In summary, the linear paradigm that has dominated man's thinking is being replaced with a world where distance, speed, and time acquire new meaning. This new paradigm will offer a new form of war, relying on parallel rather than sequential actions. In this emerging form of war, the concepts of mass, concentration, and maneuver will be replaced by precision and systematic targeting Ideally, one who masters this form of war will be able to quickly paralyze the adversary and achieve the enduring...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Siegel, Jerry, NATIONAL WAR COLL WASHINGTON DC, *STRATEGIC WARFARE, MILITARY HISTORY,...
This study seeks to determine the most significant features of command and leadership at the strategic level of responsibility in the mid future. At the beginning it predicts evolution of two social events--warfare and the social body--which are basic definers of command and leadership. Afterwards, in parallel of this evolution, it tries to define the future dimensions of command and leadership, and the measures necessary to be taken for evaluating, selecting, and developing commanders and...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Gunal, Hasan P, ARMY WAR COLL CARLISLE BARRACKS PA, *LEADERSHIP, *MILITARY...
It its report of 15 December 2000, the Gilmore Commission recommends that the next President develop and present to Congress a national strategy to address the threat of domestic terrorism conventional, cyber, chemical, biological, radiological and nuclear from the perspectives of deterrence, prevention, preparedness and response within one year of assuming office. Similar calls for a comprehensive, fully coordinated antiterrorism strategy have been made recently The events of September 11 have...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Housen, Roger T, NATIONAL WAR COLL WASHINGTON DC, *MILITARY STRATEGY,...
Partial Contents: Armed Forces, Strategic Rocket Forces, Logistical Services and Special Troops
Topics: DTIC Archive, JOINT PUBLICATIONS RESEARCH SERVICE ARLINGTON VA, *MILITARY OPERATIONS, USSR,...
Despite their successes, precision weapons, like strategic airpower and nuclear weapons before them, do not fulfill the promise of ensuring easy victory. No matter the power of technology or the precision of weapons, humanity, as ever, will prove resilient in the face of his enemy's reported dominance. This paper contends that recent history reconfirms the need for a balanced military, consisting of different services and arms, capable of operating in all levels of war and considering precision...
Topics: DTIC Archive, ARMY WAR COLL CARLISLE BARRACKS PA, *NUCLEAR WEAPONS, *STRATEGIC WARFARE, POWER,...
Since its very inception, the concept of strategic aerial attack has been exceedingly contentious. Strategic attack-or strategic bombardment, as it was known in earlier days--was originally conceived by early air power theorists as an independent, war-winning means of destroying an enemy's will to fight. Later, more refined concepts advocated decisive aerial destruction of the enemy's industrial base, or capability to resist. Today, most contemporary theories emphasize the paralyzation or...
Topics: DTIC Archive, King, Richard P, NATIONAL WAR COLL WASHINGTON DC, *STRATEGIC WARFARE, THEORY, ATTACK,...
This Strategic Research Paper investigates the theoretical and historical foundations of emerging effects-based operations concepts. Its goal is to determine the validity of such operations and the consequent implications for dominant ground maneuver. Many of the recent versions of effects-based operations argue that advances in stealth, precision engagement, and sensor technology have enabled strategic bombing to produce strategic decisions without dominant ground maneuver. The paper concludes...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Cheek, Gary H, ARMY WAR COLL CARLISLE BARRACKS PA, *MILITARY OPERATIONS, GROUND...
The WMD threat continues to increase despite worldwide efforts to restrain WMD proliferation. As a result, preventing WMD employment must become an international priority. A blueprint for this strategy is available in the form of traditional nuclear deterrence tenets. In order to deter WMD attack, the US must be able to survive a first strike, retain the capability for overwhelming retaliation, cultivate national will, and maintain irrefutable credibility. With nuclear deterrence theory as a...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Jurewicz, Don, ARMY WAR COLL CARLISLE BARRACKS PA, *MASS DESTRUCTION WEAPONS,...
