he defeats republican mark molinaro. this is a significant victory not just for pat ryan in this district, this is a significant victory for democrats nationally because it gets to the heart of the question that we have been asking politically for the last two months, that is whether the political climate in this country as changed, specifically in the wake of the supreme court ruling that overturned roe v. wade. there had been before tonight to special elections, one in minnesota and one in nebraska in very republican districts where democrats had done better than joe biden had done in 2020. democrats had one either of the districts, but they have done better than biden in 2020. a decorated top to perhaps there was new energy on the democratic side, that they had overperformed in these republican districts. tonight though, we got a test in a different kind of the stick, a truly competitive political district here. donald trump carried new york's 19th district in 2016. joe biden carried, he flipped it by two points in 20

mark molinaro's plan b's great choice in the special election. hope they realize with the real issues are as we stated earlier. jon: you think the economy and inflation are really what's going to drive voters to the pole in that race? >> yes i just met a couple in wyoming county i was actually campaign the same day as liz cheney was losing her election the state of wyoming. he came across a number of kids in the future farmers of america the ffa were very rural appear. they said look, the mean tweets in a dollar 80 i guess. the price of gas and inflation really affecting our agricultural communities appear. latest affecting our ability to get output, the supply chain problems, the war on energy that's happening under their hochul we have a green new deal type of legislations are to pass in the ark that's really going to impede and hurt our ability to be prosperous and have security. i put out numerous bills we need to unleash our tremendous resources those are the gas resources we have it upstate new york for a the southern region of the state. w

this is pat ryan, the democrat mark molinaro. the backdrop it's a district voted for joe biden by two points in 2020. if you roll the clock back to 2016, there was a trump district. it was trump, then it flipped over to biden in 2020. this is exactly the kind of district that fits the kind of profile if republicans are having a good year, if it's a midterm climate, they are open for, live it's the midterm climate, everybody pretty much expected a month or two ago. this is exactly the kind of race that mullah nero would win. probably won by a big margin. but if democrats, we see a tightening in the generic ballot, we've seen some signs in some other special elections around the country that maybe there's some more democratic interest in the wake of that supreme court ruling. if the democratic case said, hey this, midterm is starting to turn climate wise, if that is accurate then this race could reflect that. if pat ryan were to win this race, that would really butcher the case for democrats in the political environment has changed

. >> the sad truth, mark molinaro and the republicans oppose a woman's right to choose. republicans will allow women and their doctors to be prosecuted for getting abortions. molinaro stands with them. the sad truth, mark molinaro and the republicans are too extreme on women's rights. >> here to share insight is my three guests. there's nothing that washington loves better than a special election that may be a bellwether, and we have the proof which is some of these headlines. punch bowl, did 2022 just get reset? dems flip 2022 on its head. and hope that november won't be so bad. it's not just this special election, it's the kansas referendum, the generic ballot which has been definitively moving in democrats favor over the last few months. are things looking better? >> the environment is improving for democrats, no question about it. there had been a major enthusiasm gap that they suffered for much of this cycle that changed in the aftermath of the decision to overturn roe v. wade. you've seen democratic candidates like we saw in the special election in new york lean in

this is pat ryan versus mark molinaro. ap hasn't called it yet, but it looks like there are not enough votes for mull nair 0 to close this gap. that is big in this environment. pat ryan used choice, he used the overturning of roe v wade as a big part of his campaign. he said on all his signs, choice is on the ballot. a big part of his campaign. the d triple c dropped about 500 how thousand in ads but the nrcc the national republican congressional committee put in 1.2 million late in this race thinking they were going to pull this out. here's one of the ads that ran just this week. >> across the country they called cops racist, advocated looting and violence and extreme liberal pat ryan marched alongside them. despite violent crimes surging, pat ryan wanted to deny local police critical equipment. now pat ryan supported by extremists pushing to eliminate cash bail. >> pat ryan looks like will pull out this race. joe biden won this district by two points. donald trump won this district in 2016 by four points. president obama

