >> and john mccain has won. >> we're just moments away from midnight. have to take another quick break. crucial point in the race. all eyes on michigan, wisconsin, >>> back live in times square, here again, george stephanopoulos. >> it's midnight on the east coast. and donald trump is racking up the victories. 244 electoral votes hillary clinton. only needs 26 more to become the next president of the united states. what are you hearing, tom? >> we just got a good piece of information, from jo

michigan up 13-11 ... still in the 4th, michigan facing a 3rd and 9... watch true freshman manny rugamba come up with the interception ... the iowa offense looking to capitalize... c.j. beathard with the play-action, goes deep for jerminic smith... but the but iowa's defense forced a three and out ... hawkeyes got the ball back and set up a 33-yard field goal attempt for duncan to win it... and he does... iowa stuns no. 3 michigan with the 14-13 win... even coach ferentz couldn't hold back the emotions "i'm proud of him and i'm so happy for this team. a week ago this time, we weren't feeling real good. but the guys battled hard." trt: 12

hampshire, 48% to michigan, dona michigan, donald trump leading. wisconsin, donald trump is up three points, 70% remaining. minnesota, clinton has the lead. but right now, she has to win in three states where donald trump is leading. >> and wisconsin, a fairly healthy lead, three points? >> yes. caught my eye. if i can zoom back out, in n. wisconsin. door county, right here, he's got a three-point lead with, i'm sorry. i'm going to get -- door county, he he has a lead where barack obama won by double digits in 2008, and by seven points in 2012. it's income is $50,000, 96% white, a state that's been democratic, but suddenly, it's the trump demographic. demographic. >> and ohio, that could tell you about some other states. >> if you look at ohio, which looks like it's going to be an eight to ten point victory for donald trump, and extrapolate the voters there. right now, the odds completely favor donald trump being elected the next president of the united states. >> if he wins michigan or wisconsin, either one, he wins. >> terry, you were talking abo

it takes is michigan, michigan does it, if he doesn't do michigan, he could do new >> and he has iowa. >> and in michigan and in new hampshire, remember, hillary clinton was dealt a surprise by bernie sanders who had -- many people said had a similar message, talking to white working class blue collar america about the inequality that so many people are feeling in this country. there are some parallels with donald trump's message and bernie sanders. i know that frustrated sanders when he joined forces with hillary clinton, saying, don't vote for him, vote for hillary. a lot of people on the ground feel like there's something that both of them made. we remember when hillary was surprised. >> our friends at fivethirtyeight had it at a 99% she would win michigan in the primary. >> let's go to nate silver right now. a pretty dramatic change in your forecast right now. >> well, it's not about our forecast, it's about the fact we haven't had any swing states called yet. and those are states that clinton was supposed to win, was supposed to win michigan, meaning if you have problems with whi

also went to minnesota and michigan. again where he believes his message of bringing auto jobs back to detroit will beat hillary clinton. here's what he said in sterling heights. >> i got to win michigan. i am the one person in all fairness. hillary is going to come out tomorrow and she is going to come out again. i told her via television, stop. you are wasting your time. the people are too smart. too smart. >> donald trump going back to michigan again today to grand rapids. that is going to be his final campaign rally, campaign 2016. mike pence will also be there today. they are going to raleigh, north carolina, scranton, pennsylvania, minnesota and michigan. donald trump wants to make sure that he doesn't leave one vote on one taubl anywhere in america. that is a tough job. >> that's why you are staying until 1 in the morning in pennsylvania to get it all done. thanks john. fbi director james comey clearing hillary clinton again in her e-mail investigation. all democratic nominee used star power to rally her base on t

michigan is so interesting, erin. it's gone democratic in the last six presidential campaigns but at the end of the race became ground zero. donald trump held a rally in ground rapids shortly before midnight and she was there earlier in the day. so michigan will be the place to keep an eye on. the clinton war room is focusing on michigan but they believe they have many paths to 270 so when she comes here to the javits center on the west side of manhattan, her supporters are already are standing in line. there were at least 100 supporters lined up. the most important is going on in the battleground states. they are still trying to get out the vote, confident but not arrogant is how i would describe their mood inside the war rooms here at the javits center. >> jeff, thank you. now let's go to jim acosta also in new york where trump election headquarters are. jim, we were talking about trump. what do you do in these final hours when there is nothing to do? you've done any last phone interviews, you are sitting around. wh

