andrew walker, our economics correspondent, is here. as ever, at the heart of disagreement over this plan is northern ireland, ireland, the border... and the issue of the customs union. and who remains in it? yes, the backstop, the arrangement that would apply if the negotiations on the long—term arrangement do not produce something that ensures there is no hard border in northern ireland. the backstop arrangement talks about what they call a single customs territory, they were the words used in the d raft they were the words used in the draft agreement. i have to say, that's about a customs union in all but name. in terms of britain's future as a national trade policy the key point is it would not allow britain to levy any tariff that is lower than what is applied by the european union. it cannot strike its own deals at all? not on tariffs and these circumstances, but you can do nontariff barriers and trade in services, investment rules which are often entangled with trade agreements. but there is the real constraint there. if the ba

0ur economics guru, andrew walker, will talk us through and the rest of the week that was. you're with business live from bbc news. volkswagen and tesco have announced they will install around 2500 charging bays for electric cars at tesco stores around the uk. customers will be able to charge their electric and plug—in hybrid cars for free or use the faster 50 kilowatt chargerfor a price. joining us is volkswagen uk's head of marketing, will these charge points only be compatible with vws? 0r or will you be able to use whatever electric car you drive? absolutely not. they will be compatible with the majority of electric cars on the market today. it shows our commitment to drive forward electric vehicles in the future. if i shop at sainsbury‘s can i use your electric car charging point at tesco? we are looking at tesco customers to use these charges so, yes, they can come into tesco's and do their shopping and doa into tesco's and do their shopping and do a top up of 25 miles which is really good or use the pay charges to get more charge on their cars. so, you don't have

andrew walker will have more on oil in about 10 minutes — but first, lets hearfrom samira hussain about what's ahead on wall street today. it's been a busy week in the us with a mid—term elections, the new amazon headquarters rumours and google changing the way it handles claims of sexual misconduct, so there may bea of sexual misconduct, so there may be a bit ofa of sexual misconduct, so there may be a bit of a reprieve from the busy week that was, but that said there is economic data to be aware of. the price index about how much goods cost that the factory, updated numbers will be released and economists think it will have gone up economists think it will have gone up by economists think it will have gone up by 2%, and this is important because something how much costs for the seller can be a good indication of the prices consumers will have to pay of the prices consumers will have to pay " of the prices consumers will have to pay —— 0.2%. if it costs more to make it will cost more to buy. joining us is simon french, chief economist at panmure gordon & co. so, the pound sterlin

walker, and he said china had misbehaved since joining the wto and said the us could consider evicting china from the trade group. the state of the world that president trump came in was that the us had agreed overtime, in part because we are trying to recruit countries out from the soviet umbrella, to opening up our market is kind of no questions i asked, and when countries joined the sort of western coalition, then we did not ask them to remove their trade barriers on mars or even open up their markets, it is just reopened their markets, it is just reopened the us market to them. president trump came in with a really powerful strategy but i think it is clearly working, we have got a new nafta deal and we are in new negotiations are virtually all of our trading partners right now and that is showing progress. some countries see the us has been very disruptive, resisting the rules that make the system work. does the wto have any role in the financial world in your the future, in your opinion?” role in the financial world in your the future, in your opinion? i feel that the wto has pl

andrew walker, thanks for those initial thoughts. we will get more, as people pore over these texts. it will take them may be days to get through 585 pages of this document. i was speaking earlier on the green to sammy green of the dup, who said, we might be within one uk single customs union, but northern ireland is a lot deeper in than the rest of great britain, and of course, that is a red line for them. there are also implications for that, if they are tied closer to the single market, for other parts of great britain, scotland, for instance, who did not want to leave the single market, who might say, hang on, we are now at a lower ab of the market in northern ireland, and of course, wales, who send a lot of their stuff over to northern ireland. if this deal is voted down, no deal could have serious indications for them. so all sorts of strains at the moment on those various nations within the uk. and kristian, one of the many contrasts between where you are and iam is contrasts between where you are and i am is that while almost

