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Conference on Soviet Economy in 1970: 

Studies in Soviet Economic Growth 


1. Date : Friday - Sunday, May 23 - 25, 1952 

2. Place : Arden House, Harriman, N. ¥. 

3. Sponsors : Joint Committee of Slavic Studies of the 
Social Science Research Council and American Council of Learned 
Societies. 


4- Purpose : The following statement of purpose is from the 
description of the project submitted to the sponsors: 

The post-war years have seen a notable expansion in 
the numbers of serious students of the Russian economy in 
this country. Whereas before the war graduate concentration 
in Soviet economics was almost unheard of, there are now a 
number of major centers offering graduate training in this 
field, and already there are a number of students of 
advanced status. 

The corps of wo r hers in this field has been augmented 
also by the conversion of mature scholars from other 
specialties . 

The proposed Conference, it is believed, would 
represent the first occasion when these scholars would be 
able to assemble for any length of time for the serious 
discussion of their specialty. Accordingly, the opportunity 
to meet in this way should be of more than ordinary value 
to the participants, particularly the younger scholars. 

Needless to say, no detailed blueprint of the Soviet 
economy in 1970 is anticipated. The Conference would focus 
rather on the strategic factors in Russian economic growth, 
and on the appraisal of their more important implications 
for the long-run. But inventory of knowledge of this 
sort should be illuminating from many standpoints, including 
not the least Russian strength; and at the same time it 
would serve to mark out for further research areas of 
ignorance on a vital theme. 

It is envisaged that the proceedings of the Conference 
ultimately will be published. 


V v a r 

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5. Assumptions : It is felt that even at the price of some 
discussion at cross purposes the participants should decide for 
themselves the nature of the assumptions to be made regarding 
domestic and international political and economic data underlying 
their appraisals and forecasts. At the same time, presumably all 
will agree that for the purposes of the Conference there is little 
point in elaborating for the Soviet economy in 1970 the implications 
of a general war taking place in the preceding interval; so this 
particular eventuality might just as well be passed by. Furthermore, 
the participants of course may wish to examine the implications of 
various alternative sets of assumptions in varying contexts. 

6. Organization : Authors of main papers are asked to submit 
their essays to Professor Bergson by April 1, 1952 at the latest. 
These papers will then be mimeographed and distributed to the 
other participants. 

At the conference itself, the authors of main papers should 
summarize rather than read their essays. While there will be 
designated discussants for each paper, it is hoped that other 
participants will also join in the discussion. To this end, all 
main papers will be distributed to all participants. 

A length of 7500 words would seem desirable generally for 
the main papers. The oral summaries should not exceed 30 minutes. 
The designated discussants might think in terms of a 15 or 20 
minute talk. 


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Topics of main papers 


1. Conditions of Soviet Economic Development 

2. National Income and Product in 1970 


lational Income ana^Product in i 

MwGX nrUL(f- 

I'oFThe Efficiency of - 


CA — t ^ 

Invootment Decisi ons 


3. ftiuipec tS 1 oF~the Efficiency 
4 .. Population and Labor Force in 1970 

5. Transportation Prospects 

6. Resources and Industrial Potentialities 

7. Trends in Industrial Labor Productivity 

8. Soviet Industrial Production in 1970 

9. Agricultural Production Prospects: Resources as a 
Conditioning Factor 

10. Agricultural Production Prospects: Organisation as a 


Conditioning Factor 

11. Agricultural Production in 1970 

12. Prospects for Soviet Economic Relations with the Orbit 

13. The Future of East-Uest Trade 


N.B. The foregoing topics, of course, overlap in 
varying degrees. From many standpoints, it is felt that this 
is all to the good, and accordingly contributors should not 
be unduly concerned to avoid aspects vhieh may be discussed 
by others. 


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TO: Members of Conference on Soviet Economy 

FROM: Abram Bergson 

SUBJECT: Title of Conference 


In view of the concern expressed in various quarters, 
including some members of the Conference, as to the possibility oi 
misunderstanding concerning our aims, it has seemed advisable to 
change the title of the Conference to the following: Soviet 

Economic Growth: Conditions and Perspectives. 1 ' Au the same time, 
where necessary, corresponding changes have been made m the titles 
of individual papers, and the new titles are shown below. 


As before, of course, the concern is primarily with the 
long-term future. Also, insofar as it is found necessary in one or 
another connection to think in terms of a horizon date, the year 
1970 remains the one to consider. 


Conference on 

Soviet Economic Growth: Conditions and Perspectives 

Topics of main papers 

1. Conditions of Soviet Economic Development 

2. National Income and Product 

3. Capital Formation and Allocation as a Conditioning Factor 

4. Population and Labor Force 

5. Transportation Prospects 

6. Resources and Industrial Potentialities 

7. Trends in Industrial Labor Productivity 

8. Industrial Production 

9. Agricultural Production Prospects: Resources as a. Conditioning 
Factor 

10. Agricultural Production Prospects: Organisation as a Condition- 
ing Factor 

11. Agricultural Production 

12. Prospects for Soviet Economic Relations with the Orbit 

13. The Future of East-West Trade 

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