these are red states. over the course of the past couple days have had a lot of conversations about this with pollsters trying to figure this out. it seems that in certain places there just is, i think we have to start making these adjustments, and invisible pro trump effect by two or three or more percentage points where in red states there are a lot of voters who will not respond to pollsters because they view pollsters as fake news liberal media establishment. they do want to be a part of that. in these sorts of red states moving forward i think we have to assume that the polls are going to be understating republican support by two, three, four points.>> or they don't tell the truth when asked. >> right. there is some of that, most of the people who looked at that from 2016 indicate that there is actually less of that trump voter who is unwilling to tell the pollster that she's a trump voter than we thought. to the extent that that was true in 2016 that's less true now because certainly among republican

it's a -- really, it's a red state. i saw a georgia official not long ago, a republican, he said -- and this is weeks ago. but he said, 55/45 republican. that's just generally how the state goes. why is stacy abrams making this such a race against the secretary of that state, brian kemp? >> well, i mean, kemp ran against the establishment, and as we have seen with -- sometimes when conservatives run against the establishment, ken cuccinelli in virginia, for example. had the establishment been behind him, he would have won that race. but they didn't. that's what happens sometimes. when the conservative uprising happens and moderate republicans tend to walk away. look, i think stacy abrams is a good candidate. she has done a good job. she has run a good race. and if she can turn out the minority vote in georgia, she has a good chance of winning. >> well, he's really aligned himself with trump, though. so i don't understand. >> brian kemp has. >> isn't trump supposed to be the big king-maker and he's so popular with everyb

these are red states. over the course of the past couple of days, i have had a lot of conversations about this with pollsters trying to figure this out. it seems that in certain places, right? there just is, i think we have to start making these adjustments, an invisible pro-trump effect by two or three or more percentage points where in red states, there are a lot of voters who just will not respond to pollsters because they view pollsters as part of the fake news liberal media establishment. they view it as one and the same. they do want to be a part of that. and so, in these sorts of red states, moving forward, i think we have to assume that the polls are going to be understating republican support by two, three, four points. betsy: or they don't tell the truth when asked. dr. barker: right. although, there is some of that, most of the people who looked at that from 2016 indicate that there is actually less of that trump voter who is unwilling to tell the pollster that she's a trump voter than we though

in some states like the red states where republicans majority, ie senate think you saw a positive reaction to trump. he polarized the electorate and could portend a new realignment. he is essentially german the republican party into a position where it is more reliant on noncollege whites, which is why they were able to boost of their majority in red states. at the same time, he has alienated college educated and suburban affluent whites, particularly women who delivered the house to democrats. it is worth pointing out that the one national election we had was for the house. won by ap forces sizable popular majority. host: you talk about your concern about declining state in free and fair elections. there are 116 million people voting, does that represent a declining faith in the electoral process? guest: i think it was a reaction to efforts to erode faith in our elections. i think it is fair to understand a lot of from to tax on the legitimacy of our put a consistent such as the ones we are seeing in florida and georgia, where he is out there essentially saying if we count all the votes,

joining us now, red state democratic senator doug jones of alabama. senator, thank you so much for being with us. i want to start with the news from friday. jobs numbers, 3.7% unemployment, wage growth above 3%, higher than it's been in years. why would you tell voters they should change anything with those kind of numbers? >> that's a really good point. i think my colleagues in the senate have been part that have growth, been part of that expansion. they've done that. and i think that is part of their message for the senate, why change this? we are doing well in the senate. we are trying to be bipartisan. we are trying to reach across and do those things. it hit home, those kitchen table issues i talked about. >> these democrats didn't vote for the tax cut, most of them, for instance. >> the tax cut is just part of this issue. there's a lot of things about the tax cut that is good, there's a lot that is not so good this say long-term cycle. this didn't just happen over the last two years. it started over the course of the senators' careers, six or 12