nbc news can report that democrat pat ryan has defeated republican mark molinaro for the congressional seat vacated of current lieutenant governor antonio delgado. both parties watch this risk closely for potential insights into november's midterm elections, especially the impact the supreme court decision to overturn roe v. wade will have on turnout. >> as you are casting about today, but was the issue that was top of mind for you? >> i think just in general, for me, being a woman, personally, abortion rights are important. >> the first thing that comes to mind is roe v. wade thing. that freaked me out, and i just thought that, every election, every time there is a chance to vote and to see something, you gotta go out and say it. >> we will discuss all that ahead, but in new york, there are four other congressional races that we are watching closely. in new york's post-congressional district longtime democratic representatives jerrold nadler and carolyn maloney forced into the same race due to redistricting. nadler won that primary, ending maloney's 30-year stunt in congress. in your

he defeats republican mark molinaro. >> our very own steve kornacki calling the victory in a bell weather special election where reproductive rights were very much on the ballot. a strong indication that as some of us were trying to tell y'all, the supreme court nuking abortion rights has shifted the mid-term election to democrats. val demming is taking on senator marco rubio in florida. >>> also tonight, new reporting from the washington post on trump's delay tactics as the government tried to retrieve classified documents that were improperly in his grasp. >>> president biden makes good on a campaign promise and as a result millions of people will get badly needed student loan debt relief. we begin "the reid out" tonight with a game changer for democrats. now if you hear a giant sucking sound, it could be the wholesale deflation of republicans hoping to gain control of congress this fall. after tuesday's election results in new york and florida show that their planned red wave in the november mid-terms could be looking more like a red wheeze. the biggest sign of the night, the special e

the republican mark molinaro arrow, his numbers continuing to go up. they're gonna meet somewhere right around 50%. this thing is looking like it is right on the line. the key here, again, the backdrop is it is a district that joe biden carried by two points in 2020. if you go back to 2016, it was a district that trump carried by seven. so it was a trump, biden district, it kind of swung in the way the country swung. and the expectation a month out in this race was that the republicans, the national political climate a month or two ago looked very favorable for the republicans. typically in the midterm cycle, it will look very favorable for the out of power party. what that meant was, the expectation with molinaro, in a district that biden won by two, in a typical mid term where the out of power party does really well, usually translates in a win for the republican. watching these results come in tonight, what is been so striking in a lot of these counties is how similar the result ends up looking to the 2020 results. here is schoharie county, it says

and mike molinaro was a very popular guy. should the republicans be concerned about this now? >> i'm concerned about it. so they should be concerned about it. i'm a little concerned. i'm not can the lie about it. [laughter] it's a big concern. i'm not can i live. is this the best we have? you look at someone like jerry nadler who looks like a hobbit. he is representing the richest district in the entire country. is that the best we can do? >> he won. >> nobody else wants to run for congress on the upper east side? i see beautiful people walking around, tall, healthy, all of their hair appear they are quick with wit and know what they're talking about the other guy looks like he's knocking can i make it the next session. used to both that we can do? the woman, maloney committees having somebody else hold the period to people on the upper upper east side in the upper west side are not sexist. they just think you think. this is who we have representing us? >> i'm going to go to tyrus right now. >> i'm excited to follow that. shake what you got now. fighting could say look i have

mark molinaro he is a republican, not a trump republican. he was very specific about saying that. republicans outspent democrats two to one in this race. they were seeing that it would potentially go to molinaro. we see pat ryan, someone looks like molinaro in physique, they're both white guys, both represent, county executives neighboring counties. they worked together throughout covid but the fact a democrat pulled out over a republican could have implications for other districts across the u.s. of course new york is a democratic state. neil: there the issue appeared to be the whole roe v. wade supreme court decision. i'm just wondering looking even across new york and even the country by extension how galvanizing an event that will be for democrats? what do you think? >> right. they're hoping that it is. i mean the women's right to choose. it was an assault on of course this, something that has really gotten away from the religious aspect. of course we're in a more secular society. republicans even like molinaro would not support a national ban on abortion but wouldn't go as fa