walker to pick his way through all of this. let's concentrate on what the banks say first. this is a report with a lot of things in it but we have selected one or two to give some sort of labour. first of all, let's look at the scenario that the bank describes as an economic partnership, various degrees of close as one might have in terms of keeping the barriers to trade load and this is the range that the bank has coming before the possible impact on the british economy, compared with where it would be, in 2024, compared with where it would be, in 202a, if compared with where it would be, in 2024, if it stayed on the part that was on before the referendum with 2% growth. and i've got a little chart which seems to be suggesting that, in that scenario, we would be looking at continued economic growth, but significantly slower than we had before the referendum. so by no means a catastrophe, one would say. the bank has also been looking at a very much more adverse scenario, one in which we have a very disruptive brexit with no tra

our business correspondent, andrew walker, is with me to look at the figures. the analysis, what does it say about theresa may's prepared... i can't speak! prepared? that is the word i am looking for. a couple of points with making first, we will see some unpleasant looking numbers coming up, but none of them are suggesting the economy is going to be that much smaller than it is today. but it is the comparison with what it might otherwise might have been had we maintained existing arrangements. it is not a question of us getting poorer than we are now, because the expectation is that the economy is going to grow, just slower than it would. the preferred arrangement is the white paper that we had back in july. it may well be that the negotiations don't ultimately produce that, but it is still a useful benchmark for the government analysis. and the conclusion that came to was that 15 years from now the economy would be something like 2.5 - 3.9% the economy would be something like 2.5 — 3.9% smaller than it would be, had we maintained our existing arrangements w

, and not just the stacy abrams and andrew gillums, but the democrats had a good set of candidates going around. they fit their districts that we are running in. >> i think scott is jumping the gun. he is surprised on monday morning not tuesday night. surprised and amused. >> look what mike braun is doing in indiana, and look what claire mccaskill is doing in missouri, and if they win it's because they ran away from their party. when you put a d behind the name, they have to separate themselves. i think our poll this morning is a bit of an outlier from the other national polls, and it gets much tighter and i would say about the economy for the republicans, it's the signature accomplishment of the administration and the signature accomplishment -- >> why aren't they talking about it? >> for intensity sake, immigration does matter to some republicans but the economy is tied to health care and how you feel about the future of the country and tied to so much of the aspirational messaging you would want to run on to close a campaign. i would have the economy on the -- >> he said it was just b

if andrew gillum wins in florida, that means florida is at risk for donald trump in 2020. paul: kim, why is walker, behind when he, and bill schutte, both those states have spectacular economic records last few years. unemployment rate is down, even maybe under three in wisconsin, yet they're not, they might lose both those statehouses? >> well, you know, you just hit on it. a little earlier. the midwest has been where donald trump has most voters sour against him. and so those republican governors, and in the statehouses there, they're all laboring against this. to the extent donald trump tried to make this election on him, that has been one of the main aspects of all of these races rather than the achievements of the republicans and legislatures there that have done so much for these states. paul: test whether or not the trump coalition is majority coalition with donald trump not on the ballot. and in the states. i want to mention one race, connecticut. bob stefanowski, bob laugher mentioned it, reform growth candidate, against ned lamont. the state of connecticut econom

shortly i believe he's headed out to wisconsin campaigning for scott walker and others, as a republican sense in those battleground states as was the case just two years ago, the numbers do not show what they see, a surge, after this. a once-in-five hundred year storm should happen every five hundred years, right? fact is, there have been twenty-six in the last decade. allstate is adapting. with drones to assess home damage sooner. and if a flying object damages your car, you can snap a photo and get your claim processed in hours, not days. plus, allstate can pay your claim in minutes. now that you know the truth... are you in good hands? neil: all right it's called a migrant caravan and we do know that it's actually four groups big, we do know that it has anywhere from 3,000 to 7,000 migrants as part of it we don't know the makeup of it a whose who in that group we do know the president has made it a leading issue here in this race. rick leventhal is in texas with the latest on that caravan as it makes its way to the southern border. hey, rick. >> hey, neil the caravan is quite a dista