these are red states. over the course of the past couple of days, i have had a lot of conversations about this with pollsters trying to figure this out. it seems that in certain places , right? there just is, i think we have to start making these adjustments, and invisible pro -- an invisible pro trump effect by two or three or more percentage points where in red states, there are a lot of voters who will not respond to pollsters because they view pollsters as fake news liberal media establishment. they do want to be a part of that. in these sorts of red states, moving forward, i think we have to assume that the polls are going to be understating republican support by two, 3, 4 points. betsy: or they don't tell the truth when asked. dr. barker: right. there is some of that, most of the people who looked at that from 2016 indicate that there is actually less of that trump voter who is unwilling to tell the pollster that she's a trump voter than we thought. to the extent that that was true in 2016 that's les

he's working these red states, but there are some places that he simply cannot go. nevada and arizona are two of them, according to our sources. you know, the strategist in those states are saying these are states where there are large populations of hispanic voters who might be turned off by the very same messages that the president is pushing in that ad that you played earlier today. the republican candidates in those races have asked the president basically to stay away. kate. >> all right, abby, thanks so much. >>> joining me now to discuss this, and really the state of things, cnn senior political commentator, former republican senator from pennsylvania, rick santorum. and former democratic senator from indiana, evan bayh. thank you both for being here. senator santorum, as abby was just saying, sources are telling cnn that the point of this video, and probably maybe the point of this announcement, whatever his remarks that he's going to make this froonl, is to change the conversation. to change the argument on immigration from family unification to invasion. i

the pattern of a consistently red state. >> we are driving along i-85. it might be a race for the governor's mansion in georgia but it is one the entire country is watching. in the red state of georgia where the fish is fried and the tea is sweet the politics are as bare knuckled as it comes. >> this is a battle for the soul of our state, y'all. >> we have an opponent who is an architect of voter suppression. >> reporter: an historic race in a dead heat. >> we are georgia! >> reporter: partly because of stacey abrams, the 44-year-old democratic leader in the georgia house. >> i'm stacey abrams and i'm running for governor. >> reporter: who if elected would become the first black female governor of any state in u.s. history. >> we want all of georgia to see themselves reflect in my leadership. yes, i will be the first black woman to be a governor in the history of the united states, but what that means is i'm opening the door for the next person and the person after that. >> reporter: president trump captured the state by a little over five points, so her

what should the strategy be for these democrats in these red states? >> hallie, first of all, every one of those democrats can point back to the vote we took last february or january, when were working on the budget, on immigration, with every one of those democrats, including myself, voted for a bill that would have provided border security, up to $25 billion. it was what the president wanted. we asked about it. he wanted it. we talked about daca and we talked about border security. no democrats want open borders. no republican wants open borders. i think the real quick answer is, we gave you what you wanted and you killed it. it was the president and his team that killed it. republicans killed that. or else we might not be in this position. the second thing is, democrats are going to pivot right back to the issues that people care about i think really the most, and that is health care. preexisting conditions, where the president and his administration and republicans across the country are trying to do away with the preexisting condition issues on in

instead they're having to compete in these deep red states that trump won big. so that is really the story of this election cycle in the senate. >> what's your response? this morning a lot of people are

i went into red states that i'd won and got republican senators there. vanquished some people who opposed my agenda. and oh, the house? that was paul ryan's fault is i think what we'll hear at some point from the president. i think the president's going to look at that, look at the landscape of the governors, where he did better than expected, and say, this was a good night for me, and he'll move on. but i also think the one change i think he will make is, from an issues perspective, you'll see a guy who's going to look for opportunity to make an unexpected deal with house democrats that gives him credibility moving into 2020. >> donna brazile, would your former chair of the democratic national committee work, donald trump be right in telling himself a story that he won? if you look at this historically, didn't he do better than most president dozen in their first midterm? >> no, because he didn't -- with a good economy, donald trump lost seats in the house of representatives. democrats knew going into tonight that we had an opportunity to pick up some o

we are not a nation of red states or blue states. we are a nation of red, white and blue states. that's america. >> thank you for believing in america. thank you for believing in our future. thank you for believing in what we can yet achieve. congratulations. this is your victory tonight. >> i will be out there fighting with you. i am not going away. i love this state. i will continue to serve. >> we know a vow, a vow takes effort. it takes commitment to hold truth. reaching out, reaching across is hard work, but as i told you then, hard work is in our bones. [ applause ] >> stacey abrams there overnight from her election headquarters in atlanta. >> yeah, one of the governors' races we are still waiting to learn the outcome of, alaska, connecticut, georgia, maine, new hampshire. >> a lot still to be decided, indeed. josh hawley there, the 38-year-old beating claire mccaskill. there are a number of different headlines that we noticed overnight and we continue to keep our eyes on. our election coverage continues. for some of you your local news is next. >> for everyone else "americ

