that helps molinaro molinaro. if you go next door, this is almost all in. we are waiting on six precinct here. this is boston county, the biggest county in the district. it is at least a quarter of the vote. i will tell you that the turnout here, relative to other parts of the district, the turnout has been an almost a day compared to other parts of the district. it is the most democratic part of the district. and joe biden got 60% of the vote here. pat ryan is the executive right now, he's getting 62.8. as i said, there are six precincts left to report here. it is the same day vote. i spoke to 6.8 to come down, but i think it is possible that ryan could end up getting 62% of the vote out of ulster county, improving by a couple of points on how joe biden did in the largest county in this district would potentially the county making up a bigger share of the overall vote of this district because the turnout is so high here. so mola nero is getting good news out of his base of dutchess county. ryan is potentially getting good news out of his base in ulster cou

that helps molinaro molinaro. if you go next door, this is almost all in. we are waiting on six precinct here. this is boston county, the biggest county in the district. it is at least a quarter of the vote. i will tell you that the turnout here, relative to other parts of the district, the turnout has been an almost a day compared to other parts of the district. it is the most democratic part of the district. and joe biden got 60% of the vote here. pat ryan is the executive right now, he's getting 62. 8. as i said, there are six precincts left to report here. it is the same day vote. i spoke to 6. 8 to come down, but i think it is possible that ryan could end up getting 62% of the vote out of ulster county, improving by a couple of points on how joe biden did in the largest county in this district would potentially the county making up a bigger share of the overall vote of this district because the turnout is so high here. so mola nero is getting good news out of his base of dutchess county. ryan is potentially getting good news out of his base in ulster c

molinaro is on his way to carrying it tonight. so this is going to be -- just given the size of this county, it is about one sixth of the district in terms of the votes that it produces. so that swing, trump getting 47%, molinaro is at 51%. that could climb to 52 or 53. that is his biggest single gain tonight probably, anywhere in this district over what donald trump did. if molinaro is able to win tonight, this will probably be why. that leaves the big remaining question in ulster county. there are also votes still coming in. take a look at ulster county in 2020. joe biden got 60% of the vote, now matt ryan is at 64 and a half percent of the vote. so the other question here is, how much farther down does this vote come for pat ryan? if he can land this at 64, 63%, maybe 62%, something in there, then that might be enough to offset the gains that molinaro is making in his home county of dutchess county. how much better is molinaro going to do in the remaining vote in dutchess county and how much is ryan be able to hang on to what h

molinaro is the county executive in dutchess county. so the two dynamics that we are watching as these final numbers start to come in we'll start here in dutchess county, malingerers base. you see molinaro now has opened up a lead here of about two and a half points over ryan. there are more votes to come, it is same-day votes that are being reported out here. mola nero has been winning the same day vote in dutchess county. this is where molinaro has made his biggest gain in the district just in terms of raw votes. biden carried the duchess county portion of this district in 2020. mola nero is on his way to carrying it tonight. so this is going to be -- just given the size of this county, it is about one sixth of the district in terms of the votes that it produces. so that swing, trump getting 47%, molino is at 51%. that could prime to 52 or 53. that is his biggest single game tonight probably, anywhere in this district over what donald trump did. if molinaro is able to win tonight, this will probably be why. that leaves the big remaini

the big caveat, and this is in marc molinaro's statement. i was mentioning it yesterday because republican strategist were telling me not to read too much into the results because it's scheduled as the other day of other primaries. this is a blue state and the republican turnout will be comparably better this fall. if so, the republicans still have a decent shot by claiming control of the house. >> we know you'll be watching closely. we want to head south to floor where shaq is. let's talk about former governor charlie crist. we just heard from him in the sound i played coming to you guys, essentially saying he's going to talk about more love, love wins, he says. he's not going to make this a hateful campaign, as he says the current governor is making it. he's not necessarily worried about the $130 million, i believe, war chest the current governor has as well. can this work? >> reporter: well, that will certainly be tested. let's be clear, charlie crist, even during the primary battle with nikki fried, he went after desantis on both persona

republicans poured a lot of money, time and resources into getting molinaro. instead, as we say, pat ryan ends up exceeding the joe biden number and winning this district outright. that's not a result you're supposed to see if and when a major wave is forming. if you put this in broader context, why i say we've been asking this question about whether the national political climate is changing. this is the most dramatic data point that we have that i think it is. but just take a look at what's been happening over the last few months that can draw a line right here. these are other house special election that's have been playing out this spring and this summer. and i draw this line, because this is where on the calendar, the supreme court decision that overturned roe v. wade fell. you see just before that decision in south texas there had been a special election. it's a district that biden had carried by four points. we were talking a lot about this heavily hispanic district. there had been a swing by republicans. the republican district had won by a margin of f

