. >> is elizabeth warren the person she plays on tv? the answer is question. >> i learned about fighting in washington. i learned about fighting against those with power. >> do you know where the money went? >> she's confrontational. >> she's smarter than any wall street banker, and she's tougher than any nfl linebacker. >> donald trump is a two bit con man. >> and a liberal fire brand who can take the heat. >> pochantas is not happy. she's the worst. >> we're pretty unenthusiastic about the possibility of elizabeth warren. >> she's starting to understand, a lightening rod is not necessarily a bat thing. >> nevertheless we persist. >> in a deeply divided country can elizabeth warren show she deserves to be president of the united states. >> fight hard and let's win! >>> good morning, lawrence! >> elizabeth warren, the senior senate from massachusetts announces her run for the oval office in february. >> the man in the white house is not the cause of what is broken. he is just the latest and most extreme symptom of what's gone wrong in a

so how is elizabeth warren coming to this moment? well, part of it is she is digging into key pieces of bernie sanders' strength. look at young voters, voters under the age of 35 over the course of the last year in iowa across our polling with the des moines register. take a look at march. bernie sanders was at 34% among these under 35 voters. take a look where he is now, down to 21%, in june 22% in september. look at warren's numbers here. she is climbing. 10% in march. 19% in june. now she's overtaken bernie sanders with this core piece of his constituency. she is taking slices of the sanders' coalition. now joe biden continues to own the 65 and over vote. the senior citizens in iowa, look at this, running away. joe biden gets 35% of them. elizabeth warren at 12%. nobody else in double digits. so that maintains as a real strength for biden. and idealogically, i think this story is going to define everything for the next 135 days. among people who identify as liberal democrats, warren is at 34%. biden's at 11%. it's the complete opp

other proposals are elizabeth warren's private equity tax. tonight at the debate you will hear a lot of proposals and they will have to be ready for it. david: it is interesting when you talk about the debate tonight, it is interesting why bernie sanders and elizabeth warren want to say why they want to have this tax. what democrat will stand up and say that is not a good idea? kirsten: we are seeing the democrats divide into two camps. a vocal progressive camp. joe biden might be on the other side, more moderate. he seems to be espousing a more pragmatic proposal, recognizing the country is very divided. we are seeing the democrats splintering off into two camps. david: is a fascinating and important issue. and presciently bringing it to us. that is kirsten wegner. still ahead, smile direct club goes public. investors do not have reason to smile. why the dental company opened lower. that is next and this is bloomberg. ♪ david: you are watching "balance of power." i am david westin. time for the stock of the hour, smile direct club. it open

these poll numbers show elizabeth warren. >> elizabeth warren inching closer to joe biden, the former vice president sits at 31% he's up five points since july warren only six points behind at 25%. vermont senator bernie sanders a distant third with 14% in this poll, and most notably perhaps senator kamala harris has fallen eight points since july. she sits in fifth place with 5% of the vote. biden reaches almost 50% support among black voters, while 28% of white voters back warren's run a third of young voters say they support sanders with warren following as a close second in that group, whereas almost 50% of voters over 65 back joe biden. liberal democratic voters overwhelmingly support the massachusetts senator's run at 36% for warren while more than 40% of moderate and conservative democrats polled say they back the former vice president. when it comes to the amount of change democratic voters want to see, a majority who want to see large scale change say they back warren's run for the white house, and of those who prefer small scale change 43% support biden. meanwhile, warren ho

warren, eve elizabeth warren and joe biden. that attention between older establishment white politician and newer -- and the newer -- >> who isn't a -- >> bernie sanders doesn't qualify for that, except being so progressive and warren. that's going to be the fundamental tension. i still think, despite the flashpoint, how you're going to pay for this kind of health care, i didn't think we saw the elizabeth warren/joe biden matchup that people were expecting. >> you know what i think part of that is a function of, i want your take on this, sabrina, it's easy to say they're going to go at it. when you are standing next to somebody, it is different than talking about them. looking them in the face and saying all the things that you said about me is not as easy. no matter how hungry you are. it's always a little more muted. they said john yang was going to do something tonight that nobody's ever done before andrew yang. what was that? >> the candidates, time and again, it's best not to tell them your attack before the debate. lookin

news, elizabeth warren will be so funny. kennedy: you know what will happen. >> it will be awesome. kennedy: elizabeth warren will could nominee, and lose and stand over this huge pile of trash that is democrat party, and you see one tear. just one tear. >> when is hillary clinton not old news. she cannot wait for elizabeth warren to lose. kennedy: all right. thank you panel, nice to see you, michael, doug, great work. >> and chris. >> 2020 fun does not stop, most polls show joe biden with a strong lead over his fellow democrats, but that does not mean he is comfortable, sleepo joe's allies are growing nervous. of elizabeth warren, and her campaign has a lot of enthusiasm and biden's electability taking a bit, one person biden is not worried about dumb cory booker. booker is in 4 place, and his home state of new jersey. so doesed by ven reason to worry? when are wanna-bees going to bow out. with we new tom bevin is back. >> held low. kennedy: what do the -- averages show you. >> biden has lead, september 14 his lead slipped