we did get a statement from mark molinaro. he told us in a statement that while this is not the victory that they were hoping for that sort of blaming in on the fact that a lot of democrats had competitive races here. but, listen, i think this is going to being is. you think a lot of democratic strategists will be calling the ryan campaign looking for that secret sauce. >> joining me is anna palmer and mark caputo. let's talk about abortion. i've heard a lot of democrats on the campaign say if republicans are elected into the house, they control the house, the senate, the white house, they're going to try and pass a national ban on abortion, a federal ban on abortion. is that sort of language, that sort of messaging working for the democrats? and not just getting democrats to turn up and show up but also independents and maybe some republicans who say i don't know if i'm comfortable with that? >> i think what we've seen is on the national level you had a lot of these groups that spent decades trying to get roe v. wade overturn

suddenly, the results of new york's 19th district where pat ryan beat mark molinaro have overwhelming significance. he made abortion rights a central focus of his campaign. this is a big test for democrats who are hoping this becomes a driving issue and mobilizes voters in november. >> they are saying abortion is a good and effective for them argument against the attacks on the economy. >> supreme court nuking abortion rights shifted the momentum to the democrats. >> laura: either a liar wishful thinking because the truth is, the outcome here turned on a single county. guess who was executive for that county? yeah, the county executive was pat ryan. in fact, democrats have been pointing to the four special elections that swung their way since the dobbs decision as proof positive that abortion will lead them to the outlook twirl promised land. but of quick political notes, the four districts have something in common. the succ successes have been hed by engagements in college heavy locations. pockets not all that representative of the larger fall electorate. not to mention in poll after

i know it requires walking and chewing gum, but you've got to do it to read avoid results like mark molinaro. >> carley: are you working on a campaign and leading us? you make a lot of good points. when it comes to the hudson valley, politico says "trump candidates are talking up wins but heavily faced democrats appear at ease. in new york special election seen as the last best tests of the electorate midterm leaning confirmed what democrats hold and republicans feared. prediction of a red wave may be overblown." fox news digit with power rankings and republicans are still expected to win in the house, and they are favorable in the senate. but in both, it is tightening. republicans are expected to win at least by two. but if you think -- back to three months ago, two months ago, people were talking about republicans winning by 60 house seats. so you do have to wonder why. i think what it's coming down to, i think a lot of these suburban races that were really republican strongholds for a while are now more in the middle, possibly leaning left. the key indicators are that the roe v. wade deci

the latest polls show that democrat pat ryan and republican mark molinaro are running neck in neck within the margin of error. there's been money to tip it $650,000 to supporting molinaro. the house democratic campaign sent six figures to boosting ryan with ads focused on abortion despite all of this attention, no matter who wins tonight, they'll only hold a job for a couple of months that's because the district has been redrawn it could change hands again in november. >> ylan, jerry nadler or caroline maloney will be out of a job. >> reporter: it's pitting two titans of the democratic party against each other jerry nadler has been campaigning across town all day long he has said he's the principal progressive in this race and he has a lead in the polls. >> i'll be out campaigning this morning. i'll be out campaigning this afternoon. no, you do everything you can. you don't want to lose an election and think to yourself, oh, if only i had done that so you do everything you can. >> reporter: nadler said it's unfortunate he's been forced to run against his former friend and former house cha

molinaro. ryan campaigned heavily on the need to protect reproductive rights after the supreme court overturned roe v. wade. he spoke tuesday night. >>hen the supreme court rips away reproductive freedoms, access to abortion rights, we said this is not what america stands for. as more and more kids are getting gunned down by the same weapons i carried in combat, we said this is not what america stands for. amy: in florida, the state's former republican governor charlie crist won florida's democratic primary for governor on tuesday. congress member crist will face republican governor ron desantis in november. crist spoke on tuesday night. >> the stakes could not be higher for the selection. our fundamental freedoms are literally on the ballot,y friends. a woman's right to choose on the ballot. democracy on the ballot. your rights as minorities are on this ballot. that is what is at stake in this election. make no mistake about it. because this guy wants to be president of the united states of am