we did get a statement from mark molinaro. he told us in a statement that while this is not the victory that they were hoping for that sort of blaming in on the fact that a lot of democrats had competitive races here. but, listen, i think this is going to being is. you think a lot of democratic strategists will be calling the ryan campaign looking for that secret sauce. >> joining me is anna palmer and mark caputo. let's talk about abortion. i've heard a lot of democrats on the campaign say if republicans are elected into the house, they control the house, the senate, the white house, they're going to try and pass a national ban on abortion, a federal ban on abortion. is that sort of language, that sort of messaging working for the democrats? and not just getting democrats to turn up and show up but also independents and maybe some republicans who say i don't know if i'm comfortable with that? >> i think what we've seen is on the national level you had a lot of these groups that spent decades trying to get roe v. wade overturn

molinaro stands with them. the sad truth, mark molinaro and the republicans are too extreme on women's rights. >> here to share insight is my three guests. there's nothing that washington loves better than a special election that may be a bellwether, and we have the proof which is some of these headlines. punch bowl, did 2022 just get reset? dems flip 2022 on its head. and hope that november won't be so bad. it's not just this special election, it's the kansas referendum, the generic ballot which has been definitively moving in democrats favor over the last few months. are things looking better? >> the environment is improving for democrats, no question about it. there had been a major enthusiasm gap that they suffered for much of this cycle that changed in the aftermath of the decision to overturn roe v. wade. you've seen democratic candidates like we saw in the special election in new york lean into the issue of abortion. senate candidates doing the same. the senate map favorable for democrats, largely becaus

and it's where marcus molinaro is the county executive. this is going to be two, because joe biden carried dutchess county -- joe biden carried it in 2020. this is where marcus molinaro, because he's the executive, -- he's won elections here before. he's definitely expected to improve on donald trump's number in dutchess county. it just makes it that much more important for brian in a place like -- to outperform what joe biden did. so again, no numbers yet from duchess. real key question is how much marcus molinaro can outperform trump. just checking back, in again, basically they got a big chunk with that early absentee with ulster county. the number should be coming in -- >> i've spent time in the 19th at town halls when the antonio -- was representing his county. i could tell, you -- it is truly an obama, trump, biden county. for that reason alone, it is earth hour tension. -- steve kornacki, thank you as always. we'll be back to you we have more news. now i want to turn more -- market, poodle who's in florida. mark, let's talk about th

he beat molinaro who is a much better known politician. what does that say to you? >> last night showed across the country voters are excited to defeat these extreme republicans who are running for congress. these are folks who don't believe in choice, who don't believe in reproductive freedom, who don't believe in voting rights, who, hell, are against helping veterans and prescription drugs. the last five since the dobbs decision including what happened in kansas are showing people are fed up, tired of it and they're pushing back and not going to be silent anymore. >> did you feel like republicans sort of misread the landscape? they're still talking about crime and inflation, gas prices have been down for, what, 60 something days. mitch mcconnell assailed president biden for for giving student loans which young voters really like. are they misreading the landscape? >> they are misreading the landscape. democrats are doing something, joy, that we don't always do well, which is we are defying the republicans for their extremism but we are also out there selling about

they were seeing that it would potentially go to molinaro. we see pat ryan, someone looks like molinaro in physique, they're both white guys, both represent, county executives neighboring counties. they worked together throughout covid but the fact a democrat pulled out over a republican could have implications for other districts across the u.s. of course new york is a democratic state. neil: there the issue appeared to be the whole roe v. wade supreme court decision. i'm just wondering looking even across new york and even the country by extension how galvanizing an event that will be for democrats? what do you think? >> right. they're hoping that it is. i mean the women's right to choose. it was an assault on of course this, something that has really gotten away from the religious aspect. of course we're in a more secular society. republicans even like molinaro would not support a national ban on abortion but wouldn't go as far to say codifying the right to a woman's right to choose. so that is something a place like new york, especially h

there's been money to tip it $650,000 to supporting molinaro. the house democratic campaign sent six figures to boosting ryan with ads focused on abortion despite all of this attention, no matter who wins tonight, they'll only hold a job for a couple of months that's because the district has been redrawn it could change hands again in november. >> ylan, jerry nadler or caroline maloney will be out of a job. >> reporter: it's pitting two titans of the democratic party against each other jerry nadler has been campaigning across town all day long he has said he's the principal progressive in this race and he has a lead in the polls. >> i'll be out campaigning this morning. i'll be out campaigning this afternoon. no, you do everything you can. you don't want to lose an election and think to yourself, oh, if only i had done that so you do everything you can. >> reporter: nadler said it's unfortunate he's been forced to run against his former friend and former house chair, caroline maloney because of redistricting. she posted a couple of pictures outs