elizabeth warren is still trying to get past the pocahontas and the d.n.a. and all this other stuff. campaigns have bad moments. the next question is what are you offering the people? donald trump is going to say all the things about the democratic nominee. the question is: what are you offering people that they want to be out there and be for and they're going to go and rally behind you because of that despite whatever mistakes it is that you've made. i think people are still waiting to hear from kamala harris a concise message about what those things are. >> brennan: michael crowley, sharpie gate? >> thank you for asking. >> brennan: what do we make of it? >> we know the details by now. the president taking a sharpie to his hurricane map and on some level it's a total theater of the absurd. on another, i think it's, you know, encapsulates american politics right now. the president essentially tried to disport facts. he got the facts wrong, then he tried to retd ro actively distorted them. it looks like he enlisted government officials to back him up. would

john bolton is out trump's approval rating is down and elizabeth warren is now tied with joe biden for the democratic nomination in a newly released poll the political panel weighs in on this edition of. going to politicking on matthew cook in for larry king on tuesday president trump announced via twitter that he was firing the national security adviser john bolton for his part mr bolton claims he quit this plays out as a newly released poll shows donald trump's approval ratings down since mid-summer what path might mr trump take in the coming months to try to improve those numbers and another poll shows senator elizabeth warren climbing into a virtual tie with former vice president joe biden for 1st place in the battle for the 2020 democratic nomination can she maintain her momentum let's turn to the political panel for analysis they are amy holmes political columnist and michael tobin democratic strategist and former senior aide to senator chuck schumer they're both in new york city welcome to the program that pleasure to be with you so let's jump right in and talk about this econom

you make a little money and elizabeth warren wants to take it back. this is a woman who claims she is capitalist. >> do we describe you as cap thattist? >> yes, i believe in markets. >> i believe capitalism over the course of history has been a force for good? >> yes, i d >> i believe in markets. i believe in markets right down to my toes. trish: yeah, right. do you think we were born yesterday? she is not the only 2020 dem after your money. they all are. bernie sanders wants to boost the top tax rate to 70% so we are out there working for the government. joe biden wants to tax capital gains. and kamala harris wants to roll back fax breaks for anyone make over $100,000. lower taxes generate more in the way of revenue. if people have an opportunity to keep more of what they earn, they are willing to take a risk to go out there and work some more or invest some more. in 2018 we saw the highest tax revenue in the history of america. $3.3 trillion brought in thanks to a new tax policy from donald trump. joining me, vice chair of the house republican confe

elizabeth warren. this is a continuing trend we're seeing. these rising in cnn polling and other polling. why and how significant? >> if you were to look, the big thing democratic primary voters are looking for is they want someone who can beat donald trump. that is more important to them than issue agreement. and if you look at those who say, okay, my number one priority is beating donald trump. look at this number. elizabeth warren was only winning 15% of the vote in august. up to 21% now versus joe biden has dropped from 35% in august to 26% now. that's the real question. if joe biden loses that edge that she has on electability, then he's going to lose this primary. if elizabeth warren can convince democratic primary voters she can beat donald trump and do it better than joe biden, she'll be the nominee. >> all right. >> great to have you, harry enten. >> gracing us with his presence. he's usually fancy in primetime. >>> coming up, this is the front of the business section. you think it's upside down? it's not. it's negative interest rate

you make a little money and elizabeth warren wants to take it back. this is a woman who claims she is capitalist. >> do we describe you as cap thattist? >> yes, i believe in markets. >> i believe capitalism over the course of history has been a force for good? >> yes, i do. >> i believe in markets. i believe in markets right down to my toes. trish: yeah, right. do you think we were born yesterday? she is not the only 2020 dem after your money. they all are. bernie sanders wants to boost the top tax rate to 70% so we are out there working for the government. joe biden wants to tax capital gains. and kamala harris wants to roll back fax breaks for anyone make over $100,000. lower taxes generate more in the way of revenue. if people have an opportunity to keep more of what they earn, they are willing to take a risk to go out there and work some more or invest some more. in 2018 we saw the highest tax revenue in the history of america. $3.3 trillion brought in thanks to a new tax policy from donald trump. joining me, vice chair of the house republican con

among progressives elizabeth warren gets better ratings. the vice president has an advantage among moderates. again, if you're elizabeth warren newer to the national stage and a growth stock, that's not a bad number. they tie essentially. elizabeth warren has a slight lead among voters who make more than 50 grand. among white non-college voters, some people think of that as part of the trump base, they run pretty even. what's the point there? joe biden, former vice president for eight years, elizabeth warren, massachusetts senator, she matches up pretty evenly or pretty close to him on some big issues. look another this number, favorability among all registered voters. both of them are politicians. only a 45% approval rating overall for the former vice president, 41% for elizabeth warren. president trump's about in this same ballpark. biden, warren on the debate stage for the first time. no question if you've watched the poll this is summer, she has come up as the leading threat to the vice president right now. you know who else thinks that