nbc news can report that democrat pat ryan has defeated republican mark molinaro for the congressionalmo seat vacated, antonio delegate toe. both parties were watching this race closely for potential insights into pnovember's midtm elections. especially the impact the supreme courthe decision to overturn roe versus wade will be on turnout. as you were casting your ballot today, what was top of mind for you? >> for me being a woman, abortion right. >> the first thing that pops into my mind is that roe versus wade thing. that freaked me out. and i just thought that, you know, every election, every time there's a chance to vote and to say something, you have to go out and say it. >> we're going to discuss all that ahead. >>> but in new york, there are four other congressional races we are watching closely. in new york's 12th congressional district, long-time democratic representatives jerry nadler and carolyn maloney were forced into the same race due to redistricting. nadler won that primary ending maloney's 30-year stint in congress. seant patrick maloney and jone were almost forced to ru

molinaro. ryan campaigned heavily on the need to protect reproductive rights after the supreme court overturned roe v. wade. he spoke tuesday night. >> when the supreme court rips away reproductive freedoms, access to abortion rights, we said this is not what america stands for. as more and more kids are getting gunned down by the same weapons i carried in combat, we said this is not what america stands for. amy: in florida, the state's former republican governor charlie crist won florida's democratic primary for governor on tuesday. congress member crist will face republican governor ron desantis in november. crist spoke on tuesday night. >> the stakes could not be higher for the selection. our funmental freedoms are literally on the ballot, my friend a woman's right to choose on the ballot. democracy on the ballot. your rights as minorities are on this ballot. that is what is at stake in this election. make no mistake about it. because this guy wants to be president of the united states of am

pat ryan defeating republican mark molinaro, molinaro campaigned on inflation and crime, ryan campaigned on access to abortion rights. kellyanne conway, author of "here's the deal," and former adviser to president trump, and we look at the special election yesterday and the results with pat ryan on top, even though mark molinaro went into the special election with about a three-point advantage, what does that tell us could happen on november 8th, kellyanne? >> not very much. he's hardly maya flores in texas, it went for obama, trump, and then biden. it had republican members and now democratic member also. ryan has to be there for about a hot minute during the recess and then defend the seat all over again since this is a democratic retention seat, john. the predecessor is now running for lieutenant governor for re-election in new york. but look, i think it does tell us one thing. that the democrats will probably look at this as a successful blueprint for running on mostly running on abortion, and probably a little climate, maybe throw some gun stuff in there, not in new york 19, they ca

he defeats republican mark molinaro. >> our very own steve kornacki calling the victory in a bell weather specialle

democrat pat ryan right now, you see the advantage over the republican mark molinaro. keep in mind, the way the vote counting is taking place here in new york is most of these counties are counting up the vote by mail and the early vote first that tends to be by far the much more democratic friendly type of vote. then what happens is they add in the same day vote, the vote that was cast today in person that tends to be a much more republican friendly vote. so we have been watching ryan has had the lead all night, you saw it happen again, molinaro has been creeping up as more votes have been coming in. but this seems to be, we will seem to be on a collision course, a very, very close race. to give you an example here of one county that is basically says, it says 80% but we believe based on what the county is showing us that this may be all of the vote. this is just give you an example of what we are seeing here. mueller or when this county 66 to 37%. compare that to the 2020 election results in this county. it is almost identical. trump won this county 63 to 34%. now, t

pat ryan defeated mark molinaro in a swing district considered a bellwether for the midterms. >> we have more from capitol hill. manu, with the normal caveats about sometimes flawed polling and the fact that we're still a couple months out, republicans looking at this and saying their clear advantages have disappeared. what are they telling you? >> reporter: that's right. they're looking at the map, at the environment. it's much different than it was, say, a couple months ago before the supreme court ruling on roe versus wade overturning roe, something that has energized democratic voters and republicans are seeing some shifts, the special elections that you mentioned, as well, that perhaps that their hopes of winning a landslide majority could be narrowed. initially last year kevin mccarthy, the republican leader, bullishly predicted maybe a 60-seat gain in a chamber where they need to pick up five seats at the moment to retake the majority. now some of the republicans believe that they're looking at maybe a 15 to 30-seat gain, potentially even a single-digit gain, and that essentially