STROP is a highly aggregated central nuclear war game, coded for a high-speed computer, which evaluates a pair of Red and Blue allocations of missiles and bombers to some combination of four target systems: missile, sites, bomber fields, bomber defenses, and value targets. The routine will evaluate one pair of Red and Blue allocations in about 1/50 of a second. The routine can be used to generate and survey a large sample of Red and Blue allocations or to evaluate specific allocations selected...
Topics: DTIC Archive, RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CA, *GAME THEORY, *MODEL THEORY, *NUCLEAR WARFARE, MILITARY...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Kunsman, Eric A, NATIONAL WAR COLL WASHINGTON DC, *NUCLEAR FORCES(MILITARY),...
This report presents a method of solving weapon allocation games involving many weapon types and many target types. Numerical solutions are obtained by the PATH method, a form of parametric linear programming. Two computer programs are listed and explained, PATH87 for two-sided games and the simpler PATH87A for one-sided optimizations. Both are copiously illustrated by sample runs. Other applications of the programs are discussed in general terms. The PATH method offers unique advantages of...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Matheson, John D., ANSER ARLINGTON VA, *STRATEGIC WARFARE, *GAME THEORY, MATHEMATICAL...
The end of the cold war and the disappearance of the threats the Soviet Union posed to the Persian Gulf have presented the United States with an opportunity to pursue a fundamentally different type of strategy in that region: a policy of friendly but more detached and contingent relations with the regional states, in distinction to the existing U.S. policy of close and enduring political, military, and personal ties with friendly regimes. The former can be termed 'insulating strategies,'...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Agmon, Marcy, RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CA, *COLD WAR, FOREIGN POLICY, USSR, STRATEGIC...
This paper is aimed at bringing clarity to the chaos of strategic attack. The Secretary of the Air Force, the Chief of Staff of the Air Force, and a panel of four-star general officers approved a new definition for strategic attack at the Chief of Staff of the Air Forces' 2002 Hap Arnold Doctrine Symposium. The definition was developed by a panel of twenty-four experts who were selected based on backgrounds in strategic level thought and theory. The intent of this paper is to describe the...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Barnes, Russell C, AIR UNIV MAXWELL AFB AL, *MILITARY DOCTRINE, *STRATEGIC WARFARE,...
Topics: DTIC Archive, JOINT PUBLICATIONS RESEARCH SERVICE ARLINGTON VA, *ARMS CONTROL, USSR, SPACE SYSTEMS,...
Contents - Budget Activity (1): Strategic Forces; Budget Activity (2) : General Purposes Forces; Budget Activity (3): Intelligence and Communications; and Budget Activity (4): Airlift and Sealift.
Topics: DTIC Archive, DEPARTMENT OF THE NAVY WASHINGTON DC, *CONGRESS, *BUDGETS, MARINE TRANSPORTATION,...
The battle of Perryville, Kentucky is virtually unknown to all but the most informed Civil War buffs. Few people recognize the strategic significance this brief but bloody battle played in the Western Theater in 1862. Had Braxton Bragg's Army of the Heartland carried the day at Perryville the Union would have suffered an enormous set-back to the hard-fought gains they had achieved up to that point of engagement. The ill-fated invasion of Kentucky possessed great potential for Southern hopes,...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Carter, Arnold W, AIR WAR COLL MAXWELL AFB AL, *STRATEGIC WARFARE, *TACTICAL WARFARE,...
Appendix R: Phase 2 Data Collection Form-The questionnaire consisted of several sections: Identification, Insights, Technology Base Investment Strategy, and Future Situations. In addition, there was an attached ATTD list. The questions were divided into two types-narrative and quantitative. Appendix S: Questionnaire Results-Part 1, Quantitative Question Responses; and Part 2, Narrative Question Responses.
Topics: DTIC Archive, Van Nostrand, Sally J, BOOZ-ALLEN AND HAMILTON INC BETHESDA MD, *MILITARY FACILITIES,...
