kevin: and i'm kevin cirilli. welcome to "balance of power. taylor: we want to get right to the world of business as we take a look at equity markets. i want to bring in abigail doolittle. equity markets continuing to extend the gains. before i get to you i want to bring in breaking news. china is nearing a milestone in their nuclear arms buildup according to a pentagon report that we are expecting. their annual report on china's military capabilities, saying china has met or surpassed the u.s. in shipbuilding and other areas. still havemilitary major shortcomings according to this report, but they are said to double their nuclear weapons stockpile over the next decade. the big take away, the pentagon says china is on the cost of having a full nuclear triage, they would be the third country after the u.s. and russia to have nuclear capabilities, it is nearing that milestone in the nuclear arms according to the pentagon. i want to get market reaction from abigail doolittle. we were much higher before this report. how are we thinking? abigail: w

and then when i talked to him i was like, kevin. "hi, mom, this is kevin." you know, he just sound so good. it was just beautiful. it sounds like my son. that's my son. >> reporter: kevin was free. but how? >> it's the craziest turn of my life probably. i didn't think it was ever going to happen. >> reporter: here he is, kevin lunsmann. now in his 20s, and this is his amazing story. which began a moment before the kidnappers took his mom away, when she leaned forward and whispered in his ear. >> i remember her words exactly. she said, "you have to get home to your father. you have to go back home." and that made me realize that she might be thinking that she may not make it tonight. >> that she might be taken away to be killed? >> yes. i just wanted to cry. and i didn't -- i didn't want to lose her. >> reporter: soon after that they took his cousin away too. >> after he left i was alone. there was nothing more. it was just me. >> reporter: 14 years old. all alone. in that dark room in the jungle. when he finally slept, he had a dream. >> we're in a two-story

ornedo kevin m. o'rourke ronald orsini peter keith ortale juan ortega-campos jane marie orth alexander ortiz david ortiz emilio pete ortiz pablo ortiz paul ortiz, jr. sonia ortiz masaru ose patrick j. o'shea robert william o'shea elsy carolina osorio oliva james r. ostrowski timothy franklin o'sullivan jason douglas oswald michael john otten isidro d. ottenwalder michael chung ou todd joseph ouida jesus ovalles peter j. owens, jr. adianes oyola angel m. pabon, jr. israel pabon, jr. roland pacheco michael benjamin packer diana b. padro deepa pakkala jeffrey matthew palazzo thomas palazzo richard a. palazzolo orio joseph palmer frank anthony palombo alan n. palumbo christopher matthew panatier dominique lisa pandolfo jonas martin panik paul j. pansini john m. paolillo edward joseph papa salvatore t. papasso james nicholas pappageorge marie pappalardo vinod kumar parakat vijayashanker paramsothy nitin ramesh parandkar hardai parbhu james wendell parham debra marie paris george paris gye hyong park phili

there are ways to donate to kevin's causes at popular resistance dot org thank you kevin thank you for everything we'll keep fighting. really q sneer those who really can show you. ringback if you're born into a poor family you're born into a minority family if you're born into a family that only has a single parent that really constrains your life chances. to. fight every day. meet your needs and the needs of your family. return of the countries in europe begin to limit liberties surging infections mean . reappearance. us in the battle between the 2 main parties or to the death of a supreme court judge the arguments over who gets to choose the replacement we. interview coming up. left wing propaganda.

kevin giddis of raymond james. tom, the issue for me, looking forward to the federal reserve and policymakers, typically conditioned by previous experience, but many of the individuals are conditioned by the experience of the previous cycle. what did they learn the previous cycle? they all learned that you can keep rates low a lot longer without inflation getting out of control. they also learned unemployment can go a lot lower without inflation lifting, without those inflation pressures building. the conditioning of the previous cycle that is setting them up to approach this one. tom: no question. jonathan: i think we need to get our heads around that, tom. tom: there is no question about that, if you look at the history versus what you learned in the textbook. the oecd made clear today the aggregate demand all in is not there, but what is so important about this is if yields go, there is a published belief they will remain calm and collected, well above 2%. jon, i do not buy that. there will be real sweat as infl

princiotta. >> kevin m. prior. >> everett martin proctor iii. >> carrie beth progen. >> david lee pruim. >> richard a. prunty. >> john foster puckett. >> robert david pugliese. >> edward f. pullis. >> patricia ann puma. >> jack d. punches. >> hemanth kumar puttur. >> joseph j. pycior, jr. >> edward r. pykon. >> christopher quackenbush. >> lars peter qualben. >> lincoln quapp. >> beth ann quigley. >> patrick j. quigley iv. >> michael t. quilty. >> james francis quinn. >> ricardo j. quinn. >> carol millicent rabalais. >> christopher peter anthony. >> racaniello. >> leonard j. ragaglia. >> eugene j. raggio. >> laura marie ragonese-snik. >> michael paul ragusa. >> peter frank raimondi. >> harry a. raines. >> lisa j. raines. >> ehtesham raja. >> valsa raju. >> edward j. rall. >> lukas rambousek. >> maria ramirez. >> harry ramos. >> vishnoo ramsaroop. >> deborah a. ramsaur. >> lorenzo e. ramzey. >> alfred todd rancke. >> adam david rand. >> jonathan c. randall. >> shreyas s. ranganath. >> anne t. ransom. >> faina