and the republican marc mo mol r molinaro. >> what about new york's 23rd district, talking about buffalo and the surrounding areas. you have carl paladino facing off with the chair. he has a history of incendiary remarks, he said the attorney general garland, in this moment, using words like that, he at one point said hitler was the kind of leader we need today and he has the backing of the number three among house republicans, elise stefanik and he has a good shot, doesn't he? >> obviously has a good shot. he's a very wealthy man and his name is well known. he ran for governor unsuccessfully in the past. this is the case where the republican party has to figure out what they stand for and who they are. palladino was the co-chair for trump in 2018. he's going against the current sitting chair of the state party, nick langworthy. they're trying to figure out which direction they go in. do you want a wild and unfit candidate like palladino who says whatever is on his mind, makes wild threats and sort of half apologizes for it and says it is all a big joke, do you treat him like the joke he

pat ryan versus mark molinaro. this could be a nail biter. the early vote ledai tohe the democrats pat ryan, who's been running a lot on abortion and overturning roe v. wade. what that means for new york . molinaro talking a lotor more about inflation and the economy. and it's seen it is seenno as kind of a bellwethermy for november. we're going to see this. it's still 61% in and some of the early vote is already in and now that same day vote tends to go towards molinaro. let's bounce around a little bit here, then go down to florida. and we do now have a contender against ron rhonda santos and that is charlie crist, congressman charlie crist, democrat, former governor charlie crist, who was a republican when he waswh governor . now the democratic nominee for governor to run against rhonda santurce in november. as you see, it wasn't really even close against nikki freed , the agriculture commissioner down there in florida. if you look at the senate race, val demings overwhelmingly winning that primary. she will go head to head with marco rubi

mark molinaro's plan b's great choice in the special election. hope they realize with the real issues are as we stated earlier. jon: you think the economy and inflation are really what's going to drive voters to the pole in that race? >> yes i just met a couple in wyoming county i was actually campaign the same day as liz cheney was losing her election the state of wyoming. he came across a number of kids in the future farmers of america the ffa were very rural appear. they said look, the mean tweets in a dollar 80 i guess. the price of gas and inflation really affecting our agricultural communities appear. latest affecting our ability to get output, the supply chain problems, the war on energy that's happening under their hochul we have a green new deal type of legislations are to pass in the ark that's really going to impede and hurt our ability to be prosperous and have security. i put out numerous bills we need to unleash our tremendous resources those are the gas resources we have it upstate new york for a the southern region of the state. w

while his republican rival, marcus molinaro , has focused on crime and inflation. also in new york, redistricting is pitting these two longtime and powerful democrats against each other in a pretentious battle. the house judiciary chairman, jerry nadler, and oversight committee chair carolyn maloney, only one can stay in office. >>> in florida, we will find out which democrat will face off against the gop's rising star and potential presidential candidate, governor ron desantis. we begin with congressional correspondent elon in new york city. >> new york's special election is a test case of wish issues will break through to a divided electric. 19 really is a swing district. it went for obama, then tromp, then swung back for biden. the latest polls show that democrat pat ryan and republican mark molinaro are running neck and neck within the margin of error . there is still a lot of last-minute money that has been trying to tip the scale. the gop let congressional leadership fund devoted $650,000 to supporting molinaro , but the house democrat campaign also spent six

while republican mark molinaro focused on inflation and crime. in the end, pat ryan, the democrat, beat his republican opponent. here is how his fellow new yorker and congressman sean patrick maloney, who runs the dccc and just won his own primary viewed that race. >> that is an earthquake and should send sifrs down the sign of kevin mccarthy and tom elmert, because their dreams of a big republican wave just went up in flames. >> the person you want to break this down, steve kornacki, who called the race the single biggest results of the primary season. we're going to get steve's ear piece fixed in a moment. he'll join me in just a second to break down all of these results out of new york and florida. and more revelations about the classified documents at the center of the fbi's search at mar-a-lago, including new questions about the risk to our national security. those boxes contain documents classified at the highest level. >>> also, a major announcement from president biden today on student loan debt. what we are learning about his plan to for

he defeats republican marc molinaro. >> there it is, steve kornacki at the big board. the night that nbc news called a hotly contested

itlfne trends red and we'll see whether or not molinaro can i capitalize on that. tonight, another house racefey here. they redrew the lines repeatedly in new york , trying to redistrict everything, trying to line it up, went to a special master. finthey finally said these are the lines and these are the rules you're going to play by in this election. heand this is what this is where you get into democrats eating democratsocra in a political se. okay, this is congressional district 12 . okay, we've got some results h in. all right. that was quick. congressional district 12 in new york . jerry nadler at 57%. carolyn maloney twenty six . why is this significant? ry jerry nadler has been in congress for more than 30 years representing the upper west side of new york . carolyn maloney has been in congress for more than 30 years representing the upper eastes side of new york . d they drew the lines they have to compete against each other in this district. they arere both right now committee chairs and the democrat led house. after tonight, john , c someones not going to