elizabeth warren again look sharp. i think what is going to be interesting to watch, going forward from here, is if the progressives decide to start settling around bernie sanders or elizabeth warren. is there one or another that they like more? and maybe this debate help to figure that out, maybe it didn't. but that's a dynamic that, if one of them start to really build—up momentum, they could catch biden in the polls. anthony zurcher, thank you so much for being with us. and by the way, anthony is a texan, and we are here in texas, so that analysis even more apt than usual tonight. joe biden still the front runner after this debate, still has elizabeth warren breathing down his shoulders, and bernie sanders‘s collectability the most important thing, that is what democrats tell pole pollsters, they want someone who can beat donald trump, in this process of choosing who they pick to ta ke process of choosing who they pick to take on donald trump next year. back to you. members of the public have been paying their r

do you want to listen for elizabeth warren -- to elicit -- elizabeth warren for six months. tim: i have been out on the stump, and there is an initial reaction that you will see some voters have in the first five minutes that they are listening to her. i have seen this firsthand, by the end of her talks, you have big dudes in camouflage hats crying at the end of her speeches. she has a way of connecting to people. tucker carlson did a whole segment and said that the trump people are underestimating her at their own risk because she has the ability to connect on the economic populism. in middle america. isany other vessel, that exactly right, just not her. i just cannot any world. any other person on the stage, with that steam -- same message and ability to connect, joe biden is a terrible outcome. tim: you think so? >> terrible. , who are you got going to pay attention to? tim: trump carries the electoral college by three states, again, wisconsin, pennsylvania. he wins those by 77,744 votes. wants to treat- donald trump like he is a political phenomenon. he won fewer votes i

warren clearly in second place and notably do the math here elizabeth warren closer to first place in this poll, closer to biden than she is to sanders so we have warren attaining some separation from sanders. let's see if that keeps up in other polls that come out. also, why is warren surging right now? two things there is, if you did sort of a invento ven diagram of warren and sanders support, there's been some overlap to the extent that overlap exists, warren now seems to be getting the better of it from sanders also this, kamala harris, remember earlier this summer polls had her moving up closer to 20% after that first debate, all the way down to just 5% in our new poll and warren seems to be the main beneficiary of kamala harris' slide. so that's why she's at 25% there. this, i think, an important divide to keep an eye on we talk about this a lot white voters, look at this elizabeth warren now leading, 28%-27% over biden among white voters black voters, different story. again, biden continues to be far ahead here warren now actually moving into double digits. we haven't seen her

going back to elizabeth warren, it was a great night for her. just a great night for her. >> again. >> i keep saying it. she hits the mark every time. she was a winner of that debate last night. cory had a good night. >> mayor pete was good. >> amy had a good night. mayor pete. >> he's always good. >> and, again, we've been unfair to joe biden this first block because we just showed the victrola moment, he was much better in the third debate than the was the first two debates. again, once again, like the second debate, biden was helped by the streams, the excesses of his opponents. >> so we've got much more ahead, including what the candidates have to say last night about gun reform. plus mayor pete's priceless reaction to andrew yang's cash giveaway. we've got four presidential contenders joining the conversation this morning, senators harris, klobuchar, and cory booker along with former congressmen beto o'rourke. morning know is back in a moment. beto o'rourke. morning know is back in a moment i get it all the time. "have you lost weight?" of

elizabeth warren and joe biden are very different candidates offering very different visions for america but most importantly very different versions of candidacies joe biden is talking about a return to civility and some sort of reboot or control to lead on the computer that is america so that we get to return to a period before president trump and senator warren is suggesting that she has and has laid out very convincingly that she has a detailed plan for everything those are very different visions of what democratic primary and caucus voters are looking for and to amy's well considered point these are base and primary and democratic caucus voters these are not the voters that you need to be convincing in general election so be interesting to see whoever wins a spot on whether it's senator sanders or senator harris whether or not they can reset their themselves and appeal to those important moderate voters come november amy do you agree with with michael's definition of what each candidate stands for in do you think that the democratic party is split into these 2 camps well we've seen

elizabeth warren has risen. does anyone else go after her? the biggest threat she represents is not to biden. it's to bernie sanders. they have this nonaggression pact that will eventually break down. i think it will break down, maybe not this week. how that plays out is going to affect the dynamic of this race. >> here's what i think is wrong with our analysis. the person that goes after the voters rather than somebody else on stage is going to sign. >> that's what elizabeth warren is signaling she's going to do. >> i participated it in a few minutes ago. i would like to have a reset. there will be a dynamic because candidates are saying they're going to go after so and so. they're going to take one person. i think if you look at the polling, the person that appreciates, understands and puts themselves based on their history where the voters have lived their lives, that's the candidate that will shine. not only in this debate, but in the long term. >> that was the problem with harris in the last debate. she came off like a one-trick pony bec