i wonder if michigan is an overplay by him. the fact of the matter that we're seeing hillary clinton in michigan says something. right? they must be seeing internal numbers themselves where they need to cheap blue wall stabilized, and the fact that they're in pennsylvania, of course, is a really big state. we should all watch tomorrow. gloria says, no early voting in that state. trying to go in hard into that state. hillary clinton has two stops, one in the west, as we saw, the western side of the state and then one in philadelphia tomorrow. or rather tonight. >> trump thinks he can get those blue collar democrats. the so-called reagan democrats, to come over to his side. can he? >> you know, he talks a lot about trade and the economy and bringing jobs back. we'll see. i don't know. the question is, i don't know. i would say this, though -- the path for donald trump is still difficult. okay? the path for hillary clinton is a lot easier than for him. >> i think what's really helping, really helping hillary clinton, the latino vo

florida, north carolina, iowa and michigan. yes, michigan. even favoring trump, he will have to breakthrough the big blue ball in the midwest. we told you it may be his best and perhaps only legitimate path to victory. provided he can sweep the toss upstates down south and out west. both are on the ground and on the airwaves. trump was in wisconsin on monday. the clinton campaign is hitting both states. tim kaine was in wisconsin. bernie sanders was in wisconsin and michigan tonight. here's why they are anxious. african-american turn out is down. they are a voting block in plenty of cities from flint to milwaukee. they studied mid-western states and found that counties diversifying rapidly are more likely to vote for trump. scaling this big blue you will wall is a monumental task. michigan has been blue for a generation and the margin in 2004 it was razor thin. all eyes were on this poll from marquette university breeathed momentary sigh of relief. the senate number only had fine gold up by a point, proving that something is happening in wisc

michigan is a toss up. all those states. >> and yet there are several, norah, as you see here on our computers, several that are edge republican or likely republican as we head deeper into this night. we will have the very latest on this election coming right back for you, some of you are going to your local returns, the rest of you we'll see you right here for more election night on cbs. now we are backer for campaign 2016 election night coverage here on cbs. norah o'donnell the battleground states still hanging out their shoes left to drop principally florida, the biggest of them all and still unable to estimate the winner there. >> that's right. it is going to be a late night. the republicans are having a very good night keeping control of both houses of congress. we have not yet called the state of florida but we do have it likely republican. donald trump has also won the state of ohio and north carolina. john, where does that put him? >> , it puts him in very good shape and what puts him in better shap

it takes is michigan, michigan does it, if he doesn't do michigan, he could do new hampshire and nevada. >> and can i just point out -- >> and he has iowa. >> and in michigan and in new hampshire, remember, hillary clinton was dealt a surprise by bernie sanders who had -- many people said had a similar message, talking to white working class blue collar america about the inequality that so many people are feeling in this country. there are some parallels with donald trump's message and bernie sanders. i know that frustrated sanders when he joined forces with hillary clinton, saying, don't vote for him, vote for hillary. a lot of people on the ground feel like there's something that resonates about the arguments both of them made. we remember when hillary was surprised. >> our friends at fivethirtyeight had it at a 99% she would win michigan in the primary. >> let's go to nate silver right now. a pretty dramatic change in your forecast right now. >> well, it's not about our forecast, it's about the fact we haven't had any swing states called yet. and those are states that clinton was sup

michigan, michigan, michigan. itting here talking about michigan. >> ohio, i agree, i was just going to say, ohio is one where the polls seem to have gotten it right, the polls consistently showed a tight race with trump up a little bit. carolina, now we're looking at the rust belt, virginia close for comfort for clinton. >> the clinton campaign bragged about these firewalls. okay. let's see if you have one. we're about to find out. >> does pennsylvania remain a firewall? >> pennsylvania is the one state so far performing as they expected, not underperforming. all eyes are on michigan. although both new hampshire and nevada, those go ways that you're not sure, and then business, i'm not saying that yet. there's still macomb county and wayne county. she's winning in oakland by about ten points. it's killing it in macomb by about 20, the old democrat home. wayne is detroit. detroit has been a shrinking city, one of the few cities in last decade. >> she's going to lead excellent wayne county. he'll do well in western