molinaro, this is a district that has gone back and forth. and how abortion is playing out in this race, because ryan is making it in large part about choice and freedom of choice, molinaro, a republican, perhaps knowing this is somewhat of a purple district here, he's vowing that he would not support a national ban on abortion if elected. it is an interesting race, is it not, that it shows potentially how abortion might play out in swing districts in this country in this cycle. >> it is a fascinating race, one i'm watching really closely tonight. while we should be careful not to read too much into the results of any one special election and this does, the seat is only for a couple of terms, it really can serve as a test case for the national mood and seeing what parties' message will resonate in the swingiest swing districts, pat ryan is focusing heavily on abortion and abortion access after roe was overturned. and the republican marc mo mol r molinaro. >> what about new york's 23rd district, talking about buffalo and the surrounding areas.

pat ryan versus mark molinaro. this could be a nail biter. the early vote ledai tohe the democrats pat ryan, who's been running a lot on abortion and overturning roe v. wade. what that means for new york . molinaro talking a lotor more about inflation and the economy. and it's seen it is seenno as kind of a bellwethermy for november. we're going to see this. it's still 61% in and some of the early vote is already in and now that same day vote tends to go towards molinaro. let's bounce around a little bit here, then go down to florida. and we do now have a contender against ron rhonda santos and that is charlie crist, congressman charlie crist, democrat, former governor charlie crist, who was a republican when he waswh governor . now the democratic nominee for governor to run against rhonda santurce in november. as you see, it wasn't really even close against nikki freed , the agriculture commissioner down there in florida. if you look at the senate race, val demings overwhelmingly winning that primary. she will go head to head with marco rubi

the latest polls show, democrat pat ryan and republican mark molinaro are running neck and neck. there has been a lot of last minute money trying to tip the scale. the gop led congressional leadership fund devoted $650,000 to supporting molinaro , but the house democrat campaign also spent six figures to boosting ryan for as focused on abortion. despite all of this attention, no matter who wins tonight, they will only have a job for a couple of months because the districts have been redrawn. it could change hands again in november. >> either jerry nadler or karen maloney could be out of a job. >> net primary battle in new york's 12th congressional district is pitting two titans of democratic party against each other. jerry nadler has been kept hidden across town all day long. he is filing himself as the principal progressive in this race and does have a commanding lead in the polls. >> i was out campaigning this morning, will be out campaigning this afternoon. you do everything you can. you don't want to lose an election i think, if only i had done that. you do everything you can

the latest polls show that democrat pat ryan and republican mark molinaro are running neck and neck within the margin of error . there is still a lot of last-minute money that has been trying to tip the scale. the gop let congressional leadership fund devoted $650,000 to supporting molinaro , but the house democrat campaign also spent six figures to boosting ryan with ads focused on abortion. shep, despite all of this attention, no matter who wins tonight, the they will only have a job for a couple of months because the districts have been redrawn. it could change hands again in november. >> either jerry nadler or karen maloney could be out of a job. one of them will be. >> that primary battle in new york's 12 congressional district is pitting two titans of democratic party against each other. jerry nadler has been campaigning across town all day long. he is filing himself as the principal progresses in this race and he does have a commanding lead in the poll. >> i was out campaigning this morning. i will be out campaigning this afternoon. you do everything you can. you don't want to lose

the betting odd chance of whipping the republican ca cand candidate, mark molinaro. >> special elections are interested to look at because it's real voters, you can see trends of people how they actually vote, not just the polls and we've seen some interesting trends in turnout. people were wondering would the abortion decision drive democrats to the polls. what are you seeing? >> so this is just going to look at primary turnout, the change 2022 from 2018. what do we see here? overall this entire primary season democrats are down 5, republicans are up 20%, but look here by the dobbs decision, since the dobbs decision democratic turnout in states that have voted the turnout is down 8%, pre june 24th it was down 3%. that's within a margin of error but does not seem like dobbs has been driving democrats to the polls in the states where abortion isn't specifically on the ballot. republican turnout still up. it does seem to be a little bit down after dobbs but pretty much all of that is in the state of tennessee. >> what else are you seeing in terms of enthusiasm and the like? >> do what we s