and mike molinaro was a very popular guy. should the republicans be concerned about this now? >> i'm concerned about it. so they should be concerned about it. i'm a little concerned. i'm not can the lie about it. [laughter] it's a big concern. i'm not can i live. is this the best we have? you look at someone like jerry nadler who looks like a hobbit. he is representing the richest district in the entire country. is that the best we can do? >> he won. >> nobody else wants to run for congress on the upper east side? i see beautiful people walking around, tall, healthy, all of their hair appear they are quick with wit and know what they're talking about the other guy looks like he's knocking can i make it the next session. used to both that we can do? the woman, maloney committees having somebody else hold the period to people on the upper upper east side in the upper west side are not sexist. they just think you think. this is who we have representing us? >> i'm going to go to tyrus right now. >> i'm excited to follow that. shake what you got now. fighting could say look i have

we will continue to see it >> the republican, molinaro, focused his campaign message on crime and inflation. he is vowing to run again in november for a house seat in a new district against a different opponent pat ryan out performed president biden's numbers in 2020. that is gives democrats op optimism we have ylan mui with us more. how much are democrats reading into this? >> shep, this is important for democrats. they have optimism it is real and it is there the big story, of course, the victory in the new york 19th democrats also did better than biden in the three other special electric elections this cycle the new york 23rd, the candidate was down 7 points compared to biden's 11-point loss. that is a four point impr improvement. in minnesota, it narrowed by 6 points and in nebraska, 10 points scott peters said his party is benefitting on jobs and inflation and from the energy around the supreme court decision on abortion >> a month ago, i would have been pessimistic history is working against us. i feel we have a lot of momentum as we get the word out about what we accomplished and wha

. >> trump and seldon and molinaro just jump on a bus and head down to florida where you belong, okay? get out of town to the data we hear from a new york democrat who is backing republican lee zeldin because he's been pushed away by hochul's far left policies. ♪ ♪ pay to a new poll shows republican nominee, former football star herschel walker adding a democratic incumbent rural water can their battle an affinity to judge a pack of the palme conducted by emerson college shows a walk up to ten points back of 46 to 48%. saint poll showing that the economy is still the top of a georgia voters followed by abortion at 20%, crime 15%. they want republican senate nominee dr. mehmet oz continues to pressure his opponent, lieutenant governor john fetterman, to debate after fat and refuses yet another request a copy sent tuesday, he would not participate in the face of proposed by us for next week's articles need to recover from a recent stroke. 's campsie fetterman's refusal was insulting the intelligence of voters. pressing fetterman on its criminal justice platform which includes an end

suddenly, the results of new york's 19th district where pat ryan beat mark molinaro have overwhelming significance. he made abortion rights a central focus of his campaign. this is a big test for democrats who are hoping this becomes a driving issue and mobilizes voters in november. >> they are saying abortion is a good and effective for them argument against the attacks on the economy. >> supreme court nuking abortion rights shifted the momentum to the democrats. >> laura: either a liar wishful thinking because the truth is, the outcome here turned on a single county. guess who was executive for that county? yeah, the county executive was pat ryan. in fact, democrats have been pointing to the four special elections that swung their way since the dobbs decision as proof positive that abortion will lead them to the outlook twirl promised land. but of quick political notes, the four districts have something in common. the succ successes have been hed by engagements in college heavy locations. pockets not all that representative of the larger fall electorate. not to mention in poll after

this is pat ryan, the democrat mark molinaro. the backdrop it's a district voted for joe biden by two points in 2020. if you roll the clock back to 2016, there was a trump district. it was trump, then it flipped over to biden in 2020. this is exactly the kind of district that fits the kind of profile if republicans are having a good year, if it's a midterm climate, they are open for, live it's the midterm climate, everybody pretty much expected a month or two ago. this is exactly the kind of race that mullah nero would win. probably won by a big margin. but if democrats, we see a tightening in the generic ballot, we've seen some signs in some other special elections around the country that maybe there's some more democratic interest in the wake of that supreme court ruling. if the democratic case said, hey this, midterm is starting to turn climate wise, if that is accurate then this race could reflect that. if pat ryan were to win this race, that would really butcher the case for democrats in the political environment has changed

this is pat ryan versus mark molinaro. ap hasn't called it yet, but it looks like there are not enough votes for mull nair 0 to close this gap. that is big in this environment. pat ryan used choice, he used the overturning of roe v wade as a big part of his campaign. he said on all his signs, choice is on the ballot. a big part of his campaign. the d triple c dropped about 500 how thousand in ads but the nrcc the national republican congressional committee put in 1.2 million late in this race thinking they were going to pull this out. here's one of the ads that ran just this week. >> across the country they called cops racist, advocated looting and violence and extreme liberal pat ryan marched alongside them. despite violent crimes surging, pat ryan wanted to deny local police critical equipment. now pat ryan supported by extremists pushing to eliminate cash bail. >> pat ryan looks like will pull out this race. joe biden won this district by two points. donald trump won this district in 2016 by four points. president obama