can i say something about elizabeth warren? that was fascinating to me last well, and you know this if you have been prepping these candidates for a debate, it was so clear, when she was asked, will middle income americans pay more? she had been told, don't say the word "tax." so she just start with, overall cost will go down. her argument is that the government would be more efficient than the private sector, and they will return of savings to you. to hope that the voters don't go to her website " appearshe word "tax many times. great to have both of you here. coming up, concerns over businesses and wealthy individuals leaving new york for florida because of the tax differences. carl icahn is apparently making that move from new york down to florida. live from new york, this is bloomberg. ♪ david: this is "balance of power" on bloomberg television. i'm david westin. famed investor carl icahn is an reportedly removing his -- is reportedly moving his home and business from new york to florida, taking his income tax from 8.8% d

talk to me about elizabeth warren here. this is the most notable thing coming out of this poll and her surge here. what do you make of it? this is a predictor of what we could feasibly see in some other polls. >> certainly elizabeth warren has been steadily rising in the polls all summer, and i think this is the second poll i can think of in recent weeks where she has surpassed joe biden or tied joe biden. this is usually thought of as the gold standard poll of iowa, something that a lot of people look to to see what the lay of the land is there, and so she is certainly -- her organization in iowa this weekend, i was at the iowa polk county democrat steak fry this weekend. she had a very good reception. she had a selfie line there after her speech, which she usually does after she gives a major speech. was taking photos with as many people who wanted one. this is something that i think is displaying -- i'm seeing this on the ground as well as in the polls, there's a lot of enthusiasm for elizabeth warren right now. i think

a number of those people are probably going to elizabeth warren. the realty is in 2016 is its really was a binary choice in iowa. it was bernie sanders versus hillary clinton. the narrative out of there was bernie sanders almost took down the clintons. he doesn't have that now. he has a large field. he has a lane with a new candidate who looks very appealing, elizabeth warren. and the reality is that he's making pretty much a similar argument that he made in 2016. he certainly is the crusader on medicare for all, but having to convince iowans, it's a tough message to sell. >> if this surge continues with elizabeth warren, what about this notion that she may be too far to the left for moderate democrats, that her agenda is too progressive for a general election? >> in our poll we asked, do you like medicare for all and want it implemented, do you like medicare for all or think it might cost you the election. i'm very interested in that medicare for all bloc but think it could cost you in the democratic election. right now elizabeth warren is up by f

that is what you invited and elizabeth warren -- invite and elizabeth warren. and same thing ws.h bernie sand while you have young votersho support cory booker those three top front runners gain traction not just wit older americans, but with younger americans as well. jane: but what does this say about the direction of the party? you have this pull to the left. is the left losing? stefanie: is that democrats want someone who can beat president truon in the elecnext year, but they also want someone who can providee starection and a clear path forward which is why i think we want here vice prident biden talk about elizabeth warren having many plans but how you actually anexecute on those plants will e knows, and what has continued to have him have a strong campaign, is that he is a person who seem to provide a clear path forward with the history he has had also as an elder statesman. janene do you think after tonigt we will have a clearer idea of who may the candidate? it is still very early, isn't it? stefanie: it is still early, it is still very, very early. b

do you want to listen for elizabeth warren -- to elicit -- elizabeth warren for six months. tim: i have been out on the stump, and there is an initial reaction that you will see some voters have in the first five minutes that they are listening to her. i have seen this firsthand, by the end of her talks, you have big dudes in camouflage hats crying at the end of her speeches. she has a way of connecting to people. tucker carlson did a whole segment and said that the trump people are underestimating her at their own risk because she has the ability to connect on the economic populism. in middle america. isany other vessel, that exactly right, just not her. i just cannot any world. any other person on the stage, with that steam -- same message and ability to connect, joe biden is a terrible outcome. tim: you think so? >> terrible. , who are you got going to pay attention to? tim: trump carries the electoral college by three states, again, wisconsin, pennsylvania. he wins those by 77,744 votes. wants to treat- donald trump like he is a political phenomenon. he won fewer votes i

elizabeth warren andjoe biden, but about the matchup between elizabeth warren and joe biden, but i don't think it will be crazy. warren, as you know, is a very prepared woman. if he gets attacked, as we expect my from joe biden, she if he gets attacked, as we expect my fromjoe biden, she won't if he gets attacked, as we expect my from joe biden, she won't take the debate and after her exchange with trump, people want to figure out what she does when she gets attacked. i hope she stays steady and stays on message and stays on her plans and how she's going to get this done. but how does bernie exist in this place? he is seen in some places rising and some places falling, people will wonder whether he will evolve and come up with things, i wrote a speech for that, he will say, and see if he digs into some of these plans that take on questions about paying for some of this stuff, which we know we can, we'll see what happens there. the bigger second question is you could get a castro, harris, cory booker, they all need big moves today but what does that look like? what about electability, the