state. he is no washington liberal. he enjoys strong support by african-american voters, but he will need more than 20% of the

he's going into red states. i don't think he will have success stopping joe manchin getting re-elected. when it comes to joe donnely, the democrat in the red state, he may have success, he can stir up the base. that's all he's doing. the whole attack on the caravan, everything that he says about the caravan being filled with disease, it's just, you know, at some point you want to think, about these republicans paying attention? >> jesse: didn't obama say we were poisoning the air and water? [laughing] >> juan: it's true, true. >> dana: morgan, your thoughts about, we have -- going into a weekend, it's also when you have to turn back the clocks. . >> it is? >> dana: yeah. apparently, i think that's good news for republicans, right? i'm just kidding, no idea. trends tell us in the past. >> i think it all comes down to undecided voters, which are largely independent interests, largely moderates. something i thought was interesting, and in this before the mail bomber happened, before the temple shooting happened, mo

the one democrat in a red state voted for a kavanaugh. >> democrats in red states. you lost the house last night. i am wondering what kind impact the president rhetoric has on the party of women voters and suburban voters in some of those key races? sen. mcconnell: i will try not to have us rate -- waste our time on routine questions about what the president may say at any given moment. i am here to talk about the senate. we had a very good day. i am proud of what has happened. the president was very helpful to us. >> if you look at the exit polls, one of the most important issues for voters was health care. did you take away from the message that any effort to repeal a at this point is get -- is dead. sen. mcconnell: i think the democratic house will not be interested in that. there are serious problems with obamacare. they raised a phony issue of whether or not we work for or against pre-existing conditions. i suspect it may have worked in some places. even though they tried to define health care on that issue, i think all of our candidates who subsequently won we

states and you saw some elections in red states. the united states ranks 90th in the world in the number of women serving in their congress. we have a long way to go. >> what do you attribute it to? i understand kavanaugh issue broke down gender and party line. >> president trump. we can't forget the largest demonstration anywhere in our time was the women's march the day after he was elected. and many women ran for congress never having served in office because of trump. we expect to be respected. we expect not to be treated like we are chattel and his hollywood access tape, i think inspired many women. >> obviously president trump did also campaign demonizing muslims and then the muslim ban. it is amazing that she won. >> it say says wonderful things about the diversity of our country and no matter what comes out of the president's mouth, in tru truth, we are a country that embraces different religions. and we will continue to open our arms. >> what do you think were the issueses. the democrats won the house and the republicans in

it is noteworthy that the only democrat in a red state voted for a kavanaugh. reporter: [indiscernible] democrats in red states. you obviously lost the house last night. i am wondering what kind impact the president's rhetoric has on the party of women voters and suburban voters in some of those key races? sen. mcconnell: i will try not to have us waste our time on sort of routine questions about what the president may say at any given moment. i am here to talk about the senate. we had a very good day. i am proud of what has happened. the president was very helpful to us. reporter: if you look at the exit polls, one of the most important issues for voters was health care. did you take away that the message that any effort to repeal aca this point is dead. sen. mcconnell: i think the democratic house will not be interested in that. there are serious problems with obamacare, serious problems that need to be fixed. they raised a phony issue of whether or not we work for or against pre-existing conditions. i suspect it may have worked in some places. even though th

of oregon and in the deep red state of south carolina jason elliott in a heavily conservative district won in his bid for reelection for the state house of representatives this is someone who had the support and the endorsement of former south carolina and heritage foundation president jim de mint in his bid for reelection i think it just goes to show just how far hearts and minds are changing on both sides of the aisle when it comes to supporting good candidates regardless of their sexual orientation or gender identity. we do the wall street journal exit poll from tuesday to twenty four percent of the community voted republican in thirty seven percent of transgender people voted republican i mean those are those are very high numbers are those reflective of reality i think so you know i mean i can just go with the data that you saw in that wall street journal poll where you are going to and the data there that survey had not