michigan, it's tight. but 48%, 47%, hillary clinton is und underperforming in wayne county, which is detroit. african-american vote in wayne county is not turning out for hillary clinton. >> and arizona, donald trump has a lead. >> 68% reporting, closer than you would have expected. but it's highly unlikely she's going to win the state of arizona. >> cokie, it's astonishing. >> arizona have voted to increase the minimum wage, and maybe some voting to increase e for hillary clinton. >> and in arizona tonight, joe arpaio has lost. >> and john mccain has won. >> we're just moments away from midnight. have to take another quick break. crucial point in the race. all eyes on michigan, wisconsin, is and pennsylvania. >>> back live in times square, here again, george stephanopoulos. >> it's midnight on the east coast. and donald trump is racking up the victories. 244 electoral votes to 209 for hillary clinton. only next president of the united states. what are you hearing, tom? >> we just got a good piece of infor

michigan, michigan, michigan. itting here talking about michigan. >> ohio, i agree, i was just going to say, ohio is one where the polls seem to have gotten it right, the polls consistently showed a tight race with trump up a little bit. as you mentioned, with florida and ohio, potentially north carolina, now we're looking at the rust belt, virginia close for comfort for clinton. >> the clinton campaign bragged about these firewalls. okay. let's see if you have one. we're about to find out. >> does pennsylvania remain a firewall? >> pennsylvania is the one state so far performing as they expected, not underperforming. all eyes are on michigan. although both new hampshire and nevada, those go ways that you're not sure, and then we start getting into the funky 269-269 business, i'm not saying that yet. there's still macomb county and wayne county. she's winning in oakland by about ten points. it's killing it in macomb by about 20, the old democrat home. wayne is detroit. detroit has been a shrinking city, one of the

michigan and pennsylvania. lou: let me just say this to all of our college-educated white people or whoever they are. you are demonstrating a certain lack of education. you may have gotten a degree but if this is where you come down with that college degree, you are not paying attention or you are not processing or incapable or just horribly tortured values. >> i also think it's important when you look at how many people think the system is broken, the washington d.c. -- lou: where did you ever get that idea of? >> people think how can you vote for hillary clinton if that's what you believe? she's not going to go down there and fix fix it. his works are advantage and that's one thing i hear from voters over and over again. whether or not they like donald trump. lou: would he think of a president that stands in front of a camera set to illegal immigrants, please vote and we will prosecute you. this is absolutely illegal what he is doing. it's immoral and it's unethical and frankly i didn't see a major mainstream

they believe they will win pennsylvania and michigan?r closely. enthusiasm they see in the trump movement. >> dickerson: okay. thank you, major and nancy, for being with us. we go to virginia senator and hillary clinton's?? running mate tim kaine in milwaukee. the trump campaign is feeling they may win with a comfortable margin, how do you see things??6 we take nothing for tkprapb it. we are working hard. we see tremendous?i energy registration requests for absentee ballots and early vote across the country. what we know about the early vote in the?i states that have , wisconsin for example. they set a record in early vote. we're excited about what we see. >> dickerson: you mentioned you thought hillary clinton was the underdog there. how? the name, the money, she has been in politics before, her opponent hasn't. what makes her the underdog. >> i told hillary, i encouraged we talked about. that she hadn't decided yet. i said no matter what the poles say and what you see in a editorial consider yourself an underdog. if it was easy for a woman to be

michigan, it's tight. but 48%, 47%, hillary clinton is und clearly, the big city, african-american vote in wayne county is not turning out for hillary clinton. >> and arizona, donald trump has a lead. >> 68% reporting, closer than you would have expected. but it's highly unlikely she's going to win the state of arizona. >> cokie, it's astonishing. >> arizona have voted to increase the minimum wage, a the minimum wage are also voting for hillary clinton. >> and in arizona tonight, joe arpaio has lost. >> and john mccain has won. >> we're just moments away from midnight. have to take another quick break. crucial point in the race. all eyes on michigan, wisconsin, back on metv. stay where you are. we will be right back. tom: and welcome back to our 2016 new hampshire votes coverage. we have a lot of barn burners going on here in the state of new hampshire tonight. no concession speeches. no victory speeches. and very close races from the top to the bottom. the u.s. senate race right now, kelly ayotte continue