so let's start with elizabeth warren. massachusetts senator and mom who knows all the two letter words in scrabble. ( applause ) over the past few months her rally crowds have been growing steadily and, last night, she brought her show to new york. >> so, overnight, senator elizabeth warren drawing one of her biggest crowds of her campaign today. thousands filled new york's washington square park last night to hear her speak. >> dramatically the speech was at anti-corruption, warren hitting president trump as being corruption in the flesh. >> no one is above the law, not even the united states president. impeachment is our constitutional duty. >> after that enormous event in new york city, warren spent almost four hours taking selfies with supporters. >> trevor: that's right. after her speech, elizabeth warren spent four hours taking selfies with her supporters. it took three hours to get most of the crowd and then an extra hour for that one annoying person who's never satisfied. oh, no, wait, i look weird. do it again. l

elizabeth warren. in 2012, she defended her strong native american heritage on camera. we've got the tape. >> i have lived in the family that is talked about native american, talked about tribes, since i've been a little girl. i still have a picture on my mantle at home, and it's a picture my mother had before that, a picture of my grandfather. and my aunt bea walked by that picture at least a thousand times, remarked that he -- her father, my papaw, had high cheekbones, like all the indians do. because that's how she saw it. "and your mother got the same great cheekbones and i didn't." she thought that this was the bad deal she had gotten in life. being native american has been part of my story, i guess, since the day i was born. >> sean: it's the "my pol pot had high cheekbones" excuse. as it turns out, elizabeth ward is not a woman of color. she took a dna test showing a possibility. the range is 164, 1,164th native american. i guess that means she's a native american. elizabeth warren wants you to know she got never any benefit for being a native american. in 2012,

elizabeth warren. juan williams set on this couch and he said that joe biden has been in front they won. "why do you guys always talk about elizabeth warren?" do you feel like it is elizabeth warren's to lose at this point? do you think she can win nationally? >> mary anne: elizabeth warren will be the nominee, so that for months. before that i said joe biden was his own worst enemy. to kennedy's point, he can't handle this because he is not good candidate. if you were smart, he would show people what a general election between joe biden and donald trump would look like. he has not done that yet. so i think -- in a war in-trumped general election, which i think it would be, i still give the advantage to trump right now. >> kennedy: president pence is on his way to being number 46. >> brian: here's the policy problem with all that you're getting governed by impeachment. nobody gets to make a case against warren about why her hard left economic policies will be entirely unattractive. which means she gets

elizabeth warren. in 2012, she defended her strong native american heritage on camera. we've got the tape. >> i have lived in a family that is talked about native american, talked about tribes since i've been a little girl. i still have a picture on my mantle at home, and it's a picture my mother had before that, a picture of my grandfather. and my aunt bea has walked by that picture at least a thousand times, remarked that he -- that her father, my papaw, had high cheekbones, like all the indians do. because that's how she saw it.a, and your mother got the same great cheekbones and i didn't. she thought this was the bad deal she had gotten in life. being native american has been part of my story, i guess, since the day i was born. >> sean: it's the "my pawpaw had high cheekbones" excuse. as it turns out, elizabeth wardt showing a possibility, the range is 164, 1,164th native american. i guess that means she's a native american. elizabeth warren wants you to know she got never any benefitfy 88 don't believe that either. in 2012, she lied and said her employers did not k

and i think he also saw what elizabeth warren did, right? elizabeth warren, when she first announced, she was stofort of flailing, right? people thought she had made a big mistake with the dna test, but came out with all of these big, bold plans and really outlined this progressi iviv ii ambition. >> and they're a lot more progressive than barry gold wae water water. i know you covered that. it's not enough to say, this is how we beat the opposition. >> i think the time that he took away, off the campaign trail to pay attention to his community, to grieve with the people of el paso, to look into their eyes, to hear their stories, to go through that trauma right alongside them has well served him, quite frankly. and last night's debate and quite frankly the turn that his campaign has seemed to have made sense. the truth is, if all of us are going to be intellectually honest with around how we're going to deal with weapons of war on our city streets, there's no way to have that conversation without talking about how it is that we're going to g

and elizabeth warren will face each other directly. this is a matchup a lot of voters have been waiting for. we have new reporting this morning about how biden and warren plan to handle the situation. including a new attack on warren from a key biden supporter this morning calling her a hypocrite. we're waiting to see if warren responds. a new cnn poll shows biden still leading the pack by a smaller margin before. his lead is largely fueled by support from black voters. >>> in other news, the trump administration announcing plans to ban the sale of most flavored e-cigarettes to curb the teen vaping e ining epidemic problem u.s. there's a lot to cover this morning. let's begin with cnn's athena jones. she's live in houston with a preview of tonight's debate. >> reporter: good morning, alisyn. well, it's debate night once again. this time it's one night only. all top ten candidates appears for the first time on the stage together. who's on that stage? klobuchar, buttigieg, biden, warren, harris, o'rourke, castro. as for what to watch. we