state. as kansas secretary of state, he has come under fire after the sole polling place for dodge city was moved outside of town, disproportionately affecting latin american voters. not near public transportation. as candidates made their closing arguments, president trump continued to rail against a caravan of central american migrants crossing mexico in order to seek political asylum in the united states. on friday, the first of thousands of active duty u.s. soldiers arrived at the

upon a time a red state. and you have georgia, which boggles my mind because i thought we were four years away from this in georgia. you have georgia as a toss up. if states like georgia and arizona are turning red, the pathway for republicans in 2020 back to the white house has gotten more and more narrow while the pathway for democrats is expanding. look, arizona will be a battleground state in the next presidential election, and i didn't think it would be. but if we're coming within a point in georgia, whoever the next democratic nominee is, we'll put money there. >> and david jolly, when you look at a couple of the districts that were flipped in texas, one of them the republicans have held for 52 years since george h.w. bush first won that seat in 1966. a powerful 18-year member from texas just knocked out -- no one in his district seemed to care he was the chairman of aproepgs subcommittee and could do the district some good. none of the old moves are working in those kinds of districts for republicans.

certainly in red states he's benefiting red state republican senate candidate. is he helping inside the suburban swing districts? they be not as much. trump is certainly the central figure in this election is going to be a central player. eric: sorry to interrupt you could the president speaking at the white house. playback of the president of the night dates as he's departing for a rally in macon, georgia. here is president donald trump. >> i'm now leaving for georgia during the rally. we have a tremendous number of people as you know, as you probably know standing outside trying to get and. it is for brian kemp running for governor of georgia and then go into tennessee where we have a tremendous crowd. i don't know what that means, but i think it really portends something very interesting >> but that will be the second stop. first stop is georgia so we will have a very busy day. tremendous crowds. >>. [reporter question inaudible] >> i think we will do well with the house. i think my primary focus has been on the senate because there are so many people in the

it's a red state. it's going to be tough. cindy hyde-smith has been dropping since all her comments and other things have come to light and we've been surging. we think it's going to be closer than anybody expected and we think we can eke it out. it's all going to come down to turnout. this race shouldn't have been as competitive as it is, and it is, and that should tell you something about what's happening right now and the problems that cindy hyde-smith -- and, actually, why president trump had to come down to help save her, try to save her. >> and we will see. scott, she has faced a string of controversies, including comments about attending a public hanging and her attempts to clean it up after the fact. let me play it for our viewers as a reminder. >> if he invited me to a public hanging. >> could you clarify? >> if i hurt anybody's feelings -- lower taxes, less regul regulations, second amendment, all those things. any time i've said anything and somebody got offended i want to apologize. >> can you acknowledge what off

states ruby red states the factor played a very positive role for republicans in districts and suburban districts women turned out to me to movement went from a movement to a real political force and delivered a lot of democrats and what we're seeing right now is the swing area in the united states continues to be the midwest where a lot of these states the old blue wall as tell young conway would say you know when for trump and twenty sixteen is delivering a lot of these victories in governor's races and house races the democrats these cleavages in american society that we talked about that maybe shocked two years ago it seems that they're just more permanent than they were even a year ago i mean we're talking about for example the urban versus the rural divide in the united states it's that divides getting wider is it i mean there is a sorting process as a literal physical sorting process have taken place in the united states and a lot of countries in the world you know people who used to work in manufacturing for example in a state like missouri are leaving missouri a lot of those bl

the one democrat in a red state who survived voted for a kavanaugh. >> democrats in red states. you lost the house last night. i am wondering what kind impact the president's rhetoric has on the party of women voters and suburban voters in some of those key races? sen. mcconnell: i will try not to have us waste our time on routine questions about what the president may say at any given moment. i am here to talk about the senate. we had a very good day. i am proud of what has happened. the president was very helpful to us. >> if you look at the exit polls, one of the most important issues for voters was health care. did you take away from the message that any effort to repeal aca at this point is dead. sen. mcconnell: i think the democratic house will not be interested in that. there are serious problems with obamacare. they raised a phony issue of whether or not we work for or against pre-existing conditions. i suspect it may have worked in some places. even though they tried to define health care on that issue, i think all of our candidates who subsequently won were able to mak