nbc news can report that democrat pat ryan has defeated republican mark molinaro for the congressional seat vacated of current lieutenant governor antonio delgado. both parties watch this risk closely for potential insights into november's midterm elections, especially the impact the supreme court decision to overturn roe v. wade will have on turnout. >> as you are casting about today, but was the issue that was top of mind for you? >> i think just in general, for me, being a woman, personally, abortion rights are important. >> the first thing that comes to mind is roe v. wade thing. that freaked me out, and i just thought that, every election, every time there is a chance to vote and to see something, you gotta go out and say it. >> we will discuss all that ahead, but in new york, there are four other congressional races that we are watching closely. in new york's post-congressional district longtime democratic representatives jerrold nadler and carolyn maloney forced into the same race due to redistricting. nadler won that primary, ending maloney's 30-year stunt in congress. in your

pat ryan defeated his republican opponent, marcus molinaro for a seat in congress for a swing district widely seen as a bellwether for november. ryan based on abortion rights and the overturning of roe be. wade the centerpiece of his campaign. he says, it is a winning message for democrats in the midterm. >> i think the message is, when fundamental rights and freedoms are under attack, we have to stand up, fight, be strong and clear. when you do that, people rally. we saw that in kansas. we saw that last night here in new york. i think we will continue to see it. >> the republican, molinaro , focused his campaign message on crime and inflation . he is vowing to run again in november for a house seat in a new house district against a different opponent. notably, democrat, pat ryan, outperformed president biden's numbers in 2020. that is a big step that is giving some democrats new optimism. cnbc congressional correspondent elon moore is with us. how much should democrats be reading into this race? >> shep, this is something that has been incredibly important for democrats . they have op

marc molinaro is a strong republican opponent. our candidate pat ryan was outspent 3-1. we spent in this race. we did it quietly. we didn't want to broadcast it. we wanted to snea up and take it. we had an excellent candidate. he won by almost four points. that is an earthquake and should send shivers down the spine of kevin mccarthy and tom emer, because their dreams of a big republican wave just went up in flames. >> in terms of issues, in terms of focus, what should candidates now looking over the horizon to the fall, to the midterms, what should they take away not necessarily just from that race, but more broadly what we've seen in kansas, for example, about where the focus should be in these democratic races? >> what's clear is if you do trump toxicity without trump turnout, you have a problem. if you rip away 50 years of reproductive freedom from americans, if you ignore the gun violence in our schools, on our streets, if you ignore the attacks on our democracy, both on january 6th and the extraordinary actions by the president now in spiriting away classified info

en una elecciÓn especial el demÓcrata pat ryan ganÓ a su par republicano molinaro. el expresidente donald trump, tiene hasta el viernes para explicar por quÉ quiere que un perito independiente revise los documentos que el fbi se llevÓ de su casa en maralago. el plazo impuesto por el fiscal. nominada por el mismo trump. el fbi revise los documentos hasta que la agencia designe a este perito o especial para poder evaluarlos. >>> alerta en los hospitales, porque mas personas no estÁn respondiendo a los antibiÓticos. tenemos un reportaje especial sobre esto. el exprocurador general de mÉxico ya tiene cargos por el mÉxico ya tiene cargos por el cas de los 43 normalistas de con la biggie bag the wendy's a solo $5 pasan cosas ♪ ♪ biggie bag, biggie bag biggie biggie biggie bag ♪ biggie biggie biggie ♪ el sandwich que elijas más todo esto por solo $5 está de locos elige bien, elige la biggie bag de wendy's elegir t-mobile es como esperar por eso. elige bien, ¡pero recibir esto y aún mucho mÁs! como netflix por cuenta nuestra. en t-mobile, obtienes más de

the latest polls show, democrat pat ryan and republican mark molinaro are running neck and neck. there has been a lot of last minute money trying to tip the scale. the gop led congressional leadership fund devoted $650,000 to supporting molinaro , but the house democrat campaign also spent six figures to boosting ryan for as focused on abortion. despite all of this attention, no matter who wins tonight, they will only have a job for a couple of months because the districts have been redrawn. it could change hands again in november. >> either jerry nadler or karen maloney could be out of a job. >> net primary battle in new york's 12th congressional district is pitting two titans of democratic party against each other. jerry nadler has been kept hidden across town all day long. he is filing himself as the principal progressive in this race and does have a commanding lead in the polls. >> i was out campaigning this morning, will be out campaigning this afternoon. you do everything you can. you don't want to lose an election i think, if only i had done that. you do everything you can

we see pat ryan in a little bit of a surprise beating marc molinaro. joe biden won it by 1.5 points in 2020 which means that pat ryan slightly outperformed joe biden in the district which is quite a surprise in a special election, especially when there is a democratic president. that's not the only special. here we're going to go to new york 23rd on the southern tier, this district is getting rejoined just like 19 is. yes, the republican wins here but this was a district that donald trump won by 11.2 points and look at the margin, well less than 10 points, much closer to 5 points. we see an outperformance for the democrat in new york 19 and an outperformance over joe biden's baseline in new york 23, not the thing you would expect in a midterm election. >> democrats are doing better than you might expect heading into a midterm election, particularly since a certain thing happened. >> that's exactly right. so obviously roe v. wade was overturned in late june. before roe v. wade was overturned the democratic margin in the special house elections they were