kevin says lauer looks and smells ok to him. if he does i think lara believes that she's starting to smell bad but i haven't noticed anything unusual about the way she smells. 'd the. hours even reluctant to go out in public. i was at the bakery this morning and it felt awful i knew. i had the feeling that people were staring at me and the sales assistant sort of looked down on me. a week has gone by sold our a can take her 1st shower by now she started to adjust to the experiment. finally been stopped asking kevin if i smell bad it all seems normal now. alive and the 2nd half of the experiment goes quickly. i'll go to the doctor's office tomorrow to see what shape my skin is and it'll be interesting to see what they find. him and also home. some tests will show how old our skin responded to 3 weeks. without regular showering in a preliminary exam the doctor couldn't find any change in her skin at all now they're waiting for the lab results. we found that she still has the same types of bacteria as she did 3 weeks ago we also fo

here is kevin hart kevin hart, wow, there he is >> even through the virtual world, your intros are still amazing. wow. >> jimmy: that's what i'm known, for giving the best intros to all of my guests >> i can feel people standing up i can feel your audience standing up. even though they're not here, i can feel it. like, in my mind, i'm walking out. i'm pointing to people good job, jimmy. >> jimmy: saying hi to the roots. i miss you, man. >> hey guys, how you doing, man? >> jimmy: i'm very excited about this this is a very exciting time in the hart household >> it is, man. >> jimmy: there's about to be a new addition to the family of baby girls >> yes, man. baby number four having another baby girl i'm excited. >> jimmy: are you just exhausted already? >> another baby girl coming. so pumped up >> jimmy: you've got four. you're going to have your hands full that's a family, family. >> dude, you know what i'm saying, i don't know what suv is big enough. i don't know, like, what do you do what do you do when you reach 4? we're officially in mini van status right now >> jimmy: it might be a ma

kevin says lauer looks and smells ok to him. he always does i think lara believes that she's starting to smell bad but i haven't noticed anything unusual about the way she smells. 'd the. hours even reluctant to go out in public. like it was i was at the bakery this morning and it felt awful. i have the feeling that people were staring at me and the sales assistant sort of looked down on me. a week has gone by sold our a can take her 1st shower by now she started to adjust to the experiment. finally been stopped asking kevin if i smell bad it all seems normal now. a lot of. the 2nd half of the experiment goes quickly. i'll go to the doctor's office tomorrow to see what shape my skin is and it'll be interesting to see what they find. him and also home. some tests will show how lowery skin responded to 3 weeks without regular showering in a preliminary exam the doctor couldn't find any change in her skin at all now they're waiting for the lab results. we found that she still has the same types of bacteria as she did 3 weeks ago we

always to donate to kevin's causes at popular resistance dot org thank you kevin thank you for everything. well keep fighting. to believe the case near those who really can show you. the suit but. with that i suppose you noticed something that. you know none of the stupina didn't go to see you were the. force where you could be me and my stuff in the. spirit i did it was more than you know you. could. sort of move. the story keep your boat is. ringback opposed to some of the. last time we chased. each one of them carrying 20 kilos 'd of drugs. they just stepped right. in they had 3 we have mean. they have. for me. i don't know maybe they don't make. a great great pasha. now. but the demick no certainly no border is just blind to nationalities. as american people to be we don't like seeing the whole world needs to be. judged as comedy classes with this system. we can do better we should. everyone is contributing each of their own way but we also know that this crisis will not go on forever the challenges created the response has been much so many good people are helping us. it makes us fee

kevin: good morning to you too tom. [laughter] it was a brutal debate. -- if youone moment drown out all the noise and cut to the chase and focus on what is lying ahead, the final five minutes of that debate really set the stage for the next, dare i say, two months. president trump and joe biden both vowed to fight if it means ending up in the supreme court. --it means in compensating encompassing the supreme court nomination in amy barrett. that was my biggest take away. you had president trump dig in, bite and dig in in their own respective ways. the waylly could go all to december and that is a lot of volatility lumped into a supreme court battle. what will we learn or accumulate in knowledge before steve scalise does a town meeting in miami october 15? how much more knowledgeable about this race will we be that evening? kevin: i don't want to the throat -- it was so loud and confusing. standpoint, the biden campaign with their strategy last night went after the working class of vote. it showed a confidence in the bi

i will start with kevin brady. rep. brady: so the short answer is, i think there are a number of standards set in usmca that are the gold standard globally. the digital services side of this, trade would be one area, the service sector. 21st century agreements have to do two things, not just focus on goods, but on services. americans are very good at this. exports make up a large part of our local economy. agreements -- and past agreements have often overlooked them. the other 21st century real-world challenge is that barriers to trade are pretty sophisticated. they are just not done at the border with tariffs and quotas. beyond that, oftentimes we see in regions and countries barriers that are not always clear. and for american businesses, it can be like putting an american plug into a european socket. designed not to be able to merge and match. these trade agreements go beyond the borders into removing those barriers. usmca, i think, sets some real standards in tearing those barriers down, regulatory, facilitation, fa