Iran appears to be pursuing an assertive foreign policy that confronts the United States on a variety of points: the Middle East Peace Process, the stability of moderate Muslim states, terrorism (such as the death threat to Rushdie), security in the Persian Gulf, and nuclear proliferation.
Topics: DTIC Archive, Clawson, Patrick, NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIV WASHINGTON DC, *FOREIGN POLICY, *IRAN,...
This thesis answers a simple question: Is there strategic utility in targeting high-value individuals via covert or clandestine actions? This thesis submits that there is strategic utility to high-value individual targeting (HVI or HVT) operations and offers a guide for national policy makers regarding when and how such operations should be conducted. Covert and clandestine actions must be conducted as part of a strategy and in support of clearly defined national goals. Foremost among the...
Topics: DTIC Archive, NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA, *COVERT OPERATIONS, ISRAEL, LETHALITY,...
Over the past ten years, the United States has had an increasing role in non-major combat operations worldwide. While the Department of Defense has worked diligently toward developing necessary capabilities and skill sets, the U.S. lacks a whole of government approach. This failure to fully integrate operations and requirements erodes America's ability to conduct foreign missions. To correct this, policy makers must clearly define the scope of operations and publicize realistic and equitable...
Topics: DTIC Archive, MARINE CORPS COMBAT DEVELOPMENT COMMAND QUANTICO VA, *STRATEGIC WARFARE, DEPARTMENT...
This thesis develops an adaptive structure for analyzing problems involving sociotechnical systems in the context of societal warfare. The structure, called the Modular Analysis Process (MAP), has been designed to help solve problems that require policy and/ or systems analysis approaches to evaluate. The MAP can be used to analyze the impact of alternative designs on a complex system's architecture, (say, to its doctrines, machines, procedures, organizational structure, etcetera), in...
Topics: Command, Command and Control, Command, Control, and Communications, Systems Analysis, Strategic...
The South Asian Stability Workshop was a crisis simulation exercise held in Colombo, Sri Lanka on 19-22 March 2013. Participants were comprised of Indian, Pakistan, and U.S. former military officers, civilians, and academics. The simulation involved dividing the Indian and Pakistani participants into teams based on country of origin and playing three moves within the context of a hypothetical crisis scenario, set in the year 2018. The simulation was not a tactical-level war-game, but rather an...
Topics: DTIC Archive, NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA CENTER ON CONTEMPORARY CONFLICT, *MILITARY...
Although they worked together nominally, the central Al Qaeda network, as led by Osama bin Laden and Ayman al-Zawahiri, and the late Abu Musab al-Zarqawi's terrorist group in Iraq held vastly different conceptions of jihad. The U.S. invasion and occupation of Iraq minimized the magnitude of that ideological clash, enabling Zarqawi's limited cooperation with Al Qaeda in the Iraqi arena. Although they used each other for tactical support, publicity, and recruiting purposes, their doctrinal...
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Topics: DTIC Archive, Fishman, Brian, MILITARY ACADEMY WEST POINT NY COMBATING TERRORISM CENTER,...
The US is considered the world's sole superpower. However, America has recently suffered setbacks and faces dangerous foes intent on its destruction. Many strategists regard the Principles of War as the bedrock of US military doctrine; others suggest that they should be discarded. Some aspects of the 21st Century battlefields have changed considerably, while others aspects remain unchanged since time immemorial. Is there an immutable nature to the Principles of War as well - or should they be...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Malay, Patrick, ARMY WAR COLL CARLISLE BARRACKS PA, *TERRORISTS, *MILITARY DOCTRINE,...
The Secretary and the Chief of Staff of the Air Force, and the Major Air Commanders should: Provide clear direction on the collective and individual objectives of the set of nuclear inspections. Remove any direction or implication that inspection teams have an education or mentoring responsibility during the conduct of an inspection The Secretary of the Air Force should direct formation of a team of NSI, NORI, DNSI inspectors and officers and senior NCOs from bomber units and ICBM units to...