takes is michigan, michigan does it, if he doesn't do michigan, he could do new hampshire and nevada. >> and in michigan and in new hampshire, remember, hillary clinton was dealt a surprise by bernie sanders who had -- many people said had a similar message, talking to white working class blue collar america about the inequality that so many people are feeling in this country. there are some parallels with donald trump's message and bernie sanders. i know that frustrated sanders when he joined forces with hillary clinton, saying, don't vote for him, vote for hillary. a lot of people on the ground feel like there's something that resonates about the arguments both of them we remember when hillary was surprised. >> our friends at fivethirtyeight had it at a 99% she would win michigan in the primary. >> let's go to nate silver right now. a pretty dramatic change in your forecast right now. >> well, it's not about our forecast, it's about the fact we haven't had any swing states called yet. and those are states that clinton was supposed to win, was supposed to win michigan, pennsylvania,

michigan first. donald trump is ahead right now in both of those states. >> and as you look at the map before i go into the members, these are the two states, if the map stays like we see it right now, if -- if donald trump holds on to florida, if donald trump holds on to north carolina, then these are the states that will decide the next president of the united states. that's a big if, but let's just go through. 26% of the vote right now and you're just looking -- you're up here, upper peninsula, you're down here. donald trump is winning -- >> he's going to lead of about 60,0 60,000 votes. >> he's winning them. these are tiny places so you think that's not a deal. it does matter in a close race. 59%, 70%. in these small rural counties, donald trump is running up numbers. you think it's two o thrr three hundred votes, that's what you need to offset the democratic leads down in these places. 63% of the vote in oakland county, more votes for democrat and much more population as you see, but let's go ba

michigan is under-polled. that's trump campaign bet as to why clinton's lead of just four in recent polls could be wrong. could this state go for trump? i mean, the clinton campaign put a lot of effort there in the last few days >> the reason why they're putting a lot of effort there, a couple things. first of all, what you said, the polls have been wrong in the past. she lost it in the primary -- >> after being up, what, 20 points in polling. >> exactly. >> that's a big -- >> one of the things that has allowed hillary clinton because she's raised so much money is to make sure she takes nothing for granted on the ground. i talked to a couple colleagues of mine who are in michigan and they say, yes, it's tight, but we feel really good because we are killing it on the ground in terms of really focusing and contacting and knowing exactly what voters they need to get to the polls. knowing it if, you know, erin is going to go to the polls at 7:00 a.m., you're off the list. if they contact you at 7:00, if you don't

it takes is michigan, michigan does it, if he doesn't >> and he has iowa. >> and in michigan and in new hampshire, remember, hillary clinton was dealt a surprise by bernie sanders who had -- many people said had a similar message, talking to white working class blue collar america about the inequality that so many people are feeling in this country. there are some parallels with donald trump's message and bernie sanders. i know that frustrated sanders when he joined forces with hillary clinton, saying, don't vote for him, vote for hillary. a lot of people on the ground feel like there's something that both of them made. we remember when hillary was surprised. >> our friends at fivethirtyeight had it at a 99% she would win michigan in the primary. >> let's go to nate silver right now. a pretty dramatic change in your forecast right now. >> well, it's not about our forecast, it's about the fact we haven't had any swing states called yet. and those are states that clinton was supposed to win, was supposed to win michigan, meaning if you have problems with white working class voters, if you

michigan. hillary clinton, bill clinton, barack obama all campaigning there in the final stretch before the election. it's a state that was once thought to be safely in the democratic column this year. is hillary clinton at risk of losing this democratic firewall of states such as michigan? >> again, i'm not a pundit. what i do know is that i have been for hillary this whole time, all along. she's the smartest, hardest working, toughest person i know. i think she would be great as president. you know, jake, when a decision comes to the president, it's because only the president can make that decision. and the president has to draw on his and i believe soon her -- all her vast experience and knowledge. and i want her doing that and i don't trust donald trump because i don't think he has any really depth or breadth of knowledge about public policy anyway. >> there are a lot of democrats out there who are nervous, who are anxious. are you among them? >> oh, sure. i'm always nervous. i was nervous

he's got to get ready to go to maryland, michigan state and lock in for a week and get ready for michigan where it's winner take all. >> chris: you saw the west division scenarios, nebraska loss, will drop down to a tie with wisconsin at 4-2. the badgers with the overtime victory last week. they would have to lose a game for nebraska to have a chance to get to indy. >> kirk: we keep bringing it up but i know there's a big celebration right now, even though it's a long way to go, wisconsin still has illinois, purdue and minnesota but it is in madison. sitting where they are right now, because of this loss to nebraska they now control last week against the cornhuskers, they control their own destiny. they're sitting at number 8 in these week's rankings. you expect them to go to seven. >> popping around the corner is corey smith trying to make a play. dropped for a loss. >> kirk: the job that paul chryst has done this year has the opening weekend victory against lsu. >> chris: biegel is out. cichy is out. they've been hit by the injury bug and they keep plowing on. >> kirk: and their offense