in wisconsin, republican scott walker in for the fight of his political career. in waukesha, wisconsin, outside milwaukee, how is it looking for from you are. >> reporter: what a tight race. we are in a purple voting district. they are really concerned about taxes and concerned about health care. there is a big conversation here about how people were going to vote. i was talking to voters off to the sidelines and they were saying they didn't want to vote straight party ticket. one lady said i have eight grandkids. i want to keep scott walker in office, but i want a change at the top, especially in washington. how do we have this conversation? some other people are joining in. that back and forth and open dialogue. one of the things they want the change in is the toxic behavior in washington. one young man who was 19 said earlier it was the parkland shooting that motivated him to come out and vote. already more than 500,000 abs t absentee ballots were turned in. despite the conditions here which is rainy, cold, and wet, people have been coming up every half hour o

beating scott walker. theorylker, i have a that god didn't intend governors to serve more than two terms. there's a reason why a lot of states don't allow it. it's unnatural. andrew cuomo is cheating the gods. he was able to do it and got away with it. hey, it's new york state. hard for a democrat to lose there. whatever was the problem in wisconsin that led to republicans winning, donald trump winning wisconsin by 7/10 of a point, same thing. or pennsylvania, winning the governorship, holding onto the governorship easily and the senate seat. florida, coming up short in both the senate and governor's races but very competitively. by one point.it trump carried it by 1.2 percentage points. both these races were really close. that was onehio -- where normally it's a purple state in presidential elections. democrats weren't even close. seven points, something like that. democrats lost in 2016. here they won for -- ran pretty well here. those are some things that are worth looking at here. i think the president

some of the most high profileca idates like andrew gillum andt beto o'rourke l their races. >> and some democrats from gubernatorial races came from white men who weren't exactly fire brands like tony evers, thw democr beat scott walker in wisconsin. >> and the democratic wins in the house were fuelled largely by women which means many democrats may be askin if a female candidate might be the female candidate might be the be way to take on trump stin this is a fight. not to the finish. female candidate might be the be way to take on trump stin but to the beginning. a fight that can only be won, if we stand together for one cause. him. expert care for every new beginning. >>> police in england are using essive tactics to catch people stealing mopeds. they slam right into them. the crash sends them straight to the pavement. okay. wow. moped thieves are thought to believe police won't chase them if they drive dangerously. police say they assess the risk yf any chase to ensure the public's safet so they know for sure that these are people stealing them, right? >> oh, man, that is pretty ser

so remains to be seen whether bill nelson will continue with that path and follow andrew gillum and possibly concede his race to rick scott the. >> now, has there been a response from desantis? >> reporter: we have not seen a response from desantis. i guess we can now say governor elect desantis. he has frankly gone about the business of what the governor elect would have done. he's put together a transition. and his team has been here in tallahassee for a few days going about what a governor elect would do putting together a plan for when he would take over as governor of the state of florida. frankly, that's what rick scott has done as well. after the votes were election day here in florida, rick scott flew up to washington d.c. for what is basicallily orientation for new senators, kind of signaling he's moving on with the fact that he thinks he's going to be the next senator from the state of florida. both republicans doing that, it was a hint that they think he had are going to turn out victorious in both of these races. >> all right. we'll have more information tomorrow at that noon dea

andrew cuomo is cheating the gods. he was able to do it and got away with it, but hey it's new york state. hard for a democrat to lose there. but whatever was the problem in wisconsin that led to republicans winning, donald trump winning wisconsin by 7/10 of one point, same thing. or pennsylvania, winning the governorship, holding onto the governorship easily and holding onto a senate seat very, very easily. and then you think of florida, coming up it looks like just short in both the senate and governors races, but very, very competitively. obama carried it by one point. trump carried it by 1.2 percentage points in both these races were really close. i mentioned ohio. what i meant was, that was one where normally, it is a purple state in presidential elections, but democrats just were not even close. six, seven points, something like that. democrats lost in 2016, but here they ran pretty well here. so those are some things that are worth looking at here. i do think the presidential election, the campaign starts today.