Topics: DTIC Archive, DEFENSE SCIENCE BOARD WASHINGTON DC, *JOINT MILITARY ACTIVITIES, *MILITARY...
This report analyzes the evolution of conflicts over modernization within the Soviet military, and efforts to develop the consensus needed to resolve these conflicts during the period from 1978 to 1988. Thus, the analysis covers a period of enormous upheaval that originated in the reorganization of the Soviet armed forces and subsequently involved the restructuring initiated by Gorbachev's reforms. The efforts of ground forces, strategic rocket forces, and the navy to cope with and to avoid...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Gottemoeller, Rose E, RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CA, *MILITARY FORCES(FOREIGN), ROCKETS,...
THESIS: As the U.S. leadership increasingly relies on Special Operations Forces (SOF) to prosecute the Global War on Terrorism (GWOT), the U.S. Marine Corps must contribute more forces to USSOCOM in order to optimally support the US strategic objective of combating irregular threats. DISCUSSION: Irregular warfare (IW) is the form of warfare the United States faces for at least the next decade. U.S. conventional warfighting dominance has assured this reality. In 1987 Congress created the Special...
Topics: DTIC Archive, MARINE CORPS UNIV QUANTICO VA, *SPECIAL OPERATIONS FORCES, *UNCONVENTIONAL WARFARE,...
Airpower advocates point to the exponential increases in precision, stealth and power of modern air systems as proof positive of a new era in warfare. Yet such claims cannot be isolated from the political objective airpower ultimately serves. This paper explores the advantages and disadvantages of the strategic employment of airpower from a political perspective. The inherent political advantages are introduced first along with a summary of current strategic airpower theory. Next some of the...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Smith, Bradley J, ARMY WAR COLL CARLISLE BARRACKS PA, *MILITARY STRATEGY, *AIR POWER,...
Thinking Asymmetrically in Times of Terror; The Moral Limits of Strategic Attack; The Law and War in the 21st Century: (a) New Options for Prosecuting War - Criminals in Internal Armed Conflicts; (b) Modern War, Modern Law, and Army Doctrine: Are We in Step for the 21st Century?; (c) Posse Comitatus and Nuclear Terrorism; Organizing for Homeland Security; Principles of War on the Network-Centric Battlefield: Mass and Economy of Force; and Macedonia: End of the Beginning or Beginning of the End?
Topics: DTIC Archive, ARMY WAR COLL CARLISLE BARRACKS PA, *MILITARY DOCTRINE, *HOMELAND SECURITY, ATTACK,...
Welcome to the first issue of Strategic Studies Quarterly (SSQ) -- the U.S. Air Force's forum for exchanging ideas that matter for our nation's security. Air University was established to develop our Air Force leaders as they prepare for the future. In support of that mission, we at Air University are committed to the exploration of ideas that foster engagement and growth within the defense community. This strategic journal is part of a larger set of initiatives designed to ensure that the...
Topics: DTIC Archive, AIR UNIV MAXWELL AFB AL, *MILITARY STRATEGY, *NATIONAL SECURITY, UNCERTAINTY,...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Ellsberg, Daniel, RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CA, *STRATEGIC WARFARE, GAME THEORY,...
Topics: DTIC Archive, RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CA, *FOREIGN POLICY, *MILITARY STRATEGY, LEADERSHIP, NATIONAL...
Contents: The American consensus--Why; Responsible custodianship for mankind; What strategic doctrine for responsible custody; Competing strategic doctrines; What strategic doctrine for nuclear guarantees; What implications for allies.
Topics: DTIC Archive, Hoag, Malcolm W, RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CA, *NUCLEAR WEAPONS, *DETERRENCE, NUCLEAR...
Topics: DTIC Archive, RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CA, *NUCLEAR WARFARE, *MILITARY STRATEGY, NUCLEAR WEAPONS,...