they believe they will win pennsylvania and michigan?r enthusiasm they see in the trump movement. >> dickerson: okay. thank you, major and nancy, for being with us. we go to virginia senator and hillary clinton's?? running mate tim kaine in milwaukee. the trump campaign is feeling they may win with a comfortable margin, how do you see things??6 we take nothing for tkprapb it. we are working hard. we see tremendous?i energy in registration requests for absentee ballots and early vote across the country. what we know about the early vote in the?i states that have , wisconsin for example. they set a record in early vote. we're excited about what we see. >> dickerson: you mentioned you thought hillary clinton was the underdog there. how? the name, the money, she has been in politics before, her opponent hasn't. what makes her the underdog. >> i told hillary, i encouraged we talked about. that she hadn't decided yet. i said no matter what the poles say and what you see in a editorial consider yourself an underdog. if it was easy for a woman t

michigan, michigan, michigan. itting here talking about michigan. >> ohio, i agree, i was just going to say, ohio is one where the polls seem to have gotten it right, the polls consistently showed a tight race with trump up a little bit. florida and ohio, potentially north carolina, now we're looking at the rust belt, virginia close for comfort for clinton. >> the clinton campaign bragged about these firewalls. okay. let's see if you have one. we're about to find out. >> does pennsylvania remain a firewall? >> pennsylvania is the one state so far performing as they expected, not underperforming. all eyes are on michigan. although both new hampshire and nevada, those go ways that you're not sure, and then into the funky 269-269 business, i'm not saying that yet. there's still macomb county and wayne county. she's winning in oakland by about ten points. it's killing it in macomb by about 20, the old democrat home. wayne is detroit. detroit has been a shrinking city, one of shrinking, not expanding over the last deca

i mean, and michigan, too. and so he's-- he's won a lot of the states that-- the flags have been tipping in his direction. so if that continues -- >> and there's arizona as well. >> arizona, which i don't think-- i think given the way the night is going, arizona will end up in his column. >> arizona and wisconsin could be 21. the evening saying if donald trump wins, he's basically got to run the table of all those battleground states. now, hillary clinton has to run the table if she's going to win. >> with less room. >> she's 61 votes away. it's just-- everything this year is upside down. >> and, again, we've got-- while we're here waiting for the votes to come in, i mean this-- donald trump made an enormous gamble on basically assuming all the smart people in politics were total gamble going down on his own, and this is an enormous thing that he has done. he bested 16 republicans in his primary. and he's run the table. running the table is not an easy thing to do. and that's waihee has debate so far. >> pelley

they believe they will win pennsylvania and michigan?r closely. enthusiasm they see in the trump movement. >> dickerson: okay. thank you, major and nancy, for being with us. we go to virginia senator and hillary clinton's?? running mate tim kaine in milwaukee. the trump campaign is feeling they may win with a comfortable margin, how do you see things??6 we take nothing for tkprapb it. we are working hard. we see tremendous?irg registration requests for absentee ballots and early vote across the country. what we know about the early vote in the?i states that have , wisconsin for example. they set a record in early vote. we're excited about what we see. >> dickerson: you mentioned you thought hillary clinton was the underdog there. how? the name, the money, she has been in politics before, her opponent hasn't. what makes her the underdog. >> i told hillary, i encouraged we talked about. that she hadn't decided yet. i said no matter what the poles say and what you see in a editorial consider yourself an underdog. if it was easy for a woman to be pres

here's what michigan does. you move that to red and all of the sudden, give donald trump all the other battlegrounds here and that, boom, puts him above 275. not a big margin but michigan would do the trick. so would pennsylvania but that's the tough challenge on winning over a state that's been blue for a long time now. >> a challenge indeed and as you point out, have to win a whole lot more battle ground states than that. we appreciate that. i want to bring in veteran democratic strategist for bill clinton's 1992 campaign james carville with former spokesman for ted cruz's presidential campaign, rick tyler. thank you to both of you for being here on this election eve. james, i want to start with you. i'm here in new hampshire. i have to tell you, i was out interviewing folks last night in the wake of this announcement by fbi director james comey saying there's there infuriated because the damage is done politically. is that assessment fair? is it done to secretary clinton or an 11th hour political gift and pu