i will start with kevin brady. rep. brady: the short answer is, i think there are a number of standing usmca that are the gold standard globally. the digital services side of this, trade would be one area, the service sector, 21st century agreements have to do two things , not just focus on goods but services, and america is very good at this. it makes up a large part of our local economy. past agreements have often overlooked them. the other 21st century real-world challenge is that barriers to trade are pretty sophisticated. they are just not done at the border with tariffs and quotas. beyond that, we see in regions and countries, barriers that are not always clear. for american businesses, it can be like putting an american plug into a european socket. it is designed not to match. these trade agreements go beyond the borders into removing those barriers. i think, sets some real standards in tearing those barriers down, regulatory, facilitation, fairness, small business, a number of those issues i think are very key.

jonathan: kevin, great to see you. get some rest. kevin: thank you very much. jonathan: isn't that the most import question? tom keene, what are you drinking? tom: the joy of my arsenal coffee this morning, against the my deliverable. lisa: all right -- the mighty liverpool. lisa: all right. they lost. i understand. i think a team, and they lose. tom: liverpool is good. liverpool is like the boston red sox. lisa: so what are you drinking, bloody mary? tom: it's like a standard beer from cleveland. jonathan: it only took 25 minutes for this show to go off the rails. alongside lisa and tom keene, i'm jonathan ferro. special coverage coming up later , bloomberg radio, bloomberg tv. david westin, 8:30 eastern. the coverage begins right here on bloomberg. this is "bloomberg surveillance ." ♪ jonathan: from new york and london, for our audience worldwide, good morning tea while. this is "bloomberg surveillance ," live on bloomberg tv and radio. alongside tom keene and lisa abramowicz, i'm jonathan ferro. two hours away from the opening bell, here's your price actio

i will start with kevin brady. rep. brady: so the short answer is, i think there are a number of standards set in usmca that are the gold standard globally. the digital services side of this, trade would be one area, the service sector. 21st-century agreements have to do two things, not just focus on goods, but services, and america is very good at this. exports make up a large part of our local economy. past agreements have often overlooked them. the other 21st-century real-world challenge is that barriers to trade are pretty sophisticated. they are just not done at the border with tariffs and quotas. seend that, oftentimes we in regions and countries barriers that are not always clear. and for american businesses, it can be like putting an american plug into a european socket. it is designed not to merge and match. these trade agreements go beyond the borders into removing those barriers. usmca, i think, sets some real standards in tearing those barriers down, regulatory, facilitation, fairness, small business, a numb

kevin: we are relatively optimistic. i mean, we have very much a v-shaped recovery in growth and we are well above consensus for growth, not just across the region, but also globally, for next year. we think that the consensus or the majority out there are underestimating the degree to which economies will snap back, simply from easing of lockdown measures and turning the economy back on again, if i can put it that way. we expect five poor -- 5.5% growth, while consensus is around 3.5%. will there be legacy effects from the crisis on the level of gdp -- there will be legacy effects from the crisis on the level of gdp. things like industrial production and retail sales, not just in emerging-market economies, but so far globally is bouncing back faster than we anticipated. francine: if you look at growth and in your notes, you know that basically growth could be innate v-shaped recovery. what does it mean for monetary policy? kevin: one could argue that actually oil growth would be very strong. i think there will be a lega

i will start with kevin brady. rep. brady: so the short answer is, i think there are a number of standards set in usmca that are the gold standard globally. the digital services side of this, trade would be one area, the service sector. 21st-century agreements have to do two things, not just focus on goods, but services, and america is very good at this. exports make up a large part of our local economy. past agreements have often overlooked them. the other 21st-century real-world challenge is that barriers to trade are pretty sophisticated. they are just not done at the border with tariffs and quotas. seend that, oftentimes we in regions and countries barriers that are not always clear. and for american businesses, it can be like putting an american plug into a european socket. it is designed not to merge and match. these trade agreements go beyond the borders into removing those barriers. usmca, i think, sets some real standards in tearing those barriers down, regulatory, facilitation, fairness, small business, a numb

kevin, is perceived by both campaigns that it is a recovering economy? kevin: no, it is not. that's a brilliant question. the biden campaign is sank this economy is not heading in the right direction, not recovering at the pace they would like to see and not moving in the direction the republican conservative ideology has only benefited the elites. in contrast to that, republicans are sank the economy is moving in the right direction -- are saying the economy is moving in the right direction. it is a consequential crossroads american voters are at right now. should they choose to have a single party, whichever party, be in control of both chambers and the white house, the recovery route voters will choose to take is incredibly different depending upon the party. that is why it has been fascinating to watch the recalibration in the senate down ballot races. a lot of swing states are now trending back towards a divided government, which indicates that republicans might control the senate. tom: 10% to 13% undecided. down: it really is coming to the lordstown vote in ohio or the