the reverend doctor andrew bennett is program director for curtis law. he is an ordained deacon in the catholic church in the a parkey in eastern canada. he served as canada's first ambassador for religious freedom, and had of the office of religious freedom from 2013 to 2016. he simultaneously served as head of delegation to the international holocaust remembrance alliance, 31 country body which focuses on holocaust remembrance. he holds degrees in history and he received his phd in politics from the university of edinburgh and on a personal note, he and i have actually known each other since 1997 when he was a precocious phd student and i was a study abroad student and actually had hair so this is in many respects a continuation of a conversation that we are having even back then. welcome father deacon. doctor sophie joins us from the netherlands to reflect on the subject in western european context. she graduated in law from the university of edinburgh and received a doctorate. in september 2014, she was a professor of law. she has lectured and publis

tony evers defeating the incumbent scott walker. scott walker has won election several times in that state, including a recall election, is now out of office. and in a high profile race in the state of florida, the republican ron desantis defeating andrew gillum, one of the young hopes for the democratic party falling just short in the state of florida. meanwhile, california has a new governor. it's lieutenant governor will move up in office. gavin newsom winning easily over the republican john cox. in oregon, kate brown is the projected winner against knute buehler, the republican there, winning by 6 points. our experts are up late night with us. it's now 4:04 a.m. maria therese is a kumar. elise jordan is an msnbc political analyst, the co-host of "the words matter" podcast. susan del percio is an nbc political analyst. and down at the end of the table we pulled up a chair for him real special like, jon meacham, the presidential biographer and historian, also an msnbc contributor back in d.c. jonathan lemire for the associated pre

he concede as did andrew gillum in florida and, yet, he never backed off. even though it's a very small marginal and he is the governor of state. scott walker could say let's check in. he said you know what? i lost. katie: i talked to an election official who used to work in doj about this story. she was telling me that the senate actually has a serious interest here because of obviously a u.s. senate seat and may see a lawsuit coming out of one of these committees against these local jurisdictions to ensure things are being done properly. pete: a report looking at all the recounts since 2000; 27 recounts all democratic wins just saying. and the guy like marc elias. he stole the election for al franken and that senate seat alleged. ed: we will stay on that in florida all morning long. over to france, the president just woke up today, he just had this bilateral meeting with president macron of france. the president, when he landed in france, was quite upset about this proposal for macron to set up a european military. katie: macron said we have to protect ou

ron desantis still in the lead. 84,000 votes over the democrat, andrew gillum. such a closely watched and expensive race. ron desantis hanging on to that lead by about a point. you can see there 99% reporting. let's move on to wisconsin. in the midwest, scott walker, the incumbent going for his third term over tony evers. about 36% reporting. he's ahead, and this has been flipping back and forth all night. in georgia, kemp ahead. 65% reporting. ahead of stacey abrams at this point. about 250,000 votes. we'll keep an eye on that and take you back to wolf and jake. >> as we look closely at these races, some wins for the democrats but some impressive showings for the republicans. >> absolutely. let's talk for a second about the kansas governor's race because what's so interesting there is that there have been, even with donald trump's power in certain parts of the country, places like kansas where he won that state by more than 20 points, kris kobach was not able to replicate that. you had in the democratic candidate somebody that was able to get endorsements from