michigan, michigan, michigan. itting here talking about michigan. >> ohio, i agree, i was just going to say, ohio is one where the polls seem to have gotten it right, the polls consistently showed a tight race bit. as you mentioned, with florida and ohio, potentially north carolina, now we're looking at the rust belt, virginia close for comfort for clinton. >> the clinton campaign bragged about these firewalls. okay. let's see if you have one. we're about to find out. >> does pennsylvania remain a firewall? >> pennsylvania is the one state so far performing as they expected, not underperforming. all eyes are on michigan. although both new you're not sure, and then we start getting into the funky 269-269 business, i'm not saying that yet. there's still macomb county and wayne county. she's winning in oakland by about ten points. it's killing it in macomb by about 20, the old democrat home. shrinking city, one of the few cities in america that's been shrinking, not expanding over the last decade. >> she's going to l

they believe they will win pennsylvania and michigan?r closely. they believe every poll that is enthusiasm they see in the trump movement. >> dickerson: okay. thank you, major and nancy, for being with us. we go to virginia senator and hillary clinton's?? running mate tim kaine in milwaukee. the trump campaign is feeling they may win with a comfortable margin, how do you see things??6 we take nothing for tkprapb it. we are working hard. we see tremendous?i energy in registration requests for absentee ballots and early vote across the country. what we know about the early vote in the?i states that have , wisconsin for example. they set a record in early vote. we're excited about what we see. >> dickerson: you mentioned you thought hillary clinton was the underdog there. how? the name, the money, she has been in politics before, her opponent hasn't. what makes her the underdog. >> i told hillary, i encouraged we talked about. that she hadn't decided yet. i said no matter what the poles say and what you see in a editorial consider yourself an underdo

michigan is a tighter race. the battleground map, the scenario you look at shows. >> you need to play defense. so much of the discussion was on pennsylvania. that's where president obama is going to be with hillary clinton for a big rally they will be having in philadelphia. in the last couple of days the trump campaign said we'll go to michigan. the problem is not only has it been a democratic state but just the demographic of it. i would be surprised if donald trump does better than mitt romney did. you lose by ten points, four points, one. that's what they are trying to do here in ann arbor, in detroit. the base is to make sure they try to make it prevent donald trump from winning. >> they will both have two-minute ads. we showed a rally with donald trump talking about the system being rigged. you know, using the same language equating the united states to third world countries. over the weekend you have hillary clinton, katy perry, jay-z, beyonce. you may not like their music. there is a festive energy. ther

. >> we are going to win michigan. we're going to win minnesota. >> just when you thought you'd seen it on the campaign trail, there is a moment donald trump complimenting the hair on the plastic mask. this is it. our entire team of correspondents has it covered coast to coast. full court press from msnbc and nbc news now. let's start with reporters in two battleground states where donald trump and hillary clinton are today. my fellow road warrior kasie hunt in pittsburgh. jacob rascon. i think ron is on stage now. fill us in. anything new or different today? >> he's wrapping up here in ann arbor. a big crowd of 5,000 or more people. a lot of students and millennials. that's a reason he's here to get excited about hillary clinton. trying to reassemble his coalition in north carolina, florida and here in michigan. again this is a state that doesn't vote early. there is absentee voting but not early voting as we have seen. they vote on tuesday for the most part. of course donald trump is making a big play here. he and mi

getting in michigan -- this is michigan. with 82% of precincted reporting. donald trump with a lead of less leans democratic did going into this election. widely believed that hillary clinton had michigan. michigan right this minute is too close to call. in the state of pennsylvania -- with its 20 electoral votes up for grabs. pennsylvania by itself, by itself, would give the presidency to donald trump. and donald trump does lead but only by one percentage point with 97% of all precincts call. moving on, arizona. arizona with 11 electoral votes, donald trump with a lead in arizona. you can see, only 2/3 of precincts. a lead of just three plus points. 4 percentage points. a long way in arizona. correspondent in phoenix says couple hundred thousand ballots don't know if they will get those counted overnight. if that is the case they have to wait until tomorrow, arizona could be a state that we don't know anything about until midday on the east coast tomorrow. a possibility. even a probability. there you see, another tick tup in the arizona numbers. a small one