kevin: the pandemic. i think based upon the conversations i am having, biden will hammer home on the endemic and on the point that americans are disapproving of the president's handling of the pandemic. i amntrast to that, look, not sure the president is all that worried about this tax story. -- the economy remains his top issue. it provides him an area to pivot to his strength, which is on the economy. that is why i think, the responsibility to the "new york times," it provides the president an opportunity to talk about the economy which is something americans are more trusting of him on. lisa: usually doing campaign season, the oxygen gets sucked out of washington. everyone just weeks to see the results. we are in a different moment, you can see that from the house speaker yesterday when she said she is working with treasury secretary steven mnuchin on an additional bill and negotiating and she has confidence they can get to some sort of agreement. how realistic is that given the fact that it is importa

kevin: exactly. there's a reuters poll that just came out within the last 24 hours that has joe biden leading in wisconsin by about 5% to 6%, leading in pennsylvania by 3%, and now the attacks are sharpening. tom: i thought anarchist jurisdiction, they played the clash like nobody. [laughter] jonathan: let me tell you, this program, every morning at 7:03, this is anarchy. good to see you, mate. kevin cirilli down in washington, d.c. there is no script for this show. i think everyone is aware this is completely unscripted. tom: 40 something days to go, and i think it is going to be fascinating. kevin cirilli working huge hours with david westin. is it crazier in the united kingdom? to say it is,ve on several fronts, just as crazy. the moment the united states is in right now is incredibly sense of, but right now the u.k., a deeperarly, there is understanding by the government now that they need to do something as we go deeper into the end of the year. the prime minister set to speak in around five min

since the iconic golden gate bridge became a symbol of kevin heinz' mission in life. life. that's the keyword here because when kevin was 19 years old, he jumped. falling more than 200 feet. and survived. >> this is the place where you jumped. >> yeah. this is the place where i lived. >> i love that. how much does that still define you? >> it doesn't define who i am. but i have come a long way from under the golden gate bridge. >> today is our gift. >> reporter: kevin has since become an advocate for mental health around the world. his motto? be here tomorrow. >> i've fulfilled ten lifetimes on this journey. i am so grateful to be here with you. >> but i do want to show you this clip of someone else's life that you touched. let's take a quick look, and i want to get your reaction to this. last year, after our story about kevin aired, jen principe and tony muscle stopped and helped when they saw a man about to jump off a highway overpass. >> within, like, seconds, that interview with dr. sanjay gupta and kevin heinz just came back to me and i said we have to turn back.

kevin: i've got nothing new to report. [laughter] lisa: that says it all, kevin. kevin: they are talking, telephone tag with speaker pelosi yesterday. the democrats say they want stimulus. they are still $1 trillion plus a part. lisa: that pretty much sums it up. what's the update? there is none. kevin cirilli, thank you so much. bloomberg chief washington correspondent. we always appreciate your insight. that is essentially yet. everyone is saying that without that fiscal support, we are not going to get an ongoing recovery. we are counting on the consumer, and there is no deal. there's no even talking about talking about proposing it. paul: we haven't gotten there. we thought we would get something before the summer recess. when that didn't happen, that really casted into a big question here. if you talk to most strategists, they say we absolutely need more fiscal stimulus going into the back half of this year. lisa: we are getting a ton of fed speak today. we will be hearing from a host of fed officials, beating the , saying we need washington to step up. fisca

when kevin was 19 years old, he judgmentped. falling more than 200 feet and survived. >> this is the place where you jumped? yeah. this is the place where i lived. >> i love that. >> how much does that still define you? >> it doesn't define who i am, but i have come a long way from under the golden gate bridge. >> kevin has since become an advocate for mental health around the world. his motto, be here tomorrow. >> i've fulfilled ten lifetimes on this journey. >> i want to show you this clip of someone else's life you touched. >> last year after our story about kevin aired, jen principe and tony stopped and helped when they saw a man about to jump off an overpass. >> within seconds, that interview with sanjay gupta and kevin hines cape to me, and i said, we have to turn back. >> that's beautiful. >> that's a life saved. that's pretty emotional, it's emotional for me. >> yeah, it is. >> now, during this pandemic, we're not always able to reach out and physically help someone. >> i remember even in the beginning the terminology th

kevin: i think washington looks terrible. i think just given the dynamic of the beltway in terms of polar asian, it is tough to -- of polarization, it is tough to a side. but either way, should the virus continued to intensify as the data is starting to suggest it would, that would put more pressure on the makers to get to a deal -- on lawmakers to get to a deal. jonathan: kevin, great to catch up. thank you. tom, it is not difficult to spot the contradictions from both parties on how they are dealing with this situation and the situation in 2016. it was a contradiction race over the weekend for both republicans and democrats. tom: absolutely. i'm with kevin, the oxygen has been sucked out of the room. i don't have words for how this has been changing things, and we have that for every time in recent history. this has become a huge issue that all of a sudden dominates all. what i find important is if you make the assumption that oxygen has been sucked out of the room, guess what? -- expect unexpired the unexpected. what is th