elizabeth warren loses to trump by two points. i feel like that last number is worth discussing. >> i think it is worth discussing. we'll get to that this a second. willie, let's talk about the first numbers we went through, the president's reelected about i think it's 38%, over 55% of americans don't think donald trump deserves re-election. his approval rating once again in the 30s. this is, again, for somebody who's been president for three years, the old rule used to be if you reelect he's below 50% you're in big trouble. donald trump's reelect nationwide is below 40%, and in a lot of the swing states we've seen over the past couple of months, it's actually in the low 30s. i'm sorry, it doesn't matter how many people blindly give him money, the matrix that they're spitting out there, when you have numbers like that, it reminds me of brit humes famous saying, you can have all the dog food commercials you want, but if the dog doesn't eat the food, you're out of luck. >> we've talked about this before, people are so bitten by the

this is obviously good news for elizabeth warren. she's sitting on top of the poll. she has the best ground game and operation in iowa. anybody on the ground will tell you that. at the same time it's also good news for candidates like cory booker, kamala harris, mayor pete who are polling a little lower than joe biden, bernie sanders and elizabeth warren. it provides an opening to the very point you just mentioned that a strong majority of caucusgoers have not decided on who they're going to support. it leaves a lot of room for somebody else to come through and do well in the caucus. but we all know caucuses are all about ground game and operations. so while polls do give you a good snapshot and of course the des moines register poll is notoriously known as the poll that is the gold standard of polling in iowa, it's still important that you have a real turnkey operation there and elizabeth warren's campaign, the selfie lines are collecting data from every single potential caucusgoer and they are running a strong ground game and that's going to take her very far. >> o

ere, also, elizabeth warren jumped about 10 points. she now as 61% of likely democratic caucus-goers saying they're actively considering her or placed her first or second on their list. joe biden did not move, stayed about where he was. heu have tree other didates who crossed the 50% mark, that's bernie santhat's pete buttigieg, and then rounding out that team is kamala harris. so i look at the rest of those with some upside potential. they've get enough people who are interested in them toake potentially a forward move, and we saw elizabeth warren poised in our last poll to do exact that. >> reporter:. >> woodruff: and i want to ask you about tht, ann selzer, because some folks would look at this and say, well,his is really not good news for people polling in single digits, but i hear you saying there's still a movement. a large percentage of iowa voters are telling you they are democratic voters, arein say you know, they may change their mind about who they're going to vote for. >> well, that's exactly right, and therare two numbers

>> there is so much talk about joe biden and elizabeth warren being in the same space. they have so much of an interesting history, john, going back to when elizabeth warren was appearing. even before she came to the senate, she was going after senator biden on democracy, bills and so much else. the biden campaign has already been telegraphing that they are going to go after her plans. they're going to say, how can you pay for these plans? is that realistic? that is the central argument, the central plan of the biden campaign. i'm curious to see if he'll be as tough as some of his advisers have been. >> that's a great point. and on behalf of senator warren, i think she's increasingly shown she's a really tactile politici politician, and we've seen how she handles joe biden. it hasn't necessarily been dealt with well by other candidates. the other thing i'm really interested in is that senator warren has been increasingly presenting this electability environment on the campaign trail. she made the announcement in new hampshire over the weekend that voters shouldn't just

when you think plan, you think elizabeth warren. so when we've been hearing that, we've been thinking ah-ha, this is going to be the way he is going to differentiate himself from elizabeth warren, the very first time they're on the stage together. this adviser insisted it's note just elizabeth warren. there are plenty of people on that stage who have plans that he considers pie-in-the-sky and not really realistic. having said that, there was another interesting thing this adviser said to me. and that is about health care. noting that for all the plans that elizabeth warren has, she doesn't have a specific one on health care. she signed on the bernie sanders's medicare for all. she says i'm with bernie, but not much more. and one last thing i will tell you is that biden is planning if attacked on being too incremental to talk about the fact that he has plans, that from his perspective are big and bold. anderson? >> so the biden campaign that. >> tweeted out a video today of the vice president talking about president obama. what was t

but it's going to be pretty clear he's talking to elizabeth warren and talking about elizabeth warren's m.o. in this campaign. and i think you're going to see different variations of that from the different candidates. i think also it's fascinating area is kamala harris who is going to be guns blazing against joe biden for the first two debates. and all indications are from her campaign, telling us that is not going to be her strategy tonight. she's going to talk more about herself and more about donald trump. >> let me get arlette back in because this will be the first time joe biden and elizabeth warren are right next to each other. do you expect fireworks? or will they be sort of nice to each other? >> i think it's going to be an implicit contrast that each of the candidates going to try to make against each other. biden's advisers are really trying to downplay the fact that there's a head-to-head matchup. saying there are ten other candidates on that stage and that biden is focused on running his own race. but as dana mentioned, they're previewing the lines. they need someone who ca