wisconsin winning a senate seat, tammy baldwin in wisconsin and beating scott walker peered with walker, i have a theory that god didn't intend governors to serve more than two terms. and there's a reason why a lot of states don't allow it because it is unnatural. andrew cuomo was able to do it and got away with it, but hey its new york state. hard for a democrat to lose there. but whatever was the problem in wisconsin that led to republicans winning wisconsin by seven tenths of a point come again same thing. or pennsylvania winning the governorship, holding onto the governorship easily in a senate seat very, very easily. and then you think of florida coming up short in both the senate and governors races, but very competitively. obama carried it by one point. tram carried it by 1.2 percentage points in both these races were really close and i mentioned ohio. what i meant was that was one would normally it's a purple state in presidential elections, the democrats just aren't even close. six, seven points something like that democrats lost in 2016, but here they ran pretty well here. tho

andrew cuomo was able to do it and got away with it, but hey it's new york state. hard for a democrat to lose there. but whatever was the problem in wisconsin that led to republicans winning wisconsin by 7/10 of one point, same thing. or pennsylvania winning the governorship, holding onto the governorship easily in a senate seat very, very easily. and then you think of florida , coming up short in both the senate and governors races, but very competitively. obama carried it by one point. trump carried it by 1.2 percentage points in both these races were really close. i mentioned ohio. normally it's a purple state in presidential elections, the democrats just aren't even close. six, seven points something like that. democrats lost in 2016, but here they ran pretty well here. those are some things that are worth looking at here. i do think the presidential election, the campaign starts today. there will be people jumping in immediately and i think it's going to be a field that will be roughly the same size as the republican field was back in 2016. but it will have so

andrew cuomo is cheating the gods. he was able to do it and got away with it, but hey it's new york state. hard for a democrat to lose there. but whatever was the problem in wisconsin that led to republicans winning, donald trump winning wisconsin by 7/10 of one point, same thing. or pennsylvania, winning the governorship, holding onto the governorship easily in a senate seat very, very easily. and then you think of florida, coming up just short in both the senate and governors races, but very, very competitively. obama carried it by one point. trump carried it by 1.2 percentage points in both these races were really close. i mentioned ohio. what i meant was, that was one where normally, it is a purple state in presidential elections, but democrats just aren't even close. six, seven points, something like that. democrats lost in 2016, but here they ran pretty well here. so those are some things that are worth looking at here. i do think the presidential election, the campaign starts today. there will be people jumping

now, andrew cuomo is cheating the gods. be was able to do it and got away with it, but hey it's new york state. hard for a democrat to lose there. but whatever was the problem in wisconsin that led to republicans winning, donald trump winning wisconsin by 7/10 of one point, same thing. pennsylvania, winning the governorship, holding onto the and holding easily on to a senate seat very, very easily. and then you think of florida, coming up short in both the senate and governor's races, but very competitively. obama carried it by one point. trump carried it by 1.2 percentage points, and both these races were really close. and i mentioned ohio, what i meant was, that is one that, normally it's a purple state in presidential elections, the democrats just aren't even close. six, seven points something like that. the democrats lost in 2016, but here they ran pretty well here. so those are some things that are worth looking at here. i do think the presidential election, the campaign starts today, that there are going to be people

incumbent republican senator scott walker trailing democrat tommy eberst, the state superintendent, too early to make a call there. >> lets go to new york. governor andrew cuomo who did cynthia nixon and the primary today wins third term by beatin and handily republican mark molinaro. >> in new york, democratic senator will win reelection to second term by defeating republican carly, she's been talked as a possible presidential candidate by the way. >> and one of the two senate races in minnesota today democratic senator will win at third term by beating gop state lawmaker jim newberger, she's also discussed as a possible 2020 democrat candidate. >> democratic senator tina smit will win election to fill the remainder of senator al franken sturm until january of 2021. >> let's look at wisconsin wher democratic senator will win a second term. she has defeated gop state senator. >> been mined as of 9:00 p.m. eastern time polls have closed in fully 80 percent of congressional districts across the country including most of the tightest tossup races that will determine the u.s. house o repres