kevin: he's going to wing it. i was speaking with forces last night regarding the president's debate strategy. if you look back traditionally to incumbent presidents, they typically do struggle in their first debate. the both sides, president trump as well as nominee biden really lowering citations. we head into the debate with the president outperforming amongst hispanics given his 2016 levels and among white working-class voters. iscontrast, nominee biden outperforming in white suburban african-americans, comparatively speaking with hillary clinton in 2016. he has managed a lead above what hillary clinton was pulling at in this particular part of the cycle. tom: i looked at the vectors of national polling, and i guess i stored -- i guess i sort of toss them aside for state polling. you are integral predict about this. tell us about ohio as a battleground state. kevin: here we are in cleveland, the all-important battleground state of ohio, which has traditionally been going more in a republican electoral directio

kevin: two points to make. first and foremost, there will be an increase with mail-in voting and there have been the talks on capitol hill about louis dejoy, the postal service and whether or not there will be a result come november 3, or whether it will take days or weeks after. secondly, in terms of the turnout is where things get, it is where things get nuanced, because for all of the unrest and all the frustration we have seen in the country, will the protesters show up to the polls coalitionhe trump and base of rural america, will they turnout? that is what i think the republicans are really focused on, especially when you look at minnesota, which the president lost by two percentage points in the last cycle, that is within striking distance. so, a lot would have to go their way if the election was today for battleground states. bea: to push ahead, we will getting a vote today potentially in the senate on the skinning bill. it will be torpedoed, right? kevin: i do not think speaker pelosi will get her coal

kevin: and i never give it. jon: on your opinion, because we heard from chairman powell repeatedly saying we need more, are we going to get more anytime soon? kevin: yesterday, and are viewed tom reed, a republican from new york, along with a democrat from new jersey. they are the chairman of the problem solvers caucus and said they have a $1.5 trillion deal sets. a leadership in the house has looked down upon it, but they are hopeful it will cause speaker pelosi to keep lawmakers through at least mid-october in order to get to some smaller deal. i would note, regardless of whether or not this happens before november 3, there is a mechanism in the problem solvers caucus bill that could be and whatever large deal or many deal that happens, which is a clause that would say if the data from that scientists say this virus is under control, it will kick in the eight and fiscal relief will start to dwindle down. if the data does not reflect that, it would kickstart incentives to have additional stimulus. it is a wait

kevin cirilli, there is so much going on. before i want to get to the debate, i want to talk about the fabric of washington, d.c. in the last one he four hours. the law clerks sprawled across -- across the steps of the supreme court, down to the protests in louisville. kevin: here in d.c. there have been protests, but not to the extent we saw over the summer. i think you captured very well this moment in american history, just five days before a presidential debate. i think the intensity around these battleground states and in fluidity of these polls battleground states has been remarkable. take a state like arizona, a crucial state that president trump and his campaign really wants to hold onto. a poll came out just yesterday that has president trump up by just one percentage point in this state against joe biden. a poll several weeks ago had biden leading. so it is really a fluid race, especially in the battleground states. but the battleground states are interpreting the developments. in louisville, as well as at this brin

kevin: -- jonathan: kevin cirilli, great to catch up. have you ever seen that down in washington before, the d.c. correspondent get up before 9:00? tom: he's an hour and a half ahead of everybody else. jonathan: he's on wall street time. six days away, that debate. tom: huge deal, way underreported. it's going to be another debate, but this debate is john norma's -- is ginormous. jonathan: on that conversation, andrew hallman horst -- andrew hollenhorst joining us shortly on the program. heard on bloomberg radio, seen on bloomberg tv, this is "bloomberg surveillance." ♪ ♪ you can go your own way ♪ go your own way your wireless. your rules. only xfinity mobile lets you choose shared data, unlimited or a mix of each. and switch anytime so you only pay for the data you need. switch and save up to $400 a year on your wireless bill. with the carrier rated #1 in customer satisfaction. call, click, or visit your local xfinity store today. jonathan: from new york and london, this is "bloomberg surveillance," for our audience worldwide. alo

kevin cirilli was on with us moments ago. what is thei, political risk to the trump administration if this is bluster and not policy? kevin: i think there is minimal political risk. i don't think this is one of the issues that is driving the political conversation in 2020. it feels very divorced from the 2020 conversation. there is such bipartisan understanding and commitment on the path of senior policymakers to reign in china. donovan characterized it very well as a case study in terms of the opportunity the united states has in terms of telling beijing certain companies are not going to be able to come into the u.s. marketplace and do what they want. tom: kevin cirilli, are you suggesting that joe biden will agree with the president and we should shutdown tiktok and we chat? kevin: yes, he won't phrase it like that. i just spoke with the democrat senator for delaware. he's got bipartisan legislation with people like senator marco rubio that would seek to do just that. reign in china. morerms of their aggressive approach. e