. >> we are not a nation of red states or blue states. we are a nation of red, white and blue states. that's america. >> plus, expert analysis from our powerhouse political team. abc news election night coverage, your vote, your vote continues right now. >>> and it is morning in america, and good morning, everybody. i'm kendis gibson. >> i'm marci gonzalez. we begin our special election coverage with the split decision on congress. democrats have won control of the house for the first time in eight years, but the senate remains in the hands of republicans. >> firmly in the hands of republicans. here's a breakdown at this hour, in the house democrats now have at least 222 seats. only 201 was needed for control. and now the new makeup of the senate, so far it's 43-51 in favor of republicans who have gained two seats so far. red firmly in control there. one high-profile senate contest remains undecided this morning. it's in florida between the democratic incumbent bill nelson and the state's current republican governor rick scott. >> meanwhi

this is a red state and a red county. hamilton county just north of indianapolis. look at the people. there have been huge lines all day. the early vote though, if you look, no surprise. about half million additional early voters this year in indiana. here's the problem for republicans. if you look at the counties in which that early vote took place, marion county, that is indianapolis. urban county. largely a blue one. compared to even two years ago when trump was on the ballot. we've got a lot more share of the vote in the blue county this time. that could be something telling. we asked mike braun about that as he campaigned for the last time this morning. here what he said. >> we're a conservative state. we like it. so i think we noticed a definite difference back in the kavanaugh hearings. it energized our side. >> reporter: and joe donnelly, as you might know, voted against judge kavanaugh. he said i have voted with the president a lot of the time. i am not a blocker. we'll see who gets the share of those moderates that may swing this election one way or the o

a lot of them for red state democrats. now coming coming back out here live, we wanted to tell you a little bit about some developing news going on right now with some of these red state democrats. first of all, two seats tonight have flipped from republican to democrat. that's good news in the house. in florida, donna shillelagh has won against maria salazar. and, one seat has been flipped blue with jennifer waxen beating barbara comstock. here are some that are going to be key tonight. take a look. this is claire mccaskill, who is casting her vote earlier today in missouri. that is one of the biggest races right there in missouri. that's where democratic senator claire mccaskill is locked in this battle, just to keep fighting for her seat. one of the most vulnerable and hotly contested senate races. that race right now is too close to call. she has 51% of the votes counted so far. republican challenger josh hawley has 46% of the votes. with most of the precincts still not counted, hawley still has a chance to take the se

it is going to help in red states, electing republican senators. it will hurt in the house races. especially in suburban districts with better educated people and suburban women. true or false? >> false. again, it matters how it is handled. is it going to help in some congressional districts?yes. he's going to west virginia which is a battleground district. it will help there. it's he going to illinois six, peter? but he wants his stewardship of the economy his stewardship. what he has done as a congressman, makes a good economy i think the white house has been -- and how they have deployed the president peerless be clear, no camp, this not a campaign individual states dominated by issues. i am nothing candidates in nevada or arizona or missouri or north dakota or indiana running mom kind of ad. there are many different kinds of ads that appeal to the individual states and they tend to be more about the economy and judges than they -- >> you see the ad democrats are running are consistent in terms of message discipline. >> healthcare. you can even go to arizona, -- >> he is not go

it turns out there's a whole bunch of states that we think of as red states or strongly red leaning states where democrats right now stand more than a good chance of winning the governorship. if you haven't been following governor races closely, you'll be surprised how well democrats are looking in the polls in governor races, even in pretty conservative states. we'll bring in steve kornacki about that in just a second. but first, before we do that, i want you to meet my new favorite student council president. >> how old are you? >> i'm 18 years old as of today. >> happy birthday. >> thank you. >> how does that feel? >> it's exhilarating, kind of. i called last week to ask about my voter registration to make sure it's going to go through before this whole thing started, and they said it's going to be hold until today. so hopefully it went through today. >> alejandro lopez is on the debate team, he's also active in local politics, in his case, he's a democrat and active with the local democratic party. he just turned 18 this week. he works two part-time jobs right now. paying for his braces

josh kimbrell, red state contributor in talk radio host in davidson. from a former state department official and former obama campaign foreign policy adviser,