he's essentially in a tie for elizabeth warren. the headline is he is no longer solely the clear front-runner. they have him six points ahead over elizabeth warren. joe biden never expected to remain without strong competition, but what you've seen them do is hold on despite being the target at those three debates. just the last debate, still have 14 million viewers. if you're the biden campaign you still see a candidate that has pushed back and also to note has maintained strong support among the african-american community. we should know eight years ago ultimately that's how barack obama defeated hillary clinton, by proving himself to black voters as being able to win. essentially that electability question that joe biden is trying to hold firm to his own candidacy at this point. if you're looking at that, if you are kamala harris, if you're beto o'rourke, pete buttigieg, you need the numbers not to incrementally increase and you need it to make a play and jump up and make this competitive and not a top three candidate race at th

. >> elizabeth warren was pressed on gun control and she directed her response to the push to eliminate senate filibustering. >> we have a congress that is beholden to the gun industry. and unless we're willing to address that head-on, and roll back the filibuster, we're not going to get anything done on guns. i was in the united states senate. when 54 senators said let's do background check, let's get rid of assault weapons, and with 54 senators, it failed because of the filibuster. until we attack the systemic problems, we can't get dogun reform this this country. >> joining us from washington, d.c. national political reporter alaina schneider, great to have you with us on this friday morning. let's start with the debates from last night. what were some of your biggest take-aways from those debates? who do you think had a great night? who do you think had a bad night? >> well, we finally had all of the front-runners on stage together on a single night. and we basically saw things stay the same, essentially the race is still status quo. joe biden continues to be the front-runner. he be

how much of a chis this supporting elizabeth warren? is >> well, it's a nice jump fo elizabeth warren, if you're up with of her supporters you would see it hat way. what she has tone is really begun to ild a coalition, and that includes women and college-educated, likely rsucusgoers, and for the time she is now leading with the under 35 age group.n that's encroachment into territory that was held by s bernders almost exclusively. so she's eating into the support that he used to have there. >> woodruff:nd you looked at enthusiasm as well. you had a categor are you extremely enthusiastic about a candidate, very enthusiastic. ehat did you see thre? >> you see two things. first of all, warren and biden are at the top of the leaderboard and the advantage to elizabeth warren with slightlymo saying they are extremely enthusiastic about that by 10 points, 32% versus 22% for joe biden. but really, if you look at the other twcontenders -- an that would be bernie sanders and pete buttigieg -- it's almost half oh r supporters who say they feel extr

for the first time, joe biden facing off against elizabeth warren. the front runner versus the leading liberal. for both this is a pivotal evening. now, warren has been chipping away at biden's lead, steadily rising. now only six points separate the two. team biden revealing new details about the former vp's strategy. help wants to build upon his former boss' record, which was the focus of a new ad. >> sometimes you step back and don't say something you say. barack obama is an extraordinary man. >> he wants to emphasize that relationship and another man paying very close attention to the debate is president trump. he spoke just a couple moments ago about who he thinks will be the person he faces off against in 2020. >> he should be able to make it. i would imagine biden would be able to make it if he doesn't make any major mistakes. >> if he doesn't make any major mistakes. yes, sir ka dean is live out front in houston. what more are you learning about biden's strategy, for he knows it's crucial he not make any big mistakes? >> reporter: that's certa

it seems to be elizabeth warren. with the 15% rule in place, aren't we looking at a situation where elizabeth warren is actually the front runner at the moment and not joe biden? the is reinforced in would you consider voting metric, where warren is leading from biting by four percentage points and the other candidates sprinkle down around the 30's and 20's. aren't we looking at a situation where because of this 15% disqualification rural, the second choices may make the difference? which makes warren, not biden, the effective'front runner, since bidens second choice support is weak according to pew and others? host: thanks for the call. we will get a response. guest: your caller makes a good point. other national surveys asked, who is your second choice question mark warren is always at the top pretty much. her campaign has turned around the last months. remember back in february or march, some people were writing her off, which was ridiculous. she has made a steady rise in the polls. we have seen her with large and

will elizabeth warren say you were wrong on the war in iraq. you were wrong on so many other issues. the question of whether they go negative will be the most interesting one to see. if they're positive, i think the status quo is likely to remain intact. >> what are your expectations? >> i was pretty surprised the president was more negative about the candidates when we saw him speak a few moments ago after the polling that showed all the candidates pulling ahead against him in a general election. he can be a pretty astute political analyst and i think him saying that biden needs to not make a mistake is true. for someone like joe biden whose argument rests on his electability making a misstep, having a gaffe, appearing to be a step behind the other candidates would be problematic for him. one of the most interesting thing i pulled is how elizabeth warren is in all realms. her numbers have gone up significantly while biden's have dropped. the more and more she gets out there in the debate settings, the more she disproves the el t electability a