hollinrake media, much more democratic, and kevin hollinra ke has media, much more democratic, and kevin hollinrake has been very quick to say i will debate this with you in any form. he clearly does not wa nt in any form. he clearly does not want to be too antagonistic to some but power. i'm going to take you, tony, to the inside page of the daily express, page two, extension rebellion could be classed as a crime organisation. —— extension rebellion. what do you think of that? i think it makes a nice headline. you're going to need serious crime legislation to prosecute people who will claim they we re prosecute people who will claim they were protesting and have a right to protest. i was just thinking, were protesting and have a right to protest. i wasjust thinking, good luck with getting any prosecution that way. what the government does need to do is to seduce new legislation specifically to deal with people who were trying to disrupt newspaper distribution, all the stuff we talked about over the weekend, and i just the stuff we talked about over the weekend, and ijust think this

kevin: two things. i asked that question of ambassador friedman and he said all of the normalizing is related to saudi arabia, and the saudi's put a giant step forward in terms of helping the united states as it relates to normalizing flights and allowing for that travel, not just on a one time flight but all throughout the future between israel and the uae. the sallies are definitely watching this and monitoring it closely. no further development is about where they are next. david: thanks much to kevin cirilli. we'll be coming to the white house when they get that ceremony going. as kevin mentioned, he spoke to the u.s. ambassador to israel earlier today and asked about saudi arabia's role in getting the deal done. >> the sallies are very close to bahrain. saudis areies -- the close to bahrain so it is unlikely any of this would have happened without their support. they allow the first commercial flight to abu dhabi and opened up airspace more broadly to israel. you have no my idea how much time that

kevin cirilli is expert at these kevin,ts nationwide, and the fifth district in new jersey brings us to this erik wasson report today of a $1.5 trillion moderate stimulus bill. is it dead on arrival? kevin: this is the ace up the sleeve of treasury secretary steven mnuchin who had been referring to a third option related to the stimulus. they are known as a problem solver caucus, 15 members, moderates, republicans and democrats both. erik wasson will be unveiling a $1.5 trillion stimulus package. it splits the difference on a host of different issues, including the issue of unemployment insurance at about 450 million -- $450 per week, and it is something mcconnell and pelosi could not get their respective camps entrenched on both sides to agree to. we will see if there is a narrow path to agreement. tom: an important point, these moderates are people that really, really, really risk losing in this election. they usually when by close votes. does mcconnell and policy care about them? kevin: this is an opportunity for congressman scott hammer and congressman reed, a republican from new

kevin: that is the risk. the last five minutes of that debate, really, if you are trying to figure out and calendar out, so to speak, november and december, this is a situation where you've got a supreme court pick to the high court, and you've got president trump and nominee biden saying they are committed to seeing this all the way through, even if it should go to the supreme court. that is a lot of volatility coming out of washington, d.c. for the next month or two months. tom: we are all addicted to this silliness, the kevin cirilli world. when do we see polls of what happened last night? do we see them today, this weekend? when do we see the measurement of what we observed? kevin: we will see them i would say at the earliest, friday. some polls will come out friday and over the weekend, and then into monday and tuesday typically. and just beyond that, i was struck by this. you look at how vice president biden really tried to moderate last night, both in terms of his tone, in terms of some of the policy p

kevin: he's trying. biden was in southwestern pennsylvania this week, saying he is not a socialist who wants to add the type of recklessness in the cities. what is fascinating about the kenosha story is it is not a major trouble us. this is really a relatable type of community in terms of suburban america, its diversity and where it stands on a host of different other indicators. what is really remarkable here, i would also note the president needs to come out and make sure that suburban voters don't feel like he is fanning the flames of division in the country. that is really what the democrats have been trying to push for. any poll indicates that the economy still outbreaks even the pandemic in terms of what is weighing heavily on voters minds. wherehere are we --lisa: are we in terms of president trump's involvement on a second round of fiscal support? kevin: the president has said he wants to utilize executive orders in terms of dividing addition -- terms of providing additional support, when it come

kevin: precisely. in fact, it is really remarkable because this is where the down ballot races become incredibly important. there are ultraconservatives in districts looking at the price , $1 on some of these bills trillion upwards, and saying not going to happen. but at the end of the day, the president and his reelection campaign are looking at this and saying, that v-shaped recovery they were so bullish on, at least in a particular time period, that could turn into a u . and now with the various pharmaceutical companies putting on hold, at least one of them, the vaccinations, that is really starting to look at the timing of potential movement between now and november 3. jonathan: let's talk about timing. the real deadline was at the end of july. it was a long time ago now. it's the deadline now for policymakers before they disappear and focus on the election? kevin: i pose that question to some staffers yesterday. in checking with my sources, again, if they can get it done by the end of the month, b

kevin mccarthy announced the parties commitment to america plan, focused on the economy, support for law enforcement, and school choice. this is 25 minutes. [inaudible] [inaudible] minutes wait a couple until everybody comes down. [inaudible] well, good morning. sorry for taking a little as you can see there's a lot of republicans here this morning because each and every one of us understand that america is worth fighting for. republicans help build the greatest economy in a generation and the american way of life was thriving. we will do it again. that is our commitment to you. two years ago speaker pelosi promised the american people the democrats would serve a responsibility to seek common ground. she did the complete opposite. the question is simple, what are the democrats results? name me one problem the democrat majority in the house has solved. democrats support defunding our police, and when asked about the violent protests the speaker expressed her support by saying, people will do what they do. democrats want to dismantle our institutions, the democrats conducted the most p