. >> reporter: his republican opponent, marc molinaro, acknowledges national political forces are mobilizing here. do you see outside interests coming in here trying to fire up the voting base. >> without question. obviously, everyone has a agree of interest. >> reporter: which means tonight's results could be a harbinger of things to come, including of the potential impact of abortion rights on november's elections, now 77 days away, norah. >> o'donnell: a twitter whistleblower accuses of social media giant of hiding major security flaws. that story in 60 seconds. you weren't made for uc or crohn's, but gut focused entyvio is. entyvio works at the site of the problem to block certain inflammation-causing cells from entering the gut. infusion and serious allergic reactions can happen during or after treatment. entyvio may increase risk of infection which can be serious. although unlikely, a risk of pml, a rare, serious, potentially fatal brain infection cannot be ruled out. tell your doctor if you have an infection, experience frequent infections, or have flu-like symptoms or sores. liver pr

. >> reporter: his republican opponent, marc molinaro, acknowledges national political forces are mobilizing here. do you see outside interests coming in here, trying to fire up the voting base? >> yeah, listen, without question, obviously, everyone has a degree of interest. >> reporter: which means tonight's results could be a harbinger of things to come, including of the potential impact of abortion rights on the november elections, which are now just 77 days away. norah. >> o'donnell: scott macfarlane, thank you. all right, a twitter whistleblower accuses the social media giant of hiding major security flaws. that story in 60 seconds. ry in c . you weren't made for uc or crohn's, but gut focused entyvio is. entyvio works at the site of the problem to block certain inflammation-causing cells from entering the gut. infusion and serious allergic reactions can happen during or after treatment. entyvio may increase risk of infection which can be serious. although unlikely, a risk of pml, a rare, serious, potentially fatal brain infection cannot be ruled out. tell your doctor if you have an inf

and we're here to say thate the era of trump and zeldin, jup and molinaro just jump on a bus and head down to florida where you belong. hough. you don't represent our values.n you are not new yorkers.t ounot new yorkers.>> lau thinrak about that for a moment. this from a woman who treats illegals as full fledged citizens but now taxpaying residents who disagree with her politically. they actually don't even hav politicaetually the right to liv be in thisy state. she actually believes that. th, but luckily forere' the gop, there is a governor who knows how to flip the script on the true dictators we protected people'ss freedoms, jobs, businesses. we mad, e sure kids could be in school and we liberated twenty two million floridians from local mandates and restrictions. we protectedrestrictions. them against vax mandates. i think the people that are dictatorial are the ones that want to lock you down. bingo. the same people who were fine with shuttering schools,ation, t devastating education and the mental health of our young o peopleur you. fine with forcing policef and nurses off the j

district that voted for presidents obama, then trump, then biden while his republican opponent marc molinaro leads on a gop message of inflation and crime ryan remained laser focused on abortion rights. >> when fundamental rights and freedoms are under attack, we have to stand up we have to fight we have to be strong and clear. >> reporter: still, democrats are also facing their own internal duels, intensified by redistricting. in new york, jerry nadler cruising past long-time congresswoman maloney to battle for a single seat. other results may impact the race for the white house in florida, ron desantis who is believed to be eyeing the 2024 presidential bid will first have to defeat former republican governor turned democratic congressman, charlie crist, to keep leading that state. >> his blind ambition for the presidency of the united states of america has taken his eye off the ball. >> reporter: but with desantis remaining popular in florida, to win, crist will have to pick up moderate votes many strategists acknowledge what was looking like a republican wave in this fall's midterms may n

pat ryan defeating republican mark molinaro, molinaro campaigned on inflation and crime, ryan campaigned on access to abortion rights. kellyanne conway, author of "here's the deal," and former adviser to president trump, and we look at the special election yesterday and the results with pat ryan on top, even though mark molinaro went into the special election with about a three-point advantage, what does that tell us could happen on november 8th, kellyanne? >> not very much. he's hardly maya flores in texas, it went for obama, trump, and then biden. it had republican members and now democratic member also. ryan has to be there for about a hot minute during the recess and then defend the seat all over again since this is a democratic retention seat, john. the predecessor is now running for lieutenant governor for re-election in new york. but look, i think it does tell us one thing. that the democrats will probably look at this as a successful blueprint for running on mostly running on abortion, and probably a little climate, maybe throw some gun stuff in there, not in new york 19, they ca