red states. blue states. and every shade of purple in between. we see people working across party lines. state lines. yes, even airlines. all looking for for that uncommon, common ground. a nice reminder: that if you really want to see what this country is made of. maybe it's best to go see it for yourself. i'm a musician about to embark on a concert tour,r. with the majority of which will be down south. atlantic city? the deep south. this thanksgiving... in the deep south, there's gonna be problems. when you see me worried... tony. you'll know if i'm worried. how about some quiet time. it's amazing you said that, my wife used to say that all the time. their journey inspired an unexpected friendship. i don't think i ever met anyone with your appetite. [ laughing ] opportunity is everywhere. like here. where nothing stands between you and your best friends. ♪ this is not a screensaver.game. this is the destruction of a cancer cell by the body's own immune system, thanks to medicine that didn't exist until now. and today can save your life. ♪ â

joe manchin. >> [indiscernible] democrat in a red state but you also -- [indiscernible] -- i'm wondering what kind of impact you think the president's rhetoric in the last couple weeks have had on your party with women voters and suburban voters in those key races? >> i will try not to have us waste our time on routine questions about what the president may say at any given moment. i am here to talk about the senate. we had a good day. i am proud of what has happened. the president was helpful to us. polls,ou look at exit one of the most important issues was health care. take away from that the message that any effort to repeal aca at this point is dead? >> it is obvious the democratic house is not going to be interested in that. there are serious problems with obamacare. they need to get fixed. they raised the phony issue of whether or not we were for or against pre-existing conditions. i expect it may have worked in our races. they tried to define health care on that issue. all of our candidates who subsequently won were able to make clear to voters that everybody we knew was in favor

especially in the red states where democrats were up for reelection. i thought it was interesting to hear senate mcconnell talk about presidential harassment. something tells me that phrase will be used many more times if the investigations really kick into gear on the house side. yesterday the former pennsylvania governor said he hopes that a house democratic congress, the house of representatives will legislate, legislate, legislate and not investigate, investigate, investigate. >> sandra: as far as working with democrats, that will be the big question and see what kind of tone the president sets a few moments from now, bret. kellyann conway was talking about this earlier. she said the president has already shown he is willing to meet with democrats. she referenced the bipartisan legislation on the opioid crisis. you wonder what sort of stage he is going to set a few minutes from now for working with democrats going forward. >> i think there is a possibility on something like infrasfruk -- structure and outreach on immigration. when the white house s

that is so very red state. she was looking to her future in another office in another roll. >> it's hard to put yourself in someone's mind. maybe her conviction. it seemed if there was a political calculation she wasn't making it. in other words she wasn't deciding i need to do this as joe manchin did in west virginia. >> it was a big factor in the race and shifted things. kramer is up significantly in our voter analysis data. we have a pretty big win for kramer. we will wait for more raw vote total before the decision is called. i love the messages to the decision desk. the subtle, someone else made the call. can we caught a shot. >> i'm reporting they decide. >> here they are. >> they're hard at work. >> can i say that's a fun group of people. >> what are they doing. >> someone is eating. a lot of huddling around. chris. >> the interrogation room. >> an aerial view. he's pointing at screens. >> we will pay the price for mocking them. >> should we ask them to thumbs up on a florida call. it won't happen. they'

another visit here to the reddest of red states. maybe scarlet republican red as the president makes his way to the beautiful mountain state of west virginia. on the docket today is a rally because we're talking about a major senate race here bill. manchin and morrissey. the president wants to come here and lend a hand to the man who is currently trailing in the polls. this is a very big race. manchin continues to lead comfortably but he has been helped by his vote for brett kavanaugh. a decision regarded as positive here in west virginia. last night in the show-me state of missouri the president tried to help tip the balance in another key senate race between hawley and mccaskill, who mr. trump said represents a party that is out of touch with the american people. >> president trump: the democrat agenda is the agenda of the extreme far left. they've gone crazy, folks, they've gone totally loco. the democrats are the party of rigid ideology and total conformity. they demand absolute agreement and they dismiss, demean and demonize an

missouri is a red state, north dakota is a red state. wel see what happens in montana. >> but he's always only focussed on his base. >> but they're not big in the electoral college. those are states that are given for the most part to the republicans. if you want to talk electoral college math this is a bad night for donald trump. and what california can do and i think what californians are going to do in the congress is start to do something that so far this administration has never seen which is a check. which is accountability, which is the ability to use the subpoena to get information that quite frankly these agencies have been stiffing congress in every way for the past two years. that is an enormous amount of light that's going to come that's going to be shed. not even including what robert mueller may bring to the table in the next few weeks. >> so we have been talking about what the democrats may feel bold enough to try to stop. what might they try to reach out to republicans on and actually get something done. or what would rep