kevin says through our looks and smells ok to him. i think our believes that she's starting to smell bad but i haven't noticed anything unusual about the way she smells. lauer's even reluctant to go out in public. why it was i was at the bakery this morning and it felt awful. i had the feeling that people were staring at me and the sales assistant sort of looked down on. a week has gone by sold can take her 1st shower by now she started to adjust to the experiment. finally been stopped asking kevin if i smell bad it all seems normal now. a lot of. the 2nd half of the experiment goes quickly. i'll go to the doctor's office tomorrow to see what shape my skin is and it'll be interesting to see what they find. and also home. some tests will show how lour a skin responded to 3 weeks without regular showering in a preliminary exam the doctor couldn't find any change in her skin at all now they're waiting for the lab results. we found that she still has the same types of bacteria as she did 3 weeks ago we also found 2 new ones estimator back

kevin frazier has the highlights. >> you know what they say. you can't have a virus without a host. >> reporter: it didn't take jimmy kimmel long to acknowledge that hollywood's sea of biggest stars featured in her openingmo tv magic. >> instead of a live audience, we took a page from baseball tonight, and we filled the seats with cardboard cutouts of the nominees. >> hello, everybody. >> reporter: and when the stars couldn't come to hollywood, camera feeds, socially distanced statue delivery and self-opening trophy boxes allowed hollywood cm.>> casf "schitt's creek," a sitcom about a formerly wealthy family who moves to a small town bought as a gag gift was together sunday night as the show won all seven comedy awards for its final season. an emmy first. >> i actually think that this sort of solidifies that we went out on a good note. >> reporter: some stars appeared on stage with kimmel. >> all right. sanitized for your protection. >> yeah. >> now, this is exciting. >> put it out. >> oh, shoot. wait. >> we can't wait five minutes? >> reporter

kevin is right it's not changing. it's present and it's the future and you want to be, if you're going to be overweight anything, i think you want to have a bias toward the kinds of companies that are either creating that future or setting themselves up to thrive. that doesn't just mean owning tech then go look at the other side of the ledger. xle, you had this big two day pop for the oil stocks right back down. these stocks are being liquidated 52-week lows every single day. the worst 20-day stretch for exxon mobile in a century. >> do you want to say that the cyclical trade just not going to work because of the environment we're getting ourselves into >> if you have a time horizon where you're looking to scalp these pops then there's a fertile ground you want to sit in front of your monitor all day long and catch it be my guest. >> sorry there's a very big difference between energy sector and industrials and discretionary. >> i never used either of those words. >> i'm just saying energy is -- >> i did i was implying

kevin good afternoon well bell reuss has been on the brink of turning into a new file and crisis hot spot in eastern europe protesters have been filling the streets but so far the ball russian president has managed to avoid the worst case scenario a nationwide strike and a full scale revolution alexander lukashenko did call his russian powder counterpart vladimir putin very often as he was trying to bring the situation under control and there you have it after a bit more than a month following the election he is in tsotsi we saw him coming out of the plane and the talks between russian and the russian leaders are just about to begin according to the kremlin that will happen in less than an hour and they're saying precisely at 2 pm moscow time now many are confident that the president will be seeking help from the russian side in the black sea resort of tsotsi after saying many times before the summit that he has no intention of giving up in the crisis. in the earth which in all of this is very painful and even tragic for me but it doesn't mean that i'm giving up now i must protect wh

--vy flynn asked kevin flynn kevin flynn was the new york police euro chief on 2011, previously he worked as a reporter for the new york daily news, new york newsday, and of the stanford advocate. he is the recipient of several journalistic awards including the 1988 first place award for the new york state associated press or in-depth reporting and the 1990 distinction award for the new york publishers association. in 1998 he was part of a team that received an award from the new york state associated press. who better to tell us the moving account of the struggle to survive inside the world trade center on the morning of september 11 than the authors of hundred two minute, the untold story of the fight to survive inside the twin towers. please welcome james dreyer and kevin flynn. for having us this morning and thanks to all of you for coming, i would like three something from the authors note of our book. minutes on the morning of september 11, two thousand one, 14,000 men and women fought for life at the world trade center, this book aims to tell what happened solely from this perspect

kevin: i think you did. that's precisely why democrats likely next week are going to pass this $2.4 trillion fiscal support bill. it gives democrats an opportunity to say that they have lowered by $1 trillion their threshold, and that they are willing to have some type of negotiations. i was paying attention to senator ben cardin from maryland . he said that realistically, it is going to be unlikely that there be any type of deal before the election. 11, got my i on december when the continuing resolution expires, the short-term resolution. so there is a fiscal cliff, so to speak, coming up in december. that is likely going to provide a lot of momentum for their potentially to be another round of stimulus because remember, the airline relief come the student debt relief, the small business relief, the energy sector, to some extent, all of those other programs that have been left over from this stimulus that people are still utilizing, that is set to end at the end of the calendar year. tom: conor lamb of the