. >> reporter: his republican rival, marc molinaro, reading from the gop campaign playbook, urging voters to focus on inflation and crime instead. >> it does a disservice to the people in this district to be focused on anything other than they're concerned about the cost of living. they're concerned about safety in their communities. >> reporter: that message falling short. ryan securing a victory in the swing district president biden won by fewer than two points. >> republicans should be very, very, very scared this morning. >> reporter: it comes after voters in kansas, a conservative state, overwhelming rejected a move to strip abortion rights from the state's constitution. in the weeks after the supreme court overturned roe v. wade, 70% of newly registered voters in kansas were women, according to target smart insights, a democratic data firm. the group says there are similar surges in key battleground states. wisconsin, michigan, and pennsylvania, where the percentage of women registering to vote for the first time outpaced men by about 12 points. and back here in new york, the democr

. >> reporter: his republican rival marc molinaro, read freg the g■opcampaignlaybook, urging voters to focus on inflation and kril instead. >> it does a disservice to the people in this district to be focused on anything other than they're concerned about the cost of living. they're concerned about safety in their communities. >> reporter: that message falling short. ryan securing a victory in the swing district president biden won by fewer than two points. >> republicans should be very, very, very scared this morning. >> reporter: it comes after voters in kansas, a conservaitve state, overwhelming rejected a move to strip abortion rights from the state's constiution. in the weeks after the supreme court overturned roe v. wade, 70% of newly registered voters in kansas were women, according to target smart insights, a democratic data firm. the group says there are similar surges in key battleground states. wisconsin, michigan, and pennsylvania, where the percentage of women registering to vote for the first time outpaced men by about 12 points. and back here in new york, the democratic

million in his own money in that campaign, and the 19th district, pat ryan is taking on republican mark molinaro. ryan has made the issue of abortion rights central to his campaign. >> it is truly under attack. >> when i took the oath to protect and defend the constitution and the rights and freedoms that come with it, i took that very seriously, and the woman and the person should not have the government tell them what to do in their personal lives and healthcare. >> the race is seen as a real bellweather. can democrats galvanize enough to stem the tied of the impending red wave this november. >> sandra: fighting through the noise in new york city, bryan, thank you very much. >> john: a lot going on in the big apple today. team coverage continues with races in florida, aishah hasnie is live in st. petersburg, and some could be a referendum on gop fire brands. >> good afternoon to you, you are right. even in districts expected to continue to stay red in november, conservatives here in florida have a big choice to make. are they going to send to congress an institutional conservative or are they

i know it requires walking and chewing gum, but you've got to do it to read avoid results like mark molinaro. >> carley: are you working on a campaign and leading us? you make a lot of good points. when it comes to the hudson valley, politico says "trump candidates are talking up wins but heavily faced democrats appear at ease. in new york special election seen as the last best tests of the electorate midterm leaning confirmed what democrats hold and republicans feared. prediction of a red wave may be overblown." fox news digit with power rankings and republicans are still expected to win in the house, and they are favorable in the senate. but in both, it is tightening. republicans are expected to win at least by two. but if you think -- back to three months ago, two months ago, people were talking about republicans winning by 60 house seats. so you do have to wonder why. i think what it's coming down to, i think a lot of these suburban races that were really republican strongholds for a while are now more in the middle, possibly leaning left. the key indicators are that the roe v. wade deci

and in a special election in new york's 19th, democrat pat ryan is running against republican marc molinaro. abortion rights have been a crucial campaign point. many are looking at this race as a possible barometer of how the court's decision to overturn roe v. wade will sway voters in the midterms this november. meanwhile, today floridians are also heading to the polls. both republican governor ron desantis and republican senator marco rubio are up for reelection this november. in the governor's race, either charlie crist or nikki fried hope to unseat the republican favorite in the fall. and four hopefuls, including congresswoman val demings are running to take on rubio this november. and in florida, the polls close at 7:00. in new york, they close at 9:00 p.m. here in new york's 12th district on the upper west side, lots of questions about, as you can imagine, who is leading the pack, but the problem with that is the polls are so unpredictable, it's really hard to say with any sort of amount of certainty who is leading the pack, but it appears as if nadler is the man to beat. guys, back t

pat ryan won a special election in a swing district in the hudson valley defeating republican mark molinaro. ryan campaigned heavily on the need to protect reproductive rights after the supreme court overturned roe v. wade. he spoke tuesday night. >>hen the supreme court rips away reproductive freedoms, access to abortion rights, we said this is not what america stands for. as more and more kids are getting gunned down by the same weapons i carried in combat, we said this is not what america stands for. amy: in florida, the state's former republican governor charlie crist won florida's democratic primary for governor on tuesday. congress member crist will face republican governor ron desantis in november. crist spoke on tuesday night. >> the stakes could not be higher for the selection. our fundamental freedoms are literally on the ballot,y friends. a woman's right to choose on the ballot. democracy on the ballot. your rights as minorities are on this ballot. that is what is at stake in this election. make no mistake about it. because this guy wants to be president of the united states of a