>> you credited the president for his work for democrats in red states. he also lost the house. what kind of impact you think the president's rhetoric in the last couple of weeks had on your party particularly with women voters and suburban voters in some of those key races? >> i'm going to try not to have us waste our time on sort of routine questions about what the president may say at any given moment. what i'm here to talk about is the senate. we had a very good day. proud of what happened. the president was very helpful to us. >> if you look at the exit polls, one of the most important issues to voters was healthcare. do you take away from that the message that any effort to repeal aca at this point is dead? >> i think it's pretty obvious the democratic house is not going to be interested in that. there are serious problems with obamacare, serious problems that need to get fixed. they raised the phony issue of whether or not we were for or against pre-existing conditions. it may have worked some places. fortunately in our races even though they tried

again, going into the deep red states. what's interesting about the independent number and the independents, a lot of them may have supported donald trump because they were just trying something new. they said i can't support hillary clinton. let me try him. and now that they tried him, they don't want him. and that's why i think they turned and a we'll continue to see them turn on president trump. >> jonathan lemire, the white house reporter for the associated press still with us. jonathan, do you get the sense that donald trump now turns the corner toward 2020? we were talking about the issue of immigration. it's a horse he has been on since he descended the escalator and carried him into the white house. is he thinking now about reelection? >> oh, yes. that's already begun to cross his mind. according to our reporting. and immigration is going to play a big part in this. he told news an interview we did with him a couple of weeks back that he felt like this election was starting to remind him of 2016, in part because of

blue states are getting bluer. red states are getting redding. there were a lot of pick ups. when you look at the map that way and you see less and less states remaining purple, less and less voters voting on a split ticket as the polling shows, bill, what happens next? >> i think it's generally right. the partisanship and polarization has intensified. there's states that were swing states aren't so much swing states anymore. ohio and iowa have gone pretty republican. those were hugely contested in 2000 and 2004. florida remains a huge swing state. look what's happened. michigan, pennsylvania and wisconsin, blue wall that was supposed to save the democrats that obama carried and that kerry carried against push, trump stole those. those are very much in play. up with of the things that happened the degree of democratic gains in 2018 in blue areas in red states are making those states more purple. the five biggest county in texas, i think obama carried those by 80,000 -- clinton carried those by 80 the in 2006. trump won the state. beto carried the five largest counties in texa

he's not going to be able to keep this same route of red state, red state, red state. but interestingly, all of these rallies have been, yes, been about republican candidates, but there have been very few signs of senate signs. no matt rosendale, all trump signs. that is by design. so the trump show, maybe a slight hiatus, but not much of one. it's going to be back in full swing. >> all right. the fall season, can't wait! >> i know we've jumped a lot about it being infrastructure week, but if house democrats win on tuesday, it might actually be infrastructure week. we have seen signs the that senior white house officials are actually making overtures to key democrats, even ahead of the midterms, to try to talk about an infrastructure deal. the legislative affairs director visited a top house democrat who would be overseeing is infrastructure projects a few weeks ago. she carried a message from the president, saying president trump wants to do something really and that he acknowledges that it's going to require real money. so if democrats do take back the house on tuesd

it turns out there's a whole bunch of states that we think of as red states or strongly red-leaning states where democrats right now stand more than a good chance of winning the governorship. if you haven't been following governor's races closely, you'll be surprised how well democrats are looking in the polls in governor's races, even in pretty conservative states. we'll bring in steve kornacki about that in just a second. but first, before we do that, i want you to meet my new favorite student council president. >> how old are you? >> i'm 18 years old as of today. >> happy birthday. >> thank you. >> how does that feel? >> it's exhilarating, kind of. i called last week to ask about my voter registration to make sure it's going to go through before this whole thing started, and they said it's going to be on hold until today. so hopefully it went through today. >> alejandro lopez is on the debate team, he's also active in local politics, in his case, he's a democrat and active with the local democratic party. he just turned 18 this week. he works two part-time jobs right now. paying for his