kevin: it is. should there be a major development that would prevent a vaccination from going into the timetable that the experts as well as lawmakers have suggested, which is between the end of october and next summer. the goal post on that particular timetable has not moved. point, in terms of there being a headline that says vaccine approved and then a major bump in the polls for one of the candidates, that is not likely going to happen. tom: waiting this morning with what you have been talking about. getsoctober, the president up 25, up 28, up 30%, one-off gdp statistics. i take the point. this is a huge favor for the president, isn't it? kevin: it is a massive favor. around that time, there is a scheduled meeting for the health experts in terms of vaccination approval coupled with economic indicators that are going to be coming right around the time of the last scheduled debate. in factor those two points with a third point, which is that there now appears to be a narrow, but still chance of f

kevin: a fraction of what the democrats want. to your point, this really could be one of the driving issues as it relates to potential furloughs or worse layoffs by the end of the year. look at firefighters, which are having to fight record blazes out in california. more than 2 million acres already burning. look at the police department in new york city. you look at all of the local and government officials who are country,across the teachers. this could be a significant risk from the employment side. whether or not that issue comes up in the debate or whether it comes up in a lame-duck, that is the biggest unknown variable. from a broader step back, three to six months out, likely more fiscal stimulus coming out of washington. lisa: is there any bipartisan support for more funding for states and local governments? kevin: i said this to jonathan ferro the other day, they view these positive economic indicators as a sign that this is moving in the right direction. you look at the 8.4% unemployment number, that is something that r

. >>> kevin spacey lawsuit. the powerhouse actor faces new legal trouble. >>> good morning, good to be with you, i'm anne-marie green. we begin with the rising death toll from wildfires in the west. at least seven people have been killed. nearly 100 major fires are reported in almost a dozen states. north of sacramento, three people were killed in the bear fire. authorities say that one person was found in their car apapparently trying to escape t flames. the fire is burning dangerously close to the town of paradise. you may remember paradise was decimated by wildfire two years ago. stunning images show an orange haze of smoke hanging over the golden gate bridge and throughout san francisco yesterday morning. it's the result of thick ash from wildfires burning across northern part of the state. danya bacchus is in fresno county, california. will the weather conditions be at least a little better today and maybe help the firefighters out? >> reporter: good morning to you, anne-marie. yes, the weather conditions a

(kevin) hey, can i come home? (brad) kevin, kevin, kevin. what a dedicated intern. he's just one of the reasons why more people find their place on apartments-dot-com than any other website. (employee) sir, we have an incoming call. (brad) send it to voicemail. (employee) done. (brad) apartments-dot-com. the most popular place to find a place. >>> the republican plan to repeal obamacare, to repeal the affordable care act in 2017 would have resulted in more than 20 million americans losing their health insurance. just like senator warren was saying earlier this hour, in 2017 with republicans in fresh control of the white house and the house and the senate, it absolutely seems like a done deal that they would pass a law to take away health insurance from tens of millions of people. but then something started to happen. the constituents of these members of congress, they started showing up big to tell them to abandon that bill and that plan. people held die-ins on the ground, people held sit-ins in the lobbies of their senator's district offices. grass roots organizers

kevin cirilli joins us, our chief washington correspondent. kenosha is midway between chicago and milwaukee, its own character and a changed character. what will the president try to accomplish today in kenosha? kevin: and remarks last night, the president issued criticisms of the organizers behind the black lives matter movement. political seeds of doubt in the organizers of that movement and has continued to increase rhetoric around defending police officers in this issue. in contrast, joe biden yesterday speaking in a battleground state of pennsylvania and in pittsburgh sought to blame president trump for sowing the seeds of division as it relates to racial inequality in the u.s.. it is an intensified conversation, rhetoric around this issue where you have republicans blaming democratic political machines operating in the city for amplifying problems in the united states and democrats blaming the occupant of the white house in terms of amplifying division. you have been in the trenches on this come out in the campaign trail. and order issue

afternoon from russia live from marty's world news headquarters here in moscow this tuesday morning is kevin now in here for the next 30 minutes with the latest round up for you so 1st maybe no surprise here the unfortunate use the world seeing as resurgence of covert 19th with countries registering a record spike in infections france spain and britain have been most affected in europe while the rand is also seeing a worrying rise in death is forcing governments to bring about restrictions britain's urging citizens to work from home now and shortening restaurant hours meantime may be no surprise to hear either the pandemic is hitting the poor and vulnerable groups particularly hard our europe correspondent charlotte who penske reports. coverage 19 pandemic has highlighted many problems from inadequate medical resources to a lack of trust in governments around the world but perhaps the starkest issue that it's exposed is how different it is to experience a pandemic if you are poor compared to those with money. thank. you. people impossible to do and face a new restrictions on movement there h

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