we are here to say that the arrow of trump and selden and molinaro just jump on a bus and head down to florida where you belong. get out of town! get out of town! you don't represent our values. you are not new yorkers. >> those who support the governor should stay with him and vote four him. i don't want your vote to. if you have that hate in your heart, keep it there. >> joining us now, fox news contributor leo and congresswoman lauren boebert. my brother has worked on her campaign. thank you so much were joining us. congresswoman, you seem to be one of these radical maga people that doesn't like the country and wants to do harm to the country. i'm pretty sure they were talking about you. >> may be. i am pretty sure they forgot to give joe biden his meds. how the heck can joe biden call america first conservatives a threat to democracy with a straight face and a dry diaper? he is the one that has allowed millions to invade our southern border. he is robbing hard-working americans to peifer karen's daughter degree and dance theory. his regime is the one targeting former elected offici

nbc news can report that democrat pat ryan has defeated republican mark molinaro for the congressionalmo seat vacated, antonio delegate toe. both parties were watching this race closely for potential insights into pnovember's midtm elections. especially the impact the supreme courthe decision to overturn roe versus wade will be on turnout. as you were casting your ballot today, what was top of mind for you? >> for me being a woman, abortion right. >> the first thing that pops into my mind is that roe versus wade thing. that freaked me out. and i just thought that, you know, every election, every time there's a chance to vote and to say something, you have to go out and say it. >> we're going to discuss all that ahead. >>> but in new york, there are four other congressional races we are watching closely. in new york's 12th congressional district, long-time democratic representatives jerry nadler and carolyn maloney were forced into the same race due to redistricting. nadler won that primary ending maloney's 30-year stint in congress. seant patrick maloney and jone were almost forced to ru

pat ryan won a special election in a swing district in the hudson valley defeating republican mark molinaro. ryan campaigned heavily on the need to protect reproductive rights after the supreme court overturned roe v. wade. he spoke tuesday night. >> when the supreme court rips away reproductive freedoms, access to abortion rights, we said this is not what america stands for. as more and more kids are getting gunned down by the same weapons i carried in combat, we said this is not what america stands for. amy: in florida, the state's former republican governor charlie crist won florida's democratic primary for governor on tuesday. congress member crist will face republican governor ron desantis in november. crist spoke on tuesday night. >> the stakes could not be higher for the selection. our funmental freedoms are literally on the ballot, my friend a woman's right to choose on the ballot. democracy on the ballot. your rights as minorities are on this ballot. that is what is at stake in this election. make no mistake about it. because this guy wants to be president of the united states of a

in new york, democrat pat ryan defeated republican marc molinaro in a race experts are saying could be a

he defeats republican mark molinaro. >> our very own steve kornacki calling the victory in a bell weather specialle

pat ryan defeated mark molinaro in a swing district considered a bellwether for the midterms. >> we have more from capitol hill. manu, with the normal caveats about sometimes flawed polling and the fact that we're still a couple months out, republicans looking at this and saying their clear advantages have disappeared. what are they telling you? >> reporter: that's right. they're looking at the map, at the environment. it's much different than it was, say, a couple months ago before the supreme court ruling on roe versus wade overturning roe, something that has energized democratic voters and republicans are seeing some shifts, the special elections that you mentioned, as well, that perhaps that their hopes of winning a landslide majority could be narrowed. initially last year kevin mccarthy, the republican leader, bullishly predicted maybe a 60-seat gain in a chamber where they need to pick up five seats at the moment to retake the majority. now some of the republicans believe that they're looking at maybe a 15 to 30-seat gain, potentially even a single-digit gain, and that essentially

the republican candidate here, marc molinaro, wanted this to be a campaign about the economy, rising inflation, rising crime. on the flip side of that, you had the democrat pat ryan who made it very clear that this campaign was about a woman's right to choose. early this morning, i spoke to the communications director for the campaign, she told me they did notice a surge in energy in the district as of late. she said, though, heading into the final days of the campaign, they still felt somewhat cautiously optimistic, but she said in the end, what they were putting forth really resonated with voters. last night ryan was speaking to those who came out to support him, saying that the campaign was about securing fundamental rights. >> when the supreme court ripped away reproductive freedoms, access to abortion rights, we said this is not what america stands for. >> reporter: so, again, big surprise there, the 19th, not so much of a surprise what happened here in the 12th district, where jerry nadler came out on top, handily beating carolyn maloney during that primary race where they went