. >> reporter: in a special election with new york's neenlth, pat ryan is running again mark molinaro. many are looking at this race as a possible barometer of how the court's decision to overturn roe v. wade will sway voters in the midterms this november. meanwhile, today floridians are also heading to the polls. both republican governor ron desantis and republican senator marco rubio are up for re-election this november. in the governor's race, either charlie crist or nikki fried open to unseat the republican favorite. and four hopefuls including val demings are hoping to take on rubio this november. in florida, polls open at 7:00 a.m. and closed at 7:00 here in new york, polls opened at 6:00, they will close at 9:00. here in the 12th district, kaitlan, a lot of folks are asking who's the front-runner? who's in the leader here? some of the polling in new york seems to be so unreliable. we cannot say with absolute certainty who's ahead by how many is points specifically. automatic at this point it appears that nadler may be the man to beat. kaitlan. >> we will see, we'll wait for the

we saw new york democrat path to ryan defeat republican mark molinaro and a special election. which was seen as a bellwether for november. congressman-elect pat ryan spoke to my msnbc colleague alex wagner on wednesday night but his campaign. alison. >> as a politician and a swing district who is trying to win as he, hold on to a seat. how much of the words donald trump uttered? >> we are not afraid to color donald trump as someone who, i believe, is essentially traitorous, at this. point threats to democracy are now top of mind among all these other issues for people. it is this cumulative effect of, in 48 hours you put more salt weapons on the seat. you will be way reproductive freedom and access to abortion. you dismantled the epa. we are hearing more about january six. we are hearing about we'll continue talking with the president. it is guardrails of democracy increasingly being his. that is a wake up call for folks. >> has your soon to be new colleague pat ryan found the key for democratic party messaging in november? the democrats can and should lean into all these issu

while republican mark molinaro focused on inflation and crime. in the end, pat ryan, the democrat, beat his republican opponent. here is how his fellow new yorker and congressman sean patrick maloney, who runs the dccc and just won his own primary viewed that race. >> that is an earthquake and should send sifrs down the sign of kevin mccarthy and tom elmert, because their dreams of a big republican wave just went up in flames. >> the person you want to break this down, steve kornacki, who called the race the single biggest results of the primary season. we're going to get steve's ear piece fixed in a moment. he'll join me in just a second to break down all of these results out of new york and florida. and more revelations about the classified documents at the center of the fbi's search at mar-a-lago, including new questions about the risk to our national security. those boxes contain documents classified at the highest level. >>> also, a major announcement from president biden today on student loan debt. what we are learning about his plan to for

, the democrat, who has largely made abortion rights, versus mark molinaro who has made inflation as the key points. >> particularly in this swing district, new york 19 encompassing the hudson river valley, just a little bit north of new york city, and what is interesting here is that this is a district that barack obama ended up winning twice, that donald trump won in 2016. and then joe biden was able to win in 2020. almost kind of like the perfect type of swing district for us to follow. now, sometimes in midterm environments, you have the political winds, moving where even kind of red districts can break through or blue districts can break red. and we're gauging to see tomorrow whether in this almost kind of perfect type of environment, which message carries more, abortion or the cost of living. and it's going to be fascinating to see which one comes out on top. >> let's talk about some of the new nbc news polling. more democrats are interested in how the midterms play out, the enthusiasm gap. democrats have closed it to a large degree, and in a way that is different from what we