. >> stoking fear, anxiety, he is riling up red voters in the state of america. >> martha: president trump heading back in another blame point. >> you are creating violence by your questions. and a lot of the reporters are creating violence by not writing the truth. the fake news is creating violence. >> martha: here now at the polls, howie kurtz. what do you make of the president pointing fingers, what do you think about all that? >> he had a washington post pol poll, and roughly half the country, 47% blames the news media for encouraging politically motivated violence. the question for the abc reporter was only about the blame trump part. now we have this sort of spectacle of each side blaming the other and i tend to blame the perpetrators in this situation. but the media very rarely pause to consider their own role in spreading devices. and as you saw in those clips, the president is fearmongering, and a lot of people out there think we are complicit as well. >> some of the things we played in that montage are about immigration. the issue here is about illegal immigration and i th

state is read. -- red. but the democrats will point to the fact that we have a real contender. they were giving them a run for their money. david: it is now official, republicans will hold control of the senate. no matter what happens, we know that one thing is decided, they will have a majority in the senate. >> i would look at the margin, to see how big of a margin we see in texas. low, single digits where the democrats do better than they ever have before. and if they build on that model to reshape the electorate. but in order to make a reliably and red state more of a competitive state and they may take lessons from that and try to have more candidates in the mold of beto o'rourke. and if it is a wipeout, it is another example of the democrats trying to play in texas and t allng out it is no that fun. david: i'd would guess that is not the last we see of beto o'rourke. >> he was the rock star of the midterm election, besides all three of you. [laughter] but, you know, i think the money into thiscrats po

state voters stand by republicans despite trump's trade war paint voters in red states largely shrugged off concerns about the economic effect of president on school trade or throwing their support behind republican candidates who embraced the administration's protectionist genda as a spy it sounds by democrats to turn it into a wedge issue in particular they mention the three democratic incumbent senators who lost their seats senator claire mccaskill of missouri senator heidi heitkamp of north dakota and senator john donnelly of indiana lost their seats to republican challengers even though they had run saying. you know on donald trump's trade war harming farmers in the midwest right. as marshall on a frequent guest on this show points out in great economist and he looked at the trade warning looked at what's happening in china and america and concluded even though he's a progressive that trumps trade war is effectively genius and this is led to a remarkable spurt in employment in the us and put china defensive. as we enter what i call this era of neo mercantilist so it's going to be e

in a lot of these sort of red states or used to be blue and went red during the trump 2016 election, democratic candidates are not necessarily nationalizing the elections. they want to make it about the local issues in south dakota. if you nationalize the governor's race as a democrat, you would lose. i think that's going to be the big story tonight is what kind of gains democrats make and many of the governors have the power even if they don't get the legislature back, the veto pen is what they have. >> iowa, wisconsin, ohio and michigan. all the trump states that he claimed as his own. he took that after the 2016 election. he took the victory tour to go to the new trump states. he seldom visited in this campaign. he went to deep red places. that begins in his mind right now. he will have to go back to those places. look at wariowa and wisconsin. these states are not locked in permanent trump states. that's what i'm watching in the middle of the country. >> in the florida governor's race, the president put his stamp on that race more than any other governor's race. ron desantis may

the race should have been a runaway for a republican in the red state. president trump won there by 18 points. if this one is different at all, it would potentially be a reason. on november 2nd, cindy hyde smith said she'd be in the front row of a public hanging if anyone invited her and she later apologized and said there was no ill will and refused to discuss it further and was recorded speaking fondly of voter suppression for those who don't support her. mississippi will decide whether she should represent them in washington. peter doocy reporting live. >> reporter: i've spoke to colleagues for cindy hyde smith and they said they feel bad for her about the controversy clouding her campaign because they think in d.c. she's a nice person. hyde-smith not address the controversy this morning when she went to vote and didn't mention it either last night at a pair of rallies with president trump saying if they're going to elect hyde-smith as the first woman in mississippi they'll have to vote for the second time in three weeks. >> it is such a critical elec