this spells great news for elizabeth warren. just last week, we were talking just last sunday about how elizabeth warren received the biggest round of applause at the cbc and the cbc phoenix awards dinner has been a gauge for me for the last number of years when it comes to presidential candidates and the black community. she has got the black community supporting her but joe biden wasn't there. now let's see how the nation reacts and see if this is a continuation. we need to talk about joe biden. his numbers are slipping. last week the biden camp is saying but he is winning, he is winning. no matter the gaffes and could be taking a toll. for elizabeth warren to be up over joe biden right now say a lot. elizabeth warren is now the person that they are going to be swiping out and more attacks on her. there is blood in the water for joe biden but there is also going to be attack now on elizabeth warren more so than ever before. >> let's turn to this discussion over impeachment. congresswoman alexandria ocasio-cortez tweeted this,

>> i absolutely think elizabeth warren. she's continued to sort of have a consistency you've seen across the three debates. andrew yang continues to impress a bit. beto o'rourke had really important moments in the debate, you kind of saw the old beto. the one we game familiar with during his senate run. i think he kind of had those viral moments or those moments where he seemed to be connecting in a way we didn't necessarily see especially during the first debate but even during the second debate as well. and i think mayor pete. sometimes he has those moments as well. but in terms of people who had a bad night, i do think that for julian castro, the hud secretary, i think when you leave a debate stage and have e about, sort of your lines of attack, what you said age, i don't necessarily think that's a great sign for somebody especially an individual polling in the low single digits. >> talking thursday night when former housing secretary castro delivered a strong attack against vice president biden suggesting that biden's m

but she's really faded into the background as elizabeth warren has had this surge. >> absolutely. i was speaking with voters who attended the rally last night in new york half of them had no plans to attend, they just saw a crowd and wanted to go see what was happening. >> they're in new york >> exactly >> but all of them who went, who weren't planning to go, left liking what they heard i think that's the reputation that warren has right now. >> let me put that up. democrats and enthusiasm, it just points to what you show here full screen 3, guys. warren is up 9 points on the enthusiasm scale sanders is up 3 points no movement for joe biden, stephanie cutter this is the conundrum of these numbers. on one hand i look at this and i'm like hart/mondale, gore/bradley on the other hand there was obama/clinton. >> yes none of those races mirror each other. >> that's right. >> every candidate is chosen for particular point in time and against whoever the incumbent is, who is best to beat that person you know, i think that warren is running a really good campaign i think she's clear on he

a cnn poll shows elizabeth warren surging not only nationally but also in the key state of iowa. is joe biden's frontrunner status at risk? harry enten will be here to crunch the numbers coming up. parts of me i didn't even know. i find out i'm 19% native american, specifically from the chihuahua people. what?! that's... i find that crazy. it traces their journey in the mid-1800s from central mexico to texas. learning about the risks they took for a better life... ...it gives me so much respect and gratitude. it just shed so much light in my past that i never even would've known was there. 20 million members have connected to a deeper family story. order your kit at ancestry.com. here, hello! starts with -hi!mple... how can i help? a data plan for everyone. everyone? everyone. let's send to everyone! [ camera clicking ] wifi up there? -ahhh. sure, why not? how'd he get out?! a camera might figure it out. that was easy! glad i could help. at xfinity, we're here to make life simple. easy. awesome. so come ask, shop, discover at your xfinity store today. juul record. they took $12.8

caller: elizabeth warren. host: why? caller: i think she is vibrant, intelligent, she has the fire in her belly to fight and work for the things she is saying she has a plan for. if we can get together and put away the republican and democratic party fighting, maybe we could come together and find a common ground and solve some problems. tweak them where the democrats want it, tweak them where the root publicans -- where the republicans wanted so we find common ground. host: wisconsin, independent line, good morning. caller: good morning, thank you for taking my call. i was wondering, when obamacare was installed congress voted to opt out of it. i wonder how many of these voted to opt out of obamacare and what they will do if medicare for all is installed. if they will have a separate insurance policy for the politicians. thank you. , republican florida line, you are next up. joe in tampa, florida, hello? we will move on to nick and paterson, new jersey, independent line. caller: i agree that a living wage is one of the

wall street journal poll that was released on wednesday that says joe biden and elizabeth warren both gained ground since july and this is after the last debate any surprises chris. well it's it is surprising to me how quickly bernie sanders the story has been dropping and i i really thought camel harris after the 1st debate would rise more than she has and she's now completely fallen off the map as well i think what you see is it's become a 2 person race between joe biden and elizabeth warren and the question is does it remain so there is i think you really have a couple of lanes right now you have kind of the left of center moderate lane that joe biden is occupying and you have sort of the far left of center socialist lane which will lose warren is occupying there's only room for one person in that socialist lane and it's kind of between warren and sanders now is does biden stumble and i really believe the attacks from who in castro in the last debate helped joe biden and it probably created a situation where he's had a little bit of a false inflation a sugar high if you will and th