molinaro. underscoring the power of democratic messaging of abortion. >>> also a big primary day in florida. congressman and florida former florida governor charlie crist claimed victory in the democratic primary for governor there defeating nikki fried. chris will face ron desantis in the general election this november. meanwhile, congress woman val demings coasted to victory in the state's democratic primary for senate. former orlando police chief faced little serious competition. will now take on incumbent republican senator marco rubio in fall. nbc news projects republican congressman matt gaetz will win his primary. gaetz had come under fire from primary challenger mark lombardo, former fedex executive and former veteran. he questioned whether gaetz was an informant who led the fbi to search donald trump's palm beach home at mar-a-lago. speaking of trump in a new letter that reveals that former president trump took more than 700 pages of classified documents with him to his florida home up

and suddenly the resultssu of new york's 19th district wheretn pat ryan beat mark molinaro have overwhelming significance. he madficance abortion rightsofs a central focus of his campaign. this test forg c democrats who are hoping thatdrn this becomes a driving issue and mobilizes voters inbortio november. they are seeing that abortionn is a good and effectiv ffectivee form them argument against the attacks on the economy.th >> supreme court nukingrt nukin abortion rights has shiftedg the midterm to the democrats. to well, it's either a lie or wishful thinking because the truth is the outcome here turned on a single county.o wa and guess who is executive for that county? yeah, the county executive wasu? pat ryan. e in fact, democrats have been pointing to the four specialpeci electionals that swung their way since the dobs decision as proof positive thats aborti will lead them to the electoral promise land. ical but as dave wasserman of cook political notes, those four districts have something in common. dem successes in these specials have been fueled by highd engagement in college heavy en

molinaro. ryan has made the issue of abortion rights central to his campaign. >> it is truly under attack. >> when i took the oath to protect and defend the constitution and the rights and freedoms that come with it, i took that very seriously, and the woman and the person should not have the government tell them what to do in their personal lives and healthcare. >> the race is seen as a real bellweather. can democrats galvanize enough to stem the tied of the impending red wave this november. >> sandra: fighting through the noise in new york city, bryan, thank you very much. >> john: a lot going on in the big apple today. team coverage continues with races in florida, aishah hasnie is live in st. petersburg, and some could be a referendum on gop fire brands. >> good afternoon to you, you are right. even in districts expected to continue to stay red in november, conservatives here in florida have a big choice to make. are they going to send to congress an institutional conservative or are they g

democratic candidates pat ryan beat republican mark molinaro. last night that true swing district won by president barack obama in 2012, donald trump in 2016, and president joe biden in 2020 showing that the political landscape has shifted again following the supreme court's decision to overturn roe versus wade. ryan made portion rights a center piece of his campaign there, while his opponent focused on inflation and crime. ryan's win becomes the fourth special election in the u.s. house of representatives since the supreme court's dod's decision where democrats have outperformed president joe biden. in his first one on one interview after his victory, ryan told our colleague dasha burns what to take away from his win. >> i think the message is when fundamental rights and freedoms are under attack, we have to stand up. we have to fight, we have to be strong and clear, and when you do that, people rally. i mean, the issues at stake, reproductive rights, abortion access, are fundamental rights that transcend partisanship, we saw it in kansas, we s

he defeated the republican, mark molinaro. democrats are calling it a bellwether of the national mood. look, we'll see when november comes, and just one point, the voter turnout here was small, so it doesn't mirror a general election. ashley: it certainly doesn't. lauren, thank you very much. quick check of the futures, looks like a positive opening. and guess what? the opening bell is next. ♪ do what you do ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ bubbles bubbles so many bubbles! as an expedia member you earn points on your travels, and that's on top of your airline miles. so you can go and see... or taste or do absolutely nothing with all those bubbles. without ever wondering if you're getting the most out of your trip. because you are. ashley: less than 3 minutes from the opening of the markets, looking at the futures. positive, but modstly so. let's bring in d.r. barton. good morning to you. i read your note, you get a lot of questions about whether we're in a new bull market or a bull trap or is it all bull you know