The problem of allocating two types of aircraft (bombers and fighters) among three different air tasks (counter air, air defense, and support of ground operations) in a multi strike campaign is analyzed as a two sided war game. It is assumed that a bomber can be used in either the counter air or ground support operations, while a fighter can be used in either the air defense or ground support roles. That is, bombers and fighters have one task-ground support-in common. Optimal employment during...
Topics: DTIC Archive, RAND CORP SANTA MONICA CA, *AERIAL WARFARE, *TACTICAL WARFARE, *GAME THEORY, FIGHTER...
With the ongoing reinvigoration of the U.S. nuclear enterprise, the time is right for a reevaluation of the U.S. involvement in NATO strategic operations. The U.S. can fulfill its obligations to the treaty without dedicating Dual Capable Aircraft (DCA) to the alliance. There are many benefits to fulfilling the nuclear deterrence mission with other assets. Ideally, the replacement systems would have singular roles and less vulnerability. The obvious implications include political ramifications...
Topics: DTIC Archive, ARMY WAR COLL CARLISLE BARRACKS PA, *POLICIES, *NUCLEAR WEAPONS, DETERRENCE,...
This paper reviews a select set of past proliferation-related forecasts. These historical forecasts were performed between 1957 and 1990. They addressed nuclear proliferation most prominently but also included forecasts of Soviet strategic forces developments and wider missile proliferation. These forecasts also covered a broad spectrum of sources: declassified U.S. intelligence estimates, official memos, assessments by special commissions, think tank reports, and writings by individual...
Topics: DTIC Archive, SCIENCE APPLICATIONS INTERNATIONAL CORP MCLEAN VA, *NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION, COMBAT...
(U//FOUO)In a world with low numbers of nuclear weapons there must be reliable verification and monitoring procedures so that militarily significant cheating can be detected and addressed. Finally, a central question must be addressed: What is the problem for which the elimination of nuclear weapons is the solution? Is it the existence of the weapons themselves, the use of nuclear weapons, or both? It would behoove the United States to answer this question before committing to further dramatic...
Topics: DTIC Archive, AIR FORCE ACADEMY COLORADO SPRINGS CO, *NUCLEAR WEAPONS, ELIMINATION, GLOBAL,...
This thesis explores the idea whether a balanced systematic approach is a better way to integrate Information Operations (IO) at different levels of war compared to uncoordinated efforts at each level. Analysis of the role of information in a conflict in the context of information superiority provides the foundation of the thesis. DOD's IO core, supporting, and related capability based approach was used in the analysis of each level of warfare. Strategic, operational, and tactical level IO were...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Tuner, Bunyamin, NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY CA, *STRATEGIC WARFARE, *TACTICAL...
The need for precise and timely information in strategic and tactical operations, as well as optimum use of Navy sensors and weapons systems is inhibited by the limits of current Command, Control and Communications (C3) systems architecture and its associated components.
Topics: DTIC Archive, NAVAL RESEARCH ADVISORY COMMITTEE ARLINGTON VA, *COMMAND CONTROL COMMUNICATIONS,...
This paper focuses on the intersection point between the strategic and operational levels of war. It recommends that aerial coercion become a formal part of Joint Doctrine because (1) Engagement and Enlargement created new military requirements that remain uncovered, (2) there already exist well-developed methods of aerial coercion available for use, and (3) the problems that bedeviled aerial coercion are no longer insurmountable. This paper focuses on the intersection point between the...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Faber, Peter R., NAVAL WAR COLL NEWPORT RI, *MILITARY DOCTRINE, *STRATEGIC WARFARE,...
This paper proposes assignment of programmatic responsibilities to USTRANSCOM as a means of improving operational readiness.
Topics: DTIC Archive, Dubyak, William G., NAVAL WAR COLL NEWPORT RI DEPT OF OPERATIONS, *AIRLIFT...
The Defense Science Board Summer Study Task Force on Future Strategic Strike Forces looks to the 30-year future with the objective of providing the President with a broad range of strike options to * Protect the United States and our forces abroad, * Assure friends and allies of our future commitment, and * Deal with future adversaries on terms favorable to the United States. The Task Force identified currently planned systems that will still be relevant and recommended new systems for...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Blair, Dennis, DEFENSE SCIENCE BOARD WASHINGTON DC, *DEFENSE PLANNING, UNITED STATES,...
Modern Turkey is potentially the center of gravity of United States National Security Strategy in Central Asia, the Caucasus, and Middle East. As such, it is critical that the United States reengages Turkey bilaterally and through NATO to strengthen the entire region with democracy and economic reforms. A U.S. miscalculation of Turkey's potential and failure to address their internal problems could result in the missed opportunities to shape a secure and prosperous region, and indirectly set...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Laster, James B, NATIONAL WAR COLL WASHINGTON DC, *NATIONAL SECURITY, *STRATEGIC...
This thesis posits that the leadership of Major General Edward Braddock led to the defeat of the force that he recruited, trained, and led against Fort Duquesne in July 1755. This thesis places Braddock into the strategic context of the time, seeks to highlight relevant leadership decisions he made that yield insights for today's combat leaders. The defeat at the Battle of the Monongahela resulted in a torrent of Indian attacks that claimed many civilian lives and reduced colonial trust in...
Topics: DTIC Archive, ARMY COMMAND AND GENERAL STAFF COLL FORT LEAVENWORTH KS, *MILITARY COMMANDERS,...
Enhance the capability of OR analysts at combatant commands, JTF headquarters, the armed services, and the national defense department/ministry level * Share best practices and information regarding models that have proven useful at the strategic or operational level * Address gaps in modeling and analysis capability through an examination of which models analysts are using and what kinds of problems analysts are asked to solve * WG framework based on 4 questions: What questions do analysts...
Topics: DTIC Archive, MILITARY OPERATIONS RESEARCH SOCIETY ALEXANDRIA VA, *DATA MANAGEMENT, *STRATEGIC...
The effective application of operational art is critical to the successful termination of a limited war by the U.S. Despite this role, guidance regarding the application of operational art to termination in a limited war is meager. This paper focuses on the high-level bridge between the strategic and operational levels that is necessary to achieve successful termination. Theoretical synopses regarding the unique characteristics of limited war, war termination theory, and negotiating theory are...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Krizanovic, Gary, NAVAL WAR COLL NEWPORT RI DEPT OF OPERATIONS, *MILITARY DOCTRINE,...
In this issue of Surface Warfare Magazine, we turn our focus toward fighting in the littorals. The post-Cold War era has demanded that we adapt our strategies, tactics and technologies to conform to this much more active and dangerous area of operations. Unlike open-ocean warfare in which we could focus all our attention on the Soviet threat, we now must be able to operate in the littorals where there is a wider variety of threats, a greater degree of uncertainty and a higher number of adverse...
Topics: DTIC Archive, OFFICE OF THE CHIEF OF NAVAL OPERATIONS WASHINGTON DC, *STRATEGIC WARFARE, *TACTICAL...
Joint Vision 2020 asserts the United States military will achieve information superiority over any future adversary. This assertion is based on three assumptions: offensive information operations will provide an accurate and complete picture of an adversary, defensive information operations will prevent adversaries from attacking friendly information systems and the will of the US to overcome internal limitations to correctly interpret information will allow it to dominate the information realm...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Brice, Michael D, AIR UNIV MAXWELL AFB AL, *MILITARY OPERATIONS, *STRATEGIC WARFARE,...
The problem of modeling a two-sided nuclear war is examined. In such a war the side that strikes first must consider a number of physical variables-- such as the yield, reliability, and accuracy of its weapons--in choosing a weapon allocation against the other side. However, the most important variable affecting the first striker's allocation is the ability of the second side to retaliate. The model that is developed in this paper is highly aggregated. Value targets on each side are treated as...
Topics: DTIC Archive, Donelson, III, John, INSTITUTE FOR DEFENSE ANALYSES ALEXANDRIA VA PROGRAM ANALYSIS...
